Philadelphia FlyersPHI 5–3 Final Detroit Red WingsDET

Saturday, March 28, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI	1	2	2	5	26
Detroit Red WingsDET	0	0	3	3	35

Playoff odds, %	Change
DET	-10.4
PHI	+7.5
OTT	+2.6
BOS	+1.2
PIT	-0.6
NYI	-0.6
MTL	+0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 28, 2026 7:53 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:07	PHI	Owen Tippett (25) Trevor Zegras (36) · wrist xG 0.15	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
12:22	PHI	Owen Tippett (26) Denver Barkey (9), Jamie Drysdale (21) · wrist xG 0.17	2–0 ▶
16:08	PHI	Noah Cates (17)PP Matvei Michkov (23), Travis Konecny (36) · wrist xG 0.13	3–0 ▶
3rd Period
7:19	PHI	Owen Tippett (27)PP Jamie Drysdale (22), Travis Konecny (37) · snap xG 0.16	4–0 ▶
13:43	DET	Mason Appleton (6) Justin Faulk (23) · snap xG 0.15	4–1 ▶
15:10	DET	Alex DeBrincat (37) Patrick Kane (32), Moritz Seider (43) · wrist xG 0.09	4–2 ▶
16:14	DET	Lucas Raymond (24) Moritz Seider (44), Patrick Kane (33) · snap xG 0.06	4–3 ▶
17:56	PHI	Sean Couturier (10)EN Owen Tippett (21) · wrist xG 0.58	5–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 60%Deserve to win40% DET

PHI		DET
4.25	Expected goals	2.73
5	Goals (no shootout)	3
1.99	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.05
47	Shot attempts	63
36	Unblocked attempts	47
26	Shots on goal	35

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
17:50	PHI	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced DET 1.31–0.24 In xG over 10 minutes, 8:10 to 18:10 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
3rd Period
7:19	DET	Goalie change	Goalie change · Talbot in for Gibson 7:19 of the 3rd; Gibson had allowed 4 goals on 21 shots (2.89 xG)
15:24	DET	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Talbot, down 4–2 With 4:36 left; DET scored at 16:14 of the 3rd (4–3)
16:27	DET	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Talbot, down 4–3 With 3:33 left; PHI scored at 17:56 of the 3rd (5–3)
17:50	DET	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced PHI 1.52–0.37 In xG over 10 minutes, 7:50 to 17:50 of the 3rd; goals 3–0
18:14	DET	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Talbot, down 5–3 With 1:46 left

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DET shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
22	Christian Dvorak	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	1	18:47
11	Travis Konecny	0	2	2	0	4	0.63	2	1	18:42
46	Trevor Zegras	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0	1	18:09
74	Owen Tippett	3	1	4	+1	7	0.78	1	0	16:14
20	Alex Bump	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	1	0	15:34
14	Sean Couturier	1	0	1	+1	2	0.58	2	0	14:46
86	Denver Barkey	0	1	1	0	2	0.25	1	0	14:20
41	Luke Glendening	0	0	0	0	4	0.50	4	2	12:26
27	Noah Cates	1	0	1	0	5	0.96	0	0	11:50
39	Matvei Michkov	0	1	1	-1	2	0.12	0	0	11:47
21	Garnet Hathaway	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	5	2	11:20
91	Carl Grundstrom	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	2	0	10:38
Defense
6	Travis Sanheim	0	0	0	+1	3	0.05	0	2	28:36
55	Rasmus Ristolainen	0	0	0	+2	3	0.01	1	1	25:16
8	Cam York	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	1	21:21
9	Jamie Drysdale	0	2	2	-1	3	0.08	0	0	19:08
24	Nick Seeler	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	2	3	13:08
36	Emil Andrae	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	2	12:55

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Dan Vladar	35	3	32	.914	2.73	-0.27

Detroit Red Wings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
23	Lucas Raymond	1	0	1	0	5	0.08	1	0	22:33
93	Alex DeBrincat	1	0	1	0	13	0.83	0	1	21:38
18	Andrew Copp	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	0	0	20:18
88	Patrick Kane	0	2	2	0	6	0.40	1	0	19:42
37	J.T. Compher	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	1	2	19:20
71	Dylan Larkin	0	0	0	0	4	0.49	0	2	18:25
92	Marco Kasper	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	0	12:59
58	Emmitt Finnie	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	1	12:18
65	Dominik Shine	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	1	0	11:38
34	Carter Mazur	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	10:06
22	Mason Appleton	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	4	0	09:08
16	David Perron	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	08:25
Defense
53	Moritz Seider	0	2	2	+1	7	0.06	1	1	26:25
72	Justin Faulk	0	1	1	-1	5	0.02	0	0	21:02
8	Ben Chiarot	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	2	2	20:54
77	Simon Edvinsson	0	0	0	0	6	0.20	1	1	18:58
20	Albert Johansson	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	2	1	13:21
25	Jacob Bernard-Docker	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	2	0	12:29

