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Vancouver CanucksVAN 2–3 Final/OT Winnipeg JetsWPG

Saturday, March 7, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Vancouver CanucksVAN 1010 2 23
Winnipeg JetsWPG 0111 3 36
Playoff odds, % Change
WPG +2.9
VAN +0.0
NSH -0.7
SEA -0.7
SJS -0.4
LAK -0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 7, 2026 6:46 PM EST.

Scoring

1st Period
7:28 VAN Linus Karlsson (12) Max Sasson (4), Teddy Blueger (4) · wrist xG 0.07 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
19:48 WPG Mark Scheifele (30) Jonathan Toews (14) · wrist xG 0.07 1–1 ▶
3rd Period
0:33 VAN Liam Ohgren (6) Teddy Blueger (5), Linus Karlsson (16) · snap xG 0.15 2–1
15:12 WPG Gabriel Vilardi (24)PP Mark Scheifele (47), Josh Morrissey (33) · backhand xG 0.17 2–2
Overtime
1:49 WPG Josh Morrissey (11) Mark Scheifele (48), Kyle Connor (43) · slap xG 0.11 2–3

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VAN 31%Deserve to win69% WPG
VANWPG
2.24Expected goals3.35
2Goals (no shootout)3
1.82Expected goals, 5 on 52.27
39Shot attempts71
34Unblocked attempts54
23Shots on goal36

Shot map

VAN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WPG shoots
Cole Perfetti: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:04) Cole Perfetti: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 2:07) Morgan Barron: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:15) Josh Morrissey: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:46) Brock Boeser: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:08) Nils Hoglander: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:01) Haydn Fleury: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:17) Cole Koepke: slap, 9 ft, xG 0.30 (P1 6:20) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:58) Isak Rosen: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:45) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:59) Marcus Pettersson: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:11) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:36) Brock Boeser: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:51) Haydn Fleury: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:16) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:55) Linus Karlsson: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 13:30) Max Sasson: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.34 (P1 13:34) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:04) Josh Morrissey: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:43) Nils Hoglander: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:22) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:25) Josh Morrissey: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:27) Zeev Buium: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:02) Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:17) Adam Lowry: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:21) Jacob Bryson: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:49) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:50) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:51) Morgan Barron: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 3:53) Kyle Connor: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 4:24) Mark Scheifele: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 4:35) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 156 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:02) Adam Lowry: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:12) Elias Salomonsson: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:24) Alex Iafallo: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:25) Alex Iafallo: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:33) Liam Ohgren: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:44) Filip Hronek: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:50) Max Sasson: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:15) Teddy Blueger: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:35) Max Sasson: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:37) Alex Iafallo: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:14) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:40) Linus Karlsson: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:58) Aatu Räty: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:35) Dylan Samberg: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:16) Morgan Barron: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 17:18) Cole Koepke: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:19) Brad Lambert: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:36) Jonathan Toews: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:06) Jonathan Toews: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:23) Jonathan Toews: backhand, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:49) Josh Morrissey: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:55) Adam Lowry: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:02) Kyle Connor: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 1:00) Dylan Samberg: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:13) Josh Morrissey: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:13) Kyle Connor: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:16) Liam Ohgren: deflected, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:33) Mark Scheifele: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 3:50) Liam Ohgren: tip-in, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:02) Teddy Blueger: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:31) Cole Koepke: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:15) Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:01) Adam Lowry: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:21) Drew O'Connor: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 9:16) Teddy Blueger: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:30) Cole Koepke: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:46) Isak Rosen: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 11:22) Drew O'Connor: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 11:56) Aatu Räty: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.36 (P3 11:58) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 13:31) Kyle Connor: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 14:36) Marco Rossi: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:25) Filip Hronek: wrist, 170 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:13) Drew O'Connor: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:56) Elias Salomonsson: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:21) Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:57) Marco Rossi: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 0:18) Kyle Connor: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.34 (OT 1:05) Jake DeBrusk: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.25 (OT 1:15) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 1:38) Linus Karlsson: GOAL, wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:28) Mark Scheifele: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:48) Liam Ohgren: GOAL, snap, 30 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 0:33) Gabriel Vilardi: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 15:12) Josh Morrissey: GOAL, slap, 38 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 1:49)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vancouver Canucks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
92 Liam Ohgren 101 0 40.27 0117:57
40 Elias Pettersson 000 -1 20.14 1116:59
23 Marco Rossi 000 -1 20.07 1016:57
6 Brock Boeser 000 -1 20.04 1016:12
73 Teddy Blueger 022 +2 30.07 0016:08
74 Jake DeBrusk 000 -1 40.27 1216:08
18 Drew O'Connor 000 0 40.23 2114:49
63 Max Sasson 011 +1 30.36 0214:37
94 Linus Karlsson 112 +2 30.24 0013:42
91 Evander Kane 000 0 10.00 3112:34
21 Nils Hoglander 000 0 20.11 2012:12
54 Aatu Räty 000 0 20.38 4011:40
Defense
17 Filip Hronek 000 -2 20.01 3126:45
26 Marcus Pettersson 000 0 10.02 2323:51
5 Tom Willander 000 +2 00.00 2120:55
25 Elias Pettersson 000 +1 10.00 2120:04
8 Zeev Buium 000 0 20.03 1116:35
90 Victor Mancini 000 0 10.00 0213:55
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Kevin Lankinen 36333 .917 3.35 +0.35

