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St. Louis BluesSTL 1–2 Final/OT Los Angeles KingsLAK

Wednesday, April 1, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
St. Louis BluesSTL 0010 1 24
Los Angeles KingsLAK 0101 2 26
Playoff odds, % Change
LAK +9.5
STL -3.4
SJS -1.6
NSH -1.2
VGK -1.1
WPG -1.0
SEA -0.7

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 1, 2026 9:02 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
16:59 LAK Adrian Kempe (28)PP Alex Laferriere (19), Artemi Panarin (50) · wrist xG 0.10 0–1 ▶
3rd Period
16:07 STL Robert Thomas (17) Philip Broberg (23), Dylan Holloway (21) · deflected xG 0.12 1–1 ▶
Overtime
1:56 LAK Trevor Moore (11) Anze Kopitar (23), Drew Doughty (17) · snap xG 0.23 1–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

STL 60%Deserve to win40% LAK
STLLAK
2.85Expected goals2.32
1Goals (no shootout)2
2.21Expected goals, 5 on 51.60
65Shot attempts51
41Unblocked attempts36
24Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
1:00 LAK No shift No shift · Turcotte, 11:15 on the bench
No shift from 10:40 of the 2nd to 2:08 of the 3rd; 6 shifts (3:25) before that
9:12 LAK Goalie Goalie · Forsberg +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.03 xG, 16 shots on goal

Shot map

STL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ LAK shoots
Anze Kopitar: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 0:32) Robert Thomas: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:08) Dylan Holloway: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 1:11) Scott Laughton: tip-in, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:40) Trevor Moore: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 2:15) Philip Broberg: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:01) Alexey Toropchenko: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:45) Jonatan Berggren: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:12) Logan Mailloux: wrap-around, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:21) Dalibor Dvorsky: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 7:24) Alexey Toropchenko: deflected, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:04) Alexey Toropchenko: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 8:07) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:14) Adrian Kempe: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:59) Brandt Clarke: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:33) Scott Laughton: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:19) Drew Doughty: slap, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:22) Colton Parayko: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:04) Jordan Kyrou: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:19) Taylor Ward: slap, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 12:57) Adrian Kempe: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 14:28) Joel Armia: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:11) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:38) Dalibor Dvorsky: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 16:08) Pavel Buchnevich: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:09) Jake Neighbours: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 17:14) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:51) Trevor Moore: deflected, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:12) Trevor Moore: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:13) Theo Lindstein: wrist, 146 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:50) Jared Wright: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:59) Jared Wright: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:20) Alexey Toropchenko: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:48) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 120 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:54) Jimmy Snuggerud: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 5:27) Adrian Kempe: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:44) Brandt Clarke: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:16) Brian Dumoulin: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:53) Joel Armia: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:25) Joel Armia: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:26) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 9:16) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 9:28) Logan Mailloux: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:34) Justin Holl: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:59) Quinton Byfield: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 12:16) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:26) Logan Mailloux: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 14:32) Quinton Byfield: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 15:45) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:37) Scott Laughton: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 1:01) Mikey Anderson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:25) Mathieu Joseph: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:46) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:27) Trevor Moore: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:15) Mathieu Joseph: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:26) Colton Parayko: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:12) Trevor Moore: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:49) Colton Parayko: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:36) Robert Thomas: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 9:12) Logan Mailloux: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:59) Alex Turcotte: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:12) Joel Edmundson: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:32) Philip Broberg: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 12:35) Colton Parayko: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 13:00) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:18) Robert Thomas: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 13:20) Robert Thomas: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:21) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:38) Cam Fowler: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:59) Dylan Holloway: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:02) Pius Suter: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 17:14) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 0:34) Adrian Kempe: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (OT 0:40) Quinton Byfield: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 1:01) Adrian Kempe: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 16:59) Robert Thomas: GOAL, deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 16:07) Trevor Moore: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.23 (OT 1:56)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 Robert Thomas 101 +1 50.43 0020:21
89 Pavel Buchnevich 000 0 20.17 0218:37
81 Dylan Holloway 011 +1 110.39 1118:13
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 000 +1 20.11 0117:38
29 Jonatan Berggren 000 -1 20.04 1217:07
25 Jordan Kyrou 000 -1 100.38 0016:50
63 Jake Neighbours 000 0 10.09 0015:14
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 000 0 20.29 2115:08
28 Otto Stenberg 000 0 00.00 2014:50
22 Pius Suter 000 0 20.09 0113:40
13 Alexey Toropchenko 000 0 50.31 3008:48
37 Jack Finley 000 0 00.00 3007:55
Defense
55 Colton Parayko 000 -1 50.17 2423:35
6 Philip Broberg 011 +1 40.15 0123:16
23 Logan Mailloux 000 +1 80.21 1021:01
17 Cam Fowler 000 0 20.03 0020:16
4 Theo Lindstein 000 0 30.00 0115:59
4 Justin Holl 000 0 10.02 0013:07
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jordan Binnington 26224 .923 2.32 +0.32

