Calgary FlamesCGY 0–2 Final Los Angeles KingsLAK

Saturday, February 28, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Calgary FlamesCGY	0	0	0	0	29
Los Angeles KingsLAK	0	1	1	2	37

Playoff odds, %	Change
LAK	+5.5
CGY	-1.1
EDM	-1.1
SJS	-0.9
SEA	-0.7
NSH	-0.6
UTA	-0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Feb 28, 2026 6:55 PM EST.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
15:36	LAK	Alex Laferriere (14) Quinton Byfield (20), Trevor Moore (9) · wrist xG 0.31	0–1 ▶
3rd Period
19:22	LAK	Adrian Kempe (22)EN Artemi Panarin (41) · backhand xG 0.52	0–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CGY 45%Deserve to win55% LAK

CGY		LAK
2.81	Expected goals	3.86
0	Goals (no shootout)	2
2.73	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.12
70	Shot attempts	70
46	Unblocked attempts	56
29	Shots on goal	37

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
15:36	LAK	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · LAK takes the lead, 64–36% CGY had led since 10:18 of the 1st, by as much as 62%
19:22	LAK	Goalie	Goalie · Forsberg +2.1 goals saved 0 goals on 2.06 xG, 23 shots on goal
3rd Period
14:56	CGY	Goalie	Goalie · Wolf +2.0 goals saved 1 goal on 3.02 xG, 36 shots on goal
18:22	CGY	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Wolf, down 1–0 With 1:38 left; LAK scored at 19:22 of the 3rd (0–2)
19:33	CGY	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Wolf, down 2–0 With 0:27 left

Shot map

CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ LAK shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Calgary Flames

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
86	Joel Farabee	0	0	0	-1	4	0.27	1	0	18:08
91	Nazem Kadri	0	0	0	-2	8	0.54	1	0	18:00
27	Matt Coronato	0	0	0	-1	5	0.31	0	0	17:32
20	Blake Coleman	0	0	0	0	4	0.15	2	0	17:23
92	Matvei Gridin	0	0	0	-1	7	0.61	0	2	17:00
11	Mikael Backlund	0	0	0	0	4	0.17	0	1	16:56
16	Morgan Frost	0	0	0	0	5	0.17	1	0	16:11
17	Yegor Sharangovich	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	0	2	14:33
47	Connor Zary	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	0	0	13:55
43	Adam Klapka	0	0	0	-1	7	0.27	7	2	13:45
76	Martin Pospisil	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	09:21
17	John Beecher	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	0	1	09:03
Defense
52	MacKenzie Weegar	0	0	0	-2	6	0.04	0	3	23:17
7	Kevin Bahl	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	1	0	22:56
28	Zach Whitecloud	0	0	0	0	5	0.01	3	1	22:15
37	Yan Kuznetsov	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	21:47
19	Zayne Parekh	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	0	1	15:28
44	Joel Hanley	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	1	13:57

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Dustin Wolf	36	1	35	.972	3.12	+2.12

Los Angeles Kings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
55	Quinton Byfield	0	1	1	+1	3	0.11	2	2	20:16
14	Alex Laferriere	1	0	1	+1	12	0.85	3	1	19:38
12	Trevor Moore	0	1	1	+1	5	0.34	0	0	18:48
10	Artemi Panarin	0	1	1	+1	6	0.33	0	0	17:33
11	Anze Kopitar	0	0	0	+1	6	0.27	0	1	17:31
9	Adrian Kempe	1	0	1	+1	4	0.75	2	0	16:47
90	Corey Perry	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	0	13:44
37	Warren Foegele	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	13:35
79	Samuel Helenius	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	5	1	11:28
15	Alex Turcotte	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	1	1	10:40
17	Taylor Ward	0	0	0	0	5	0.21	1	0	10:10
39	Jeff Malott	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	3	0	09:43
Defense
5	Cody Ceci	0	0	0	+2	2	0.00	1	0	23:06
92	Brandt Clarke	0	0	0	0	4	0.19	0	5	22:58
44	Mikey Anderson	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	5	1	22:27
6	Joel Edmundson	0	0	0	+1	6	0.34	1	2	20:18
2	Brian Dumoulin	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	0	1	17:53
43	Jacob Moverare	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	0	4	13:25

