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Seattle KrakenSEA 4–5 Final/SO Florida PanthersFLA

Tuesday, March 24, 2026

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Seattle KrakenSEA 00400 4 27
Florida PanthersFLA 01301 5 24
Playoff odds, % Change
SEA -5.8
FLA +0.0
NSH +1.5
EDM +1.3
VGK +1.1
LAK +0.7
SJS +0.6

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 24, 2026 6:43 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
2:32 FLA Nolan Foote (1) Noah Gregor (3), Gustav Forsling (22) · snap xG 0.20 0–1 ▶
3rd Period
5:16 FLA Eetu Luostarinen (9) Vinnie Hinostroza (9), Evan Rodrigues (20) · deflected xG 0.15 0–2 ▶
7:37 FLA Carter Verhaeghe (21) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.05 0–3 ▶
8:10 SEA Ryker Evans (8) Jordan Eberle (28), Berkly Catton (8) · slap xG 0.02 1–3 ▶
12:21 FLA Noah Gregor (2) Unassisted · xG 0.16 1–4 ▶
14:17 SEA Matty Beniers (19) Brandon Montour (21), Adam Larsson (15) · wrist xG 0.15 2–4 ▶
16:24 SEA Jordan Eberle (23) Unassisted · snap xG 0.18 3–4 ▶
16:38 SEA Bobby McMann (24) Unassisted · snap xG 0.20 4–4 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
FLA Sam Bennett vs Joey Daccord Saved
SEA Frederick Gaudreau vs Sergei Bobrovsky Saved
FLA Vinnie Hinostroza vs Joey Daccord Goal
SEA Bobby McMann vs Sergei Bobrovsky Saved
FLA Matthew Tkachuk vs Joey Daccord Saved
SEA Jordan Eberle vs Sergei Bobrovsky Saved

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SEA 45%Deserve to win55% FLA
SEAFLA
2.77Expected goals3.03
4Goals (no shootout)4
2.31Expected goals, 5 on 51.96
54Shot attempts58
41Unblocked attempts38
27Shots on goal24

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
19:50 SEA No shift No shift · Melanson, 14:55 on the bench
No shift from 9:43 of the 2nd to 4:38 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (4:48) before that
3rd Period
3:50 SEA No shift No shift · Meyers, 10:53 on the bench
No shift from 13:45 of the 2nd to 4:38 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (7:07) before that

Shot map

SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ FLA shoots
Jesper Boqvist: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:18) Eetu Luostarinen: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:23) Jamie Oleksiak: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 2:06) Ben Meyers: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:28) Adam Larsson: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:27) Gustav Forsling: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 9:25) Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 9:46) Mike Benning: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:07) Noah Gregor: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:16) Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 14:45) Bobby McMann: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:02) Noah Gregor: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 15:39) Mike Benning: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 15:41) Sam Bennett: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:27) Jesper Boqvist: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:31) Evan Rodrigues: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:32) Vince Dunn: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:46) Jesper Boqvist: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:06) Eetu Luostarinen: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:17) Matty Beniers: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:35) Vince Dunn: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:48) Adam Larsson: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:58) Adam Larsson: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:20) Bobby McMann: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:26) Brandon Montour: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:03) Matty Beniers: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 6:21) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 167 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:19) Matthew Tkachuk: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.35 (P2 7:37) Adam Larsson: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:13) Vinnie Hinostroza: backhand, 28 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:55) Seth Jones: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:00) Brandon Montour: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 12:36) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:47) Donovan Sebrango: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:18) Noah Gregor: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:26) Adam Larsson: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:38) Frederick Gaudreau: slap, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:43) Matthew Tkachuk: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:43) Brandon Montour: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:53) Tomas Nosek: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 17:03) Tomas Nosek: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 17:04) Adam Larsson: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:33) Dmitry Kulikov: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:16) Berkly Catton: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 1:54) Shane Wright: wrist, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:42) Noah Gregor: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:05) Brandon Montour: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:13) Vince Dunn: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:18) Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:19) Bobby McMann: backhand, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 8:13) Gustav Forsling: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:31) Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:09) Vince Dunn: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:19) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:33) Sam Bennett: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 10:20) Bobby McMann: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 10:55) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 149 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:10) Aaron Ekblad: wrist, 166 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:47) Matty Beniers: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:04) Bobby McMann: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:34) Noah Gregor: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:44) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 17:00) Matthew Tkachuk: slap, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 0:19) Sam Bennett: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (OT 0:36) Vince Dunn: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.18 (OT 1:24) Vinnie Hinostroza: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 2:42) Chandler Stephenson: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.26 (OT 3:20) Matthew Tkachuk: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 3:42) Evan Rodrigues: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.19 (OT 4:40) Seth Jones: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 4:42) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (OT 4:55) Nolan Foote: GOAL, snap, 9 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 2:32) Eetu Luostarinen: GOAL, deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 5:16) Carter Verhaeghe: GOAL, wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:37) Ryker Evans: GOAL, slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:10) Noah Gregor: GOAL, shot, 36 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 12:21) Matty Beniers: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 14:17) Jordan Eberle: GOAL, snap, 16 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 16:24) Bobby McMann: GOAL, snap, 18 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 16:38)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Seattle Kraken

