| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 27 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 37 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:07 | Kyle Connor (25)PP Gabriel Vilardi (29), Mark Scheifele (41) · snap xG 0.16 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 16:26 | Oliver Kapanen (18) Noah Dobson (27), Juraj Slafkovský (24) · wrist xG 0.26 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:28 | Josh Anderson (12) Jayden Struble (8), Brendan Gallagher (12) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 6:44 | Lane Hutson (10) Josh Anderson (7), Brendan Gallagher (13) · wrist xG 0.09 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:57 | Brendan Gallagher (6)PP Kirby Dach (5), Zachary Bolduc (13) · snap xG 0.32 | 4–1 ▶ | |
| 19:46 | Phillip Danault (3)SHEN Josh Anderson (8), Noah Dobson (28) · wrist xG 0.87 | 5–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MTL | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.09 | Expected goals | 5.13 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 2.41 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.13 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 74 |
| 41 | Unblocked attempts | 62 |
| 27 | Shots on goal | 37 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:31 | MTL | Goalie | Goalie · Montembeault +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.05 xG, 22 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:50 | WPG | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.49–0.27
In xG over 10 minutes, 13:00 of the 2nd to 3:00 of the 3rd; neither team scored |
| 6:40 | WPG | No shift | No shift · Koepke, 12:09 on the bench
No shift from 13:42 of the 2nd to 7:52 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (5:41) before that |
| 18:07 | MTL | Goalie | Goalie · Montembeault +4.0 goals saved
1 goal on 5.04 xG, 37 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.49 | 0 | 2 | 17:21 |
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 16:56 |
| 71 | Jake Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.72 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.35 | 2 | 0 | 15:27 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 0.58 | 1 | 0 | 15:21 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 1.40 | 1 | 0 | 15:18 |
| 77 | Kirby Dach | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 15:17 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:11 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.37 | 1 | 1 | 13:44 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 0.74 | 2 | 0 | 12:38 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 5 | 0 | 12:34 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 11:07 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 7 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 24:50 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 21:31 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 2 | 21:02 |
| 21 | Kaiden Guhle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 20:47 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 16:22 |
| 3 | Jayden Struble | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:03 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Montembeault | 37 | 1 | 36 | .973 | 5.13 | +4.13 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 81 | Kyle Connor | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 9 | 0.50 | 1 | 0 | 24:10 |
| 55 | Mark Scheifele | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.45 | 0 | 0 | 23:43 |
| 13 | Gabriel Vilardi | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 0.54 | 0 | 2 | 20:24 |
| 91 | Cole Perfetti | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 10 | 0.85 | 1 | 0 | 20:06 |
| 17 | Adam Lowry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 15:06 |
| 19 | Jonathan Toews | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 |
| 7 | Vladislav Namestnikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.63 | 0 | 2 | 14:14 |
| 62 | Nino Niederreiter | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.79 | 0 | 0 | 14:04 |
| 14 | Gustav Nyquist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:45 |
| 9 | Alex Iafallo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.17 | 3 | 0 | 11:04 |
| 36 | Morgan Barron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 08:58 |
| 45 | Cole Koepke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 07:18 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Josh Morrissey | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 5 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 27:12 |
| 54 | Dylan Samberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.05 | 2 | 3 | 20:29 |
| 2 | Dylan DeMelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.38 | 1 | 0 | 19:44 |
| 57 | Elias Salomonsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.03 | 2 | 1 | 17:34 |
| 8 | Logan Stanley | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.05 | 2 | 1 | 16:28 |
| 2 | Luke Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 12:32 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | 26 | 4 | 22 | .846 | 3.12 | -0.88 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Samuel Montembeault G | +4.13 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +4.13 | 60:00 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | +2.59 | +2.15 | +0.38 | +0.20 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:21 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | +2.33 | +1.85 | +0.48 | +0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:38 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | +1.81 | +0.75 | +0.91 | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 15:18 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | +1.61 | +0.75 | +0.24 | +0.59 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 13:44 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | +1.45 | +1.25 | +0.01 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:31 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | +1.12 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.64 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 24:50 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +1.08 | +0.55 | +0.32 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:21 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +1.06 | +0.75 | +0.08 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 21:02 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 14:11 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.47 | -0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:25 |
| 21 Kaiden Guhle D | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:47 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 12:34 |
| 77 Kirby Dach C | -0.11 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.85 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:17 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | -0.12 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.50 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:07 |
| 47 Jayden Struble D | -0.38 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 12:03 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:27 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:56 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | -1.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.91 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:22 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Vladislav Namestnikov C | +1.95 | 0.00 | +0.41 | +1.29 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.12 | — | 14:14 |
| 62 Nino Niederreiter R | +1.88 | 0.00 | +0.52 | +1.26 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:04 |
| 57 Elias Salomonsson D | +1.35 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:34 |
| 13 Gabriel Vilardi C | +1.33 | +0.70 | +0.35 | +0.05 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.10 | — | 20:24 |
| 54 Dylan Samberg D | +0.67 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 20:29 |
| 81 Kyle Connor L | +0.63 | +0.75 | +0.33 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 24:10 |
| 17 Adam Lowry C | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 15:06 |
| 19 Jonathan Toews C | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 14:42 |
| 91 Cole Perfetti C | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.55 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:06 |
| 36 Morgan Barron C | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:58 |
| 55 Mark Scheifele C | +0.10 | +0.55 | +0.29 | -0.58 | 0.00 | -0.08 | -0.08 | — | 23:43 |
| 44 Josh Morrissey D | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.13 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 27:12 |
| 2 Dylan DeMelo D | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:44 |
| 5 Luke Schenn D | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 12:32 |
| 9 Alex Iafallo L | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.40 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:04 |
| 64 Logan Stanley D | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.45 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 16:28 |
| 45 Cole Koepke L | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 7:18 |
| 14 Gustav Nyquist R | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.60 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:45 |
| 37 Connor Hellebuyck G | -0.88 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.88 | 54:30 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.