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Philadelphia FlyersPHI 3–2 Final/SO Minnesota WildMIN

Thursday, March 12, 2026

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 10101 3 27
Minnesota WildMIN 02000 2 23
Playoff odds, % Change
PHI +4.5
MIN +0.0
CBJ -1.3
NYI -0.6
DET -0.6
BOS -0.6
OTT -0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 12, 2026 7:51 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
18:35 PHI Emil Andrae (2) Trevor Zegras (32) · wrist xG 0.17 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
8:39 MIN Matt Boldy (37)PP Mats Zuccarello (27), Quinn Hughes (59) · wrist xG 0.07 1–1 ▶
17:50 MIN Kirill Kaprizov (38) Brock Faber (29), Quinn Hughes (60) · wrist xG 0.12 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
7:58 PHI Owen Tippett (22)SH Carl Grundstrom (4), Travis Sanheim (22) · slap xG 0.05 2–2 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
MIN Mats Zuccarello vs Dan Vladar Missed
PHI Matvei Michkov vs Jesper Wallstedt Saved
MIN Kirill Kaprizov vs Dan Vladar Missed
PHI Trevor Zegras vs Jesper Wallstedt Saved
MIN Matt Boldy vs Dan Vladar Saved
PHI Travis Konecny vs Jesper Wallstedt Goal

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 41%Deserve to win59% MIN
PHIMIN
2.42Expected goals2.90
2Goals (no shootout)2
1.55Expected goals, 5 on 52.12
52Shot attempts53
40Unblocked attempts40
27Shots on goal23

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MIN shoots
Travis Konecny: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:45) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:23) Travis Konecny: backhand, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:36) Owen Tippett: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:40) Emil Andrae: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:17) Jake Middleton: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:04) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 7:18) Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.32 (P1 7:57) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 8:18) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:28) Kirill Kaprizov: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:07) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:24) Owen Tippett: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:23) Christian Dvorak: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 12:47) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:55) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:01) Sean Couturier: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:18) Nick Seeler: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 14:02) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:37) Matt Boldy: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:37) Travis Konecny: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:59) Trevor Zegras: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 18:00) Danila Yurov: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 18:13) Owen Tippett: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:22) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 0:24) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:40) Danila Yurov: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 1:53) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:00) Michael McCarron: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 2:38) Matvei Michkov: backhand, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:01) Owen Tippett: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:27) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:17) Cam York: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:06) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:07) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 8:23) Vladimir Tarasenko: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:15) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:46) Zach Bogosian: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:37) Owen Tippett: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:43) Rasmus Ristolainen: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:17) Garnet Hathaway: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 14:03) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:48) Nick Seeler: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:20) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:36) Brock Faber: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:06) Brock Faber: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:25) Matt Boldy: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:11) Owen Tippett: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:14) Mats Zuccarello: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 19:50) Rasmus Ristolainen: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 0:24) Carl Grundstrom: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 0:27) Matvei Michkov: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:44) Joel Eriksson Ek: backhand, 79 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:35) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:05) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:44) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 7:35) Michael McCarron: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:18) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:03) Emil Andrae: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:16) Brock Faber: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:56) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:14) Jake Middleton: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:17) Brock Faber: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:04) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:14) Owen Tippett: wrist, 79 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:37) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:15) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 16:48) Matt Boldy: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:18) Jared Spurgeon: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:14) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 18:26) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 1:04) Travis Konecny: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 1:42) Travis Konecny: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 2:07) Matvei Michkov: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.21 (OT 2:12) Noah Cates: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (OT 2:27) Matt Boldy: wrist, 80 ft, xG 0.01 (OT 4:59) Emil Andrae: GOAL, wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 18:35) Matt Boldy: GOAL, wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:39) Kirill Kaprizov: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 17:50) Owen Tippett: GOAL, slap, 48 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:58)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Travis Konecny 000 0 50.17 1025:15
46 Trevor Zegras 011 0 70.32 0021:06
74 Owen Tippett 101 0 110.31 3120:25
22 Christian Dvorak 000 0 50.16 2019:27
39 Matvei Michkov 000 0 60.30 0015:56
27 Noah Cates 000 -1 10.18 1015:10
14 Sean Couturier 000 0 10.02 1014:28
20 Alex Bump 000 0 00.00 0013:27
91 Carl Grundstrom 011 +2 20.13 2013:17
17 Nikita Grebenkin 000 0 10.00 2012:50
86 Denver Barkey 000 +1 00.00 3012:13
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 10.23 0110:22
Defense
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 0 20.04 1124:23
6 Travis Sanheim 011 0 10.02 2224:05
8 Cam York 000 +1 10.04 0223:02
55 Rasmus Ristolainen 000 0 30.08 1121:26
24 Nick Seeler 000 0 20.11 1214:24
36 Emil Andrae 101 +1 30.31 1013:22
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 23221 .913 2.90 +0.90

