| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 35 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 37 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:06 | Danton Heinen (6) Mason Marchment (24) · snap xG 0.31 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 10:27 | Dylan Larkin (31)PP Patrick Kane (38), Moritz Seider (46) · wrist xG 0.14 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:27 | Justin Faulk (13) Dylan Larkin (30), Ben Chiarot (8) · wrist xG 0.12 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 10:59 | Zach Werenski (22)PP Denton Mateychuk (18), Jet Greaves (1) · wrist xG 0.04 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:14 | Justin Faulk (14) Alex DeBrincat (43), Andrew Copp (34) · slap xG 0.07 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 19:43 | Adam Fantilli (23) Zach Werenski (58), Kirill Marchenko (39) · slap xG 0.07 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Lucas Raymond vs Jet Greaves | Saved | ||
| Kent Johnson vs John Gibson | Goal | ||
| Patrick Kane vs Jet Greaves | Goal | ||
| Kirill Marchenko vs John Gibson | Saved | ||
| Alex DeBrincat vs Jet Greaves | Goal | ||
| Charlie Coyle vs John Gibson | Goal | ||
| Dylan Larkin vs Jet Greaves | Missed | ||
| Adam Fantilli vs John Gibson | Missed | ||
| James van Riemsdyk vs Jet Greaves | Saved | ||
| Zach Werenski vs John Gibson | Goal | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CBJ | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.49 | Expected goals | 3.32 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.56 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.07 |
| 80 | Shot attempts | 78 |
| 53 | Unblocked attempts | 53 |
| 35 | Shots on goal | 37 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:20 | CBJ | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced DET 1.40–0.32
In xG over 10 minutes, 2:30 to 12:30 of the 2nd; goals 1–1 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:20 | CBJ | No shift | No shift · Christiansen, 24:40 on the bench
No shift after 6:27 of the 2nd; 6 shifts (5:47) before that |
| 8:50 | DET | No shift | No shift · Rasmussen, 16:16 on the bench
No shift after 17:44 of the 2nd; 10 shifts (7:57) before that |
| 18:41 | CBJ | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Greaves, down 3–2
With 1:19 left; CBJ scored at 19:43 of the 3rd (3–3) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.18 | 4 | 0 | 25:08 |
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.39 | 2 | 1 | 24:49 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.21 | 4 | 0 | 22:18 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 2 | 19:43 |
| 83 | Conor Garland | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 16:34 |
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 0.56 | 2 | 2 | 15:58 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 15:37 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 15:35 |
| 58 | Danton Heinen | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.46 | 1 | 0 | 13:19 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 09:24 |
| 18 | Miles Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 07:54 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 06:51 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0.24 | 0 | 4 | 33:26 |
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.45 | 0 | 0 | 23:49 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 3 | 21:08 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 19:15 |
| 44 | Erik Gudbranson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 16:36 |
| 2 | Jake Christiansen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 05:47 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | 37 | 3 | 34 | .919 | 3.32 | +0.32 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Dylan Larkin | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 11 | 0.51 | 4 | 0 | 23:20 |
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 20:33 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 19:34 |
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.56 | 2 | 0 | 17:54 |
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.51 | 0 | 0 | 17:33 |
| 88 | Patrick Kane | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 16:48 |
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.27 | 8 | 0 | 16:32 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 15:06 |
| 16 | David Perron | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 13:52 |
| 27 | Michael Rasmussen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 07:57 |
| 34 | Carter Mazur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 06:55 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 06:40 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 3 | 8 | 29:33 |
| 77 | Simon Edvinsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 26:49 |
| 72 | Justin Faulk | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 11 | 0.40 | 0 | 1 | 23:40 |
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.06 | 2 | 3 | 22:24 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.20 | 1 | 2 | 12:38 |
| 44 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 09:34 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | 35 | 3 | 32 | .914 | 3.49 | +0.49 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Danton Heinen L | +2.11 | +0.75 | +0.30 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 13:19 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +2.04 | +1.45 | +0.15 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.19 | — | 33:26 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | +1.43 | 0.00 | +0.37 | +0.99 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.10 | — | 15:58 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | +1.36 | +0.70 | +0.05 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 21:08 |
| 17 Mason Marchment L | +1.11 | +0.70 | +0.16 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:43 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.52 | +0.30 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:37 |
| 73 Jet Greaves G | +0.87 | +0.55 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.32 | 63:58 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.29 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:49 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +0.80 | +0.55 | +0.25 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 24:49 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +0.37 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.65 | +0.15 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 25:08 |
| 11 Miles Wood L | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 7:54 |
| 2 Jake Christiansen D | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 5:47 |
| 83 Conor Garland R | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.02 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 16:34 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 22:18 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:24 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 19:15 |
| 44 Erik Gudbranson D | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:36 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 6:51 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:35 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Dylan Larkin C | +2.18 | +1.45 | +0.33 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:20 |
| 72 Justin Faulk D | +2.11 | +1.50 | +0.26 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:40 |
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +1.04 | +0.70 | +0.36 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:54 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | +0.94 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.52 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 22:24 |
| 88 Patrick Kane R | +0.92 | +0.70 | +0.04 | +0.22 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:48 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | +0.86 | +0.55 | +0.33 | -0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:33 |
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.61 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:32 |
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 20:33 |
| 53 Moritz Seider D | +0.50 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.56 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.36 | — | 29:33 |
| 36 John Gibson G | +0.49 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.49 | 65:00 |
| 77 Simon Edvinsson D | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 26:49 |
| 27 Michael Rasmussen C | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.19 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.20 | — | 7:57 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 6:40 |
| 34 Carter Mazur L | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 6:55 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 12:38 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.73 | +0.15 | +0.03 | +0.10 | — | 19:34 |
| 44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:34 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.72 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 15:06 |
| 57 David Perron L | -1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.90 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 13:52 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.