hockeystats.io

Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 1–4 Final Winnipeg JetsWPG

Tuesday, March 24, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 010 1 27
Winnipeg JetsWPG 121 4 21
Playoff odds, % Change
VGK -5.0
WPG +2.3
LAK +0.8
SEA +0.7
SJS +0.6
EDM +0.6

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 24, 2026 7:45 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
17:25 WPG Kyle Connor (32) Josh Morrissey (36), Mark Scheifele (53) · slap xG 0.11 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
2:08 WPG Alex Iafallo (12) Mark Scheifele (54) · wrist xG 0.12 0–2 ▶
4:06 WPG Cole Perfetti (10) Gabriel Vilardi (32), Dylan DeMelo (16) · wrist xG 0.18 0–3 ▶
10:29 VGK Rasmus Andersson (13)PP Ivan Barbashev (30), Brett Howden (9) · tip-in xG 0.06 1–3 ▶
3rd Period
18:42 WPG Mark Scheifele (32)EN Kyle Connor (49) · wrist xG 0.93 1–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 71%Deserve to win29% WPG
VGKWPG
3.13Expected goals3.26
1Goals (no shootout)4
1.22Expected goals, 5 on 51.47
61Shot attempts51
49Unblocked attempts36
27Shots on goal21

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
4:06 VGK Goalie Goalie · Hill −2.3 goals saved
3 goals on 0.72 xG, 8 shots on goal
3rd Period
15:42 VGK Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Hill, down 3–1
With 4:18 left; WPG scored at 18:42 of the 3rd (1–4)
17:02 WPG Goalie Goalie · Hellebuyck +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.04 xG, 27 shots on goal

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WPG shoots
Tomas Hertl: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:31) Keegan Kolesar: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:32) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:48) Mark Stone: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 1:35) Reilly Smith: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:09) Reilly Smith: slap, 25 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 2:11) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:59) Ivan Barbashev: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 4:21) Mark Stone: snap, 76 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:56) Isak Rosen: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:03) Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:07) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:43) Jeremy Lauzon: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:58) Jack Eichel: backhand, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:25) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:48) Neal Pionk: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:57) Neal Pionk: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:44) Josh Morrissey: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:49) Alex Iafallo: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:53) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:31) Jack Eichel: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:54) Mark Stone: wrist, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:02) Alex Iafallo: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:30) Mark Scheifele: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:02) Reilly Smith: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:41) Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:30) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:11) Mark Stone: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:56) Cole Koepke: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 3:13) Jack Eichel: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:23) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:47) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:50) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 76 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:25) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:34) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:11) Alex Iafallo: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 8:43) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:22) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:23) Tomas Hertl: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:45) Mark Stone: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.29 (P2 9:47) Mark Stone: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:48) Pavel Dorofeyev: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 10:07) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:06) Jack Eichel: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:53) Jack Eichel: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:03) Mark Stone: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:47) Josh Morrissey: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:18) Kyle Connor: slap, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 14:31) Kyle Connor: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:18) Neal Pionk: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:23) Alex Iafallo: tip-in, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:28) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 17:47) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 18:37) Jack Eichel: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 19:12) Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:27) Keegan Kolesar: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:18) Adam Lowry: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:41) Ivan Barbashev: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:11) Cole Koepke: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:51) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:52) Tomas Hertl: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:33) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:45) Mitch Marner: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:11) Mitch Marner: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:24) Noah Hanifin: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:15) Brad Lambert: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 10:23) Neal Pionk: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:26) Mitch Marner: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:02) Tomas Hertl: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 13:14) Mitch Marner: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 13:36) Morgan Barron: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 13:59) Morgan Barron: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:00) Pavel Dorofeyev: slap, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 14:20) Elias Salomonsson: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:02) Mark Stone: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:46) Mitch Marner: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 15:57) Shea Theodore: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:13) Pavel Dorofeyev: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 17:02) Jack Eichel: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 17:22) Neal Pionk: wrist, 158 ft, xG 0.40 (P3 17:57) Kyle Connor: GOAL, slap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 17:25) Alex Iafallo: GOAL, wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 2:08) Cole Perfetti: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 4:06) Rasmus Andersson: GOAL, tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:29) Mark Scheifele: GOAL, wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.93 (P3 18:42)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Jack Eichel 000 0 70.37 0022:37
61 Mark Stone 000 -1 90.66 0021:57
93 Mitch Marner 000 -1 60.33 0021:29
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 000 -1 70.60 1017:30
49 Ivan Barbashev 011 -2 40.22 1016:55
15 Colton Sissons 101 -1 00.00 1114:22
48 Tomas Hertl 000 -1 40.29 0014:12
19 Reilly Smith 000 -2 30.16 0012:54
21 Brett Howden 000 -2 00.00 2012:21
26 Nic Dowd 000 -1 00.00 0110:56
22 Cole Smith 000 0 00.00 1010:45
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 -1 20.05 1208:08
Defense
15 Noah Hanifin 000 -2 30.09 0520:43
4 Rasmus Andersson 011 -1 80.26 0119:35
5 Jeremy Lauzon 000 0 40.04 3019:24
27 Shea Theodore 000 -2 10.06 0019:19
3 Brayden McNabb 000 -2 20.00 1216:46
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 -1 10.00 0215:07
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Adin Hill 20317 .850 1.93 -1.07

