Saturday, April 4, 2026
How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 4, 2026 9:23 PM EDT.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
CHI 65%Deserve to win 35% SEA
CHI SEA
3.71 Expected goals 2.39
4 Goals (no shootout) 2
2.78 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.02
60 Shot attempts 62
47 Unblocked attempts 40
31 Shots on goal 27
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
18:14
SEA
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Grubauer, down 3–2
With 1:46 left
18:40
SEA
Shortened bench
Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Fisker Molgaard and Meyers: no shift after 8:31 of the 3rd
Shot map
CHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → SEA shoots
Teuvo Teravainen: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 0:30)
Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 1:02)
Jaden Schwartz: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 3:01)
Brandon Montour: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:33)
Kevin Korchinski: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:26)
Frank Nazar: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:35)
Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:18)
Ryan Donato: poke, 9 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:21)
Ryan Donato: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:22)
Louis Crevier: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:32)
Tyler Bertuzzi: snap, 81 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 9:34)
Jamie Oleksiak: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:26)
Matty Beniers: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 11:02)
Adam Larsson: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:26)
Brandon Montour: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:10)
Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:25)
Brandon Montour: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:34)
Adam Larsson: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:59)
Ryan Donato: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 18:32)
Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:42)
Sacha Boisvert: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 19:45)
Nick Lardis: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:14)
Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:18)
Nick Lardis: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 0:35)
Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:16)
Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:12)
Landon Slaggert: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 2:54)
Andre Burakovsky: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:22)
Sacha Boisvert: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:38)
Nick Lardis: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:39)
Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 4:06)
Jared McCann: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:25)
Berkly Catton: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:39)
Vince Dunn: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:20)
Sam Rinzel: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:51)
Ryan Greene: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:11)
Ryan Donato: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:28)
Bobby McMann: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:37)
Ben Meyers: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:08)
Connor Bedard: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:34)
Ryan Donato: wrist, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:45)
Berkly Catton: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 9:55)
Ryan Donato: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:11)
Nick Lardis: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 10:59)
Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 178 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:11)
Anton Frondell: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:16)
Ryan Donato: backhand, 73 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:56)
Jordan Eberle: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 14:14)
Bobby McMann: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 15:26)
Landon Slaggert: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:01)
Frank Nazar: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:40)
Ryan Donato: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:43)
Bobby McMann: backhand, 78 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:05)
Eeli Tolvanen: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:11)
Brandon Montour: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:20)
Connor Bedard: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 19:47)
Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:57)
Nick Lardis: poke, 13 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:41)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:18)
Brandon Montour: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:03)
Jordan Eberle: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:28)
Brandon Montour: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:59)
Jamie Oleksiak: backhand, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:05)