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 101 +1 70.40 1024:52
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 000 0 50.44 3122:47
12 Matt Boldy 101 0 60.17 3020:43
36 Mats Zuccarello 011 0 50.39 0019:19
38 Ryan Hartman 000 -1 50.27 1016:29
90 Marcus Johansson 000 -1 00.00 0013:52
22 Danila Yurov 000 -2 20.30 0012:45
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 000 -2 30.17 2012:43
13 Yakov Trenin 000 +1 10.02 7011:49
47 Michael McCarron 000 0 30.14 4111:23
71 Nick Foligno 000 +1 00.00 2110:55
21 Robby Fabbri 000 -1 00.00 4008:27
Defense
43 Quinn Hughes 022 +1 40.08 0227:56
7 Brock Faber 011 0 50.11 1127:14
25 Jonas Brodin 000 0 10.00 0220:02
46 Jared Spurgeon 000 0 20.34 1119:24
55 Jake Middleton 000 -1 20.02 2218:05
24 Zach Bogosian 000 -1 20.05 1012:07
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jesper Wallstedt 27225 .926 2.42 +0.42

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
36 Emil Andrae D +1.40 +0.75 +0.20 +0.31 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 13:22
80 Dan Vladar G +0.90 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.90 64:33
91 Carl Grundstrom R +0.81 +0.70 +0.08 +0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:17
46 Trevor Zegras C +0.71 +0.70 +0.21 -0.26 +0.15 -0.11 +0.02 — 21:06
74 Owen Tippett R +0.60 +0.75 +0.20 -0.40 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 20:25
19 Garnet Hathaway R +0.40 0.00 +0.15 +0.19 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 10:22
52 Denver Barkey C +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:13
29 Nikita Grebenkin R +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 12:50
14 Sean Couturier C +0.23 0.00 +0.01 +0.20 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 14:28
24 Nick Seeler D +0.12 0.00 +0.07 -0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 14:24
6 Travis Sanheim D +0.03 +0.55 +0.01 -0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 24:05
27 Noah Cates L -0.12 0.00 +0.12 -0.19 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 15:10
8 Cam York D -0.13 0.00 +0.02 -0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 23:02
39 Matvei Michkov R -0.19 0.00 +0.19 -0.17 -0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 15:56
9 Jamie Drysdale D -0.22 0.00 +0.02 -0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 24:23
20 Alex Bump L -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:27
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D -0.36 0.00 +0.05 -0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:26
22 Christian Dvorak C -0.48 0.00 +0.11 -0.63 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 19:27
11 Travis Konecny R -1.04 0.00 +0.11 -0.99 -0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 25:15

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
43 Quinn Hughes D +2.08 +1.10 +0.05 +0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 27:57
7 Brock Faber D +1.64 +0.70 +0.07 +0.82 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 27:14
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +1.33 +0.75 +0.26 +0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 24:52
12 Matt Boldy L +1.31 +0.75 +0.11 +0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:43
36 Mats Zuccarello R +1.17 +0.70 +0.26 +0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:19
38 Ryan Hartman R +0.91 0.00 +0.17 +0.51 +0.15 +0.06 +0.02 — 16:29
46 Jared Spurgeon D +0.67 0.00 +0.22 +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:24
30 Jesper Wallstedt G +0.42 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.42 64:52
71 Nick Foligno L +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.20 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 10:55
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C +0.23 0.00 +0.29 -0.09 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 22:47
90 Marcus Johansson L +0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:52
13 Yakov Trenin C +0.19 0.00 +0.01 +0.21 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 11:49
47 Michael McCarron C +0.14 0.00 +0.09 +0.01 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 11:23
22 Danila Yurov R +0.14 0.00 +0.19 -0.09 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 12:45
25 Jonas Brodin D +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 20:02
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R 0.00 0.00 +0.11 -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:43
21 Robby Fabbri C -0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.09 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 8:27
5 Jake Middleton D -0.30 0.00 +0.02 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:05
24 Zach Bogosian D -0.37 0.00 +0.03 -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:07

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.