hockeystats.io

St. Louis BluesSTL 4–5 Final San Jose SharksSJS

Monday, March 30, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
St. Louis BluesSTL 211 4 26
San Jose SharksSJS 311 5 29
Playoff odds, % Change
SJS +7.5
STL -6.7
NSH +0.8
VGK -0.8
LAK -0.6

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 30, 2026 9:28 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
5:28 STL Theo Lindstein (1) Jake Neighbours (15) · wrist xG 0.04 1–0 ▶
8:30 SJS Alexander Wennberg (15)PP Macklin Celebrini (63), Tyler Toffoli (27) · wrist xG 0.15 1–1 ▶
13:25 SJS Macklin Celebrini (37)PP Dmitry Orlov (28), Alexander Wennberg (33) · slap xG 0.09 1–2 ▶
16:39 STL Pavel Buchnevich (17) Jake Neighbours (16) · tip-in xG 0.08 2–2 ▶
19:04 SJS Macklin Celebrini (38) Nick Leddy (5), Will Smith (29) · wrist xG 0.13 2–3 ▶
2nd Period
10:13 SJS Alexander Wennberg (16)PP Tyler Toffoli (28), Will Smith (30) · wrist xG 0.29 2–4 ▶
19:34 STL Philip Broberg (6)PP Dylan Holloway (20), Robert Thomas (33) · wrist xG 0.14 3–4 ▶
3rd Period
12:53 STL Cam Fowler (3)PP Jordan Kyrou (23), Pius Suter (13) · wrist xG 0.04 4–4 ▶
19:38 SJS Adam Gaudette (16) Mario Ferraro (15), Vincent Desharnais (6) · wrist xG 0.05 4–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

STL 39%Deserve to win61% SJS
STLSJS
2.08Expected goals2.85
4Goals (no shootout)5
1.58Expected goals, 5 on 51.72
52Shot attempts56
35Unblocked attempts39
26Shots on goal29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
10:13 STL Goalie Goalie · Hofer −2.2 goals saved
4 goals on 1.81 xG, 16 shots on goal
3rd Period
12:53 SJS Goalie Goalie · Askarov −2.3 goals saved
4 goals on 1.70 xG, 19 shots on goal
19:38 STL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Hofer, down 5–4
With 0:22 left; SJS scored at 19:38 of the 3rd (4–5)

Shot map

STL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SJS shoots
Adam Gaudette: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:21) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:12) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 4:03) Adam Gaudette: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 4:12) Alexander Wennberg: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:24) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:17) Macklin Celebrini: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 6:19) Zack Ostapchuk: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:00) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 7:25) Macklin Celebrini: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 7:57) Macklin Celebrini: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:58) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:32) Nick Leddy: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:41) Pius Suter: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:29) Will Smith: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 19:22) Zack Ostapchuk: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:37) Dalibor Dvorsky: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:49) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:13) Adam Gaudette: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:03) Barclay Goodrow: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:08) Mario Ferraro: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:24) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 10:11) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 10:42) Otto Stenberg: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:52) Igor Chernyshov: backhand, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:36) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 13:51) Jake Neighbours: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:53) Jake Neighbours: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 13:59) Dmitry Orlov: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:57) Kiefer Sherwood: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:21) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:12) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:14) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:25) Jonatan Berggren: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:04) Jimmy Snuggerud: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:17) Collin Graf: wrist, 133 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:20) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:19) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:29) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:57) Igor Chernyshov: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 1:19) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:45) Adam Gaudette: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:55) Robert Thomas: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:06) Dylan Holloway: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 3:09) Will Smith: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:44) Sam Dickinson: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:47) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 4:21) Will Smith: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 4:47) Dalibor Dvorsky: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:26) Kiefer Sherwood: slap, 17 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 6:50) Jake Neighbours: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 8:15) Theo Lindstein: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:20) Justin Holl: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:27) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:20) Otto Stenberg: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:11) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:42) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:01) Theo Lindstein: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:02) Jonatan Berggren: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:17) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:21) Colton Parayko: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:23) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 18:33) Mario Ferraro: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:13) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 19:40) Philip Broberg: slap, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:58) Theo Lindstein: GOAL, wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:28) Alexander Wennberg: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 8:30) Macklin Celebrini: GOAL, slap, 43 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 13:25) Pavel Buchnevich: GOAL, tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 16:39) Macklin Celebrini: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 19:04) Alexander Wennberg: GOAL, wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.29 (P2 10:13) Philip Broberg: GOAL, wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 19:34) Cam Fowler: GOAL, wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:53) Adam Gaudette: GOAL, wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:38)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 Robert Thomas 011 0 20.01 2220:52
81 Dylan Holloway 011 -1 80.53 1020:05
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 000 0 30.07 2018:19
89 Pavel Buchnevich 101 0 30.15 0017:49
63 Jake Neighbours 022 +1 60.31 0015:58
25 Jordan Kyrou 011 0 30.29 0014:22
22 Pius Suter 011 0 20.04 0112:44
29 Jonatan Berggren 000 0 40.18 1012:40
28 Otto Stenberg 000 0 30.09 2012:00
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 000 0 30.06 1011:56
37 Jack Finley 000 0 00.00 2010:43
13 Alexey Toropchenko 000 0 00.00 2110:38
Defense
6 Philip Broberg 101 -2 30.19 0023:49
55 Colton Parayko 000 +1 40.01 2321:23
17 Cam Fowler 101 +1 20.04 0320:28
23 Logan Mailloux 000 -2 10.00 0419:50
4 Theo Lindstein 101 +1 40.07 0017:12
4 Justin Holl 000 +1 10.03 0114:35
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joel Hofer 29524 .828 2.68 -2.32

