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Winnipeg JetsWPG 4–3 Final/OT Chicago BlackhawksCHI

Tuesday, March 31, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Winnipeg JetsWPG 0301 4 24
Chicago BlackhawksCHI 1110 3 21
Playoff odds, % Change
WPG +4.1
CHI +0.0
NSH -0.9
SJS -0.8
LAK -0.8
VGK -0.6
SEA -0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 31, 2026 8:14 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:42 CHI Anton Frondell (1) Ilya Mikheyev (15), Louis Crevier (15) · snap xG 0.24 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
1:06 WPG Josh Morrissey (13) Kyle Connor (51), Mark Scheifele (56) · backhand xG 0.17 1–1 ▶
11:19 WPG Cole Perfetti (12)PP Alex Iafallo (15), Mark Scheifele (57) · snap xG 0.20 2–1 ▶
11:57 WPG Isak Rosen (5) Danil Zhilkin (1), Neal Pionk (7) · wrist xG 0.06 3–1 ▶
13:26 CHI Tyler Bertuzzi (30) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.06 3–2 ▶
3rd Period
9:46 CHI Tyler Bertuzzi (31) Ilya Mikheyev (16), Louis Crevier (16) · wrist xG 0.14 3–3 ▶
Overtime
0:33 WPG Kyle Connor (34) Mark Scheifele (58), Josh Morrissey (39) · wrist xG 0.18 4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WPG 60%Deserve to win40% CHI
WPGCHI
2.40Expected goals1.89
4Goals (no shootout)3
1.91Expected goals, 5 on 51.60
49Shot attempts43
38Unblocked attempts31
24Shots on goal21

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
9:30 WPG xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.11–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:30 of the 1st to 9:30 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
10:08 WPG Deserve to win Deserve to win · WPG takes the lead, 61–39%
CHI had led since 4:42 of the 1st, by as much as 77%

Shot map

WPG shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CHI shoots
Nick Lardis: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 1:04) Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 102 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:50) Jacob Bryson: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:01) Dylan Samberg: wrist, 122 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:27) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 4:34) Louis Crevier: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:38) Neal Pionk: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:26) Dylan Samberg: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:59) Ethan Del Mastro: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:49) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:02) Ryan Greene: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:39) Brad Lambert: backhand, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:36) Cole Perfetti: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:41) Alex Vlasic: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:21) Anton Frondell: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 13:03) Parker Ford: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:18) Kevin Korchinski: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:21) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:43) Frank Nazar: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 16:23) Ryan Greene: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 17:28) Anton Frondell: backhand, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:16) Cole Koepke: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:56) Dylan DeMelo: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:59) Mark Scheifele: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 2:07) Jonathan Toews: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 2:33) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:56) Kyle Connor: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 5:02) Kyle Connor: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:12) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:24) Jonathan Toews: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:40) Brad Lambert: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 6:42) Cole Perfetti: slap, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 9:23) Gabriel Vilardi: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 10:08) Jonathan Toews: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:46) Danil Zhilkin: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:56) Sam Rinzel: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:25) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 12:43) Adam Lowry: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:39) Cole Koepke: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:25) Kyle Connor: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:31) Josh Morrissey: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:53) Kyle Connor: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 19:24) Kyle Connor: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 19:30) Dylan Samberg: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:34) Cole Perfetti: tip-in, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:25) Dylan Samberg: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:28) Frank Nazar: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 3:57) Frank Nazar: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:57) Frank Nazar: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 5:08) Frank Nazar: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:09) Anton Frondell: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:59) Louis Crevier: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:47) Alex Vlasic: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:39) Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:11) Sam Rinzel: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:52) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:01) Cole Koepke: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 16:49) Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:03) Parker Ford: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:00) Frank Nazar: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:09) Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:40) Frank Nazar: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:51) Anton Frondell: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 4:42) Josh Morrissey: GOAL, backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 1:06) Cole Perfetti: GOAL, snap, 24 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 11:19) Isak Rosen: GOAL, wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:57) Tyler Bertuzzi: GOAL, backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:26) Tyler Bertuzzi: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 9:46) Kyle Connor: GOAL, wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.18 (OT 0:33)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
81 Kyle Connor 112 -1 70.55 0021:07
55 Mark Scheifele 033 -1 20.18 0020:32
13 Gabriel Vilardi 000 0 50.12 0219:27
91 Cole Perfetti 101 0 60.52 0118:49
17 Adam Lowry 000 0 10.03 6217:01
9 Alex Iafallo 011 -2 20.00 3016:18
19 Jonathan Toews 000 0 30.21 1015:45
45 Cole Koepke 000 0 40.21 4014:12
93 Brad Lambert 000 0 20.12 0013:01
25 Parker Ford 000 +1 20.05 2008:10
27 Isak Rosen 101 +1 20.06 1007:25
53 Danil Zhilkin 011 +1 10.03 2006:54
Defense
2 Dylan DeMelo 000 0 10.03 2223:44
44 Josh Morrissey 112 +2 30.18 0023:42
54 Dylan Samberg 000 +1 40.08 0223:06
4 Neal Pionk 011 0 10.01 3122:55
57 Elias Salomonsson 000 -2 20.00 2014:44
78 Jacob Bryson 000 -2 10.02 1110:47
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck 21318 .857 1.89 -1.11

