Detroit Red WingsDET 4–2 Final Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Thursday, April 2, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Detroit Red WingsDET	1	1	2	4	19
Philadelphia FlyersPHI	0	1	1	2	34

Playoff odds, %	Change
PHI	-12.3
DET	+11.1
OTT	-2.2
NYI	+1.5
CBJ	+1.1
WSH	+0.7

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 2, 2026 6:44 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
18:49	DET	Alex DeBrincat (38)PP Patrick Kane (35), Moritz Seider (45) · snap xG 0.11	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
0:31	PHI	Tyson Foerster (11) Owen Tippett (22), Trevor Zegras (38) · snap xG 0.15	1–1 ▶
18:29	DET	Lucas Raymond (25) J.T. Compher (15), Simon Edvinsson (14) · snap xG 0.07	2–1 ▶
3rd Period
9:37	DET	Patrick Kane (14) Andrew Copp (31) · wrist xG 0.11	3–1 ▶
10:29	PHI	Travis Konecny (27) Porter Martone (1), Christian Dvorak (31) · deflected xG 0.84	3–2 ▶
10:44	DET	Alex DeBrincat (39) Andrew Copp (32), Patrick Kane (36) · wrist xG 0.16	4–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DET 15%Deserve to win85% PHI

DET		PHI
2.04	Expected goals	4.31
4	Goals (no shootout)	2
1.43	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.62
39	Shot attempts	72
30	Unblocked attempts	55
19	Shots on goal	34

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
15:20	PHI	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · PHI takes the lead, 63–37% DET had led since 7:58 of the 1st, by as much as 65%
3rd Period
2:10	PHI	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced DET 1.67–0.38 In xG over 10 minutes, 12:10 of the 2nd to 2:10 of the 3rd; goals 0–1
3:41	DET	Goalie	Goalie · Gibson +2.0 goals saved 1 goal on 3.00 xG, 26 shots on goal
6:00	DET	No shift	No shift · Shine, 10:44 on the bench No shift from 13:49 of the 2nd to 6:43 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (5:36) before that
6:30	DET	No shift	No shift · Faulk, 21:18 on the bench No shift after 14:12 of the 2nd; 16 shifts (10:49) before that
10:44	PHI	Goalie	Goalie · Ersson −2.0 goals saved 4 goals on 2.00 xG, 19 shots on goal
17:40	PHI	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Ersson, down 4–2 With 2:20 left

Shot map

DET shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Detroit Red Wings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
23	Lucas Raymond	1	0	1	0	4	0.09	0	0	20:14
71	Dylan Larkin	0	0	0	0	5	0.48	1	0	19:40
37	J.T. Compher	0	1	1	0	3	0.25	0	2	19:06
93	Alex DeBrincat	2	0	2	+1	6	0.41	0	2	18:20
58	Emmitt Finnie	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	2	1	17:34
88	Patrick Kane	1	2	3	+1	4	0.15	1	0	17:27
22	Mason Appleton	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	17:13
18	Andrew Copp	0	2	2	+1	3	0.15	0	2	16:59
16	David Perron	0	0	0	-1	1	0.28	3	0	16:22
65	Dominik Shine	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	06:00
92	Marco Kasper	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	0	05:59
21	James van Riemsdyk	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	05:18
Defense
53	Moritz Seider	0	1	1	+3	3	0.06	3	3	28:47
77	Simon Edvinsson	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	3	23:32
8	Ben Chiarot	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	5	1	20:47
20	Albert Johansson	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	17:45
25	Jacob Bernard-Docker	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	16:08
72	Justin Faulk	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	1	10:49

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
John Gibson	34	2	32	.941	4.31	+2.31

Philadelphia Flyers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
46	Trevor Zegras	0	1	1	0	5	0.21	3	0	20:00
22	Christian Dvorak	0	1	1	+1	2	0.08	0	0	19:25
11	Travis Konecny	1	0	1	+1	6	1.25	3	0	19:11
74	Owen Tippett	0	1	1	0	8	0.23	4	0	18:21
94	Porter Martone	0	1	1	+1	14	0.80	0	0	18:15
71	Tyson Foerster	1	0	1	0	5	0.27	2	0	16:19
27	Noah Cates	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	15:01
86	Denver Barkey	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	13:56
39	Matvei Michkov	0	0	0	-1	4	0.10	0	0	13:48
14	Sean Couturier	0	0	0	-1	3	0.21	3	1	10:05
91	Carl Grundstrom	0	0	0	-1	3	0.35	3	0	09:49
41	Luke Glendening	0	0	0	-1	4	0.32	2	0	09:29
Defense
6	Travis Sanheim	0	0	0	-1	5	0.09	1	3	24:57
9	Jamie Drysdale	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	2	23:35
55	Rasmus Ristolainen	0	0	0	-1	6	0.09	1	0	22:48
8	Cam York	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	0	1	19:45
36	Emil Andrae	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	2	1	12:58
24	Nick Seeler	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	12:38

