Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 5–1 Final Edmonton OilersEDM

Saturday, April 4, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK	1	2	2	5	33
Edmonton OilersEDM	0	1	0	1	32

Playoff odds, %	Change
VGK	+5.2
EDM	-0.3
NSH	-1.4
SJS	-1.3
SEA	-0.8
LAK	-0.8

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 4, 2026 9:23 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
11:43	VGK	Brett Howden (11) Jack Eichel (55) · wrist xG 0.28	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
5:44	VGK	Colton Sissons (6) Mitch Marner (54), Jeremy Lauzon (12) · backhand xG 0.11	2–0 ▶
8:05	VGK	Jeremy Lauzon (1) Jack Eichel (56), Brett Howden (10) · snap xG 0.18	3–0 ▶
19:26	EDM	Evan Bouchard (21) Jack Roslovic (14), Matt Savoie (18) · snap xG 0.14	3–1 ▶
3rd Period
4:04	VGK	Mark Stone (24) Ivan Barbashev (35), Jack Eichel (57) · tip-in xG 0.09	4–1 ▶
16:13	VGK	Rasmus Andersson (16)PP Ivan Barbashev (36), Noah Hanifin (22) · slap xG 0.07	5–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 49%Deserve to win51% EDM

VGK		EDM
3.12	Expected goals	3.17
5	Goals (no shootout)	1
2.71	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.04
56	Shot attempts	66
43	Unblocked attempts	49
33	Shots on goal	32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
17:00	EDM	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced VGK 1.59–0.34 In xG over 10 minutes, 7:00 to 17:00 of the 1st; goals 0–1
2nd Period
3:28	VGK	Goalie	Goalie · Hart +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.01 xG, 10 shots on goal
3rd Period
4:04	EDM	Goalie	Goalie · Ingram −2.0 goals saved 4 goals on 1.99 xG, 23 shots on goal
5:50	EDM	No shift	No shift · Emberson, 18:28 on the bench No shift from 13:44 of the 2nd to 14:17 of the 3rd; 13 shifts (9:07) before that

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ EDM shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
93	Mitch Marner	0	1	1	+1	4	0.56	1	1	21:37
61	Mark Stone	1	0	1	+1	6	0.31	0	0	19:36
9	Jack Eichel	0	3	3	+3	4	0.10	0	0	18:08
21	Brett Howden	1	1	2	+1	4	0.72	0	1	15:59
16	Pavel Dorofeyev	0	0	0	+1	4	0.17	0	0	15:46
49	Ivan Barbashev	0	2	2	0	0	0.00	1	0	15:21
15	Colton Sissons	1	0	1	+1	4	0.45	1	2	13:24
26	Nic Dowd	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	3	1	12:58
48	Tomas Hertl	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	0	0	12:57
22	Cole Smith	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	2	1	11:17
19	Reilly Smith	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	0	0	11:03
55	Keegan Kolesar	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	2	2	10:51
Defense
15	Noah Hanifin	0	1	1	0	4	0.02	0	0	22:59
3	Brayden McNabb	0	0	0	+1	3	0.04	3	2	22:34
4	Rasmus Andersson	1	0	1	0	2	0.07	0	4	22:03
27	Shea Theodore	0	0	0	+1	8	0.12	0	1	20:16
5	Jeremy Lauzon	1	1	2	+2	3	0.18	2	1	15:16
6	Kaedan Korczak	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	0	11:55

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Carter Hart	32	1	31	.969	3.17	+2.17

Edmonton Oilers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
97	Connor McDavid	0	0	0	+1	8	0.51	1	1	23:25
22	Matt Savoie	0	1	1	+1	4	0.56	0	1	20:31
93	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	0	0	19:16
96	Jack Roslovic	0	1	1	0	4	0.48	1	0	16:50
42	Kasperi Kapanen	0	0	0	-1	3	0.27	3	1	15:36
19	Adam Henrique	0	0	0	-1	4	0.20	1	0	14:29
16	Jason Dickinson	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	13:59
92	Vasily Podkolzin	0	0	0	-3	4	0.11	1	1	13:34
10	Trent Frederic	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	4	0	11:03
46	Max Jones	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	6	0	11:00
20	Curtis Lazar	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	2	0	10:43
81	Josh Samanski	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	2	1	10:40
Defense
2	Evan Bouchard	1	0	1	+1	10	0.36	1	1	24:10
25	Darnell Nurse	0	0	0	-1	7	0.04	4	2	21:37
14	Mattias Ekholm	0	0	0	-1	4	0.04	1	0	19:58
5	Connor Murphy	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	5	0	19:25
96	Jake Walman	0	0	0	-3	4	0.04	1	2	18:30
49	Ty Emberson	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	1	11:44

