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Utah MammothUTA 6–2 Final Seattle KrakenSEA

Thursday, April 2, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Utah MammothUTA 123 6 31
Seattle KrakenSEA 200 2 27
Playoff odds, % Change
SEA -6.9
UTA +3.6
VGK +0.9
NSH +0.7
LAK +0.6
SJS +0.6

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 2, 2026 9:50 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:41 SEA Jordan Eberle (24) Adam Larsson (17), Jared McCann (19) · snap xG 0.22 0–1 ▶
13:45 SEA Bobby McMann (27) Chandler Stephenson (30), Kaapo Kakko (23) · backhand xG 0.04 0–2 ▶
16:27 UTA Logan Cooley (21)PP Nick Schmaltz (39), Dylan Guenther (27) · snap xG 0.06 1–2 ▶
2nd Period
10:05 UTA Logan Cooley (22) MacKenzie Weegar (21), Mikhail Sergachev (44) · snap xG 0.17 2–2 ▶
14:56 UTA Nick Schmaltz (28)PP Clayton Keller (52), Dylan Guenther (28) · snap xG 0.18 3–2 ▶
3rd Period
4:39 UTA JJ Peterka (23) Kailer Yamamoto (9), Sean Durzi (20) · wrist xG 0.06 4–2 ▶
7:27 UTA Dylan Guenther (37) Logan Cooley (14), Kailer Yamamoto (10) · wrist xG 0.86 5–2 ▶
16:37 UTA Michael Carcone (15)PP Unassisted · deflected xG 0.15 6–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

UTA 80%Deserve to win20% SEA
UTASEA
4.28Expected goals2.32
6Goals (no shootout)2
3.41Expected goals, 5 on 51.89
62Shot attempts52
48Unblocked attempts39
31Shots on goal27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
8:16 UTA Deserve to win Deserve to win · UTA takes the lead, 60–40%
SEA had led since 0:41 of the 1st, by as much as 65%
3rd Period
7:20 UTA No shift No shift · McBain, 18:14 on the bench
No shift after 11:51 of the 2nd; 12 shifts (9:00) before that
9:30 UTA xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced SEA 1.67–0.40
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:30 of the 2nd to 9:30 of the 3rd; goals 2–0

Shot map

UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SEA shoots
Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:11) Adam Larsson: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 0:39) Michael Carcone: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:02) Matty Beniers: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:37) MacKenzie Weegar: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:57) Dylan Guenther: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 5:03) Kaapo Kakko: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:25) Kevin Stenlund: deflected, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:17) Clayton Keller: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 9:05) Jack McBain: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:38) Brandon Montour: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:54) Brandon Montour: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:03) Berkly Catton: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 10:05) Jaden Schwartz: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:47) Adam Larsson: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:20) Mikhail Sergachev: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:35) Logan Cooley: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:56) Sean Durzi: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:23) JJ Peterka: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 15:38) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 15:56) JJ Peterka: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:48) Sean Durzi: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:12) Jack McBain: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 0:25) JJ Peterka: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:30) Mikhail Sergachev: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:47) Adam Larsson: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:05) Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 4:28) Vince Dunn: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:34) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:56) Jamie Oleksiak: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:08) Ryker Evans: wrist, 75 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:29) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:38) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:05) Clayton Keller: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 8:16) Brandon Tanev: tip-in, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:35) Kevin Stenlund: deflected, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:40) Kevin Stenlund: deflected, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:56) Kevin Stenlund: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:58) Brandon Montour: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:27) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 9:36) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:39) Mikhail Sergachev: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:46) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:03) Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:40) Adam Larsson: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:01) Vince Dunn: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:22) Bobby McMann: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:29) Frederick Gaudreau: backhand, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 13:01) Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 117 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:59) Brandon Montour: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:12) Brandon Montour: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:26) Nick Schmaltz: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:31) Brandon Montour: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:14) Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:23) JJ Peterka: wrist, 105 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:43) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:45) Jamie Oleksiak: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:10) Jacob Melanson: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.37 (P3 2:37) Clayton Keller: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:14) Nick Schmaltz: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:15) Lawson Crouse: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 3:34) Michael Carcone: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 4:47) Mikhail Sergachev: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:09) Lawson Crouse: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 6:47) Alexander Kerfoot: wrist, 79 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:38) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:27) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 9:05) Sean Durzi: backhand, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:33) Ryker Evans: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 9:39) Bobby McMann: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:41) Jacob Melanson: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 10:05) Matty Beniers: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:03) Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:30) Vince Dunn: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:49) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 14:10) Lawson Crouse: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:29) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:47) Berkly Catton: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:04) Vince Dunn: backhand, 172 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:37) Jordan Eberle: GOAL, snap, 14 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 0:41) Bobby McMann: GOAL, backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:45) Logan Cooley: GOAL, snap, 44 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:27) Logan Cooley: GOAL, snap, 12 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 10:05) Nick Schmaltz: GOAL, snap, 14 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 14:56) JJ Peterka: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:39) Dylan Guenther: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.86 (P3 7:27) Michael Carcone: GOAL, deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 16:37)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Utah Mammoth

