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San Jose SharksSJS 1–2 Final/OT St. Louis BluesSTL

Thursday, March 26, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
San Jose SharksSJS 0010 1 25
St. Louis BluesSTL 0101 2 23
Playoff odds, % Change
SJS -3.4
STL +1.5
VGK +0.7
LAK +0.5
EDM +0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 26, 2026 7:19 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
17:19 STL Dalibor Dvorsky (11) Dylan Holloway (18), Jimmy Snuggerud (22) · snap xG 0.19 0–1 ▶
3rd Period
5:04 SJS Alexander Wennberg (14) William Eklund (31), Kiefer Sherwood (9) · wrist xG 0.17 1–1 ▶
Overtime
4:57 STL Dylan Holloway (16) Philip Broberg (22) · backhand xG 0.22 1–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SJS 54%Deserve to win46% STL
SJSSTL
2.51Expected goals2.29
1Goals (no shootout)2
2.05Expected goals, 5 on 51.21
61Shot attempts50
37Unblocked attempts34
25Shots on goal23

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
9:06 SJS Goalie change Goalie change · Nedeljkovic in for Askarov
9:06 of the 2nd; Askarov had allowed 0 goals on 11 shots (0.96 xG)
3rd Period
16:21 SJS Deserve to win Deserve to win · SJS takes the lead, 60–40%
STL had led since 8:57 of the 1st, by as much as 67%

Shot map

SJS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ STL shoots
Jonatan Berggren: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:37) Cam Fowler: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:47) Macklin Celebrini: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:41) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:50) Jordan Kyrou: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 8:00) Colton Parayko: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 8:57) Logan Mailloux: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:44) Collin Graf: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:21) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:25) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:57) Cam Fowler: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:01) Matthew Kessel: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:05) Kiefer Sherwood: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:02) Vincent Desharnais: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:09) Will Smith: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:36) Zack Ostapchuk: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 13:18) Sam Dickinson: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:33) Michael Misa: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:20) Igor Chernyshov: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:59) Jimmy Snuggerud: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:27) Tyler Toffoli: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:22) Zack Ostapchuk: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 19:44) Alexey Toropchenko: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:16) Matthew Kessel: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:40) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:07) Dalibor Dvorsky: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:49) Vincent Desharnais: wrist, 166 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:05) Pius Suter: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:51) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:18) Nathan Walker: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:35) Nathan Walker: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 9:01) William Eklund: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:53) Mario Ferraro: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:52) Jonatan Berggren: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 12:30) Jimmy Snuggerud: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:40) Alexander Wennberg: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 12:57) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 13:10) Jack Finley: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:04) Colton Parayko: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:55) Michael Misa: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 18:24) Logan Mailloux: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:29) Shakir Mukhamadullin: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:04) Mario Ferraro: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:15) Shakir Mukhamadullin: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:22) Kiefer Sherwood: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:34) Nick Leddy: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:12) Sam Dickinson: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.31 (P3 2:15) Vincent Desharnais: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:44) Macklin Celebrini: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:48) Colton Parayko: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:13) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 4:23) Matthew Kessel: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:53) Logan Mailloux: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:06) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:15) Sam Dickinson: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:59) Colton Parayko: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:58) Jonatan Berggren: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:07) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 13:13) Collin Graf: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 13:25) Barclay Goodrow: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 14:46) Alexey Toropchenko: wrist, 144 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:04) William Eklund: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:21) Jonatan Berggren: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 17:33) William Eklund: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 2:14) Sam Dickinson: poke, 13 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 3:05) Dalibor Dvorsky: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 3:38) Dalibor Dvorsky: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.24 (OT 3:47) Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 4:47) Dalibor Dvorsky: GOAL, snap, 19 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 17:19) Alexander Wennberg: GOAL, wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 5:04) Dylan Holloway: GOAL, backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (OT 4:57)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

San Jose Sharks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Macklin Celebrini 000 -2 50.16 1022:56
21 Alexander Wennberg 101 +1 20.23 1222:37
44 Kiefer Sherwood 011 +1 60.34 3019:33
27 William Eklund 011 0 70.16 2019:29
51 Collin Graf 000 0 30.21 1016:35
2 Will Smith 000 -1 40.04 0015:17
92 Igor Chernyshov 000 -1 10.06 0115:16
73 Tyler Toffoli 000 0 30.06 1013:03
77 Michael Misa 000 0 20.09 0112:59
23 Barclay Goodrow 000 0 10.08 3210:24
81 Adam Gaudette 000 0 10.00 0010:07
63 Zack Ostapchuk 000 0 20.26 1007:55
Defense
9 Dmitry Orlov 000 -1 10.14 3022:52
6 Sam Dickinson 000 +1 70.51 2021:33
73 Vincent Desharnais 000 0 40.04 3220:57
38 Mario Ferraro 000 -1 40.04 3220:02
4 Nick Leddy 000 +1 30.03 1119:44
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin 000 -1 50.04 2217:36
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Yaroslav Askarov 11011 1.000 0.96 +0.96
Alex Nedeljkovic 12210 .833 1.33 -0.67

