| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 39 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:17 | Boone Jenner (11) Conor Garland (21) · snap xG 0.26 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 7:45 | Mason Marchment (18) Ivan Provorov (21), Kirill Marchenko (35) · tip-in xG 0.11 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 19:32 | Charlie Coyle (18)PP Kirill Marchenko (36), Mason Marchment (20) · snap xG 0.14 | 0–3 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 6:29 | Charlie McAvoy (11) Pavel Zacha (31), Viktor Arvidsson (24) · wrist xG 0.02 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 8:43 | Pavel Zacha (27)PP Charlie McAvoy (46), Viktor Arvidsson (25) · tip-in xG 0.06 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 19:49 | Pavel Zacha (28)PP Viktor Arvidsson (26) · snap xG 0.21 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Adam Fantilli vs Jeremy Swayman | Saved | ||
| Fraser Minten vs Jet Greaves | Goal | ||
| Kirill Marchenko vs Jeremy Swayman | Saved | ||
| Casey Mittelstadt vs Jet Greaves | Saved | ||
| Charlie Coyle vs Jeremy Swayman | Goal | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson vs Jet Greaves | Goal | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BOS | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.82 | Expected goals | 3.00 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.27 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.92 |
| 85 | Shot attempts | 49 |
| 57 | Unblocked attempts | 34 |
| 39 | Shots on goal | 25 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:50 | BOS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.36–0.33
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:50 of the 1st to 4:50 of the 2nd; goals 0–1 |
| 10:14 | CBJ | Goalie | Goalie · Greaves +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.10 xG, 19 shots on goal |
| 16:50 | CBJ | No shift | No shift · Olivier, 26:40 on the bench
No shift after 6:49 of the 2nd; 6 shifts (3:06) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 19:07 | BOS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · BOS takes the lead, 61–39%
CBJ had led since 2:12 of the 1st, by as much as 82% |
| 19:40 | BOS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.45–0.15
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:50 to 19:50 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 15 | 0.86 | 1 | 1 | 23:30 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.22 | 1 | 1 | 19:09 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 9 | 0.74 | 1 | 0 | 18:07 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.62 | 1 | 1 | 17:03 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.25 | 2 | 0 | 15:31 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 0.43 | 1 | 0 | 15:14 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 4 | 2 | 14:41 |
| 76 | Lukas Reichel | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 2 | 12:36 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.55 | 3 | 1 | 12:00 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 11:21 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 0.24 | 0 | 2 | 26:09 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 23:45 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.04 | 3 | 1 | 19:22 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 17:49 |
| 20 | Henri Jokiharju | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 15:16 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 25 | 3 | 22 | .880 | 3.00 | +0.00 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.23 | 1 | 2 | 22:31 |
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 2 | 2 | 21:43 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 1 | 3 | 18:59 |
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.79 | 4 | 0 | 18:43 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.22 | 3 | 1 | 16:29 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 14:59 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:28 |
| 83 | Conor Garland | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.25 | 3 | 1 | 13:18 |
| 18 | Miles Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.44 | 3 | 0 | 12:53 |
| 58 | Danton Heinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:45 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 03:06 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 11 | 0.12 | 0 | 2 | 30:11 |
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 7 | 24:50 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.03 | 2 | 1 | 23:29 |
| 44 | Erik Gudbranson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 18:34 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 3 | 15:06 |
| 6 | Egor Zamula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 10:36 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | 39 | 3 | 36 | .923 | 4.82 | +1.82 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +2.98 | +2.20 | +0.48 | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 18:07 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +2.68 | +1.45 | +0.16 | +0.86 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 26:09 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +2.37 | +1.80 | +0.28 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:14 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:49 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.36 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:00 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +0.90 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | — | 14:41 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.56 | +0.32 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:30 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.26 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:35 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.32 | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 15:55 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.41 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:03 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | 63:14 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 19:22 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.17 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:31 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 11:21 |
| 75 Lukas Reichel L | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 12:36 |
| 20 Henri Jokiharju D | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:16 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.64 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 19:09 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 17:56 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | -0.47 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:45 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 Jet Greaves G | +1.82 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.82 | 65:00 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | +1.41 | +0.75 | +0.51 | +0.32 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:43 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +1.36 | +1.25 | +0.15 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:31 |
| 17 Mason Marchment L | +1.15 | +1.30 | +0.16 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:59 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +1.08 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.76 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 30:11 |
| 83 Conor Garland R | +1.08 | +0.70 | +0.16 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:18 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | +0.98 | +0.75 | +0.09 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 18:59 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | +0.91 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 23:29 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +0.30 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.56 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.29 | — | 24:50 |
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 3:06 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 17:43 |
| 11 Miles Wood L | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.29 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:53 |
| 43 Danton Heinen L | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:45 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:28 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.18 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 16:29 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 15:06 |
| 6 Egor Zamula D | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:36 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.52 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.06 | — | 21:43 |
| 44 Erik Gudbranson D | -0.72 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 18:34 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.