Washington CapitalsWSH 7–4 Final Utah MammothUTA

Thursday, March 26, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH	1	2	4	7	25
Utah MammothUTA	3	0	1	4	40

Playoff odds, %	Change
UTA	-2.8
WSH	+2.3
LAK	+1.1
NYI	-0.7
PIT	-0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 26, 2026 8:21 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:07	WSH	Ivan Miroshnichenko (1) Hendrix Lapierre (11), Jakob Chychrun (29) · slap xG 0.01	1–0 ▶
13:04	UTA	Dylan Guenther (35)PP Clayton Keller (47), Mikhail Sergachev (37) · slap xG 0.15	1–1 ▶
16:59	UTA	Dylan Guenther (36) Clayton Keller (48), Mikhail Sergachev (38) · backhand xG 0.26	1–2 ▶
19:53	UTA	Logan Cooley (18)PP Nick Schmaltz (38), Mikhail Sergachev (39) · wrist xG 0.66	1–3 ▶
2nd Period
5:01	WSH	Alex Ovechkin (27) Rasmus Sandin (22), Martin Fehérváry (18) · tip-in xG 0.11	2–3 ▶
11:28	WSH	Alex Ovechkin (28) Dylan Strome (36), Trevor van Riemsdyk (10) · snap xG 0.04	3–3 ▶
3rd Period
2:43	WSH	Anthony Beauvillier (13)PP Cole Hutson (2), Connor McMichael (26) · tip-in xG 0.11	4–3 ▶
6:02	WSH	Rasmus Sandin (5) Anthony Beauvillier (12) · snap xG 0.05	5–3 ▶
8:06	UTA	MacKenzie Weegar (4) Clayton Keller (49), Alexander Kerfoot (5) · snap xG 0.04	5–4 ▶
9:54	WSH	Ivan Miroshnichenko (2) Jakob Chychrun (30) · backhand xG 0.04	6–4 ▶
19:54	WSH	Alex Ovechkin (29)EN Dylan Strome (37) · wrist xG 0.66	7–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 7%Deserve to win93% UTA

WSH		UTA
3.15	Expected goals	5.61
7	Goals (no shootout)	4
1.45	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.47
51	Shot attempts	87
38	Unblocked attempts	69
25	Shots on goal	40

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
1:00	UTA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 2.02–0.09 In xG over 10 minutes, 14:50 of the 1st to 4:50 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
3rd Period
2:43	UTA	Goalie	Goalie · Vanecek −2.4 goals saved 4 goals on 1.60 xG, 18 shots on goal
9:54	UTA	Goalie change	Goalie change · Vejmelka in for Vanecek 9:54 of the 3rd; Vanecek had allowed 6 goals on 23 shots (2.01 xG)
15:50	UTA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 1.63–0.04 In xG over 10 minutes, 9:50 to 19:50 of the 3rd; goals 0–1
17:05	UTA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Vejmelka, down 6–4 With 2:55 left; WSH scored at 19:54 of the 3rd (7–4)

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ UTA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
21	Aliaksei Protas	0	0	0	+2	6	0.75	0	2	20:03
8	Alex Ovechkin	3	0	3	+3	11	1.02	1	0	18:27
17	Dylan Strome	0	2	2	+3	1	0.02	0	1	18:07
72	Anthony Beauvillier	1	1	2	+1	5	0.53	1	2	17:24
77	Connor McMichael	0	1	1	-1	2	0.05	1	1	16:45
80	Pierre-Luc Dubois	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	0	1	15:56
9	Ryan Leonard	0	0	0	+1	3	0.29	2	0	15:22
34	Justin Sourdif	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	14:30
43	Tom Wilson	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	2	11:41
24	Brandon Duhaime	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	3	0	10:35
63	Ivan Miroshnichenko	2	0	2	+1	3	0.06	0	1	09:45
22	Hendrix Lapierre	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	09:14
Defense
42	Martin Fehérváry	0	1	1	0	3	0.17	2	3	20:52
6	Jakob Chychrun	0	2	2	+4	3	0.04	2	1	20:22
38	Rasmus Sandin	1	1	2	0	6	0.08	0	1	19:42
3	Matt Roy	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	1	2	19:37
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	0	1	1	+3	2	0.02	0	0	18:48
44	Cole Hutson	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	3	0	14:56

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Logan Thompson	40	4	36	.900	5.61	+1.61

