Detroit Red WingsDET 3–4 Final Florida PanthersFLA

Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Detroit Red WingsDET	0	2	1	3	28
Florida PanthersFLA	1	0	3	4	28

Playoff odds, %	Change
DET	-6.1
FLA	+0.3
OTT	+1.7
BOS	+1.2
CBJ	+0.8
NYI	+0.6
MTL	+0.6

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 10, 2026 6:10 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
9:48	FLA	Vinnie Hinostroza (4) Jesper Boqvist (6), Gustav Forsling (20) · tip-in xG 0.05	0–1 ▶
2nd Period
3:54	DET	Patrick Kane (10) Moritz Seider (37), Alex DeBrincat (31) · snap xG 0.19	1–1 ▶
12:59	DET	Justin Faulk (12) Andrew Copp (29) · backhand xG 0.02	2–1 ▶
3rd Period
5:10	FLA	Niko Mikkola (3) Vinnie Hinostroza (8) · slap xG 0.04	2–2 ▶
6:32	DET	Marco Kasper (7) Emmitt Finnie (13), Justin Faulk (22) · snap xG 0.15	3–2 ▶
18:30	FLA	Carter Verhaeghe (18) Matthew Tkachuk (10) · wrist xG 0.05	3–3 ▶
19:45	FLA	Carter Verhaeghe (19) Matthew Tkachuk (11), Sam Bennett (26) · wrist xG 0.07	3–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DET 62%Deserve to win38% FLA

DET		FLA
3.18	Expected goals	2.50
3	Goals (no shootout)	4
2.50	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.73
55	Shot attempts	66
44	Unblocked attempts	45
28	Shots on goal	28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
5:30	DET	No shift	No shift · Copp, 23:41 on the bench No shift after 13:18 of the 2nd; 15 shifts (10:01) before that
13:20	DET	No shift	No shift · van Riemsdyk, 15:52 on the bench No shift from 3:18 to 19:45 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (8:16) before that
15:10	DET	No shift	No shift · Shine, 14:00 on the bench No shift after 5:10 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (7:03) before that
17:50	FLA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Tarasov, down 3–2 With 2:10 left; FLA scored at 18:30 of the 3rd (3–3)
19:45	DET	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Gibson, down 4–3 With 0:15 left; FLA scored at 19:45 of the 3rd (3–4)

Shot map

DET shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ FLA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Detroit Red Wings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
93	Alex DeBrincat	0	1	1	0	4	0.49	0	1	20:01
23	Lucas Raymond	0	0	0	-1	4	0.35	1	0	18:43
88	Patrick Kane	1	0	1	+1	3	0.31	0	0	18:01
37	J.T. Compher	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	0	1	17:30
22	Mason Appleton	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	0	2	16:44
92	Marco Kasper	1	0	1	0	6	0.52	4	1	16:26
27	Michael Rasmussen	0	0	0	-2	2	0.22	1	2	16:26
58	Emmitt Finnie	0	1	1	0	2	0.07	0	0	15:44
28	Michael Brandsegg-Nygård	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	4	0	12:07
18	Andrew Copp	0	1	1	+1	3	0.45	0	0	10:01
21	James van Riemsdyk	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	0	0	08:31
65	Dominik Shine	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	07:03
Defense
53	Moritz Seider	0	1	1	-1	6	0.09	0	4	25:40
77	Simon Edvinsson	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	0	2	21:20
72	Justin Faulk	1	1	2	-1	3	0.02	1	1	20:48
8	Ben Chiarot	0	0	0	+1	6	0.10	5	3	19:34
25	Jacob Bernard-Docker	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	1	15:12
20	Albert Johansson	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	0	0	14:24

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
John Gibson	28	4	24	.857	2.50	-1.50

Florida Panthers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
15	Anton Lundell	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	0	0	18:32
11	Mackie Samoskevich	0	0	0	0	6	0.28	6	0	17:40
23	Carter Verhaeghe	2	0	2	+1	6	0.25	1	0	17:09
9	Sam Bennett	0	1	1	+2	5	0.52	1	0	16:52
17	Evan Rodrigues	0	0	0	-2	3	0.01	0	0	16:21
19	Matthew Tkachuk	0	2	2	+2	9	0.15	0	0	15:52
18	A.J. Greer	0	0	0	-1	6	0.28	6	1	15:48
92	Tomas Nosek	0	0	0	-1	4	0.27	3	0	15:30
27	Eetu Luostarinen	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	1	1	14:05
70	Jesper Boqvist	0	1	1	+1	3	0.24	5	0	13:19
71	Luke Kunin	0	0	0	+2	2	0.00	1	1	11:10
18	Vinnie Hinostroza	1	1	2	+2	1	0.05	1	1	09:41
Defense
5	Aaron Ekblad	0	0	0	+1	3	0.02	1	1	21:42
42	Gustav Forsling	0	1	1	-1	5	0.03	0	1	20:36
73	Donovan Sebrango	0	0	0	+1	3	0.02	3	2	19:32
7	Dmitry Kulikov	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	0	19:03
77	Niko Mikkola	1	0	1	0	2	0.04	1	1	17:59
26	Uvis Balinskis	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	1	1	15:49