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Clayton Keller 011 -1 40.34 0019:00
8 Nick Schmaltz 112 -1 80.62 0018:44
92 Logan Cooley 213 +1 60.30 1017:14
11 Dylan Guenther 123 +1 91.42 0116:48
10 JJ Peterka 101 +1 70.30 0016:42
14 Alexander Kerfoot 000 +1 10.00 1116:33
67 Lawson Crouse 000 -1 30.30 1015:47
53 Michael Carcone 101 0 30.36 3015:03
82 Kevin Stenlund 000 0 40.24 0113:43
56 Kailer Yamamoto 022 +2 00.00 0111:23
13 Brandon Tanev 000 0 10.04 1109:44
22 Jack McBain 000 0 20.17 2109:00
Defense
98 Mikhail Sergachev 011 +1 50.05 0123:23
88 Nate Schmidt 000 -1 00.00 0019:50
52 MacKenzie Weegar 011 +1 40.09 3219:33
28 Ian Cole 000 +1 10.00 0417:40
6 John Marino 000 -1 10.00 0017:39
5 Sean Durzi 011 +1 30.07 1016:23
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Karel Vejmelka 27225 .926 2.32 +0.32

Seattle Kraken

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
7 Jordan Eberle 101 0 30.38 3018:53
10 Matty Beniers 000 +1 40.08 0018:41
9 Chandler Stephenson 011 +1 00.00 1017:17
19 Jared McCann 011 +1 00.00 1016:39
89 Frederick Gaudreau 000 -3 10.00 0116:16
71 Jaden Schwartz 000 -1 10.06 0015:47
74 Bobby McMann 101 +1 50.14 1114:54
84 Kaapo Kakko 011 +1 20.13 1013:27
27 Berkly Catton 000 -3 20.18 0013:04
17 Eeli Tolvanen 000 0 20.12 1213:04
63 Jacob Melanson 000 -1 20.52 8009:49
78 Oscar Fisker Molgaard 000 0 00.00 0108:14
Defense
62 Brandon Montour 000 -3 90.21 1021:37
41 Ryker Evans 000 -3 30.09 2021:23
6 Adam Larsson 011 +2 70.22 3321:07
29 Vince Dunn 000 +2 40.11 0119:08
55 Ryan Lindgren 000 0 20.03 0016:43
4 Jamie Oleksiak 000 0 50.04 2216:12
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joey Daccord 31625 .806 4.28 -1.72

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Utah Mammoth

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
11 Dylan Guenther R +4.16 +1.85 +0.92 +1.36 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:48
92 Logan Cooley C +3.55 +2.20 +0.19 +1.20 -0.15 +0.07 +0.04 — 17:14
56 Kailer Yamamoto R +2.46 +1.25 0.00 +1.30 -0.15 -0.01 +0.07 — 11:23
8 Nick Schmaltz C +2.35 +1.45 +0.40 +0.47 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 18:44
52 MacKenzie Weegar D +2.08 +0.70 +0.06 +1.24 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:33
98 Mikhail Sergachev D +1.79 +0.55 +0.03 +1.22 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 23:23
9 Clayton Keller R +1.63 +0.70 +0.22 +0.72 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:00
50 Sean Durzi D +1.55 +0.55 +0.04 +0.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:23
77 JJ Peterka R +1.20 +0.75 +0.19 +0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:42
53 Michael Carcone L +1.06 +0.75 +0.24 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:03
28 Ian Cole D +0.99 0.00 0.00 +0.85 0.00 0.00 +0.14 — 17:40
67 Lawson Crouse L +0.74 0.00 +0.19 +0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:47
82 Kevin Stenlund C +0.52 0.00 +0.15 -0.12 +0.45 +0.01 +0.03 — 13:43
15 Alexander Kerfoot C +0.46 0.00 0.00 +0.16 +0.30 -0.01 +0.01 — 16:33
70 Karel Vejmelka G +0.32 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.32 59:51
22 Jack McBain C +0.16 0.00 +0.11 -0.15 +0.15 +0.02 +0.03 — 9:00
6 John Marino D -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:39
13 Brandon Tanev L -0.29 0.00 +0.02 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:44
88 Nate Schmidt D -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.37 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 19:50

Seattle Kraken

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
6 Adam Larsson D +1.77 +0.70 +0.14 +0.78 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 21:07
7 Jordan Eberle R +1.05 +0.75 +0.24 +0.22 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 18:53
19 Jared McCann L +0.67 +0.55 0.00 +0.11 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 16:39
78 Oscar Fisker Molgaard C +0.60 0.00 0.00 +0.53 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 8:14
29 Vince Dunn D +0.55 0.00 +0.07 +0.57 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 19:08
10 Matty Beniers C +0.53 0.00 +0.05 +0.50 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 18:41
20 Eeli Tolvanen R +0.51 0.00 +0.08 +0.37 0.00 -0.02 +0.08 — 13:04
74 Bobby McMann C +0.45 +0.75 +0.09 -0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:54
84 Kaapo Kakko R +0.12 +0.55 +0.09 -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:27
63 Jacob Melanson R +0.05 0.00 +0.34 -0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:49
9 Chandler Stephenson C +0.01 +0.70 0.00 -0.66 0.00 -0.05 +0.02 — 17:17
24 Jamie Oleksiak D -0.05 0.00 +0.03 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 16:12
55 Ryan Lindgren D -0.13 0.00 +0.02 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:43
17 Jaden Schwartz L -1.06 0.00 +0.04 -1.12 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:47
35 Joey Daccord G -1.72 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.72 59:55
27 Berkly Catton C -2.09 0.00 +0.12 -1.91 -0.30 +0.02 -0.02 — 13:04
89 Frederick Gaudreau C -2.20 0.00 0.00 -2.20 0.00 -0.06 +0.05 — 16:16
41 Ryker Evans D -2.23 0.00 +0.06 -2.42 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 21:23
62 Brandon Montour D -2.30 0.00 +0.14 -2.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:37

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.