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Anton Forsberg	29	0	29	1.000	2.81	+2.81

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Calgary Flames

Player	Rating	Shots	On ice	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
32 Dustin Wolf G	+2.12	—	—	—	—	+2.12	58:33
92 Matvei Gridin R	+1.03	+0.40	+0.55	-0.02	+0.10	—	17:00
37 Yan Kuznetsov D	+0.89	0.00	+0.90	0.00	-0.02	—	21:47
28 Zach Whitecloud D	+0.82	+0.01	+0.78	0.00	+0.03	—	22:15
16 Morgan Frost C	+0.70	+0.11	+0.56	+0.05	-0.02	—	16:11
91 Nazem Kadri C	+0.38	+0.35	+0.02	-0.01	+0.02	—	18:00
43 Adam Klapka R	+0.37	+0.17	+0.09	0.00	+0.10	—	13:45
86 Joel Farabee L	+0.23	+0.18	+0.04	0.00	+0.02	—	18:08
20 Blake Coleman L	+0.16	+0.10	+0.06	0.00	0.00	—	17:23
17 Yegor Sharangovich C	-0.19	0.00	-0.25	0.00	+0.06	—	14:33
18 John Beecher C	-0.22	+0.05	-0.36	+0.03	+0.05	—	9:03
19 Zayne Parekh D	-0.27	+0.04	-0.34	0.00	+0.03	—	15:28
76 Martin Pospisil C	-0.31	0.00	-0.31	0.00	0.00	—	9:21
27 Matt Coronato R	-0.32	+0.20	-0.48	-0.02	-0.02	—	17:32
44 Joel Hanley D	-0.43	+0.01	-0.49	0.00	+0.05	—	13:57
11 Mikael Backlund C	-0.71	+0.11	-0.81	-0.06	+0.05	—	16:56
47 Connor Zary C	-0.82	+0.04	-0.85	0.00	0.00	—	13:55
52 MacKenzie Weegar D	-0.82	+0.03	-0.98	0.00	+0.13	—	23:17
7 Kevin Bahl D	-0.98	+0.03	-1.01	0.00	0.00	—	22:56

Los Angeles Kings

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
31 Anton Forsberg G	+2.81	0.00	—	—	—	—	+2.81	60:00
14 Alex Laferriere R	+2.33	+0.75	+0.55	+0.99	+0.01	+0.03	—	19:38
12 Trevor Moore L	+1.90	+0.55	+0.22	+1.15	0.00	-0.02	—	18:48
55 Quinton Byfield R	+1.87	+0.70	+0.07	+0.99	+0.05	+0.06	—	20:16
5 Cody Ceci D	+1.25	0.00	0.00	+1.25	0.00	0.00	—	23:06
9 Adrian Kempe R	+0.98	+0.75	+0.49	-0.27	-0.01	+0.02	—	16:47
44 Mikey Anderson D	+0.59	0.00	0.00	+0.54	0.00	+0.05	—	22:27
2 Brian Dumoulin D	+0.54	0.00	+0.04	+0.40	0.00	+0.09	—	17:53
72 Artemi Panarin L	+0.47	+0.70	+0.21	-0.38	0.00	-0.06	—	17:33
43 Jacob Moverare D	+0.35	0.00	+0.03	+0.14	0.00	+0.18	—	13:25
15 Alex Turcotte C	+0.28	0.00	+0.18	+0.11	-0.06	+0.05	—	10:40
52 Taylor Ward R	+0.01	0.00	+0.14	-0.12	0.00	0.00	—	10:10
37 Warren Foegele L	+0.01	0.00	+0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	13:35
79 Samuel Helenius C	0.00	0.00	+0.02	-0.12	+0.03	+0.07	—	11:28
10 Corey Perry R	-0.07	0.00	+0.02	-0.10	0.00	0.00	—	13:44
39 Jeff Malott L	-0.10	0.00	+0.03	-0.12	0.00	0.00	—	9:43
11 Anze Kopitar C	-0.17	0.00	+0.17	-0.38	+0.01	+0.03	—	17:31
92 Brandt Clarke D	-0.23	0.00	+0.12	-0.56	0.00	+0.21	—	22:58
6 Joel Edmundson D	-0.37	0.00	+0.22	-0.65	0.00	+0.06	—	20:18

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.