Utah Mammoth

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
9	Clayton Keller	0	3	3	-1	7	0.43	0	0	23:36
8	Nick Schmaltz	0	1	1	-3	5	0.30	1	0	22:54
11	Dylan Guenther	2	0	2	0	20	1.39	0	0	21:00
92	Logan Cooley	1	0	1	0	8	1.32	0	0	20:25
53	Michael Carcone	0	0	0	-2	5	0.19	1	0	15:23
82	Kevin Stenlund	0	0	0	-1	4	0.48	2	1	14:49
10	JJ Peterka	0	0	0	-1	4	0.09	1	0	14:03
14	Alexander Kerfoot	0	1	1	-2	2	0.18	2	2	13:42
67	Lawson Crouse	0	0	0	-1	4	0.38	2	0	10:11
22	Jack McBain	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	10:05
50	Daniil But	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	0	0	09:08
13	Brandon Tanev	0	0	0	-1	1	0.33	4	0	06:32
Defense
98	Mikhail Sergachev	0	3	3	-1	7	0.11	0	4	26:55
52	MacKenzie Weegar	1	0	1	-1	7	0.16	2	2	20:17
6	John Marino	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	0	17:53
88	Nate Schmidt	0	0	0	-2	3	0.01	0	0	16:46
28	Ian Cole	0	0	0	-1	5	0.14	0	1	16:19
5	Sean Durzi	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	1	0	14:37

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Vitek Vanecek	23	6	17	.739	2.01	-3.99
Karel Vejmelka	1	0	1	1.000	0.01	+0.01

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
8 Alex Ovechkin L	+3.15	+2.25	+0.66	+0.26	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:27
48 Logan Thompson G	+1.61	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.61	60:00
17 Dylan Strome C	+1.60	+1.40	+0.01	+0.28	-0.15	+0.02	+0.03	—	18:07
63 Ivan Miroshnichenko L	+1.41	+1.50	+0.04	-0.19	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	9:45
44 Cole Hutson D	+1.23	+0.70	+0.01	+0.39	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	14:56
6 Jakob Chychrun D	+0.98	+1.25	+0.03	-0.37	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	20:22
3 Matt Roy D	+0.72	0.00	+0.03	+0.59	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	19:37
29 Hendrix Lapierre C	+0.55	+0.70	0.00	-0.18	0.00	+0.03	0.00	—	9:14
24 Connor McMichael L	+0.39	+0.55	+0.04	-0.25	0.00	-0.02	+0.07	—	16:45
72 Anthony Beauvillier R	+0.35	+1.45	+0.35	-1.58	0.00	+0.01	+0.12	—	17:24
21 Aliaksei Protas L	+0.20	0.00	+0.49	-0.38	0.00	+0.01	+0.08	—	20:03
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D	+0.12	+0.55	+0.01	-0.42	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:48
22 Brandon Duhaime L	+0.02	0.00	0.00	+0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	10:35
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois C	-0.37	0.00	+0.02	-0.43	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	15:56
38 Rasmus Sandin D	-0.41	+1.45	+0.05	-1.92	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	19:42
43 Tom Wilson R	-0.56	0.00	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	11:41
9 Ryan Leonard R	-0.81	0.00	+0.19	-0.96	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	15:22
42 Martin Fehérváry D	-0.87	+0.55	+0.11	-1.81	+0.15	0.00	+0.13	—	20:52
34 Justin Sourdif C	-1.65	0.00	0.00	-1.44	-0.15	-0.02	-0.04	—	14:30

Utah Mammoth

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
11 Dylan Guenther R	+4.04	+1.50	+0.90	+1.64	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	21:00
9 Clayton Keller R	+3.77	+2.10	+0.28	+1.58	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	23:36
92 Logan Cooley C	+3.32	+0.75	+0.86	+1.64	+0.15	-0.05	-0.02	—	20:25
98 Mikhail Sergachev D	+2.72	+1.65	+0.07	+0.67	+0.15	0.00	+0.18	—	26:55
52 MacKenzie Weegar D	+2.25	+0.75	+0.11	+1.31	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	20:27
8 Nick Schmaltz C	+1.30	+0.70	+0.19	+0.44	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	—	22:54
28 Ian Cole D	+1.04	0.00	+0.09	+0.90	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	16:19
13 Brandon Tanev L	+1.03	0.00	+0.22	+0.66	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	6:32
82 Kevin Stenlund C	+0.65	0.00	+0.31	+0.26	0.00	+0.01	+0.07	—	14:59
15 Alexander Kerfoot C	+0.63	+0.55	+0.12	-0.10	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	13:42
67 Lawson Crouse L	+0.50	0.00	+0.25	+0.40	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	10:11
50 Sean Durzi D	+0.20	0.00	+0.03	+0.33	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	14:37
77 JJ Peterka R	+0.09	0.00	+0.06	+0.03	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:03
88 Nate Schmidt D	+0.08	0.00	+0.01	+0.09	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:46
6 John Marino D	+0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.11	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	17:53
70 Karel Vejmelka G	+0.01	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.01	7:17
53 Michael Carcone L	-0.10	0.00	+0.12	-0.22	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:23
19 Daniil But L	-0.22	0.00	+0.03	-0.27	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	9:08
22 Jack McBain C	-0.43	0.00	0.00	-0.61	+0.15	+0.03	0.00	—	10:05
41 Vitek Vanecek G	-3.99	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-3.99	49:54

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.