Seattle KrakenSEA 1–4 Final Dallas StarsDAL

Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Seattle KrakenSEA	0	0	1	1	19
Dallas StarsDAL	1	3	0	4	32

Playoff odds, %	Change
SEA	-4.3
DAL	+0.0
LAK	+1.0
EDM	+0.9
SJS	+0.8
UTA	+0.4
ANA	+0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Feb 23, 2026 9:51 PM EST.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
18:41	DAL	Wyatt Johnston (30) Esa Lindell (18), Thomas Harley (19) · tip-in xG 0.10	0–1 ▶
2nd Period
1:43	DAL	Matt Duchene (11) Thomas Harley (20) · wrist xG 0.10	0–2 ▶
5:35	DAL	Sam Steel (8) Mavrik Bourque (12), Justin Hryckowian (11) · poke xG 0.26	0–3 ▶
6:14	DAL	Wyatt Johnston (31)PP Miro Heiskanen (40), Matt Duchene (11) · deflected xG 0.21	0–4 ▶
3rd Period
6:46	SEA	Ryker Evans (6) Unassisted · slap xG 0.12	1–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SEA 35%Deserve to win65% DAL

SEA		DAL
2.82	Expected goals	3.79
1	Goals (no shootout)	4
1.91	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.98
46	Shot attempts	63
35	Unblocked attempts	51
19	Shots on goal	32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
15:26	SEA	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · SEA takes the lead, 60–40% DAL had led since 5:21 of the 1st, by as much as 60%
2nd Period
4:14	DAL	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · DAL takes the lead, 64–36% SEA had led since 15:26 of the 1st, by as much as 63%
5:40	DAL	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced SEA 1.69–0.01 In xG over 10 minutes, 16:20 of the 1st to 6:20 of the 2nd; goals 4–0
3rd Period
6:43	DAL	Goalie	Goalie · DeSmith +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.04 xG, 13 shots on goal
19:10	DAL	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced SEA 1.39–0.27 In xG over 10 minutes, 9:10 to 19:10 of the 3rd; neither team scored

Shot map

SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DAL shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Seattle Kraken

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
10	Matty Beniers	0	0	0	-1	4	0.50	2	1	18:46
19	Jared McCann	0	0	0	0	6	0.39	0	1	18:01
7	Jordan Eberle	0	0	0	-1	4	0.30	1	1	17:58
9	Chandler Stephenson	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	17:23
89	Frederick Gaudreau	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	0	0	17:22
71	Jaden Schwartz	0	0	0	-1	3	0.17	0	1	16:08
51	Shane Wright	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	0	1	15:55
27	Berkly Catton	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	0	1	13:41
17	Eeli Tolvanen	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	1	0	13:28
26	Ryan Winterton	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	3	1	12:55
59	Ben Meyers	0	0	0	0	2	0.36	1	0	12:16
63	Jacob Melanson	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	7	1	08:53
Defense
62	Brandon Montour	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	1	2	24:31
29	Vince Dunn	0	0	0	-1	5	0.11	0	1	24:28
6	Adam Larsson	0	0	0	-2	7	0.11	1	0	23:20
41	Ryker Evans	1	0	1	0	2	0.12	0	1	19:45
4	Jamie Oleksiak	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	19:07
55	Ryan Lindgren	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	01:24

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Joey Daccord	32	4	28	.875	3.79	-0.21

Dallas Stars

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
21	Jason Robertson	0	0	0	0	8	0.54	1	0	22:14
53	Wyatt Johnston	2	0	2	0	10	0.97	3	0	19:50
22	Mavrik Bourque	0	1	1	+1	8	0.74	1	0	18:13
95	Matt Duchene	1	1	2	+1	4	0.29	0	1	17:57
18	Sam Steel	1	0	1	+2	2	0.31	1	0	15:29
14	Jamie Benn	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	2	0	14:46
49	Justin Hryckowian	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	13:48
15	Colin Blackwell	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	3	12:53
10	Oskar Bäck	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	11:11
25	Arttu Hyry	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	1	0	10:25
73	Adam Erne	0	0	0	0	5	0.10	5	0	09:44
11	Nathan Bastian	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	2	0	09:29
Defense
4	Miro Heiskanen	0	1	1	0	5	0.02	0	3	25:22
23	Esa Lindell	0	1	1	+2	1	0.09	0	1	23:25
55	Thomas Harley	0	2	2	+3	4	0.08	1	0	22:38
5	Nils Lundkvist	0	0	0	+1	3	0.08	1	0	17:23
6	Lian Bichsel	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	4	2	14:30
36	Alexander Petrovic	0	0	0	-1	5	0.09	1	0	12:43

