| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:56 | Trevor Zegras (24) Travis Sanheim (26), Owen Tippett (23) · wrist xG 0.13 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 3:38 | Trevor Zegras (25)PP Porter Martone (3), Jamie Drysdale (23) · tip-in xG 0.13 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 12:12 | Cody Glass (18) Jonas Siegenthaler (14), Lenni Hameenaho (6) · deflected xG 0.14 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:46 | Tyson Foerster (12) Matvei Michkov (27) · snap xG 0.18 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 4:58 | Tyson Foerster (13) Trevor Zegras (40), Matvei Michkov (28) · wrist xG 0.15 | 4–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:09 | Nick Seeler (3)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.42 | 5–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PHI | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | Expected goals | 2.70 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 1.15 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.73 |
| 27 | Shot attempts | 64 |
| 24 | Unblocked attempts | 47 |
| 20 | Shots on goal | 24 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:22 | NJD | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NJD takes the lead, 61–39%
PHI had led since 3:15 of the 1st, by as much as 71% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:46 | NJD | Goalie | Goalie · Markstrom −2.1 goals saved
3 goals on 0.92 xG, 8 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:04 | NJD | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Markstrom, down 4–1
With 4:56 left |
| 17:01 | NJD | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Markstrom, down 4–1
With 2:59 left; PHI scored at 17:09 of the 3rd (5–1) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 0.17 | 1 | 1 | 17:52 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 17:25 |
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 16:14 |
| 94 | Porter Martone | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 2 | 15:44 |
| 71 | Tyson Foerster | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 0.60 | 0 | 1 | 15:19 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 14:57 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 13:50 |
| 41 | Luke Glendening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 13:46 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:46 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 |
| 86 | Denver Barkey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:00 |
| 20 | Alex Bump | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 3 | 1 | 11:31 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 24:45 |
| 55 | Rasmus Ristolainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 23:34 |
| 8 | Cam York | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 21:45 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 3 | 17:49 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.42 | 0 | 2 | 16:00 |
| 36 | Emil Andrae | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:23 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | 24 | 1 | 23 | .958 | 2.70 | +1.70 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Jack Hughes | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 11 | 0.55 | 0 | 0 | 22:44 |
| 16 | Connor Brown | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 20:05 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.36 | 4 | 0 | 19:07 |
| 28 | Timo Meier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 18:16 |
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 17:45 |
| 12 | Cody Glass | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 14:27 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.12 | 5 | 0 | 11:55 |
| 72 | Nick Bjugstad | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 11:55 |
| 48 | Brian Halonen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 10:16 |
| 29 | Lenni Hameenaho | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:00 |
| 21 | Marc McLaughlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 09:30 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Luke Hughes | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 24:09 |
| 8 | Johnathan Kovacevic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 |
| 7 | Dougie Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 18:50 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 17:32 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 17:15 |
| 71 | Simon Nemec | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 16:40 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | 19 | 4 | 15 | .789 | 1.63 | -2.37 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +2.85 | +2.20 | +0.17 | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.03 | — | 13:50 |
| 71 Tyson Foerster R | +2.71 | +1.50 | +0.39 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:19 |
| 80 Dan Vladar G | +1.70 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.70 | 60:00 |
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +1.57 | +0.55 | +0.11 | +0.79 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:57 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | +1.21 | +0.75 | +0.27 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:00 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | +1.05 | +1.25 | 0.00 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:46 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | +0.71 | +0.55 | +0.02 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 17:49 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | +0.40 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 24:45 |
| 94 Porter Martone R | +0.38 | +0.70 | +0.05 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:44 |
| 55 Rasmus Ristolainen D | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:34 |
| 41 Luke Glendening C | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:46 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 | — | 17:25 |
| 8 Cam York D | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:45 |
| 36 Emil Andrae D | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:23 |
| 52 Denver Barkey C | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.16 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:00 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | — | 17:52 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:14 |
| 20 Alex Bump L | -0.57 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 11:31 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.58 | -0.15 | -0.06 | 0.00 | — | 13:25 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Cody Glass C | +1.27 | +0.75 | +0.09 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:27 |
| 29 Lenni Hameenaho R | +0.66 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:00 |
| 43 Luke Hughes D | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 24:09 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | +0.55 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:15 |
| 8 Johnathan Kovacevic D | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:17 |
| 72 Nick Bjugstad C | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:55 |
| 16 Connor Brown R | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.09 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 20:05 |
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.10 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 19:07 |
| 13 Nico Hischier C | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 17:56 |
| 86 Jack Hughes C | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.36 | +0.11 | -0.15 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | 22:44 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.13 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:55 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:32 |
| 21 Marc McLaughlin C | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.10 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 9:30 |
| 17 Simon Nemec D | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:40 |
| 48 Brian Halonen L | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.25 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:16 |
| 28 Timo Meier R | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:16 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.32 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 17:45 |
| 7 Dougie Hamilton D | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:50 |
| 25 Jacob Markstrom G | -2.37 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.37 | 58:04 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.