Chicago Blackhawks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
59 Tyler Bertuzzi 202 +2 40.32 4020:03
98 Connor Bedard 000 -2 10.00 0019:57
91 Frank Nazar 000 0 90.48 1017:46
95 Ilya Mikheyev 022 +2 20.09 1017:29
16 Anton Frondell 101 +1 60.49 1116:49
20 Ryan Greene 000 -1 20.14 1016:34
76 Nick Lardis 000 -1 10.11 0014:46
86 Teuvo Teravainen 000 0 10.05 1013:59
95 Andre Burakovsky 000 0 10.00 0013:50
8 Ryan Donato 000 0 10.00 0013:06
84 Landon Slaggert 000 0 00.00 4011:11
18 Sam Lafferty 000 0 00.00 0009:53
Defense
44 Wyatt Kaiser 000 -2 30.08 3123:07
6 Sam Rinzel 000 -1 20.04 2122:44
72 Alex Vlasic 000 +2 40.04 0120:50
46 Louis Crevier 022 +2 40.03 1320:37
38 Ethan Del Mastro 000 0 10.01 1114:13
14 Kevin Korchinski 000 0 10.01 0112:58
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Spencer Knight 24420 .833 2.40 -1.60

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
44 Josh Morrissey D +1.97 +1.30 +0.12 +0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 23:42
55 Mark Scheifele C +1.42 +1.80 +0.12 -0.56 0.00 +0.05 +0.01 — 20:32
91 Cole Perfetti C +1.09 +0.75 +0.34 +0.10 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 18:49
81 Kyle Connor L +1.07 +1.45 +0.36 -0.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:07
27 Isak Rosen R +0.90 +0.75 +0.04 +0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:25
53 Danil Zhilkin C +0.83 +0.70 +0.02 +0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:54
93 Brad Lambert C +0.76 0.00 +0.08 +0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:01
19 Jonathan Toews C +0.68 0.00 +0.13 +0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:45
45 Cole Koepke L +0.68 0.00 +0.14 +0.69 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:12
4 Neal Pionk D +0.57 +0.55 +0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 22:55
54 Dylan Samberg D +0.52 0.00 +0.05 +0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 23:06
17 Adam Lowry C +0.50 0.00 +0.02 +0.07 +0.15 +0.12 +0.14 — 17:01
13 Gabriel Vilardi C +0.49 0.00 +0.08 +0.35 0.00 -0.01 +0.08 — 19:27
2 Dylan DeMelo D +0.28 0.00 +0.02 +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 23:44
25 Parker Ford C +0.17 0.00 +0.03 +0.13 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 8:10
9 Alex Iafallo L -0.26 +0.70 0.00 -0.93 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 16:18
57 Elias Salomonsson D -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:44
78 Jacob Bryson D -0.38 0.00 +0.01 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 10:47
37 Connor Hellebuyck G -1.11 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.11 60:33

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
95 Ilya Mikheyev R +2.45 +1.40 +0.06 +0.86 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 17:29
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L +2.28 +1.50 +0.21 +0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:03
46 Louis Crevier D +1.83 +1.10 +0.02 +0.56 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 20:37
16 Anton Frondell C +1.65 +0.75 +0.32 +0.61 0.00 -0.05 +0.03 — 16:49
72 Alex Vlasic D +0.58 0.00 +0.02 +0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 20:50
91 Frank Nazar C +0.06 0.00 +0.32 -0.36 +0.15 -0.07 +0.02 — 17:46
20 Ryan Greene C +0.05 0.00 +0.09 -0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 16:34
8 Ryan Donato C -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.13 0.00 +0.02 +0.02 — 13:06
24 Sam Lafferty C -0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:53
76 Nick Lardis L -0.14 0.00 +0.07 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:46
14 Kevin Korchinski D -0.19 0.00 +0.01 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:58
44 Wyatt Kaiser D -0.33 0.00 +0.05 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 23:07
38 Ethan Del Mastro D -0.36 0.00 +0.01 -0.24 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 14:13
28 Andre Burakovsky L -0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:50
86 Teuvo Teravainen C -0.44 0.00 +0.03 -0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:59
6 Sam Rinzel D -0.47 0.00 +0.03 -0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 22:44
84 Landon Slaggert L -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.45 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:11
98 Connor Bedard C -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.48 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 19:57
30 Spencer Knight G -1.60 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.60 60:33

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.