Philadelphia FlyersPHI 4–6 Final Washington CapitalsWSH

Tuesday, March 31, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 022 4 24
Washington CapitalsWSH 222 6 18
Playoff odds, % Change
PHI -10.5
WSH +3.3
CBJ +2.1
NYI +2.1
OTT +1.4
PIT +0.9

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 31, 2026 6:10 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
14:59 WSH Tom Wilson (26) Pierre-Luc Dubois (6), Rasmus Sandin (23) · snap xG 0.03 0–1 ▶
18:35 WSH Alex Ovechkin (30) Matt Roy (16), Connor McMichael (28) · snap xG 0.21 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
0:39 PHI Travis Sanheim (9) Travis Konecny (38), Christian Dvorak (30) · snap xG 0.24 1–2 ▶
4:36 PHI Carl Grundstrom (9) Trevor Zegras (37) · wrist xG 0.77 2–2 ▶
6:58 WSH Jakob Chychrun (24)PP Ryan Leonard (23), Pierre-Luc Dubois (7) · slap xG 0.08 2–3 ▶
17:37 WSH Ryan Leonard (16)PP Pierre-Luc Dubois (8), Jakob Chychrun (31) · snap xG 0.15 2–4 ▶
3rd Period
0:33 PHI Christian Dvorak (16) Travis Konecny (39), Travis Sanheim (24) · snap xG 0.29 3–4 ▶
3:47 WSH Alex Ovechkin (31) Connor McMichael (29), Jakob Chychrun (32) · snap xG 0.20 3–5 ▶
7:52 PHI Denver Barkey (5) Rasmus Ristolainen (10), Noah Cates (25) · tip-in xG 0.07 4–5 ▶
18:56 WSH Tom Wilson (27)EN Pierre-Luc Dubois (9), Matt Roy (17) · snap xG 0.40 4–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 77%Deserve to win23% WSH
PHIWSH
3.72Expected goals2.52
4Goals (no shootout)6
2.53Expected goals, 5 on 51.19
66Shot attempts38
43Unblocked attempts26
24Shots on goal18

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
4:40 PHI xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 1.48–0.25
In xG over 10 minutes, 15:00 of the 1st to 5:00 of the 2nd; goals 2–1
17:37 PHI Goalie Goalie · Vladar −2.5 goals saved
4 goals on 1.53 xG, 12 shots on goal
3rd Period
17:44 PHI Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Vladar, down 5–4
With 2:16 left; WSH scored at 18:56 of the 3rd (4–6)

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WSH shoots
Alex Ovechkin: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:22) Garnet Hathaway: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:14) Justin Sourdif: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 1:51) Sean Couturier: wrist, 125 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:58) Christian Dvorak: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:08) Matt Roy: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 6:21) Travis Konecny: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 8:25) Travis Konecny: snap, 82 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:54) Trevor van Riemsdyk: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:45) Alex Ovechkin: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:33) Carl Grundstrom: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 11:05) Noah Cates: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 11:12) Matvei Michkov: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:08) Owen Tippett: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 13:05) Cam York: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:18) Christian Dvorak: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:01) Travis Sanheim: tip-in, 80 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:43) Cam York: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:07) Garnet Hathaway: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:56) Nick Seeler: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:05) Travis Sanheim: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:11) Owen Tippett: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:52) Travis Konecny: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:12) Christian Dvorak: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 0:14) Cam York: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 0:58) Denver Barkey: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:39) Connor McMichael: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:09) Ryan Leonard: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 5:28) Connor McMichael: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 6:08) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:25) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:40) Jamie Drysdale: snap, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:16) Anthony Beauvillier: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:11) Cam York: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:04) Cam York: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:09) Jamie Drysdale: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:55) Cole Hutson: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:34) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:20) Alex Ovechkin: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 17:26) Porter Martone: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 19:35) Alex Ovechkin: backhand, 146 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:52) Travis Konecny: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:31) Matt Roy: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:26) Porter Martone: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:54) Tom Wilson: backhand, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:31) Porter Martone: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:24) Porter Martone: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 5:43) Porter Martone: slap, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:44) Hendrix Lapierre: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:01) Nick Seeler: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:13) Ryan Leonard: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:35) Trevor Zegras: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:13) Justin Sourdif: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 12:41) Porter Martone: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:54) Rasmus Ristolainen: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:06) Owen Tippett: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:40) Jamie Drysdale: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 17:51) Denver Barkey: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 18:04) Travis Sanheim: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 19:58) Tom Wilson: GOAL, snap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:59) Alex Ovechkin: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 18:35) Travis Sanheim: GOAL, snap, 36 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 0:39) Carl Grundstrom: GOAL, wrist, 2 ft, xG 0.77 (P2 4:36) Jakob Chychrun: GOAL, slap, 43 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:58) Ryan Leonard: GOAL, snap, 30 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 17:37) Christian Dvorak: GOAL, snap, 7 ft, xG 0.29 (P3 0:33) Alex Ovechkin: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 3:47) Denver Barkey: GOAL, tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:52) Tom Wilson: GOAL, snap, 172 ft, xG 0.40 (P3 18:56)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Travis Konecny 022 -1 70.21 3022:32
22 Christian Dvorak 112 0 50.58 1120:38
27 Noah Cates 011 +1 40.16 0018:18
46 Trevor Zegras 011 -1 30.04 1117:46
74 Owen Tippett 000 -2 60.13 3117:17
94 Porter Martone 000 0 60.65 1016:54
39 Matvei Michkov 000 0 10.07 1114:09
86 Denver Barkey 101 +1 40.24 0013:35
14 Sean Couturier 000 -1 10.00 6011:02
91 Carl Grundstrom 101 0 30.98 4110:46
41 Luke Glendening 000 0 00.00 2009:22
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 30.02 5007:23
Defense
55 Rasmus Ristolainen 011 +2 40.03 4125:01
6 Travis Sanheim 112 +2 70.34 0123:00
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 -2 50.10 0019:49
8 Cam York 000 -1 50.15 1218:18
24 Nick Seeler 000 0 20.04 1114:10
36 Emil Andrae 000 0 00.00 1112:59
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 17512 .706 2.12 -2.88

