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Minnesota WildMIN 4–1 Final Ottawa SenatorsOTT

Saturday, April 4, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Minnesota WildMIN 211 4 23
Ottawa SenatorsOTT 001 1 34
Playoff odds, % Change
OTT -12.1
MIN +0.0
DET +7.5
PHI +1.2
CBJ +1.0
NYI +0.9
BOS +0.9

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 4, 2026 12:05 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
9:45 MIN Jonas Brodin (4) Vladimir Tarasenko (22), Jared Spurgeon (14) · wrist xG 0.01 1–0 ▶
15:35 MIN Ryan Hartman (21) Mats Zuccarello (33) · wrist xG 0.14 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
15:31 MIN Ryan Hartman (22) Mats Zuccarello (34), Kirill Kaprizov (44) · wrist xG 0.14 3–0 ▶
3rd Period
12:46 MIN Jake Middleton (2) Quinn Hughes (68), Joel Eriksson Ek (29) · snap xG 0.15 4–0 ▶
16:43 OTT Drake Batherson (31) Lassi Thomson (2), Tim Stützle (45) · wrist xG 0.40 4–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MIN 50%Deserve to win50% OTT
MINOTT
2.61Expected goals2.59
4Goals (no shootout)1
2.29Expected goals, 5 on 52.25
48Shot attempts60
37Unblocked attempts45
23Shots on goal34

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
16:18 MIN Goalie Goalie · Wallstedt +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.08 xG, 32 shots on goal
19:10 MIN No shift No shift · Bogosian, 10:50 on the bench
No shift after 9:10 of the 3rd; 16 shifts (14:08) before that

Shot map

MIN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ OTT shoots
Brady Tkachuk: backhand, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:31) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:04) Brock Faber: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:18) Ridly Greig: backhand, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:29) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:45) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:01) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.43 (P1 4:04) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:21) Shane Pinto: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:31) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 4:59) Ridly Greig: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:06) Shane Pinto: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 6:33) Jake Sanderson: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:43) Jared Spurgeon: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:55) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 7:41) Shane Pinto: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:27) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 10:18) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 10:26) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 11:44) Jake Sanderson: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:32) Jordan Spence: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:55) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:58) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:59) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:24) Drake Batherson: backhand, 29 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:43) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 17:03) Ridly Greig: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:26) Jake Sanderson: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:31) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 0:44) Fabian Zetterlund: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:21) Warren Foegele: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 1:25) Yakov Trenin: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 2:23) Mats Zuccarello: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:29) Artem Zub: wrist, 121 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:27) Matt Boldy: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:06) Quinn Hughes: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 5:53) Jake Sanderson: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:27) Jake Middleton: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:04) Michael McCarron: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:52) Michael McCarron: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 8:46) Brock Faber: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:32) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:18) Ridly Greig: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.34 (P2 10:21) Jonas Brodin: tip-in, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:41) Jonas Brodin: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:42) Brock Faber: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:25) Lars Eller: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:26) Ryan Hartman: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:32) Matt Boldy: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:43) Tim Stützle: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:34) Jordan Spence: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:39) Joel Eriksson Ek: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:00) Matt Boldy: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 0:24) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:29) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:30) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 105 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:48) Matt Boldy: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:36) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:58) Shane Pinto: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:28) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 3:43) Claude Giroux: backhand, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:11) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:51) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:58) Ridly Greig: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:19) Lassi Thomson: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:28) Lassi Thomson: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:41) Michael Amadio: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:59) Jordan Spence: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:07) Jordan Spence: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:06) Matt Boldy: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 12:37) Ridly Greig: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:13) Warren Foegele: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 15:07) Michael Amadio: backhand, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:04) Shane Pinto: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 16:18) Brock Faber: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:01) Nikolas Matinpalo: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:31) Shane Pinto: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:54) Jonas Brodin: GOAL, wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:45) Ryan Hartman: GOAL, wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 15:35) Ryan Hartman: GOAL, wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 15:31) Jake Middleton: GOAL, snap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 12:46) Drake Batherson: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.40 (P3 16:43)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 011 +2 30.63 1217:56
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 011 0 50.28 1117:50
12 Matt Boldy 000 0 50.28 1117:16
13 Yakov Trenin 000 +1 30.20 7015:32
36 Mats Zuccarello 022 +2 40.14 0015:15
38 Ryan Hartman 202 +2 60.45 0014:28
22 Danila Yurov 000 +1 00.00 3113:28
90 Marcus Johansson 000 0 00.00 0013:16
47 Michael McCarron 000 0 40.17 2113:16
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 011 +1 30.03 3113:00
71 Nick Foligno 000 0 00.00 4112:28
17 Marcus Foligno 000 0 00.00 6012:09
Defense
43 Quinn Hughes 011 +2 40.15 0126:01
7 Brock Faber 000 -1 40.06 0124:05
55 Jake Middleton 101 +1 20.16 0220:58
25 Jonas Brodin 101 +1 30.05 0018:00
46 Jared Spurgeon 011 +1 10.01 0014:54
24 Zach Bogosian 000 +2 10.00 2114:08
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jesper Wallstedt 34133 .971 2.59 +1.59

