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Washington CapitalsWSH 1–3 Final Boston BruinsBOS

Saturday, March 7, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH 010 1 23
Boston BruinsBOS 012 3 30
Playoff odds, % Change
BOS +6.1
WSH -3.9
OTT -1.0
DET -0.5
MTL -0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 7, 2026 11:54 AM EST.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
4:07 BOS Pavel Zacha (16)PP Charlie McAvoy (38), David Pastrnak (51) · bat xG 0.41 0–1 ▶
7:21 WSH Aliaksei Protas (21) Jakob Chychrun (28), Ryan Leonard (21) · tip-in xG 0.16 1–1 ▶
3rd Period
4:28 BOS Viktor Arvidsson (18) Casey Mittelstadt (19), Hampus Lindholm (17) · snap xG 0.31 1–2 ▶
19:36 BOS Elias Lindholm (12)EN David Pastrnak (52) · snap xG 0.72 1–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 39%Deserve to win61% BOS
WSHBOS
2.92Expected goals4.29
1Goals (no shootout)3
2.03Expected goals, 5 on 51.70
54Shot attempts66
40Unblocked attempts46
23Shots on goal30

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
9:40 BOS xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 1.13–0.08
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:40 of the 2nd to 9:40 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
17:42 WSH Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Thompson, down 2–1
With 2:18 left; BOS scored at 19:36 of the 3rd (1–3)

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ BOS shoots
Fraser Minten: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:26) David Pastrnak: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:10) Justin Sourdif: snap, 88 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:57) Aliaksei Protas: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:22) Jakob Chychrun: backhand, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:00) Alex Ovechkin: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 5:08) Ryan Leonard: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:15) Brandon Duhaime: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:34) Brandon Duhaime: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:36) Mark Kastelic: deflected, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:16) Tom Wilson: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:51) Elias Lindholm: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 8:45) Tom Wilson: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 9:02) Elias Lindholm: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 10:25) Elias Lindholm: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.33 (P1 10:27) Elias Lindholm: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 10:43) Elias Lindholm: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:44) Tom Wilson: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 10:54) David Pastrnak: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 11:17) David Pastrnak: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:03) Brandon Duhaime: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:44) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 15:25) Morgan Geekie: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:23) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 17:49) Rasmus Sandin: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:02) Hampus Lindholm: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:56) Tom Wilson: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.40 (P2 1:06) Ryan Leonard: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 1:52) Nikita Zadorov: snap, 182 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:06) David Pastrnak: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:21) Pavel Zacha: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 4:05) Brandon Duhaime: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:32) Trevor van Riemsdyk: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:44) Alex Ovechkin: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:09) Nikita Zadorov: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:47) Aliaksei Protas: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:28) Morgan Geekie: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:41) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 7:19) Jonathan Aspirot: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:31) Matt Roy: snap, 184 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:58) David Pastrnak: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:47) Martin Fehérváry: snap, 168 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:22) Viktor Arvidsson: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 9:40) Fraser Minten: bat, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:41) Casey Mittelstadt: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:20) Mark Kastelic: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 10:56) Charlie McAvoy: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:33) Alex Steeves: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:40) Aliaksei Protas: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:04) Charlie McAvoy: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:40) David Pastrnak: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:01) Nikita Zadorov: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:26) Justin Sourdif: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 16:23) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:39) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:46) Elias Lindholm: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:22) Alex Ovechkin: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:27) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:09) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:20) Pavel Zacha: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 0:46) Elias Lindholm: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 0:56) David Pastrnak: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:06) Fraser Minten: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:46) Hampus Lindholm: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:54) Fraser Minten: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:08) Charlie McAvoy: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:14) Elias Lindholm: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:52) Viktor Arvidsson: backhand, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:10) Viktor Arvidsson: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 7:26) Charlie McAvoy: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 8:02) Rasmus Sandin: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 8:19) Alex Steeves: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:14) Morgan Geekie: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:33) Matt Roy: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:19) Matt Roy: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:23) Connor McMichael: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 12:21) Dylan Strome: wrist, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 13:50) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:11) Morgan Geekie: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:55) Anthony Beauvillier: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:06) Alex Ovechkin: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:52) Alex Ovechkin: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:29) Pavel Zacha: GOAL, bat, 5 ft, xG 0.41 (P2 4:07) Aliaksei Protas: GOAL, tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 7:21) Viktor Arvidsson: GOAL, snap, 21 ft, xG 0.31 (P3 4:28) Elias Lindholm: GOAL, snap, 53 ft, xG 0.72 (P3 19:36)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
43 Tom Wilson 000 -2 60.88 1121:34
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois 000 -2 00.00 0018:39
8 Alex Ovechkin 000 -1 70.36 2018:22
21 Aliaksei Protas 101 -1 40.23 1018:19
17 Dylan Strome 000 -1 10.00 0017:37
77 Connor McMichael 000 0 20.17 1017:19
72 Anthony Beauvillier 000 0 10.04 1014:25
34 Justin Sourdif 000 +1 40.20 0113:45
9 Ryan Leonard 011 +1 30.15 1013:18
24 Brandon Duhaime 000 0 40.20 0009:44
53 Ethen Frank 000 0 20.00 0109:36
22 Hendrix Lapierre 000 0 00.00 0005:39
Defense
6 Jakob Chychrun 011 -1 110.52 2524:40
38 Rasmus Sandin 000 0 20.12 3120:51
42 Martin Fehérváry 000 0 20.00 1620:35
3 Matt Roy 000 0 40.02 5120:16
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk 000 0 10.03 0215:06
47 Declan Chisholm 000 0 00.00 0111:38
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Logan Thompson 29227 .931 3.57 +1.57

