Sunday, March 22, 2026
How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 22, 2026 8:13 PM EDT.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
LAK 50%Deserve to win 50% UTA
LAK UTA
3.24 Expected goals 3.26
3 Goals (no shootout) 4
2.84 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.56
79 Shot attempts 62
57 Unblocked attempts 47
36 Shots on goal 34
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
10:30
UTA
No shift
No shift · Schmidt, 17:26 on the bench
No shift after 18:18 of the 2nd; 15 shifts (12:26) before that
Shot map
LAK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → UTA shoots
Mikey Anderson: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:12)
Sean Durzi: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:34)
JJ Peterka: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:53)
Kailer Yamamoto: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:00)
Trevor Moore: snap, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:46)
Nick Schmaltz: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 3:04)
Lawson Crouse: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 3:06)
Jack McBain: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:50)
Nate Schmidt: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:24)
Scott Laughton: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 4:38)
Scott Laughton: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:48)
Drew Doughty: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:59)
Quinton Byfield: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 7:11)
Kevin Stenlund: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 8:38)
Ian Cole: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 8:40)
Lawson Crouse: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:12)
Brandt Clarke: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:43)
MacKenzie Weegar: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:53)
Kailer Yamamoto: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:00)
Lawson Crouse: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:00)
Joel Edmundson: wrist, 176 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:06)
Michael Carcone: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:55)
Barrett Hayton: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:06)
Clayton Keller: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 13:26)
Scott Laughton: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 16:13)
Quinton Byfield: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 16:50)
Nick Schmaltz: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:09)
Jared Wright: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 18:28)
Cody Ceci: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:38)
Mathieu Joseph: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:39)
John Marino: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:04)
Brandt Clarke: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:26)
Trevor Moore: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:15)
Brandt Clarke: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:32)
Anze Kopitar: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:47)
Brian Dumoulin: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:27)
Scott Laughton: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:30)
Trevor Moore: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:39)
Joel Edmundson: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:16)
Brandt Clarke: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:41)
Jack McBain: slap, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:58)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 6:27)
Trevor Moore: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:51)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 8:16)
Ian Cole: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:30)
Ian Cole: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 9:10)
Joel Edmundson: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 9:50)
Brandt Clarke: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 9:58)
Logan Cooley: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:10)
Clayton Keller: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 12:43)
Brian Dumoulin: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:57)
Alex Turcotte: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:11)
Clayton Keller: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:06)
Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 16:11)
Brandt Clarke: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:45)
Anze Kopitar: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:49)
Mathieu Joseph: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:13)
Dylan Guenther: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:19)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:32)
Trevor Moore: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:45)
Joel Edmundson: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:48)
Alex Laferriere: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:49)
Artemi Panarin: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 19:31)
Dylan Guenther: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:24)
Clayton Keller: slap, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:54)
Clayton Keller: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:02)
Nick Schmaltz: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 1:04)
Kevin Stenlund: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:37)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:55)
Nick Schmaltz: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:05)
Jack McBain: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 4:48)
Mikhail Sergachev: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:38)
Dylan Guenther: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:09)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:20)