Ottawa Senators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
12 Shane Pinto 000 0 60.39 0219:39
22 Michael Amadio 000 -2 20.01 0117:29
8 Brady Tkachuk 000 -1 90.32 1016:59
18 Tim Stützle 011 0 30.04 2016:31
24 Dylan Cozens 000 -1 40.11 1016:30
71 Ridly Greig 000 -1 80.58 3015:19
28 Claude Giroux 000 0 10.00 0014:34
19 Drake Batherson 101 0 20.42 2014:05
21 Nick Cousins 000 0 00.00 5113:05
37 Warren Foegele 000 -1 30.32 2012:39
20 Lars Eller 000 -2 20.03 0012:35
20 Fabian Zetterlund 000 -1 10.05 2009:39
Defense
85 Jake Sanderson 000 -1 60.09 0324:55
10 Jordan Spence 000 -2 50.12 0122:51
2 Artem Zub 000 -1 10.00 0121:51
33 Nikolas Matinpalo 000 -2 10.04 0217:39
60 Lassi Thomson 011 0 50.07 0015:21
5 Cameron Crotty 000 0 10.00 0014:19
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Linus Ullmark 23419 .826 2.61 -1.39

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
38 Ryan Hartman R +2.63 +1.50 +0.30 +0.87 0.00 +0.03 -0.06 — 14:28
36 Mats Zuccarello R +2.42 +1.40 +0.09 +0.95 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 15:15
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +2.32 +0.55 +0.41 +1.28 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 17:56
43 Quinn Hughes D +1.71 +0.70 +0.10 +0.71 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 26:01
30 Jesper Wallstedt G +1.59 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.59 60:00
25 Jonas Brodin D +1.15 +0.75 +0.03 +0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:00
46 Jared Spurgeon D +1.13 +0.55 +0.01 +0.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:54
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R +0.86 +0.70 +0.02 +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:00
5 Jake Middleton D +0.56 +0.75 +0.10 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:58
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C +0.34 +0.55 +0.18 -0.28 -0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 17:50
13 Yakov Trenin C +0.14 0.00 +0.13 +0.06 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 15:32
47 Michael McCarron C +0.10 0.00 +0.11 -0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 13:16
22 Danila Yurov R -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.06 +0.05 — 13:28
12 Matt Boldy L -0.06 0.00 +0.18 -0.28 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 17:16
17 Marcus Foligno L -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 12:09
24 Zach Bogosian D -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 14:08
7 Brock Faber D -0.22 0.00 +0.04 -0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:05
71 Nick Foligno L -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.26 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 12:28
90 Marcus Johansson L -0.71 0.00 0.00 -0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 13:16

Ottawa Senators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
60 Lassi Thomson D +1.01 +0.70 +0.05 +0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:21
7 Brady Tkachuk L +0.98 0.00 +0.21 +0.58 +0.15 +0.04 0.00 — 16:59
71 Ridly Greig C +0.90 0.00 +0.38 +0.51 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:19
24 Dylan Cozens C +0.65 0.00 +0.07 +0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:30
19 Drake Batherson R +0.56 +0.75 +0.27 -0.45 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 14:05
10 Jordan Spence D +0.55 0.00 +0.08 +0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:51
5 Cameron Crotty D +0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 14:19
12 Shane Pinto C +0.40 0.00 +0.25 +0.01 0.00 +0.01 +0.12 — 19:39
21 Nick Cousins C +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.33 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 13:05
18 Tim Stützle C +0.07 +0.55 +0.02 -0.53 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 16:31
37 Warren Foegele L -0.03 0.00 +0.21 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 12:39
28 Claude Giroux R -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.34 +0.15 +0.03 -0.02 — 14:34
85 Jake Sanderson D -0.27 0.00 +0.06 -0.46 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 24:55
20 Fabian Zetterlund L -0.30 0.00 +0.03 -0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:39
33 Nikolas Matinpalo D -0.56 0.00 +0.02 -0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 17:39
89 Lars Eller C -0.64 0.00 +0.02 -0.60 0.00 -0.04 -0.02 — 12:35
22 Michael Amadio R -0.96 0.00 +0.01 -1.02 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:29
2 Artem Zub D -1.21 0.00 0.00 -1.07 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 21:51
35 Linus Ullmark G -1.39 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.39 60:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.