| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 28 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 33 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:39 | Cutter Gauthier (32) Leo Carlsson (31), Chris Kreider (16) · snap xG 0.14 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 1:01 | Nick Suzuki (20) Cole Caufield (26), Juraj Slafkovský (27) · wrist xG 0.11 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 3:33 | Lane Hutson (11)PP Juraj Slafkovský (28), Nick Suzuki (51) · snap xG 0.07 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 11:56 | Radko Gudas (2) Frank Vatrano (4), Ryan Poehling (18) · slap xG 0.01 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 12:15 | Jackson LaCombe (7)PP Cutter Gauthier (25), Chris Kreider (17) · slap xG 0.05 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:35 | Leo Carlsson (21) Chris Kreider (18), Jacob Trouba (19) · wrist xG 0.14 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 8:41 | Cole Caufield (36) Noah Dobson (29), Lane Hutson (51) · slap xG 0.12 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 11:47 | Alexandre Carrier (7) Jake Evans (9), Zachary Bolduc (15) · snap xG 0.07 | 4–4 ▶ | |
| 13:04 | Cole Caufield (37) Noah Dobson (30), Lane Hutson (52) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 5–4 ▶ | |
| 19:18 | Chris Kreider (21) Jacob Trouba (20), Jackson LaCombe (36) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 5–5 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Leo Carlsson vs Samuel Montembeault | Missed | ||
| Cole Caufield vs Lukas Dostal | Saved | ||
| Beckett Sennecke vs Samuel Montembeault | Saved | ||
| Nick Suzuki vs Lukas Dostal | Saved | ||
| Mason McTavish vs Samuel Montembeault | Saved | ||
| Kirby Dach vs Lukas Dostal | Saved | ||
| Cutter Gauthier vs Samuel Montembeault | Goal | ||
| Ivan Demidov vs Lukas Dostal | Goal | ||
| Chris Kreider vs Samuel Montembeault | Saved | ||
| Lane Hutson vs Lukas Dostal | No shot | ||
| Alex Killorn vs Samuel Montembeault | Goal | ||
| Oliver Kapanen vs Lukas Dostal | Saved | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MTL | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.79 | Expected goals | 3.39 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 2.19 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.55 |
| 67 | Shot attempts | 60 |
| 52 | Unblocked attempts | 45 |
| 28 | Shots on goal | 33 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:12 | MTL | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · MTL takes the lead, 61–39%
ANA had led since 9:38 of the 1st, by as much as 71% |
| 13:20 | MTL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced ANA 1.31–0.19
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:20 to 13:20 of the 2nd; goals 0–1 |
| 16:50 | ANA | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · ANA takes the lead, 61–39%
MTL had led since 13:12 of the 2nd, by as much as 62% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 13:04 | ANA | Goalie | Goalie · Dostal −2.1 goals saved
5 goals on 2.93 xG, 23 shots on goal |
| 18:09 | ANA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Dostal, down 5–4
With 1:51 left; ANA scored at 19:18 of the 3rd (5–5) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 23:08 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 0.70 | 0 | 1 | 21:13 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 | 19:48 |
| 71 | Jake Evans | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 | 17:14 |
| 77 | Kirby Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.40 | 0 | 2 | 16:58 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.25 | 5 | 1 | 15:54 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.49 | 0 | 1 | 15:11 |
| 15 | Alex Newhook | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.38 | 1 | 1 | 14:38 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 13:40 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 12:57 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.22 | 2 | 0 | 12:18 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:46 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 25:51 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 10 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 24:56 |
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 23:16 |
| 21 | Kaiden Guhle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 5 | 19:42 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 16:13 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 0 | 11:06 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Montembeault | 33 | 5 | 28 | .848 | 3.39 | -1.61 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 25 | Ryan Poehling | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 22:25 |
| 17 | Alex Killorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 20:10 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.80 | 2 | 1 | 19:41 |
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 9 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 | 18:04 |
| 22 | Chris Kreider | 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 7 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 17:40 |
| 91 | Leo Carlsson | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 17:30 |
| 42 | Tim Washe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 |
| 25 | Jeffrey Viel | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 12:36 |
| 77 | Frank Vatrano | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 11:11 |
| 49 | Ross Johnston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 0 | 10:43 |
| 83 | Mason McTavish | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 10:43 |
| 10 | Jansen Harkins | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.14 | 2 | 0 | 10:28 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 65 | Jacob Trouba | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 28:36 |
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.53 | 1 | 1 | 27:07 |
| 6 | Radko Gudas | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 19:11 |
| 8 | Olen Zellweger | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.06 | 0 | 3 | 18:26 |
| 98 | Pavel Mintyukov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 16:45 |
| 3 | Ian Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:04 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | 28 | 5 | 23 | .821 | 3.79 | -1.21 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +3.11 | +1.85 | +0.08 | +1.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 25:51 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | +2.58 | +1.40 | +0.10 | +1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 24:56 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +1.88 | +2.20 | +0.31 | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:48 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | +1.70 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.86 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 17:14 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +1.45 | +0.55 | +0.17 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:54 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +1.19 | +1.25 | +0.45 | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | — | 21:13 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +1.16 | +1.30 | +0.18 | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.02 | — | 23:08 |
| 77 Kirby Dach C | +1.12 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.61 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:58 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | +0.85 | +0.75 | +0.05 | +0.16 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:13 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:18 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 13:40 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.32 | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:11 |
| 15 Alex Newhook C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.49 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 14:38 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.20 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:57 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 11:06 |
| 21 Kaiden Guhle D | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.06 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.21 | — | 19:42 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.74 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:46 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | -1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:16 |
| 35 Samuel Montembeault G | -1.61 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.61 | 65:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Chris Kreider L | +3.77 | +2.55 | +0.21 | +1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 17:40 |
| 2 Jackson LaCombe D | +2.80 | +1.30 | +0.35 | +1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 27:07 |
| 61 Cutter Gauthier L | +2.75 | +1.45 | +0.31 | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 18:04 |
| 91 Leo Carlsson C | +2.41 | +1.45 | +0.23 | +0.96 | -0.15 | -0.06 | -0.02 | — | 17:30 |
| 65 Jacob Trouba D | +2.12 | +1.25 | +0.01 | +1.03 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 28:36 |
| 25 Ryan Poehling C | +0.95 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.35 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.05 | — | 22:25 |
| 45 Beckett Sennecke R | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.52 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:41 |
| 7 Radko Gudas D | +0.54 | +0.75 | +0.01 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:11 |
| 77 Frank Vatrano R | +0.36 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:11 |
| 17 Alex Killorn L | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 20:10 |
| 51 Olen Zellweger D | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 18:26 |
| 28 Jeffrey Viel L | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.20 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 12:36 |
| 42 Tim Washe C | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.03 | — | 14:10 |
| 44 Ross Johnston L | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 10:43 |
| 24 Jansen Harkins C | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.58 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 10:28 |
| 3 Ian Moore D | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:04 |
| 98 Pavel Mintyukov D | -0.76 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 16:45 |
| 23 Mason McTavish C | -0.83 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:43 |
| 1 Lukas Dostal G | -1.21 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.21 | 63:51 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.