Drew Doughty: tip-in, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:30)
Adrian Kempe: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 7:32)
Mikey Anderson: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:51)
Clayton Keller: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 8:20)
Ian Cole: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:32)
Joel Armia: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:23)
Jack McBain: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 11:02)
Quinton Byfield: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 11:19)
Michael Carcone: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 11:56)
Michael Carcone: poke, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:57)
Artemi Panarin: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 12:14)
Scott Laughton: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:13)
Trevor Moore: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:02)
Quinton Byfield: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 14:19)
Lawson Crouse: snap, 167 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:25)
Artemi Panarin: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:03)
Brandt Clarke: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 15:05)
Anze Kopitar: poke, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:06)
Alexander Kerfoot: snap, 179 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:11)
Artemi Panarin: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:47)
MacKenzie Weegar: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:05)
Artemi Panarin: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 19:59)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 1:17)
Lawson Crouse: GOAL, snap, 13 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 7:04)
Alex Laferriere: GOAL, snap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 7:40)
Lawson Crouse: GOAL, snap, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 9:19)
Quinton Byfield: GOAL, snap, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:47)
Nick Schmaltz: GOAL, bat, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:11)
Artemi Panarin: GOAL, wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:30)
Nick Schmaltz: GOAL, snap, 22 ft, xG 0.19 (OT 1:46)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Los Angeles Kings
Utah Mammoth
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Los Angeles Kings
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
55 Quinton Byfield R
+2.35
+1.45
+0.30
+0.42
+0.15
+0.05
-0.02
—
21:01
10 Artemi Panarin L
+1.60
+0.75
+0.22
+0.60
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
20:58
8 Drew Doughty D
+1.07
+0.70
+0.01
+0.32
0.00
0.00
+0.04
—
27:51
14 Alex Laferriere R
+1.03
+0.75
+0.19
+0.10
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
20:48
92 Brandt Clarke D
+0.93
0.00
+0.21
+0.59
0.00
0.00
+0.13
—
20:44
12 Trevor Moore L
+0.92
0.00
+0.37
+0.55
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
20:04
6 Joel Edmundson D
+0.77
0.00
+0.12
+0.64
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
20:08
11 Anze Kopitar C
+0.64
0.00
+0.11
+0.39
0.00
+0.01
+0.12
—
20:10
17 Mathieu Joseph R
+0.42
0.00
+0.02
+0.41
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
12:17
9 Adrian Kempe R
+0.40
0.00
+0.11
+0.33
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
18:21
21 Scott Laughton C
+0.35
0.00
+0.28
0.00
0.00
+0.02
+0.06
—
14:53
44 Mikey Anderson D
-0.05
0.00
+0.02
+0.06
-0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
24:18
53 Jared Wright R
-0.10
0.00
+0.07
-0.17
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:14
15 Alex Turcotte C
-0.41
0.00
+0.03
-0.50
0.00
+0.01
+0.05
—
6:51
5 Cody Ceci D
-0.44
0.00
+0.01
-0.43
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
13:56
79 Samuel Helenius C
-0.47
0.00
0.00
-0.50
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
6:30
2 Brian Dumoulin D
-0.52
0.00
+0.03
-0.56
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
12:59
40 Joel Armia R
-0.65
0.00
+0.01
-0.70
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
8:15
35 Darcy Kuemper G
-0.74
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.74
61:46
Utah Mammoth
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
67 Lawson Crouse L
+3.20
+2.05
+0.41
+0.65
0.00
-0.01
+0.10
—
17:41
8 Nick Schmaltz C
+2.61
+1.50
+0.45
+0.63
0.00
-0.08
+0.11
—
15:59
9 Clayton Keller R
+1.63
+0.70
+0.39
+0.51
+0.15
0.00
-0.12
—
16:44
82 Kevin Stenlund C
+1.57
+1.10
+0.14
+0.25
0.00
+0.02
+0.06
—
15:11
15 Alexander Kerfoot C
+1.08
+0.70
0.00
+0.31
0.00
+0.02
+0.05
—
12:30
50 Sean Durzi D
+0.75
0.00
+0.02
+0.63
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
20:12
28 Ian Cole D
+0.53
0.00
+0.23
+0.40
-0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
19:22
6 John Marino D
+0.46
+0.70
+0.01
-0.42
0.00
0.00
+0.17
—
23:17
70 Karel Vejmelka G
+0.24
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.24
61:46
98 Mikhail Sergachev D
+0.19
+0.70
0.00
-0.54
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
23:35
22 Jack McBain C
+0.11
0.00
+0.19
-0.10
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
14:31
56 Kailer Yamamoto R
+0.10
0.00
+0.03
+0.01
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
12:12
53 Michael Carcone L
-0.17
0.00
+0.11
-0.28
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
14:38
52 MacKenzie Weegar D
-0.19
0.00
+0.01
-0.39
0.00
0.00
+0.18
—
21:20
27 Barrett Hayton C
-0.40
0.00
+0.01
-0.37
0.00
-0.05
+0.02
—
17:29
88 Nate Schmidt D
-0.40
0.00
+0.01
-0.41
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
12:26
77 JJ Peterka R
-0.66
0.00
+0.02
-0.74
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
14:20
92 Logan Cooley C
-0.76
0.00
+0.03
-0.81
0.00
+0.02
+0.01
—
16:22
11 Dylan Guenther R
-0.80
0.00
+0.05
-0.88
0.00
+0.01
+0.02
—
15:29
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.