Saturday, March 28, 2026
How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 28, 2026 8:55 PM EDT.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
UTA 65%Deserve to win 35% LAK
UTA LAK
3.73 Expected goals 2.37
6 Goals (no shootout) 2
2.31 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.18
65 Shot attempts 60
40 Unblocked attempts 47
28 Shots on goal 31
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
2nd Period
16:17
LAK
Goalie
Goalie · Kuemper −2.8 goals saved
5 goals on 2.24 xG, 16 shots on goal
20:00
LAK
Goalie change
Goalie change · Forsberg in for Kuemper
The start of the 3rd; Kuemper had allowed 5 goals on 16 shots (2.24 xG)
Shot map
UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → LAK shoots
Logan Cooley: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 1:16)
Clayton Keller: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:57)
Drew Doughty: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:31)
Ian Cole: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 4:10)
Sean Durzi: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:22)
Joel Armia: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:47)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:53)
Alex Laferriere: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:08)
Joel Armia: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:47)
Joel Edmundson: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:46)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:08)
Lawson Crouse: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 10:20)
Clayton Keller: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 10:53)
Sean Durzi: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:03)
MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 12:08)
MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:24)
Alexander Kerfoot: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:28)
MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:28)
Drew Doughty: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:06)
Quinton Byfield: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 15:34)
Joel Edmundson: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:40)
Clayton Keller: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:52)
Scott Laughton: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:17)
Adrian Kempe: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:29)
Dylan Guenther: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 18:43)
Logan Cooley: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 19:11)
Dylan Guenther: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:41)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 0:23)
Nate Schmidt: wrist, 144 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:31)
Clayton Keller: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:08)
MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:38)
Jack McBain: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 4:16)
Jack McBain: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:21)
Jack McBain: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 4:26)
Ian Cole: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:46)
Scott Laughton: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:35)
Mathieu Joseph: wrap-around, 9 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:58)
Quinton Byfield: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:20)
Quinton Byfield: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:34)
Quinton Byfield: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:35)
Scott Laughton: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 9:08)
Samuel Helenius: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:18)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:27)
Artemi Panarin: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:17)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 13:49)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:30)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:39)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 18:34)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:55)
Artemi Panarin: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 19:52)
Alex Laferriere: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 0:12)
Dylan Guenther: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 1:09)
Jack McBain: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:01)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:20)
Quinton Byfield: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:44)
Jared Wright: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 4:13)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 4:29)
MacKenzie Weegar: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:49)
Michael Carcone: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:58)
Lawson Crouse: tip-in, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:21)
Michael Carcone: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 7:01)
Joel Edmundson: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:15)
Dylan Guenther: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:01)
Mikhail Sergachev: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 9:56)
Lawson Crouse: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 10:07)
