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Anaheim DucksANA 0–2 Final Ottawa SenatorsOTT

Saturday, March 14, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Anaheim DucksANA 000 0 24
Ottawa SenatorsOTT 020 2 28
Playoff odds, % Change
OTT +6.5
ANA -1.6
BOS -2.0
DET -1.6
CBJ -0.7
NYI -0.6
PHI -0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 14, 2026 11:34 AM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
3:54 OTT Michael Amadio (11) Shane Pinto (18), Nick Cousins (12) · wrist xG 0.16 0–1 ▶
9:21 OTT Thomas Chabot (7)SH Shane Pinto (19) · wrist xG 0.16 0–2 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

ANA 43%Deserve to win57% OTT
ANAOTT
3.36Expected goals4.33
0Goals (no shootout)2
2.10Expected goals, 5 on 52.78
61Shot attempts57
43Unblocked attempts43
24Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
12:38 OTT Goalie Goalie · Ullmark +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.01 xG, 12 shots on goal
3rd Period
17:27 ANA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Husso, down 2–0
With 2:33 left

Shot map

ANA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ OTT shoots
Drake Batherson: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:36) Claude Giroux: bat, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 2:51) Tim Stützle: poke, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 2:53) Mason McTavish: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:13) Michael Amadio: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:04) Tyler Kleven: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:14) Drake Batherson: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:47) Lars Eller: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 7:37) Nikolas Matinpalo: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:05) Chris Kreider: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:43) Drew Helleson: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:56) Pavel Mintyukov: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:09) Shane Pinto: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 13:05) Warren Foegele: bat, 4 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:06) Tim Washe: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 13:15) Warren Foegele: wrist, 93 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:30) Leo Carlsson: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:43) Ian Moore: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 13:52) Shane Pinto: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 14:56) Cutter Gauthier: slap, 23 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:56) Beckett Sennecke: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 16:18) Leo Carlsson: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 16:54) Tim Stützle: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:05) Michael Amadio: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 17:45) Olen Zellweger: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:06) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:13) Tim Stützle: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 19:28) Shane Pinto: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:48) Warren Foegele: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:55) Alex Killorn: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 0:44) Beckett Sennecke: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 2:16) Pavel Mintyukov: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:58) Frank Vatrano: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:00) Lars Eller: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:19) Lars Eller: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.29 (P2 4:21) Lars Eller: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:22) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 4:30) Ridly Greig: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 4:53) Jordan Spence: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:06) Jordan Spence: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:16) Jordan Spence: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:02) Mikael Granlund: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:16) Jansen Harkins: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 8:18) Beckett Sennecke: bat, 3 ft, xG 0.30 (P2 8:19) Chris Kreider: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 8:37) Beckett Sennecke: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:38) Jordan Spence: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 9:51) Drake Batherson: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 11:27) Drew Helleson: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:37) Chris Kreider: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:38) Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:18) Ian Moore: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:54) Ian Moore: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:18) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 14:52) Ryan Poehling: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:20) Drake Batherson: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 16:20) Tim Stützle: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:21) Nikolas Matinpalo: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:06) Tim Stützle: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 19:45) Jacob Trouba: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 0:21) Mason McTavish: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:30) Alex Killorn: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:26) Jacob Trouba: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:41) Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 4:37) Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 4:38) Frank Vatrano: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:43) Tyler Kleven: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:23) Drake Batherson: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:35) Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 9:38) Leo Carlsson: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 9:40) Jackson LaCombe: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:41) Jackson LaCombe: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:42) Drake Batherson: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 11:00) Brady Tkachuk: wrap-around, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 12:19) Alex Killorn: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:54) Drake Batherson: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:56) Drew Helleson: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:13) Thomas Chabot: backhand, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:33) Chris Kreider: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:44) Dylan Cozens: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 16:37) Artem Zub: wrist, 121 ft, xG 0.51 (P3 17:51) Jacob Trouba: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:41) Jeffrey Viel: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 19:33) Ryan Poehling: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:35) Michael Amadio: GOAL, wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:54) Thomas Chabot: GOAL, wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 9:21)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Anaheim Ducks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
45 Beckett Sennecke 000 -1 71.16 2019:54
91 Leo Carlsson 000 -2 80.29 0119:33
64 Mikael Granlund 000 0 10.04 0019:15
61 Cutter Gauthier 000 -2 50.08 3019:12
22 Chris Kreider 000 -2 40.15 2018:55
25 Ryan Poehling 000 0 30.04 0116:00
17 Alex Killorn 000 0 50.30 2015:29
83 Mason McTavish 000 0 30.07 5012:01
25 Jeffrey Viel 000 0 10.14 2111:05
42 Tim Washe 000 0 30.18 1008:40
10 Jansen Harkins 000 0 10.18 3108:16
77 Frank Vatrano 000 0 30.11 0008:05
Defense
65 Jacob Trouba 000 -1 30.11 0125:39
2 Jackson LaCombe 000 -2 20.12 2121:25
8 Olen Zellweger 000 0 20.02 0319:19
98 Pavel Mintyukov 000 0 30.03 1217:43
3 Ian Moore 000 0 40.20 0117:25
14 Drew Helleson 000 0 30.13 1014:35
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ville Husso 28226 .929 3.81 +1.81