Washington Capitals

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
43 Tom Wilson 202 +1 40.43 2020:57
34 Justin Sourdif 000 0 40.32 2019:16
77 Connor McMichael 022 +1 20.27 1018:03
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois 044 +1 20.00 2017:18
72 Anthony Beauvillier 000 -1 20.07 2017:17
17 Dylan Strome 000 -1 10.00 0116:17
8 Alex Ovechkin 202 0 100.69 3115:44
22 Hendrix Lapierre 000 0 10.07 2011:59
24 Brandon Duhaime 000 0 00.00 2111:44
9 Ryan Leonard 112 0 30.26 0011:29
64 David Kampf 000 0 00.00 1108:29
63 Ivan Miroshnichenko 000 0 00.00 2006:21
Defense
42 Martin Fehérváry 000 -1 00.00 1521:53
38 Rasmus Sandin 011 -2 10.00 2221:12
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk 000 +1 10.01 0521:11
6 Jakob Chychrun 123 +2 30.17 1320:24
3 Matt Roy 022 +1 20.18 1119:33
44 Cole Hutson 000 -1 20.03 1110:58
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Logan Thompson 24420 .833 3.72 -0.28

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
6 Travis Sanheim D +2.73 +1.30 +0.22 +1.03 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 22:59
91 Carl Grundstrom R +2.38 +0.75 +0.64 +0.77 +0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 10:46
22 Christian Dvorak C +2.27 +1.30 +0.38 +0.50 0.00 +0.06 +0.03 — 20:37
11 Travis Konecny R +2.18 +1.40 +0.14 +0.66 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:30
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D +1.72 +0.70 +0.02 +0.80 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 24:59
27 Noah Cates L +1.32 +0.55 +0.10 +0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:19
46 Trevor Zegras C +1.19 +0.70 +0.03 +0.62 -0.15 -0.06 +0.05 — 17:46
94 Porter Martone R +1.08 0.00 +0.42 +0.83 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 16:54
52 Denver Barkey C +0.83 +0.75 +0.15 -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:38
39 Matvei Michkov R +0.55 0.00 +0.04 +0.54 0.00 0.00 -0.03 — 14:09
9 Jamie Drysdale D +0.45 0.00 +0.07 +0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:49
8 Cam York D +0.37 0.00 +0.10 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 18:18
24 Nick Seeler D +0.32 0.00 +0.03 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:12
36 Emil Andrae D +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 12:59
74 Owen Tippett R +0.17 0.00 +0.08 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:17
41 Luke Glendening C +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.04 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 9:22
19 Garnet Hathaway R +0.05 0.00 +0.01 +0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:23
14 Sean Couturier C -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.26 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 11:02
80 Dan Vladar G -2.88 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.88 57:54

Washington Capitals

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
6 Jakob Chychrun D +2.74 +1.85 +0.11 +0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.19 — 20:22
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois C +1.96 +2.65 0.00 -0.81 +0.15 -0.03 0.00 — 17:18
8 Alex Ovechkin L +1.89 +1.50 +0.45 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:44
24 Connor McMichael L +1.32 +1.25 +0.18 -0.10 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 18:03
9 Ryan Leonard R +1.30 +1.45 +0.17 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:29
43 Tom Wilson R +0.70 +1.50 +0.28 -1.07 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 20:57
3 Matt Roy D +0.39 +1.25 +0.12 -1.01 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:33
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D +0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.27 — 21:11
72 Anthony Beauvillier R +0.04 0.00 +0.05 -0.16 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 17:17
38 Rasmus Sandin D -0.09 +0.55 0.00 -0.76 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 21:14
22 Brandon Duhaime L -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.14 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 11:44
34 Justin Sourdif C -0.11 0.00 +0.21 -0.12 -0.15 +0.01 -0.06 — 19:16
63 Ivan Miroshnichenko L -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:21
48 Logan Thompson G -0.28 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.28 59:55
42 Martin Fehérváry D -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.23 — 21:53
64 David Kampf C -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.46 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 8:29
29 Hendrix Lapierre C -0.51 0.00 +0.05 -0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:59
17 Dylan Strome C -0.61 0.00 0.00 -0.43 -0.15 -0.06 +0.03 — 16:17
44 Cole Hutson D -1.30 0.00 +0.02 -1.09 -0.30 0.00 +0.07 — 10:58

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.