Edmonton OilersEDM 5–2 Final Utah MammothUTA

Tuesday, March 24, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Edmonton OilersEDM 131 5 26
Utah MammothUTA 110 2 18
Playoff odds, % Change
EDM +6.8
UTA -1.2
LAK -1.4
SEA -1.1
NSH -1.0
SJS -0.9
VGK -0.9

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 24, 2026 8:47 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
11:12 UTA Alexander Kerfoot (3) Sean Durzi (19), Ian Cole (17) · snap xG 0.02 0–1 ▶
14:27 EDM Jack Roslovic (18) Jake Walman (11), Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (34) · wrist xG 0.05 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
11:24 EDM Matt Savoie (12)SH Evan Bouchard (61), Adam Henrique (11) · wrist xG 0.13 2–1 ▶
11:59 UTA Lawson Crouse (20)PP Michael Carcone (13), MacKenzie Weegar (20) · snap xG 0.22 2–2 ▶
12:07 EDM Connor McDavid (39) Mattias Ekholm (32), Evan Bouchard (62) · wrist xG 0.12 3–2 ▶
15:04 EDM Jack Roslovic (19) Zach Hyman (18), Evan Bouchard (63) · wrist xG 0.05 4–2 ▶
3rd Period
19:52 EDM Connor McDavid (40)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.94 5–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

EDM 64%Deserve to win36% UTA
EDMUTA
3.36Expected goals1.70
5Goals (no shootout)2
2.21Expected goals, 5 on 51.22
62Shot attempts59
42Unblocked attempts33
26Shots on goal18

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
15:04 UTA Goalie Goalie · Vejmelka −2.3 goals saved
4 goals on 1.67 xG, 13 shots on goal
20:00 UTA Goalie change Goalie change · Vanecek in for Vejmelka
The start of the 3rd; Vejmelka had allowed 4 goals on 15 shots (1.82 xG)
3rd Period
17:20 UTA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Vanecek, down 4–2
With 2:40 left; EDM scored at 19:52 of the 3rd (5–2)

Shot map

EDM shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ UTA shoots
Jack Roslovic: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:24) Michael Carcone: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:55) Matt Savoie: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:35) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:55) Michael Carcone: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:40) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:33) Evan Bouchard: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:39) Logan Cooley: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:58) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:03) Matt Savoie: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:31) Matt Savoie: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 13:40) Jack Roslovic: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:36) Kailer Yamamoto: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 17:31) Alexander Kerfoot: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 18:06) Connor McDavid: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:27) Evan Bouchard: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:32) Sean Durzi: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:33) Connor McDavid: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 0:26) Darnell Nurse: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:29) Kasperi Kapanen: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:14) Jack Roslovic: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:19) Logan Cooley: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:40) Clayton Keller: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:40) Clayton Keller: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:48) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 3:53) JJ Peterka: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:57) Nate Schmidt: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:08) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:29) Darnell Nurse: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:49) Kasperi Kapanen: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:47) Evan Bouchard: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 7:22) Matt Savoie: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:15) Josh Samanski: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:20) Kasperi Kapanen: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:23) Zach Hyman: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 15:00) MacKenzie Weegar: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:27) Lawson Crouse: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 15:29) John Marino: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:34) John Marino: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 15:54) Connor McDavid: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:36) Darnell Nurse: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:40) Kevin Stenlund: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:13) Michael Carcone: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:23) Clayton Keller: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:41) Nick Schmaltz: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:10) Lawson Crouse: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:32) Jack McBain: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:33) Connor Murphy: snap, 132 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:56) Clayton Keller: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 2:32) Sean Durzi: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:28) Kailer Yamamoto: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:29) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:09) Zach Hyman: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:48) Connor Murphy: poke, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:53) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:00) Nate Schmidt: snap, 147 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:23) Matt Savoie: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 7:48) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:05) Roby Jarventie: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 8:52) Jake Walman: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 8:54) Ty Emberson: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:48) Jake Walman: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:53) Evan Bouchard: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:08) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:50) Michael Carcone: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:58) Logan Cooley: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:42) Clayton Keller: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:47) Dylan Guenther: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:14) Alexander Kerfoot: GOAL, snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:12) Jack Roslovic: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:27) Matt Savoie: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:24) Lawson Crouse: GOAL, snap, 16 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 11:59) Connor McDavid: GOAL, wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 12:07) Jack Roslovic: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:04) Connor McDavid: GOAL, wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.94 (P3 19:52)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Connor McDavid 202 +2 51.27 0120:42
92 Vasily Podkolzin 000 +1 10.00 1017:44
18 Zach Hyman 011 +3 30.19 7017:42
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 011 +3 20.10 0317:08
22 Matt Savoie 101 +2 80.59 1017:04
16 Jason Dickinson 000 0 20.00 1116:36
42 Kasperi Kapanen 000 0 30.17 3016:03
96 Jack Roslovic 202 +2 70.21 1115:44
81 Josh Samanski 000 0 10.09 1110:43
19 Adam Henrique 011 0 20.00 0110:04
15 Roby Jarventie 000 -1 10.11 0208:52
46 Max Jones 000 -1 10.00 1008:32
Defense
2 Evan Bouchard 033 +4 90.22 0323:04
25 Darnell Nurse 000 -1 60.09 2221:42
5 Connor Murphy 000 -1 20.03 0221:05
14 Mattias Ekholm 011 +4 40.12 1021:00
96 Jake Walman 011 +1 20.16 0417:43
49 Ty Emberson 000 +1 30.02 0315:33
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Tristan Jarry 18216 .889 1.70 -0.30