Ottawa Senators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 Tim Stützle 000 +1 50.48 1021:55
8 Brady Tkachuk 000 0 30.33 3017:59
19 Drake Batherson 000 0 90.57 2017:42
24 Dylan Cozens 000 0 70.23 2017:42
71 Ridly Greig 000 0 20.17 3117:21
12 Shane Pinto 022 +2 30.27 1117:19
22 Michael Amadio 101 +1 30.40 1016:12
28 Claude Giroux 000 0 10.15 1014:33
21 Nick Cousins 011 +1 00.00 1011:26
37 Warren Foegele 000 0 40.17 1009:45
20 Fabian Zetterlund 000 0 00.00 1009:01
20 Lars Eller 000 0 40.51 0007:13
Defense
72 Thomas Chabot 101 +2 40.17 1427:24
10 Jordan Spence 000 0 50.23 0222:55
2 Artem Zub 000 +1 20.51 2220:23
43 Tyler Kleven 000 0 20.05 0220:15
33 Nikolas Matinpalo 000 +1 30.08 1212:20
44 Dennis Gilbert 000 0 00.00 2310:35
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Linus Ullmark 24024 1.000 3.36 +3.36

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Anaheim Ducks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
33 Ville Husso G +1.81 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.81 57:29
45 Beckett Sennecke R +1.61 0.00 +0.75 +0.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:54
24 Jansen Harkins C +0.87 0.00 +0.12 +0.54 +0.15 +0.01 +0.05 — 8:16
91 Leo Carlsson C +0.62 0.00 +0.19 +0.26 +0.15 -0.03 +0.05 — 19:33
3 Ian Moore D +0.61 0.00 +0.13 +0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:25
64 Mikael Granlund C +0.37 0.00 +0.03 +0.47 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 19:15
2 Jackson LaCombe D +0.07 0.00 +0.08 -0.19 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 21:25
51 Olen Zellweger D -0.13 0.00 +0.01 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 19:19
42 Tim Washe C -0.15 0.00 +0.12 -0.14 -0.15 +0.02 0.00 — 8:40
77 Frank Vatrano R -0.15 0.00 +0.07 -0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:05
28 Jeffrey Viel L -0.26 0.00 +0.09 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 11:05
98 Pavel Mintyukov D -0.27 0.00 +0.02 -0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:43
23 Mason McTavish C -0.31 0.00 +0.04 -0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:01
14 Drew Helleson D -0.38 0.00 +0.08 -0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:35
17 Alex Killorn L -0.47 0.00 +0.20 -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:29
20 Chris Kreider L -0.62 0.00 +0.10 -0.66 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 18:55
25 Ryan Poehling C -0.95 0.00 +0.03 -1.10 0.00 +0.07 +0.05 — 16:00
61 Cutter Gauthier L -1.03 0.00 +0.05 -0.95 -0.15 +0.04 -0.02 — 19:12
65 Jacob Trouba D -1.06 0.00 +0.07 -1.14 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 25:39

Ottawa Senators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
35 Linus Ullmark G +3.36 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +3.36 60:00
12 Shane Pinto C +1.78 +1.40 +0.18 +0.13 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 17:19
72 Thomas Chabot D +1.71 +0.75 +0.11 +0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.22 — 27:24
19 Drake Batherson R +1.32 0.00 +0.37 +0.97 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:42
18 Tim Stützle C +1.15 0.00 +0.31 +0.81 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 21:55
22 Michael Amadio R +0.79 +0.75 +0.26 -0.32 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 16:12
28 Claude Giroux R +0.68 0.00 +0.10 +0.62 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 14:33
20 Fabian Zetterlund L +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.50 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 9:01
33 Nikolas Matinpalo D +0.52 0.00 +0.05 +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 12:20
6 Dennis Gilbert D +0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 10:35
37 Warren Foegele L +0.41 0.00 +0.11 +0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:45
89 Lars Eller C +0.40 0.00 +0.33 +0.22 -0.15 -0.02 +0.02 — 7:13
10 Jordan Spence D +0.40 0.00 +0.15 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 22:55
24 Dylan Cozens C +0.35 0.00 +0.15 +0.31 0.00 -0.04 -0.06 — 17:42
2 Artem Zub D +0.26 0.00 +0.33 -0.02 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 20:23
7 Brady Tkachuk L +0.26 0.00 +0.22 +0.14 0.00 -0.06 -0.04 — 17:59
21 Nick Cousins C +0.24 +0.55 0.00 -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 11:26
43 Tyler Kleven D -0.01 0.00 +0.03 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 20:15
71 Ridly Greig C -0.22 0.00 +0.11 -0.35 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 17:21

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.