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Samuel Ersson	19	4	15	.789	2.00	-2.00

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
36 John Gibson G	+2.31	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+2.31	60:00
88 Patrick Kane R	+1.74	+2.00	+0.10	-0.35	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	17:27
93 Alex DeBrincat R	+1.47	+1.50	+0.27	-0.39	0.00	+0.01	+0.08	—	18:20
53 Moritz Seider D	+1.42	+0.55	+0.04	+0.66	0.00	0.00	+0.17	—	28:47
18 Andrew Copp C	+1.33	+1.40	+0.10	-0.22	0.00	-0.03	+0.08	—	16:59
77 Simon Edvinsson D	+1.12	+0.55	0.00	+0.40	0.00	0.00	+0.17	—	23:35
23 Lucas Raymond L	+0.02	+0.75	+0.06	-0.79	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	20:14
37 J.T. Compher L	-0.02	+0.70	+0.16	-0.93	0.00	-0.01	+0.06	—	19:06
92 Marco Kasper C	-0.13	0.00	+0.07	-0.24	0.00	+0.02	+0.02	—	5:59
21 James van Riemsdyk L	-0.32	0.00	0.00	-0.32	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	5:18
65 Dominik Shine R	-0.34	0.00	0.00	-0.32	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	6:00
71 Dylan Larkin C	-0.42	0.00	+0.31	-0.88	+0.15	+0.02	-0.02	—	19:40
58 Emmitt Finnie C	-0.57	0.00	+0.03	-0.58	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	17:34
72 Justin Faulk D	-0.66	0.00	0.00	-0.69	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	10:49
57 David Perron L	-0.76	0.00	+0.18	-0.96	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	16:22
22 Mason Appleton C	-0.81	0.00	0.00	-0.81	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:13
20 Albert Johansson D	-0.83	0.00	0.00	-0.83	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:45
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D	-1.90	0.00	0.00	-1.96	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	16:08
8 Ben Chiarot D	-2.05	0.00	+0.01	-2.11	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	20:44

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
11 Travis Konecny R	+3.46	+0.75	+0.81	+1.92	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:11
94 Porter Martone R	+3.09	+0.70	+0.52	+2.02	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	18:15
22 Christian Dvorak C	+2.33	+0.55	+0.05	+1.72	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	19:25
71 Tyson Foerster R	+1.33	+0.75	+0.17	+0.45	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	16:19
9 Jamie Drysdale D	+1.28	0.00	+0.04	+1.12	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	23:35
46 Trevor Zegras C	+1.28	+0.55	+0.13	+0.55	0.00	+0.04	0.00	—	20:00
74 Owen Tippett R	+1.22	+0.70	+0.15	+0.41	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	18:12
8 Cam York D	+1.15	0.00	+0.10	+0.87	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	19:45
36 Emil Andrae D	+1.02	0.00	+0.07	+0.91	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	12:58
6 Travis Sanheim D	+0.79	0.00	+0.06	+0.60	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	24:57
24 Nick Seeler D	+0.67	0.00	0.00	+0.62	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	12:38
14 Sean Couturier C	+0.52	0.00	+0.14	+0.50	-0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	10:05
41 Luke Glendening C	+0.50	0.00	+0.21	+0.28	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	9:29
91 Carl Grundstrom R	+0.47	0.00	+0.23	+0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:58
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D	+0.46	0.00	+0.06	+0.42	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	22:48
52 Denver Barkey C	-0.39	0.00	0.00	-0.35	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	13:56
39 Matvei Michkov R	-0.40	0.00	+0.06	-0.44	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:48
27 Noah Cates L	-0.54	0.00	0.00	-0.49	0.00	-0.05	0.00	—	15:01
33 Samuel Ersson G	-2.00	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.00	57:23

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.