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
81 Dylan Holloway 112 +2 40.36 1120:54
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 011 +2 60.12 1120:03
89 Pavel Buchnevich 000 0 20.00 1119:38
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 101 +1 50.71 1118:08
25 Jordan Kyrou 000 0 20.11 1017:17
22 Pius Suter 000 0 30.11 0016:09
29 Jonatan Berggren 000 0 50.26 2115:55
63 Jake Neighbours 000 0 10.00 1015:14
28 Otto Stenberg 000 0 00.00 1112:52
13 Alexey Toropchenko 000 -1 20.03 5011:47
37 Jack Finley 000 -1 10.03 2211:05
26 Nathan Walker 000 -1 30.12 1110:19
Defense
55 Colton Parayko 000 0 60.24 0323:42
6 Philip Broberg 011 +2 00.00 2023:30
17 Cam Fowler 000 -1 20.02 0123:05
23 Logan Mailloux 000 0 50.13 4520:49
4 Theo Lindstein 000 +1 00.00 2117:17
4 Matthew Kessel 000 -1 30.06 2213:07
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joel Hofer 25124 .960 2.51 +1.51

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
21 Alexander Wennberg C +1.65 +0.75 +0.15 +0.66 0.00 -0.03 +0.12 — 22:37
72 William Eklund L +1.46 +0.70 +0.11 +0.66 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 19:29
44 Kiefer Sherwood L +1.43 +0.55 +0.22 +0.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:33
6 Sam Dickinson D +1.27 0.00 +0.33 +0.99 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 21:33
30 Yaroslav Askarov G +0.96 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.96 29:02
4 Nick Leddy D +0.89 0.00 +0.02 +0.82 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:44
23 Barclay Goodrow C +0.62 0.00 +0.05 +0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 10:24
51 Collin Graf R +0.50 0.00 +0.14 +0.36 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 16:35
63 Zack Ostapchuk C +0.49 0.00 +0.17 +0.50 -0.15 -0.03 0.00 — 7:55
81 Adam Gaudette R +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.47 -0.15 +0.02 -0.02 — 10:07
38 Mario Ferraro D +0.28 0.00 +0.03 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 20:02
73 Tyler Toffoli C +0.26 0.00 +0.04 +0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:03
77 Michael Misa C +0.13 0.00 +0.06 +0.04 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 12:59
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D +0.10 0.00 +0.03 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 17:36
5 Vincent Desharnais D -0.04 0.00 +0.03 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 20:57
9 Dmitry Orlov D -0.04 0.00 +0.09 -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.08 — 22:52
71 Macklin Celebrini C -0.24 0.00 +0.10 -0.27 0.00 -0.03 -0.04 — 22:56
92 Igor Chernyshov L -0.32 0.00 +0.04 -0.56 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 15:16
2 Will Smith C -0.40 0.00 +0.02 -0.42 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 15:17
33 Alex Nedeljkovic G -0.67 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.67 35:51

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
81 Dylan Holloway L +1.66 +1.45 +0.23 -0.04 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 20:54
30 Joel Hofer G +1.51 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.51 64:57
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R +1.27 +0.75 +0.46 -0.01 0.00 +0.03 +0.03 — 18:08
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R +0.59 +0.55 +0.08 -0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:03
29 Jonatan Berggren R +0.45 0.00 +0.17 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 15:55
6 Philip Broberg D +0.42 +0.70 0.00 -0.13 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 23:30
41 Theo Lindstein D +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:17
22 Pius Suter C +0.31 0.00 +0.07 +0.25 0.00 -0.03 +0.02 — 16:09
23 Logan Mailloux D +0.18 0.00 +0.09 -0.31 +0.15 0.00 +0.25 — 20:49
55 Colton Parayko D +0.04 0.00 +0.15 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 23:42
26 Nathan Walker L -0.23 0.00 +0.08 -0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 10:19
28 Otto Stenberg C -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.28 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 12:52
37 Jack Finley C -0.31 0.00 +0.02 -0.55 0.00 +0.12 +0.10 — 11:05
13 Alexey Toropchenko R -0.35 0.00 +0.02 -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:47
63 Jake Neighbours L -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.39 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 15:14
51 Matthew Kessel D -0.52 0.00 +0.04 -0.79 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 13:07
17 Cam Fowler D -0.55 0.00 +0.01 -0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 23:05
89 Pavel Buchnevich L -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.63 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 19:38
25 Jordan Kyrou R -0.67 0.00 +0.07 -0.73 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 17:17

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.