hockeystats.io

Detroit Red WingsDET 3–0 Final New Jersey DevilsNJD

Sunday, March 8, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Detroit Red WingsDET 111 3 30
New Jersey DevilsNJD 000 0 31
Playoff odds, % Change
DET +6.3
NJD -1.1
OTT -1.4
BOS -1.4
CBJ -0.6
NYI -0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 8, 2026 6:27 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:20 DET Moritz Seider (8) Patrick Kane (26), Andrew Copp (28) · wrist xG 0.01 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
6:37 DET James van Riemsdyk (15)PP Moritz Seider (35), Patrick Kane (27) · tip-in xG 0.07 2–0 ▶
3rd Period
10:24 DET Dominik Shine (1) James van Riemsdyk (12), Moritz Seider (36) · snap xG 0.15 3–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DET 55%Deserve to win45% NJD
DETNJD
2.57Expected goals2.30
3Goals (no shootout)0
1.68Expected goals, 5 on 51.70
52Shot attempts63
44Unblocked attempts45
30Shots on goal31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
17:10 DET Deserve to win Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 62–38%
NJD had led since 12:36 of the 1st, by as much as 61%
2nd Period
20:00 DET Goalie change Goalie change · Talbot in for Gibson
The start of the 3rd; Gibson had allowed 0 goals on 21 shots (1.78 xG)

Shot map

DET shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NJD shoots
Dawson Mercer: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:26) Luke Hughes: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:32) Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:52) Simon Nemec: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:59) Nick Bjugstad: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:11) Moritz Seider: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:44) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:11) Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 80 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:56) Lucas Raymond: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:08) Lucas Raymond: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:09) Simon Edvinsson: slap, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 4:27) Dawson Mercer: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:17) Connor Brown: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 6:15) Jack Hughes: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:31) Jack Hughes: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:49) Johnathan Kovacevic: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:43) Moritz Seider: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:05) Patrick Kane: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 11:13) Jack Hughes: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:41) Connor Brown: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 12:14) Arseny Gritsyuk: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 12:36) Michael Rasmussen: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:08) Moritz Seider: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:46) James van Riemsdyk: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 13:54) James van Riemsdyk: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 14:06) Moritz Seider: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:28) Mason Appleton: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:09) Ben Chiarot: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:13) Lucas Raymond: slap, 19 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 16:59) Marco Kasper: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 17:10) Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:50) Simon Edvinsson: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:00) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:23) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:05) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:19) Timo Meier: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:31) Brenden Dillon: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:36) James van Riemsdyk: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:05) Timo Meier: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:06) Mason Appleton: backhand, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:22) Connor Brown: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 5:35) Emmitt Finnie: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:47) Simon Nemec: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:16) Jesper Bratt: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:21) Arseny Gritsyuk: deflected, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:10) Jacob Bernard-Docker: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:02) Jack Hughes: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:54) Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:17) Lenni Hameenaho: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 12:22) Albert Johansson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:02) Patrick Kane: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:09) Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 14:48) Justin Faulk: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 15:34) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:55) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:32) Paul Cotter: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:14) Simon Nemec: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:00) Dawson Mercer: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 19:07) Dawson Mercer: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:36) Luke Hughes: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:52) Andrew Copp: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:16) Justin Faulk: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:18) Johnathan Kovacevic: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:46) Luke Hughes: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:00) Justin Faulk: backhand, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:51) Alex DeBrincat: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:41) Jacob Bernard-Docker: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:46) Jacob Bernard-Docker: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:14) Connor Brown: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:55) Jack Hughes: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:30) Simon Nemec: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:03) Luke Hughes: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 7:10) Andrew Copp: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:02) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:31) Moritz Seider: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:55) Emmitt Finnie: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 11:53) Emmitt Finnie: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 11:54) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:46) Lenni Hameenaho: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:56) Dougie Hamilton: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:10) Andrew Copp: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 16:33) Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:16) Luke Hughes: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:11) Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:15) Nick Bjugstad: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:22) Patrick Kane: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:37) Moritz Seider: GOAL, wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:20) James van Riemsdyk: GOAL, tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:37) Dominik Shine: GOAL, snap, 16 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 10:24)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Detroit Red Wings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Alex DeBrincat 000 +1 40.08 0020:06
23 Lucas Raymond 000 0 40.19 0019:26
88 Patrick Kane 022 +1 30.20 1019:12
37 J.T. Compher 000 0 00.00 0017:21
18 Andrew Copp 011 +1 50.21 0016:33
22 Mason Appleton 000 0 20.03 1116:28
92 Marco Kasper 000 0 10.14 1115:56
58 Emmitt Finnie 000 0 30.39 2114:28
28 Michael Brandsegg-Nygård 000 0 30.10 4012:48
27 Michael Rasmussen 000 +1 10.13 0110:57
21 James van Riemsdyk 112 +1 40.32 0110:22
65 Dominik Shine 101 +1 10.15 0106:22
Defense
53 Moritz Seider 123 +2 70.17 1125:02
77 Simon Edvinsson 000 +1 40.19 1220:27
72 Justin Faulk 000 0 30.20 4319:28
8 Ben Chiarot 000 +1 20.02 2218:58
20 Albert Johansson 000 0 20.01 0116:38
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker 000 0 30.04 0013:36
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
John Gibson 21021 1.000 1.78 +1.78
Cam Talbot 10010 1.000 0.52 +0.52