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Daniil Tarasov	28	3	25	.893	3.18	+0.18

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
88 Patrick Kane R	+2.33	+0.75	+0.20	+1.39	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:01
53 Moritz Seider D	+2.22	+0.70	+0.06	+1.28	0.00	0.00	+0.18	—	25:40
93 Alex DeBrincat R	+1.95	+0.55	+0.32	+1.18	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	20:01
18 Andrew Copp C	+1.77	+0.70	+0.29	+0.98	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	—	10:01
92 Marco Kasper C	+1.66	+0.75	+0.33	+0.51	0.00	+0.03	+0.03	—	16:26
77 Simon Edvinsson D	+1.32	0.00	+0.04	+1.38	-0.15	0.00	+0.04	—	21:20
58 Emmitt Finnie C	+1.30	+0.70	+0.05	+0.55	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	15:44
72 Justin Faulk D	+0.74	+1.30	+0.01	-0.58	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	20:48
37 J.T. Compher L	+0.56	0.00	+0.03	+0.44	0.00	+0.06	+0.03	—	17:30
8 Ben Chiarot D	+0.52	0.00	+0.07	+0.15	+0.15	0.00	+0.15	—	19:34
23 Lucas Raymond L	+0.05	0.00	+0.23	-0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:43
21 James van Riemsdyk L	+0.04	0.00	+0.14	-0.12	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	8:31
20 Albert Johansson D	+0.01	0.00	+0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	14:24
28 Michael Brandsegg-Nygård R	-0.04	0.00	+0.05	-0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:07
22 Mason Appleton C	-0.09	0.00	+0.06	-0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	16:44
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D	-0.49	0.00	+0.02	-0.58	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	15:12
27 Michael Rasmussen C	-0.75	0.00	+0.14	-1.10	+0.15	-0.05	+0.10	—	16:26
65 Dominik Shine R	-0.80	0.00	0.00	-0.78	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	7:03
36 John Gibson G	-1.50	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.50	59:45

Florida Panthers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
19 Matthew Tkachuk L	+1.42	+1.40	+0.10	-0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:52
23 Carter Verhaeghe C	+1.40	+1.50	+0.17	-0.26	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:09
24 Vinnie Hinostroza C	+1.29	+1.45	+0.03	-0.22	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	9:41
70 Jesper Boqvist C	+0.86	+0.70	+0.15	+0.08	0.00	-0.01	-0.06	—	13:19
9 Sam Bennett C	+0.85	+0.55	+0.34	+0.02	-0.15	+0.07	+0.02	—	16:52
6 Donovan Sebrango D	+0.75	0.00	+0.01	+0.64	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	19:32
11 Mackie Samoskevich R	+0.58	0.00	+0.18	+0.24	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	17:40
10 A.J. Greer L	+0.45	0.00	+0.18	+0.25	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	15:48
92 Tomas Nosek L	+0.42	0.00	+0.17	+0.28	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	15:30
77 Niko Mikkola D	+0.36	+0.75	+0.03	-0.61	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	17:59
7 Dmitry Kulikov D	+0.31	0.00	0.00	+0.33	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:03
71 Luke Kunin C	+0.23	0.00	0.00	+0.24	0.00	-0.06	+0.05	—	11:10
40 Daniil Tarasov G	+0.18	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.18	59:20
42 Gustav Forsling D	-0.30	+0.55	+0.02	-0.91	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	20:36
26 Uvis Balinskis D	-0.43	0.00	+0.05	-0.53	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:49
5 Aaron Ekblad D	-0.54	0.00	+0.02	-0.60	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	21:42
17 Evan Rodrigues C	-0.75	0.00	+0.01	-0.72	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	16:21
27 Eetu Luostarinen C	-1.04	0.00	+0.04	-1.10	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	14:05
15 Anton Lundell C	-1.08	0.00	+0.13	-1.27	0.00	+0.04	+0.02	—	18:32

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.