Connor Bedard: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:24)
Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:31)
Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:46)
Bobby McMann: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 5:48)
Ryan Lindgren: backhand, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:07)
Anton Frondell: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 7:49)
Adam Larsson: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:29)
Sam Rinzel: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:44)
Ryan Greene: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:05)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 10:16)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:17)
Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:19)
Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:56)
Adam Larsson: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:19)
Berkly Catton: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 14:16)
Brandon Montour: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 15:50)
Brandon Montour: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:03)
Ryker Evans: wrist, 84 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:55)
Teuvo Teravainen: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 9:15)
Tyler Bertuzzi: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 19:37)
Jaden Schwartz: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 10:48)
Sacha Boisvert: GOAL, snap, 24 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 13:08)
Kaapo Kakko: GOAL, snap, 22 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 14:18)
Ilya Mikheyev: GOAL, wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.45 (P3 18:48)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Chicago Blackhawks
Seattle Kraken
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Chicago Blackhawks
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
98 Connor Bedard C
+2.66
+1.25
+0.17
+0.86
+0.30
+0.05
+0.03
—
17:41
86 Teuvo Teravainen C
+2.41
+0.75
+0.42
+1.22
0.00
-0.04
+0.06
—
20:48
76 Nick Lardis L
+1.47
0.00
+0.35
+1.18
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
14:12
95 Ilya Mikheyev R
+1.41
+1.45
+0.36
-0.43
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
17:14
12 Sacha Boisvert C
+1.36
+0.75
+0.28
+0.34
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
9:18
14 Kevin Korchinski D
+1.15
+0.70
0.00
+0.42
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
11:20
72 Alex Vlasic D
+0.92
0.00
0.00
+0.75
0.00
0.00
+0.17
—
22:27
44 Wyatt Kaiser D
+0.87
+1.25
+0.01
-0.44
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
20:41
6 Sam Rinzel D
+0.87
0.00
+0.01
+0.81
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
21:04
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L
+0.77
+0.75
+0.19
-0.21
0.00
+0.01
+0.03
—
18:46
84 Landon Slaggert L
+0.76
+0.55
+0.08
-0.02
+0.15
0.00
0.00
—
9:58
28 Andre Burakovsky L
+0.43
0.00
+0.06
+0.32
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
9:24
40 Arvid Soderblom G
+0.39
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.39
60:00
38 Ethan Del Mastro D
+0.34
0.00
0.00
+0.21
0.00
0.00
+0.13
—
15:42
91 Frank Nazar C
+0.20
+0.55
+0.04
-0.25
-0.15
+0.01
0.00
—
18:57
46 Louis Crevier D
+0.04
0.00
+0.01
-0.08
0.00
0.00
+0.11
—
20:09
8 Ryan Donato C
+0.02
0.00
+0.24
-0.24
0.00
-0.01
+0.02
—
15:12
16 Anton Frondell C
0.00
0.00
+0.14
+0.02
-0.15
-0.05
+0.05
—
16:50
20 Ryan Greene C
-0.23
0.00
+0.05
-0.30
0.00
-0.03
+0.05
—
16:17
Seattle Kraken
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
17 Jaden Schwartz L
+2.12
+1.30
+0.19
+0.58
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
14:08
27 Berkly Catton C
+1.78
+0.70
+0.23
+0.64
+0.15
-0.02
+0.07
—
11:59
84 Kaapo Kakko R
+1.19
+0.75
+0.13
+0.27
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
14:39
24 Jamie Oleksiak D
+0.94
0.00
+0.07
+0.82
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
16:23
20 Eeli Tolvanen R
+0.74
+0.70
+0.03
+0.03
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
14:22
62 Brandon Montour D
+0.63
0.00
+0.18
+0.42
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
25:03
41 Ryker Evans D
+0.41
0.00
+0.01
+0.38
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
16:51
31 Philipp Grubauer G
+0.26
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.26
58:19
78 Oscar Fisker Molgaard C
-0.09
0.00
0.00
-0.07
0.00
-0.02
0.00
—
7:04
59 Ben Meyers C
-0.09
0.00
+0.03
-0.17
0.00
+0.05
0.00
—
11:26
10 Matty Beniers C
-0.11
+0.55
+0.19
-0.82
0.00
+0.02
-0.04
—
20:49
89 Frederick Gaudreau C
-0.26
0.00
+0.03
-0.31
0.00
+0.02
0.00
—
14:05
9 Chandler Stephenson C
-0.43
0.00
0.00
-0.42
0.00
+0.03
-0.04
—
17:36
74 Bobby McMann C
-0.46
0.00
+0.18
-0.64
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
15:57
19 Jared McCann L
-0.49
0.00
+0.04
-0.61
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
18:30
55 Ryan Lindgren D
-0.63
0.00
+0.01
-0.52
-0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
17:02
7 Jordan Eberle R
-0.78
0.00
+0.16
-0.98
0.00
0.00
+0.04
—
18:57
6 Adam Larsson D
-1.35
0.00
+0.06
-1.38
-0.15
0.00
+0.13
—
22:02
29 Vince Dunn D
-1.36
0.00
+0.02
-1.38
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
19:25
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.