New Jersey Devils

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Jack Hughes 000 0 70.23 0022:40
16 Connor Brown 000 0 40.47 0020:49
13 Nico Hischier 000 -1 10.00 2118:06
63 Jesper Bratt 000 0 30.09 1016:59
28 Timo Meier 000 -1 40.02 3015:47
12 Cody Glass 000 0 00.00 0013:57
81 Arseny Gritsyuk 000 0 60.24 1013:11
91 Dawson Mercer 000 -1 40.35 0112:18
72 Nick Bjugstad 000 -1 30.10 2110:57
29 Lenni Hameenaho 000 0 30.15 0110:14
47 Paul Cotter 000 -1 10.10 3009:10
33 Evgenii Dadonov 000 -1 00.00 0007:27
Defense
7 Dougie Hamilton 000 -1 90.14 2124:21
43 Luke Hughes 000 0 80.24 1121:59
71 Simon Nemec 000 0 50.11 0020:45
5 Brenden Dillon 000 0 20.02 2018:23
71 Jonas Siegenthaler 000 -2 00.00 1016:22
8 Johnathan Kovacevic 000 -1 30.03 1015:50
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jacob Markstrom 30327 .900 2.57 -0.43

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Detroit Red Wings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
53 Moritz Seider D +3.61 +2.00 +0.11 +1.43 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 25:02
21 James van Riemsdyk L +1.86 +1.45 +0.21 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 10:22
36 John Gibson G +1.78 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.78 39:52
77 Simon Edvinsson D +1.57 0.00 +0.12 +1.38 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 20:27
88 Patrick Kane R +1.27 +1.25 +0.13 -0.04 0.00 -0.02 -0.04 — 19:12
65 Dominik Shine R +1.07 +0.75 +0.10 +0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 6:22
92 Marco Kasper C +0.85 0.00 +0.09 +0.62 +0.15 -0.02 +0.01 — 15:56
58 Emmitt Finnie C +0.81 0.00 +0.25 +0.52 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 14:28
39 Cam Talbot G +0.52 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.52 20:00
23 Lucas Raymond L +0.52 0.00 +0.12 +0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:26
18 Andrew Copp C +0.50 +0.55 +0.13 -0.10 -0.15 +0.08 -0.02 — 16:33
28 Michael Brandsegg-Nygård R +0.21 0.00 +0.06 -0.04 +0.15 0.00 +0.04 — 12:48
27 Michael Rasmussen C +0.09 0.00 +0.09 -0.04 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 10:57
93 Alex DeBrincat R -0.01 0.00 +0.05 -0.04 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 20:06
72 Justin Faulk D -0.29 0.00 +0.13 -0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 19:28
22 Mason Appleton C -0.33 0.00 +0.02 -0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:28
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D -0.36 0.00 +0.03 -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:36
37 J.T. Compher L -0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.47 +0.15 -0.04 -0.02 — 17:21
20 Albert Johansson D -0.49 0.00 +0.01 -0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:38
8 Ben Chiarot D -0.69 0.00 +0.02 -0.81 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 18:58

New Jersey Devils

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
43 Luke Hughes D +0.63 0.00 +0.16 +0.63 -0.15 0.00 -0.01 — 21:59
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R +0.49 0.00 +0.15 +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 13:11
91 Dawson Mercer C +0.42 0.00 +0.23 +0.01 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 12:18
16 Connor Brown R +0.39 0.00 +0.31 +0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:49
86 Jack Hughes C +0.26 0.00 +0.15 +0.21 0.00 -0.04 -0.06 — 22:40
28 Timo Meier R +0.24 0.00 +0.02 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:47
13 Nico Hischier C +0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.15 +0.01 +0.03 — 18:06
29 Lenni Hameenaho R +0.09 0.00 +0.10 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 10:14
63 Jesper Bratt L +0.07 0.00 +0.06 +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:59
17 Simon Nemec D -0.05 0.00 +0.07 +0.03 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 20:45
12 Cody Glass C -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.12 0.00 +0.07 0.00 — 13:57
7 Dougie Hamilton D -0.22 0.00 +0.09 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:21
72 Nick Bjugstad C -0.24 0.00 +0.06 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:57
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:22
8 Johnathan Kovacevic D -0.38 0.00 +0.02 -0.23 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 15:50
33 Evgenii Dadonov L -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:27
25 Jacob Markstrom G -0.43 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.43 60:00
5 Brenden Dillon D -0.44 0.00 +0.01 -0.30 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:23
47 Paul Cotter L -0.64 0.00 +0.07 -0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:10

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.