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
81 Kyle Connor 011 +1 60.63 0025:09
55 Mark Scheifele 123 +1 70.71 1225:07
13 Gabriel Vilardi 101 +1 40.24 0021:22
91 Cole Perfetti 000 0 60.19 1019:04
9 Alex Iafallo 000 -1 50.10 3017:13
17 Adam Lowry 000 0 50.22 1016:15
36 Morgan Barron 000 0 40.24 3012:13
14 Gustav Nyquist 000 -1 00.00 1012:07
19 Jonathan Toews 011 0 30.13 0011:32
27 Isak Rosen 000 -1 20.10 1011:22
45 Cole Koepke 000 0 40.37 1008:28
93 Brad Lambert 000 0 10.03 0007:28
Defense
44 Josh Morrissey 112 +1 100.22 0024:27
54 Dylan Samberg 000 0 40.03 1222:01
2 Dylan DeMelo 000 -1 10.00 0020:14
57 Elias Salomonsson 000 0 30.06 1118:28
24 Haydn Fleury 000 -1 30.02 0017:31
78 Jacob Bryson 000 -1 30.06 1015:58
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck 23221 .913 2.24 +0.24

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vancouver Canucks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
53 Teddy Blueger C +2.46 +1.25 +0.05 +1.19 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 16:08
94 Linus Karlsson C +2.32 +1.30 +0.16 +0.89 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:42
63 Max Sasson C +1.42 +0.70 +0.23 +0.56 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 14:37
5 Tom Willander D +0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:55
32 Kevin Lankinen G +0.35 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.35 61:49
92 Liam Ohgren L +0.34 +0.75 +0.18 -0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:57
18 Drew O'Connor L +0.25 0.00 +0.15 +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 14:49
90 Victor Mancini D +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 13:55
54 Aatu Räty C +0.09 0.00 +0.24 -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 11:40
91 Evander Kane L -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:34
24 Zeev Buium D -0.06 0.00 +0.02 +0.08 -0.15 0.00 -0.01 — 16:35
25 Elias Pettersson D -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:04
29 Marcus Pettersson D -0.16 0.00 +0.01 -0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 23:51
74 Jake DeBrusk L -0.19 0.00 +0.17 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 16:08
21 Nils Hoglander L -0.27 0.00 +0.07 -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:12
40 Elias Pettersson C -0.31 0.00 +0.09 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:59
17 Filip Hronek D -0.77 0.00 +0.01 -0.79 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 26:45
6 Brock Boeser R -0.93 0.00 +0.03 -0.89 0.00 -0.02 -0.04 — 16:12
93 Marco Rossi C -0.99 0.00 +0.04 -1.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 16:57

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
55 Mark Scheifele C +3.39 +2.15 +0.46 +0.62 0.00 +0.04 +0.12 — 25:07
44 Josh Morrissey D +1.70 +1.30 +0.14 +0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 24:27
81 Kyle Connor L +1.60 +0.55 +0.41 +0.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 25:09
13 Gabriel Vilardi C +1.00 +0.75 +0.16 +0.14 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 21:22
45 Cole Koepke L +0.91 0.00 +0.24 +0.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:28
36 Morgan Barron C +0.83 0.00 +0.16 +0.69 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 12:13
19 Jonathan Toews C +0.79 +0.70 +0.08 +0.04 0.00 +0.03 -0.06 — 11:32
93 Brad Lambert C +0.59 0.00 +0.02 +0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:26
37 Connor Hellebuyck G +0.24 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.24 61:17
2 Dylan DeMelo D +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.04 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 20:14
57 Elias Salomonsson D +0.18 0.00 +0.04 +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:28
54 Dylan Samberg D +0.18 0.00 +0.02 +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 22:01
78 Jacob Bryson D +0.14 0.00 +0.04 -0.03 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 15:58
24 Haydn Fleury D -0.01 0.00 +0.02 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:31
27 Isak Rosen R -0.04 0.00 +0.07 -0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:24
14 Gustav Nyquist R -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:07
9 Alex Iafallo L -0.33 0.00 +0.07 -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:13
17 Adam Lowry C -0.51 0.00 +0.14 -0.65 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 16:15
91 Cole Perfetti C -0.70 0.00 +0.12 -0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:04

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.