| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 24 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 18 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:59 | Tom Wilson (26) Pierre-Luc Dubois (6), Rasmus Sandin (23) · snap xG 0.03 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 18:35 | Alex Ovechkin (30) Matt Roy (16), Connor McMichael (28) · snap xG 0.21 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:39 | Travis Sanheim (9) Travis Konecny (38), Christian Dvorak (30) · snap xG 0.24 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 4:36 | Carl Grundstrom (9) Trevor Zegras (37) · wrist xG 0.77 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 6:58 | Jakob Chychrun (24)PP Ryan Leonard (23), Pierre-Luc Dubois (7) · slap xG 0.08 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 17:37 | Ryan Leonard (16)PP Pierre-Luc Dubois (8), Jakob Chychrun (31) · snap xG 0.15 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:33 | Christian Dvorak (16) Travis Konecny (39), Travis Sanheim (24) · snap xG 0.29 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 3:47 | Alex Ovechkin (31) Connor McMichael (29), Jakob Chychrun (32) · snap xG 0.20 | 3–5 ▶ | |
| 7:52 | Denver Barkey (5) Rasmus Ristolainen (10), Noah Cates (25) · tip-in xG 0.07 | 4–5 ▶ | |
| 18:56 | Tom Wilson (27)EN Pierre-Luc Dubois (9), Matt Roy (17) · snap xG 0.40 | 4–6 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PHI | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.72 | Expected goals | 2.52 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 2.53 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.19 |
| 66 | Shot attempts | 38 |
| 43 | Unblocked attempts | 26 |
| 24 | Shots on goal | 18 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:40 | PHI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 1.48–0.25
In xG over 10 minutes, 15:00 of the 1st to 5:00 of the 2nd; goals 2–1 |
| 17:37 | PHI | Goalie | Goalie · Vladar −2.5 goals saved
4 goals on 1.53 xG, 12 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:44 | PHI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Vladar, down 5–4
With 2:16 left; WSH scored at 18:56 of the 3rd (4–6) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 7 | 0.21 | 3 | 0 | 22:32 |
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.58 | 1 | 1 | 20:38 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 18:18 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 17:46 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.13 | 3 | 1 | 17:17 |
| 94 | Porter Martone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.65 | 1 | 0 | 16:54 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 14:09 |
| 86 | Denver Barkey | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 13:35 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 6 | 0 | 11:02 |
| 91 | Carl Grundstrom | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.98 | 4 | 1 | 10:46 |
| 41 | Luke Glendening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 09:22 |
| 21 | Garnet Hathaway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 5 | 0 | 07:23 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 55 | Rasmus Ristolainen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.03 | 4 | 1 | 25:01 |
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.34 | 0 | 1 | 23:00 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 19:49 |
| 8 | Cam York | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.15 | 1 | 2 | 18:18 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 |
| 36 | Emil Andrae | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 12:59 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | 17 | 5 | 12 | .706 | 2.12 | -2.88 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.43 | 2 | 0 | 20:57 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.32 | 2 | 0 | 19:16 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.27 | 1 | 0 | 18:03 |
| 80 | Pierre-Luc Dubois | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 17:18 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 17:17 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:17 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 0.69 | 3 | 1 | 15:44 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 11:59 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 11:44 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 |
| 64 | David Kampf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 08:29 |
| 63 | Ivan Miroshnichenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 06:21 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 5 | 21:53 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 21:12 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 5 | 21:11 |
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 0.17 | 1 | 3 | 20:24 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 19:33 |
| 44 | Cole Hutson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 10:58 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | 24 | 4 | 20 | .833 | 3.72 | -0.28 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | +2.73 | +1.30 | +0.22 | +1.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:59 |
| 91 Carl Grundstrom R | +2.38 | +0.75 | +0.64 | +0.77 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 10:46 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | +2.27 | +1.30 | +0.38 | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.03 | — | 20:37 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | +2.18 | +1.40 | +0.14 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:30 |
| 55 Rasmus Ristolainen D | +1.72 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.80 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:59 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | +1.32 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:19 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +1.19 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.62 | -0.15 | -0.06 | +0.05 | — | 17:46 |
| 94 Porter Martone R | +1.08 | 0.00 | +0.42 | +0.83 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:54 |
| 52 Denver Barkey C | +0.83 | +0.75 | +0.15 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:38 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 14:09 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:49 |
| 8 Cam York D | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 18:18 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:12 |
| 36 Emil Andrae D | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 12:59 |
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:17 |
| 41 Luke Glendening C | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 9:22 |
| 19 Garnet Hathaway R | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:23 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 11:02 |
| 80 Dan Vladar G | -2.88 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.88 | 57:54 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | +2.74 | +1.85 | +0.11 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.19 | — | 20:22 |
| 80 Pierre-Luc Dubois C | +1.96 | +2.65 | 0.00 | -0.81 | +0.15 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 17:18 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +1.89 | +1.50 | +0.45 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:44 |
| 24 Connor McMichael L | +1.32 | +1.25 | +0.18 | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 18:03 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | +1.30 | +1.45 | +0.17 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:29 |
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +0.70 | +1.50 | +0.28 | -1.07 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:57 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | +0.39 | +1.25 | +0.12 | -1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:33 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.27 | — | 21:11 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier R | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.16 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:17 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | -0.09 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 21:14 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime L | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 11:44 |
| 34 Justin Sourdif C | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.12 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.06 | — | 19:16 |
| 63 Ivan Miroshnichenko L | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:21 |
| 48 Logan Thompson G | -0.28 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.28 | 59:55 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | — | 21:53 |
| 64 David Kampf C | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 8:29 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:59 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.43 | -0.15 | -0.06 | +0.03 | — | 16:17 |
| 44 Cole Hutson D | -1.30 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.09 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 10:58 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.