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
10 Matty Beniers 101 +2 40.41 0222:52
74 Bobby McMann 101 +1 80.44 3122:19
9 Chandler Stephenson 000 +1 20.26 0022:11
7 Jordan Eberle 112 +2 60.38 0121:59
27 Berkly Catton 011 +1 10.12 0019:59
89 Frederick Gaudreau 000 -1 40.20 2017:43
84 Kaapo Kakko 000 +1 30.17 1017:09
17 Eeli Tolvanen 000 -1 20.00 2315:54
51 Shane Wright 000 -2 10.00 0114:47
59 Ben Meyers 000 -2 10.01 1009:12
63 Jacob Melanson 000 -2 00.00 0105:49
Defense
62 Brandon Montour 011 -1 50.18 2326:46
29 Vince Dunn 000 0 60.26 0122:33
6 Adam Larsson 011 +1 80.22 0321:15
55 Ryan Lindgren 000 -2 00.00 1018:05
41 Ryker Evans 101 +2 10.02 0015:26
4 Jamie Oleksiak 000 0 10.09 0011:23
8 Cale Fleury 000 0 10.00 3207:54
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joey Daccord 24421 .875 3.03 -0.97

Florida Panthers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
27 Eetu Luostarinen 101 -1 40.24 3020:34
19 Matthew Tkachuk 000 0 50.63 1019:59
17 Evan Rodrigues 011 -1 50.22 0119:46
9 Sam Bennett 000 0 60.21 0018:59
70 Jesper Boqvist 000 -2 40.12 4117:47
23 Carter Verhaeghe 101 0 20.05 1017:47
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 011 0 20.16 0015:30
92 Tomas Nosek 000 -1 20.23 2014:35
29 Cole Reinhardt 000 -1 00.00 9112:26
0 Nolan Foote 101 +2 10.20 3010:47
73 Noah Gregor 112 +2 80.47 0010:26
71 Luke Kunin 000 +2 10.00 4010:18
Defense
42 Gustav Forsling 011 +1 40.16 2024:06
3 Seth Jones 000 0 20.09 1223:07
5 Aaron Ekblad 000 0 20.00 2121:54
7 Dmitry Kulikov 000 -1 30.04 0120:31
73 Donovan Sebrango 000 0 20.02 2417:53
20 Mike Benning 000 0 50.20 0116:35
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Sergei Bobrovsky 27423 .852 2.77 -1.23

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Seattle Kraken

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
7 Jordan Eberle R +2.91 +1.45 +0.25 +1.04 +0.15 -0.01 +0.03 — 21:59
10 Matty Beniers C +2.05 +0.75 +0.27 +0.99 0.00 -0.03 +0.08 — 22:52
6 Adam Larsson D +2.01 +0.55 +0.14 +1.17 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 21:15
74 Bobby McMann C +1.64 +0.75 +0.29 +0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 22:19
27 Berkly Catton C +1.37 +0.55 +0.08 +0.73 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 19:59
41 Ryker Evans D +1.01 +0.75 +0.02 +0.44 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 15:26
29 Vince Dunn D +0.94 0.00 +0.17 +0.74 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:33
9 Chandler Stephenson C +0.53 0.00 +0.17 +0.31 0.00 +0.05 0.00 — 22:11
84 Kaapo Kakko R +0.39 0.00 +0.11 +0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:09
8 Cale Fleury D +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 7:54
62 Brandon Montour D +0.13 +0.70 +0.12 -0.80 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 26:46
20 Eeli Tolvanen R 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 15:54
24 Jamie Oleksiak D -0.06 0.00 +0.06 -0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:23
89 Frederick Gaudreau C -0.12 0.00 +0.13 -0.29 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 17:43
51 Shane Wright C -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:47
55 Ryan Lindgren D -0.83 0.00 0.00 -0.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:05
59 Ben Meyers C -0.89 0.00 0.00 -0.92 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 9:12
35 Joey Daccord G -0.97 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.97 64:44
63 Jacob Melanson R -0.97 0.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 5:49

Florida Panthers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
18 Noah Gregor L +2.80 +1.45 +0.30 +1.02 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 10:26
25 Nolan Foote L +1.75 +0.75 +0.13 +0.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:47
71 Luke Kunin C +1.04 0.00 0.00 +1.09 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 10:18
20 Mike Benning D +0.71 0.00 +0.13 +0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:35
24 Vinnie Hinostroza C +0.67 +0.70 +0.10 -0.13 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 15:30
42 Gustav Forsling D +0.62 +0.55 +0.10 +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 24:06
23 Carter Verhaeghe C +0.49 +0.75 +0.03 -0.28 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 17:47
27 Eetu Luostarinen C +0.40 +0.75 +0.15 -0.67 +0.15 +0.03 -0.02 — 20:34
19 Matthew Tkachuk L +0.25 0.00 +0.41 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:59
6 Donovan Sebrango D +0.10 0.00 +0.01 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 17:53
17 Evan Rodrigues C +0.04 +0.55 +0.15 -0.69 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 19:46
3 Seth Jones D -0.07 0.00 +0.06 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 23:07
9 Sam Bennett C -0.19 0.00 +0.13 -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:59
29 Cole Reinhardt L -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:26
92 Tomas Nosek L -0.36 0.00 +0.15 -0.48 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 14:35
7 Dmitry Kulikov D -0.44 0.00 +0.02 -0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:31
5 Aaron Ekblad D -0.63 0.00 0.00 -0.53 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 21:54
70 Jesper Boqvist C -1.00 0.00 +0.08 -1.12 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 17:47
72 Sergei Bobrovsky G -1.23 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.23 65:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.