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
81 Kyle Connor 112 +3 50.30 0120:16
13 Gabriel Vilardi 011 +1 30.05 0018:08
55 Mark Scheifele 123 +3 61.08 1017:43
17 Adam Lowry 000 +1 10.01 3016:31
45 Cole Koepke 000 0 40.18 3016:10
91 Cole Perfetti 101 +1 30.25 3015:34
9 Alex Iafallo 101 +2 60.30 0214:28
19 Jonathan Toews 000 0 00.00 0013:54
14 Gustav Nyquist 000 0 10.05 2013:48
36 Morgan Barron 000 +1 20.17 2013:47
27 Isak Rosen 000 0 30.01 0009:09
93 Brad Lambert 000 0 10.19 2008:57
Defense
54 Dylan Samberg 000 +1 10.00 2322:28
44 Josh Morrissey 011 +2 20.05 1022:16
4 Neal Pionk 000 +2 50.51 1120:57
2 Dylan DeMelo 011 +3 40.02 0118:43
57 Elias Salomonsson 000 0 40.07 1018:12
24 Haydn Fleury 000 0 00.00 1111:24
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck 27126 .963 3.13 +2.13

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
4 Rasmus Andersson D +1.50 +0.75 +0.17 +0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:35
61 Mark Stone R +0.78 0.00 +0.43 +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 21:57
9 Jack Eichel C +0.75 0.00 +0.24 +0.53 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 22:37
49 Ivan Barbashev L +0.56 +0.70 +0.14 -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:55
5 Jeremy Lauzon D +0.34 0.00 +0.03 +0.16 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 19:24
21 Brett Howden C +0.34 +0.55 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:21
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +0.21 0.00 +0.39 -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:30
93 Mitch Marner R +0.12 0.00 +0.21 -0.06 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 21:29
15 Noah Hanifin D +0.07 0.00 +0.06 -0.09 -0.15 0.00 +0.25 — 20:43
19 Reilly Smith R +0.05 0.00 +0.10 -0.35 +0.30 0.00 0.00 — 12:54
48 Tomas Hertl C -0.03 0.00 +0.19 -0.25 0.00 +0.05 -0.02 — 14:12
55 Keegan Kolesar R -0.12 0.00 +0.03 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 8:08
22 Cole Smith R -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:45
6 Kaedan Korczak D -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:07
3 Brayden McNabb D -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.75 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 16:46
27 Shea Theodore D -0.65 0.00 +0.04 -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:19
10 Colton Sissons C -0.76 0.00 0.00 -0.67 -0.15 +0.03 +0.03 — 14:22
26 Nic Dowd C -0.83 0.00 0.00 -0.65 -0.15 -0.06 +0.03 — 10:56
33 Adin Hill G -1.07 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.07 57:00

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
55 Mark Scheifele C +3.55 +2.00 +0.70 +0.83 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 17:43
81 Kyle Connor L +2.59 +1.45 +0.20 +0.75 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 20:16
37 Connor Hellebuyck G +2.13 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.13 60:00
44 Josh Morrissey D +1.75 +0.70 +0.04 +1.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:16
9 Alex Iafallo L +1.23 +0.75 +0.19 +0.35 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 14:28
2 Dylan DeMelo D +1.16 +0.55 +0.01 +0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:43
91 Cole Perfetti C +1.04 +0.75 +0.16 +0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:34
13 Gabriel Vilardi C +0.99 +0.70 +0.03 +0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:08
4 Neal Pionk D +0.61 0.00 +0.33 +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:57
93 Brad Lambert C +0.40 0.00 +0.12 +0.13 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 8:57
36 Morgan Barron C +0.19 0.00 +0.11 +0.10 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 13:47
27 Isak Rosen R +0.14 0.00 +0.01 +0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:09
54 Dylan Samberg D +0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 22:28
14 Gustav Nyquist R +0.01 0.00 +0.03 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 13:48
24 Haydn Fleury D -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 11:24
45 Cole Koepke L -0.05 0.00 +0.12 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 16:10
19 Jonathan Toews C -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.09 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 13:54
17 Adam Lowry C -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 16:31
57 Elias Salomonsson D -0.30 0.00 +0.05 -0.20 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:12

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.