Utah Mammoth

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Clayton Keller 000 -2 70.21 0122:48
11 Dylan Guenther 000 -2 60.04 1022:12
92 Logan Cooley 000 -2 40.13 1119:30
67 Lawson Crouse 101 -1 30.45 2219:14
8 Nick Schmaltz 000 -2 30.16 0018:44
22 Jack McBain 000 -1 10.06 3116:30
10 JJ Peterka 000 0 30.05 0115:45
53 Michael Carcone 011 0 50.14 3015:40
56 Kailer Yamamoto 000 0 30.08 0013:38
14 Alexander Kerfoot 101 -2 20.10 2012:23
82 Kevin Stenlund 000 -2 30.08 1010:42
27 Barrett Hayton 000 0 00.00 0000:17
Defense
98 Mikhail Sergachev 000 -3 20.00 0422:30
52 MacKenzie Weegar 011 -1 30.01 3119:58
6 John Marino 000 -1 30.10 0119:48
88 Nate Schmidt 000 -1 60.04 0219:29
5 Sean Durzi 011 -1 30.03 0418:07
28 Ian Cole 011 0 20.00 0215:17
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Karel Vejmelka 15411 .733 1.82 -2.18
Vitek Vanecek 10010 1.000 0.60 +0.60

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
97 Connor McDavid C +3.38 +1.50 +0.83 +1.01 0.00 +0.03 +0.01 — 20:42
2 Evan Bouchard D +2.97 +1.80 +0.14 +0.91 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 23:04
28 Jack Roslovic C +2.11 +1.50 +0.14 +0.40 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 15:44
22 Matt Savoie C +2.03 +0.75 +0.38 +0.91 0.00 -0.03 +0.02 — 17:04
96 Jake Walman D +1.42 +0.70 +0.10 +0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.14 — 17:43
14 Mattias Ekholm D +1.21 +0.70 +0.08 +0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:00
18 Zach Hyman L +1.05 +0.70 +0.12 +0.35 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 17:42
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C +1.03 +0.55 +0.06 +0.31 0.00 -0.05 +0.15 — 17:08
92 Vasily Podkolzin R +0.89 0.00 0.00 +0.88 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 17:44
19 Adam Henrique C +0.75 +0.55 0.00 +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:04
49 Ty Emberson D +0.56 0.00 +0.01 +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 15:33
15 Roby Jarventie L +0.48 0.00 +0.07 +0.31 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 8:52
5 Connor Murphy D +0.44 0.00 +0.02 +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 21:05
25 Darnell Nurse D +0.35 0.00 +0.06 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:42
46 Max Jones L +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:32
81 Josh Samanski C -0.02 0.00 +0.06 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 10:43
42 Kasperi Kapanen R -0.04 0.00 +0.11 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:03
16 Jason Dickinson C -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.17 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 16:36
35 Tristan Jarry G -0.30 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.30 60:00

Utah Mammoth

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
53 Michael Carcone L +0.72 +0.70 +0.09 -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:40
56 Kailer Yamamoto R +0.65 0.00 +0.05 +0.61 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 13:38
50 Sean Durzi D +0.61 +0.70 +0.02 -0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 18:07
41 Vitek Vanecek G +0.60 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.60 17:28
67 Lawson Crouse L +0.45 +0.75 +0.29 -0.66 0.00 -0.03 +0.10 — 19:14
9 Clayton Keller R +0.40 0.00 +0.14 -0.06 +0.30 -0.01 +0.03 — 22:48
28 Ian Cole D +0.29 +0.55 0.00 -0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 15:17
22 Jack McBain C +0.02 0.00 +0.04 -0.03 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 16:30
27 Barrett Hayton C -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 0:17
15 Alexander Kerfoot C -0.02 +0.75 +0.07 -0.85 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 12:23
88 Nate Schmidt D -0.09 0.00 +0.03 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 19:29
92 Logan Cooley C -0.20 0.00 +0.08 -0.37 0.00 +0.02 +0.07 — 19:30
52 MacKenzie Weegar D -0.28 +0.55 +0.01 -0.86 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:58
8 Nick Schmaltz C -0.31 0.00 +0.11 -0.40 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 18:44
6 John Marino D -0.32 0.00 +0.07 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:48
98 Mikhail Sergachev D -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 22:30
77 JJ Peterka R -0.52 0.00 +0.03 -0.55 0.00 +0.01 -0.01 — 15:45
11 Dylan Guenther R -0.83 0.00 +0.03 -0.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:12
82 Kevin Stenlund C -0.86 0.00 +0.05 -0.93 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 10:42
70 Karel Vejmelka G -2.18 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.18 40:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.