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
John Gibson	21	4	17	.810	2.89	-1.11
Cam Talbot	4	0	4	1.000	0.37	+0.37

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
74 Owen Tippett R	+4.41	+2.95	+0.51	+1.01	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	16:38
14 Sean Couturier C	+1.85	+0.75	+0.38	+0.57	+0.15	+0.05	-0.04	—	15:35
46 Trevor Zegras C	+1.77	+0.70	0.00	+0.90	+0.15	-0.03	+0.05	—	18:12
9 Jamie Drysdale D	+1.73	+1.25	+0.05	+0.58	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	19:37
52 Denver Barkey C	+1.71	+0.70	+0.16	+0.87	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:44
11 Travis Konecny R	+1.47	+1.10	+0.41	-0.15	0.00	+0.01	+0.10	—	17:00
27 Noah Cates L	+1.18	+0.75	+0.62	-0.24	0.00	+0.01	+0.04	—	12:59
41 Luke Glendening C	+0.92	0.00	+0.33	+0.57	0.00	-0.02	+0.05	—	13:43
8 Cam York D	+0.64	0.00	0.00	+0.61	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	21:59
19 Garnet Hathaway R	+0.64	0.00	+0.02	+0.57	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	11:09
39 Matvei Michkov R	+0.36	+0.70	+0.08	-0.39	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:58
24 Nick Seeler D	+0.35	0.00	+0.01	+0.29	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:43
36 Emil Andrae D	+0.19	0.00	0.00	+0.28	-0.15	0.00	+0.06	—	14:14
6 Travis Sanheim D	+0.18	0.00	+0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	26:00
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D	+0.17	0.00	+0.01	+0.17	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	23:27
20 Alex Bump L	+0.09	0.00	+0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:08
22 Christian Dvorak C	-0.02	0.00	+0.03	-0.17	0.00	+0.05	+0.07	—	16:46
80 Dan Vladar G	-0.27	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.27	59:46
91 Carl Grundstrom R	-0.28	0.00	+0.03	-0.30	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	11:22

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
88 Patrick Kane R	+1.55	+1.25	+0.26	+0.02	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	20:40
93 Alex DeBrincat R	+1.36	+0.75	+0.54	+0.02	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	22:36
53 Moritz Seider D	+1.21	+1.25	+0.04	-0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.03	—	28:09
22 Mason Appleton C	+0.97	+0.75	+0.10	+0.30	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	—	10:24
72 Justin Faulk D	+0.47	+0.70	+0.01	-0.26	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	18:29
23 Lucas Raymond L	+0.43	+0.75	+0.05	-0.52	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	19:53
65 Dominik Shine R	+0.39	0.00	+0.05	+0.37	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	10:04
39 Cam Talbot G	+0.37	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.37	9:28
18 Andrew Copp C	+0.01	0.00	+0.08	-0.08	0.00	+0.03	-0.02	—	21:07
8 Ben Chiarot D	-0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:30
57 David Perron L	-0.12	0.00	0.00	-0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:21
77 Simon Edvinsson D	-0.24	0.00	+0.13	-0.42	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	20:29
71 Dylan Larkin C	-0.26	0.00	+0.32	-0.49	-0.15	-0.04	+0.10	—	18:42
34 Carter Mazur L	-0.40	0.00	+0.02	-0.42	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:32
58 Emmitt Finnie C	-0.41	0.00	+0.03	-0.65	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	13:11
20 Albert Johansson D	-0.50	0.00	+0.03	-0.57	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	13:52
37 J.T. Compher L	-0.63	0.00	+0.10	-0.82	0.00	-0.02	+0.10	—	16:33
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D	-0.69	0.00	+0.01	-0.71	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:16
92 Marco Kasper C	-0.73	0.00	0.00	-0.71	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:51
36 John Gibson G	-1.11	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.11	47:19

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.