Los Angeles Kings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
10 Artemi Panarin 011 0 00.00 0021:01
55 Quinton Byfield 000 -1 30.40 1020:52
11 Anze Kopitar 011 +1 10.14 1520:47
14 Alex Laferriere 011 -1 30.05 2119:56
9 Adrian Kempe 101 0 70.52 1118:37
12 Trevor Moore 101 0 60.43 2117:44
21 Scott Laughton 000 0 30.16 1016:29
40 Joel Armia 000 0 40.25 1013:06
25 Jared Wright 000 0 40.03 0111:25
21 Mathieu Joseph 000 0 20.11 3008:32
15 Alex Turcotte 000 0 10.01 2006:38
17 Taylor Ward 000 0 10.09 1005:36
Defense
8 Drew Doughty 011 +1 40.00 2022:20
92 Brandt Clarke 000 0 30.02 0521:10
44 Mikey Anderson 000 -1 20.01 2320:30
6 Joel Edmundson 000 0 40.01 4419:55
2 Brian Dumoulin 000 0 10.06 3117:48
5 Cody Ceci 000 -1 20.00 0117:22
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Anton Forsberg 24123 .958 2.85 +1.85

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
6 Philip Broberg D +2.04 +0.70 +0.10 +1.09 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 23:16
18 Robert Thomas C +1.69 +0.75 +0.28 +0.63 0.00 +0.05 -0.02 — 20:21
81 Dylan Holloway L +1.51 +0.55 +0.25 +0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:13
23 Logan Mailloux D +1.38 0.00 +0.14 +1.28 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 21:01
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R +0.81 0.00 +0.07 +0.56 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 17:38
55 Colton Parayko D +0.41 0.00 +0.11 +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 23:35
29 Jonatan Berggren R +0.37 0.00 +0.02 +0.24 0.00 +0.01 +0.10 — 17:07
50 Jordan Binnington G +0.32 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.32 61:56
89 Pavel Buchnevich L +0.31 0.00 +0.11 +0.15 0.00 -0.05 +0.10 — 18:37
13 Alexey Toropchenko R +0.28 0.00 +0.20 +0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:48
25 Jordan Kyrou R +0.26 0.00 +0.24 +0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:50
28 Otto Stenberg C +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:50
22 Pius Suter C +0.08 0.00 +0.06 +0.01 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 13:40
63 Jake Neighbours L +0.07 0.00 +0.06 +0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:14
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R -0.01 0.00 +0.19 -0.07 -0.15 -0.01 +0.03 — 15:08
37 Jack Finley C -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:55
41 Theo Lindstein D -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:59
17 Cam Fowler D -0.19 0.00 +0.02 -0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:16
4 Justin Holl D -0.57 0.00 +0.01 -0.45 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 13:07

Los Angeles Kings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
31 Anton Forsberg G +1.85 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.85 61:56
9 Adrian Kempe R +0.96 +0.75 +0.34 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:37
12 Trevor Moore L +0.58 +0.75 +0.28 -0.47 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 — 17:44
8 Drew Doughty D +0.52 +0.55 0.00 +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 22:20
11 Anze Kopitar C +0.41 +0.70 +0.09 -0.68 0.00 +0.02 +0.27 — 20:47
21 Scott Laughton C +0.36 0.00 +0.10 +0.22 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 16:29
10 Artemi Panarin L +0.34 +0.55 0.00 -0.34 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 21:01
40 Joel Armia R +0.32 0.00 +0.17 +0.34 -0.15 +0.01 -0.04 — 13:06
14 Alex Laferriere R +0.27 +0.70 +0.03 -0.45 0.00 -0.05 +0.03 — 19:56
55 Quinton Byfield R +0.22 0.00 +0.26 -0.15 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 20:52
92 Brandt Clarke D +0.12 0.00 +0.02 -0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 21:10
53 Jared Wright R +0.10 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:25
15 Alex Turcotte C -0.13 0.00 +0.01 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 6:38
6 Joel Edmundson D -0.24 0.00 +0.01 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 19:55
44 Mikey Anderson D -0.25 0.00 +0.01 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 20:30
52 Taylor Ward R -0.26 0.00 +0.06 -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 5:36
17 Mathieu Joseph R -0.31 0.00 +0.07 -0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:32
2 Brian Dumoulin D -0.34 0.00 +0.04 -0.26 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 17:48
5 Cody Ceci D -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:22

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.