Boston Bruins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
28 Elias Lindholm 101 0 101.70 0021:36
88 David Pastrnak 022 +1 80.48 1020:56
39 Morgan Geekie 000 -1 60.19 1118:12
18 Pavel Zacha 101 +1 40.75 0015:44
93 Fraser Minten 000 0 50.12 3015:34
92 Marat Khusnutdinov 000 +1 00.00 1114:13
11 Casey Mittelstadt 011 +1 10.02 0013:57
33 Viktor Arvidsson 101 +1 50.54 1013:48
84 Tanner Jeannot 000 0 20.00 4113:14
47 Mark Kastelic 000 0 40.12 2212:37
52 Sean Kuraly 000 0 10.00 1112:36
21 Alex Steeves 000 -1 20.06 3010:31
Defense
73 Charlie McAvoy 011 +1 60.25 1225:52
91 Nikita Zadorov 000 0 60.05 0118:46
20 Andrew Peeke 000 0 00.00 1218:36
27 Hampus Lindholm 011 +1 30.01 1118:02
6 Mason Lohrei 000 0 10.00 0115:54
45 Jonathan Aspirot 000 0 20.02 1013:52
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jeremy Swayman 23122 .957 2.92 +1.92

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
6 Jakob Chychrun D +1.93 +0.70 +0.34 +0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 24:40
48 Logan Thompson G +1.57 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.57 58:06
9 Ryan Leonard R +1.01 +0.55 +0.09 +0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:18
38 Rasmus Sandin D +0.84 0.00 +0.08 +0.69 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 20:51
21 Aliaksei Protas L +0.66 +0.75 +0.15 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:19
43 Tom Wilson R +0.60 0.00 +0.57 +0.15 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 21:34
22 Brandon Duhaime L +0.46 0.00 +0.13 +0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:44
8 Alex Ovechkin L +0.44 0.00 +0.23 +0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:22
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D +0.35 0.00 +0.02 +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:06
29 Hendrix Lapierre C +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.25 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 5:39
17 Dylan Strome C +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.23 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 17:37
47 Declan Chisholm D +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 11:38
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois C -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.13 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 18:39
24 Connor McMichael L -0.05 0.00 +0.11 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:19
53 Ethen Frank R -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 9:36
34 Justin Sourdif C -0.06 0.00 +0.13 +0.08 -0.30 +0.02 +0.01 — 13:45
72 Anthony Beauvillier R -0.13 0.00 +0.03 -0.14 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 14:25
3 Matt Roy D -0.21 0.00 +0.02 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:16
42 Martin Fehérváry D -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.37 — 20:35

Boston Bruins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
1 Jeremy Swayman G +1.92 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.92 60:00
71 Viktor Arvidsson L +1.91 +0.75 +0.35 +0.83 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:48
18 Pavel Zacha C +1.72 +0.75 +0.48 +0.52 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 15:44
73 Charlie McAvoy D +1.35 +0.70 +0.16 +0.10 +0.30 0.00 +0.10 — 25:52
11 Casey Mittelstadt C +1.33 +0.70 +0.01 +0.66 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:57
28 Elias Lindholm C +1.32 +0.75 +1.10 -0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:36
88 David Pastrnak R +1.26 +1.25 +0.31 -0.15 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 20:56
27 Hampus Lindholm D +0.14 +0.55 +0.01 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 18:02
45 Jonathan Aspirot D +0.10 0.00 +0.01 +0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:52
93 Fraser Minten C +0.07 0.00 +0.08 +0.03 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 15:34
26 Andrew Peeke D +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:36
92 Marat Khusnutdinov C +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.17 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 14:13
84 Tanner Jeannot L -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.23 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 13:14
6 Mason Lohrei D -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:54
47 Mark Kastelic C -0.15 0.00 +0.08 -0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 12:37
52 Sean Kuraly C -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.37 0.00 +0.03 +0.01 — 12:36
91 Nikita Zadorov D -0.43 0.00 +0.03 -0.36 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 18:46
21 Alex Steeves C -0.45 0.00 +0.04 -0.62 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 10:31
39 Morgan Geekie C -0.56 0.00 +0.12 -0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:12

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.