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Connor Ingram	33	5	28	.848	3.12	-1.88

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
21 Brett Howden C	+2.96	+1.30	+0.47	+1.12	0.00	+0.02	+0.05	—	15:59
9 Jack Eichel C	+2.87	+1.95	+0.06	+0.90	0.00	-0.06	+0.02	—	18:08
5 Jeremy Lauzon D	+2.19	+1.30	+0.12	+0.74	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	15:16
79 Carter Hart G	+2.17	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+2.17	60:00
93 Mitch Marner R	+1.87	+0.70	+0.37	+0.62	+0.15	-0.03	+0.07	—	21:37
10 Colton Sissons C	+1.60	+0.75	+0.29	+0.46	0.00	+0.02	+0.08	—	13:24
49 Ivan Barbashev L	+1.33	+1.40	0.00	-0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:21
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R	+1.22	0.00	+0.11	+1.26	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	15:46
27 Shea Theodore D	+1.15	0.00	+0.08	+1.08	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	20:16
6 Kaedan Korczak D	+0.97	0.00	0.00	+1.12	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	11:55
4 Rasmus Andersson D	+0.66	+0.75	+0.05	-0.46	+0.15	0.00	+0.18	—	22:03
61 Mark Stone R	+0.51	+0.75	+0.20	-0.40	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	19:36
19 Reilly Smith R	+0.48	0.00	0.00	+0.52	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	11:03
15 Noah Hanifin D	+0.22	+0.55	+0.01	-0.19	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	22:59
3 Brayden McNabb D	+0.19	0.00	+0.03	+0.15	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	22:34
22 Cole Smith R	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	+0.01	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	11:17
48 Tomas Hertl C	+0.14	0.00	+0.15	+0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:57
55 Keegan Kolesar R	-0.10	0.00	0.00	-0.19	0.00	-0.01	+0.10	—	10:51
26 Nic Dowd C	-0.34	0.00	0.00	-0.43	0.00	+0.01	+0.07	—	12:58

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
2 Evan Bouchard D	+1.90	+0.75	+0.23	+0.89	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	24:10
22 Matt Savoie C	+1.18	+0.55	+0.36	+0.20	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	20:31
28 Jack Roslovic C	+1.12	+0.70	+0.31	+0.12	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	16:50
97 Connor McDavid C	+0.90	0.00	+0.33	+0.55	0.00	+0.01	+0.01	—	23:25
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	+0.79	0.00	+0.18	+0.65	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	—	19:16
14 Mattias Ekholm D	+0.31	0.00	+0.02	+0.31	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:58
46 Max Jones L	+0.19	0.00	+0.07	+0.10	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	11:00
19 Adam Henrique C	-0.05	0.00	+0.13	-0.21	0.00	+0.03	0.00	—	14:29
20 Curtis Lazar C	-0.10	0.00	+0.01	-0.17	0.00	+0.06	0.00	—	10:43
42 Kasperi Kapanen R	-0.34	0.00	+0.17	-0.70	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	15:36
16 Jason Dickinson C	-0.50	0.00	0.00	-0.48	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:59
10 Trent Frederic C	-0.60	0.00	+0.08	-0.68	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:03
5 Connor Murphy D	-0.67	0.00	+0.02	-0.48	-0.15	0.00	-0.06	—	19:25
92 Vasily Podkolzin R	-0.69	0.00	+0.07	-0.95	+0.15	+0.01	+0.03	—	13:34
25 Darnell Nurse D	-0.70	0.00	+0.03	-0.80	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	21:37
49 Ty Emberson D	-0.74	0.00	0.00	-0.79	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	11:44
81 Josh Samanski C	-1.59	0.00	0.00	-1.60	0.00	-0.02	+0.03	—	10:40
96 Jake Walman D	-1.74	0.00	+0.02	-1.86	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	18:30
39 Connor Ingram G	-1.88	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.88	59:42

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.