| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 |
 |
1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 32 |
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:58 | |
Dylan Holloway (9) Jonatan Berggren (8), Pius Suter (9) · snap xG 0.15 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 12:32 | |
Kaapo Kakko (7) Shane Wright (12), Brandon Montour (16) · wrist xG 0.22 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:12 | |
Jordan Kyrou (14) Pavel Buchnevich (23), Colton Parayko (13) · snap xG 0.24 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 1:35 | |
Dylan Holloway (10) Jonatan Berggren (9), Pius Suter (10) · poke xG 0.29 | 1–3 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:56 | |
Pius Suter (8) Dylan Holloway (10), Justin Faulk (20) · snap xG 0.32 | 1–4 ▶ |
| 16:59 | |
Dylan Holloway (11)EN Justin Faulk (21), Jack Finley (2) · backhand xG 0.48 | 1–5 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SEA | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.13 | Expected goals | 3.50 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 2.20 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.02 |
| 53 | Shot attempts | 55 |
| 41 | Unblocked attempts | 43 |
| 24 | Shots on goal | 32 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 18:30 | SEA | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced STL 1.36–0.18
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:20 of the 1st to 0:20 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
| 19:45 | SEA | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · SEA takes the lead, 61–39%
STL had led since 1:15 of the 1st, by as much as 77% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:45 | SEA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Grubauer, down 4–1
With 4:15 left; STL scored at 16:59 of the 3rd (1–5) |
| 16:22 | STL | Goalie | Goalie · Hofer +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.02 xG, 22 shots on goal |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 19 | Jared McCann | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 19:28 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 19:02 |
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 | 18:58 |
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 17:11 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.17 | 2 | 2 | 15:55 |
| 71 | Jaden Schwartz | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 2 | 15:33 |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.36 | 1 | 0 | 14:54 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 14:00 |
| 89 | Frederick Gaudreau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:51 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 13:09 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 12:38 |
| 59 | Ben Meyers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 12:38 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 22:19 |
| 62 | Brandon Montour | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 7 | 0.28 | 1 | 2 | 20:36 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 18:44 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 2 | 18:32 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 18:30 |
| 28 | Josh Mahura | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | 31 | 4 | 27 | .871 | 3.02 | -0.98 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 89 | Pavel Buchnevich | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 16:44 |
| 81 | Dylan Holloway | 3 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 6 | 0.96 | 0 | 0 | 16:04 |
| 25 | Jordan Kyrou | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.54 | 0 | 1 | 15:54 |
| 22 | Pius Suter | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 0.57 | 1 | 1 | 15:33 |
| 63 | Jake Neighbours | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 1 | 15:28 |
| 29 | Jonatan Berggren | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 15:00 |
| 13 | Alexey Toropchenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 13:44 |
| 15 | Dalibor Dvorsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 13:35 |
| 21 | Jimmy Snuggerud | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 13:27 |
| 37 | Jack Finley | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 13:17 |
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.31 | 2 | 0 | 13:03 |
| 26 | Nathan Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 5 | 2 | 11:40 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Philip Broberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 22:30 |
| 55 | Colton Parayko | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 21:37 |
| 72 | Justin Faulk | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.19 | 0 | 2 | 19:41 |
| 75 | Tyler Tucker | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.16 | 3 | 0 | 19:05 |
| 23 | Logan Mailloux | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.21 | 1 | 1 | 19:01 |
| 17 | Cam Fowler | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 18:37 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer | 24 | 1 | 23 | .958 | 3.13 | +2.13 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 Kaapo Kakko R | +1.47 | +0.75 | +0.23 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:54 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +1.29 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.46 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.08 | — | 15:55 |
| 17 Jaden Schwartz L | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | — | 15:33 |
| 62 Brandon Montour D | +0.52 | +0.55 | +0.18 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:36 |
| 59 Ben Meyers C | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.04 | — | 12:38 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:09 |
| 89 Frederick Gaudreau C | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:51 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:44 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:19 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.02 | — | 18:58 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:30 |
| 28 Josh Mahura D | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:21 |
| 19 Jared McCann L | -0.63 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:28 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | -0.65 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:32 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.97 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:00 |
| 27 Berkly Catton C | -0.75 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -1.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:38 |
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | -0.77 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:02 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | -0.80 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:11 |
| 31 Philipp Grubauer G | -0.98 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.98 | 58:41 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 Dylan Holloway L | +4.91 | +2.95 | +0.63 | +1.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:04 |
| 22 Pius Suter C | +3.76 | +1.85 | +0.37 | +1.42 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.05 | — | 15:33 |
| 29 Jonatan Berggren R | +2.87 | +1.40 | +0.04 | +1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 15:00 |
| 72 Justin Faulk D | +2.13 | +1.25 | +0.12 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:41 |
| 30 Joel Hofer G | +2.13 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.13 | 60:00 |
| 25 Jordan Kyrou R | +2.03 | +0.75 | +0.35 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:54 |
| 89 Pavel Buchnevich L | +1.58 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.83 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.03 | — | 16:44 |
| 55 Colton Parayko D | +1.09 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:37 |
| 63 Jake Neighbours L | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.91 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:28 |
| 6 Philip Broberg D | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 22:30 |
| 75 Tyler Tucker D | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:05 |
| 23 Logan Mailloux D | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:01 |
| 37 Jack Finley C | +0.10 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.40 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 13:17 |
| 17 Cam Fowler D | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.13 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:37 |
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:03 |
| 26 Nathan Walker L | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.45 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 11:40 |
| 13 Alexey Toropchenko R | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:44 |
| 54 Dalibor Dvorsky R | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:35 |
| 21 Jimmy Snuggerud R | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:27 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.