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Casey DeSmith	19	1	18	.947	2.82	+1.82

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Seattle Kraken

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
41 Ryker Evans D	+0.94	+0.75	+0.08	+0.08	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	19:45
59 Ben Meyers C	+0.43	0.00	+0.24	+0.16	+0.08	-0.03	-0.02	—	12:16
19 Jared McCann L	+0.33	0.00	+0.25	+0.17	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	18:01
63 Jacob Melanson R	+0.30	0.00	+0.01	+0.20	+0.07	0.00	+0.03	—	8:53
26 Ryan Winterton C	+0.27	0.00	+0.07	+0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	12:55
10 Matty Beniers C	+0.16	0.00	+0.32	-0.35	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	18:46
62 Brandon Montour D	-0.03	0.00	+0.04	-0.12	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	24:31
55 Ryan Lindgren D	-0.10	0.00	0.00	-0.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	1:24
51 Shane Wright C	-0.15	0.00	+0.18	-0.33	0.00	-0.01	+0.01	—	15:55
27 Berkly Catton C	-0.18	0.00	+0.12	-0.47	+0.15	+0.01	+0.01	—	13:41
35 Joey Daccord G	-0.21	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.21	60:00
24 Jamie Oleksiak D	-0.26	0.00	0.00	-0.26	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:07
7 Jordan Eberle R	-0.26	0.00	+0.19	-0.48	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	17:58
20 Eeli Tolvanen R	-0.47	0.00	+0.04	-0.51	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:28
17 Jaden Schwartz L	-0.62	0.00	+0.11	-0.74	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	16:08
9 Chandler Stephenson C	-0.65	0.00	0.00	-0.58	0.00	-0.05	-0.02	—	17:23
29 Vince Dunn D	-1.02	0.00	+0.07	-1.14	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	24:28
6 Adam Larsson D	-1.31	0.00	+0.07	-1.36	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	23:20
89 Frederick Gaudreau C	-1.61	0.00	+0.03	-1.66	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	17:22

Dallas Stars

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
53 Wyatt Johnston C	+2.71	+1.50	+0.63	+0.64	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	—	19:50
55 Thomas Harley D	+2.60	+1.25	+0.05	+1.44	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	22:38
22 Mavrik Bourque C	+2.52	+0.70	+0.48	+1.38	0.00	+0.02	-0.06	—	18:13
95 Matt Duchene C	+2.08	+1.30	+0.19	+0.51	0.00	+0.07	+0.01	—	17:57
23 Esa Lindell D	+1.94	+0.70	+0.06	+1.11	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	23:25
18 Sam Steel C	+1.84	+0.75	+0.20	+0.92	0.00	+0.01	-0.04	—	15:29
1 Casey DeSmith G	+1.82	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.82	60:00
49 Justin Hryckowian C	+1.47	+0.55	0.00	+0.99	-0.08	+0.01	0.00	—	13:48
21 Jason Robertson L	+1.29	0.00	+0.35	+1.11	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	22:14
4 Miro Heiskanen D	+0.92	+0.70	+0.01	+0.08	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	25:22
5 Nils Lundkvist D	+0.73	0.00	+0.05	+0.74	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	17:23
15 Colin Blackwell C	+0.27	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	+0.15	-0.02	+0.15	—	12:53
14 Jamie Benn L	+0.21	0.00	+0.01	+0.38	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	—	14:46
6 Lian Bichsel D	+0.20	0.00	+0.05	+0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	14:30
11 Nathan Bastian R	-0.13	0.00	+0.14	-0.27	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:29
73 Adam Erne L	-0.18	0.00	+0.06	-0.17	-0.07	0.00	0.00	—	9:44
25 Arttu Hyry R	-0.29	0.00	+0.11	-0.44	0.00	+0.04	0.00	—	10:25
10 Oskar Bäck C	-0.34	0.00	0.00	-0.39	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	11:11
28 Alexander Petrovic D	-0.53	0.00	+0.06	-0.74	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	12:43

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.