JJ Peterka: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 10:33)
Joel Armia: backhand, 75 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:08)
Drew Doughty: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 11:41)
Adrian Kempe: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:47)
Drew Doughty: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:56)
Adrian Kempe: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:11)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 14:27)
Scott Laughton: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 15:31)
Trevor Moore: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:00)
Scott Laughton: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 16:32)
Dylan Guenther: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 17:01)
Jeff Malott: backhand, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:34)
Joel Armia: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 18:35)
Nate Schmidt: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:56)
Alexander Kerfoot: GOAL, tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 2:31)
Logan Cooley: GOAL, snap, 18 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 16:33)
Anze Kopitar: GOAL, tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 17:51)
Logan Cooley: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 19:51)
Alexander Kerfoot: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 12:37)
Nick Schmaltz: GOAL, wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 16:17)
Adrian Kempe: GOAL, wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:34)
Jack McBain: GOAL, wrist, 107 ft, xG 0.50 (P3 13:53)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Utah Mammoth
Los Angeles Kings
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Utah Mammoth
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
98 Mikhail Sergachev D
+2.74
+2.35
+0.08
+0.16
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
25:13
92 Logan Cooley C
+2.41
+1.50
+0.37
+0.54
0.00
-0.05
+0.05
—
16:38
11 Dylan Guenther R
+1.94
+0.55
+0.32
+1.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:03
22 Jack McBain C
+1.90
+0.75
+0.61
+0.71
-0.15
-0.02
0.00
—
14:04
15 Alexander Kerfoot C
+1.60
+1.50
+0.17
-0.17
0.00
+0.03
+0.07
—
13:55
77 JJ Peterka R
+1.27
+0.70
+0.06
+0.53
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
12:57
6 John Marino D
+1.06
+0.70
0.00
+0.18
+0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
18:17
9 Clayton Keller R
+0.93
+1.40
+0.14
-0.61
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:52
56 Kailer Yamamoto R
+0.80
0.00
0.00
+0.78
0.00
+0.02
0.00
—
13:29
28 Ian Cole D
+0.65
+0.70
+0.12
-0.25
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
17:51
52 MacKenzie Weegar D
+0.48
0.00
+0.12
+0.39
0.00
0.00
-0.03
—
21:08
53 Michael Carcone L
+0.46
0.00
+0.12
+0.37
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
13:01
70 Karel Vejmelka G
+0.37
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.37
60:00
8 Nick Schmaltz C
+0.37
+0.75
+0.15
-0.60
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
17:45
88 Nate Schmidt D
+0.31
0.00
+0.01
+0.26
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
20:44
50 Sean Durzi D
-0.13
0.00
+0.01
-0.16
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
14:09
67 Lawson Crouse L
-0.17
0.00
+0.15
-0.32
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:12
13 Brandon Tanev L
-0.66
0.00
0.00
-0.71
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
10:55
82 Kevin Stenlund C
-0.69
0.00
0.00
-0.71
0.00
-0.01
+0.03
—
14:47
Los Angeles Kings
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
9 Adrian Kempe R
+1.19
+1.45
+0.10
-0.31
0.00
-0.01
-0.04
—
20:02
31 Anton Forsberg G
+1.00
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.00
19:34
11 Anze Kopitar C
+0.99
+0.75
+0.06
+0.11
-0.15
+0.08
+0.15
—
18:25
14 Alex Laferriere R
+0.68
0.00
+0.22
+0.49
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
17:36
6 Joel Edmundson D
+0.58
+0.55
+0.06
+0.18
-0.15
0.00
-0.06
—
18:54
55 Quinton Byfield R
+0.40
0.00
+0.21
+0.03
+0.15
0.00
+0.01
—
19:03
53 Jared Wright R
+0.37
0.00
+0.09
+0.18
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
9:52
92 Brandt Clarke D
+0.25
0.00
+0.06
+0.01
0.00
0.00
+0.18
—
22:14
21 Scott Laughton C
+0.12
0.00
+0.20
+0.02
-0.15
+0.02
+0.03
—
18:01
5 Cody Ceci D
+0.12
0.00
0.00
-0.26
0.00
0.00
+0.38
—
16:28
44 Mikey Anderson D
+0.10
0.00
0.00
-0.03
0.00
0.00
+0.13
—
20:17
40 Joel Armia R
+0.07
0.00
+0.08
-0.17
+0.15
0.00
0.00
—
14:05
39 Jeff Malott L
+0.05
0.00
+0.21
-0.21
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
8:20
10 Artemi Panarin L
+0.05
0.00
+0.13
-0.06
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
21:59
17 Mathieu Joseph R
-0.06
0.00
+0.01
-0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:34
8 Drew Doughty D
-0.09
0.00
+0.09
-0.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
22:19
12 Trevor Moore L
-0.32
0.00
+0.01
-0.32
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:00
2 Brian Dumoulin D
-0.37
0.00
0.00
-0.40
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
16:03
79 Samuel Helenius C
-0.49
0.00
+0.02
-0.44
0.00
-0.04
-0.02
—
8:02
35 Darcy Kuemper G
-2.76
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-2.76
39:58
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.