San Jose Sharks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
21 Alexander Wennberg 213 -2 30.50 0119:57
2 Will Smith 022 +1 60.30 0019:51
71 Macklin Celebrini 213 +1 100.72 1019:45
44 Kiefer Sherwood 000 -2 70.34 3016:34
27 William Eklund 000 -2 00.00 4016:30
92 Igor Chernyshov 000 +1 30.18 0016:06
73 Tyler Toffoli 022 0 60.32 0012:56
77 Michael Misa 000 +1 00.00 0112:00
63 Zack Ostapchuk 000 +1 20.08 2111:58
51 Collin Graf 000 0 30.00 1211:46
23 Barclay Goodrow 000 0 10.04 1011:44
81 Adam Gaudette 101 +1 50.25 1110:00
Defense
4 Nick Leddy 011 +1 20.03 0322:32
9 Dmitry Orlov 011 -1 10.03 0020:37
38 Mario Ferraro 011 0 30.04 1120:20
6 Sam Dickinson 000 +1 20.03 2020:00
73 Vincent Desharnais 011 0 10.00 2117:10
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin 000 -1 10.00 0416:01
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Yaroslav Askarov 26422 .846 2.08 -1.92

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
63 Jake Neighbours L +1.76 +1.40 +0.20 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 15:58
25 Jordan Kyrou R +1.34 +0.70 +0.19 +0.49 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 14:22
6 Philip Broberg D +1.11 +0.75 +0.13 +0.41 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 23:49
89 Pavel Buchnevich L +0.83 +0.75 +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 17:49
81 Dylan Holloway L +0.82 +0.70 +0.34 -0.38 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 20:05
17 Cam Fowler D +0.75 +0.75 +0.02 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 20:28
41 Theo Lindstein D +0.68 +0.75 +0.04 -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:12
18 Robert Thomas C +0.52 +0.55 +0.01 -0.02 -0.15 +0.05 +0.08 — 20:52
22 Pius Suter C +0.44 +0.55 +0.03 -0.03 -0.15 +0.01 +0.03 — 12:44
29 Jonatan Berggren R +0.41 0.00 +0.12 +0.15 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:40
23 Logan Mailloux D +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 19:50
28 Otto Stenberg C +0.17 0.00 +0.06 +0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:00
55 Colton Parayko D +0.10 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 21:23
13 Alexey Toropchenko R +0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:38
37 Jack Finley C -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 10:43
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R -0.21 0.00 +0.04 -0.13 -0.15 +0.03 0.00 — 11:56
4 Justin Holl D -0.47 0.00 +0.02 -0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:35
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R -0.77 0.00 +0.04 -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:19
30 Joel Hofer G -2.32 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.32 59:27

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
71 Macklin Celebrini C +3.48 +2.20 +0.47 +0.81 0.00 +0.07 -0.06 — 19:45
2 Will Smith C +2.14 +1.10 +0.19 +0.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:51
4 Nick Leddy D +1.86 +0.70 +0.02 +1.01 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 22:32
21 Alexander Wennberg C +1.37 +2.05 +0.33 -1.02 0.00 -0.04 +0.05 — 19:57
73 Tyler Toffoli C +1.35 +1.25 +0.21 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:56
81 Adam Gaudette R +1.12 +0.75 +0.16 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 10:00
6 Sam Dickinson D +0.94 0.00 +0.02 +0.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:00
92 Igor Chernyshov L +0.90 0.00 +0.11 +0.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:06
38 Mario Ferraro D +0.83 +0.70 +0.03 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:20
63 Zack Ostapchuk C +0.51 0.00 +0.05 +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:58
23 Barclay Goodrow C +0.21 0.00 +0.03 -0.12 +0.30 0.00 0.00 — 11:44
77 Michael Misa C +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 +0.05 — 12:00
5 Vincent Desharnais D 0.00 +0.55 0.00 -0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 17:10
51 Collin Graf R -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 11:46
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D -0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.30 0.00 +0.18 — 16:01
9 Dmitry Orlov D -0.39 +0.70 +0.02 -1.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:37
44 Kiefer Sherwood L -0.52 0.00 +0.22 -0.72 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 16:34
72 William Eklund L -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.61 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 16:30
30 Yaroslav Askarov G -1.92 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.92 60:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.