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Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 2–1 Final Vancouver CanucksVAN

Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 011 2 29
Vancouver CanucksVAN 010 1 11
Playoff odds, % Change
VGK +3.4
VAN +0.0
LAK -0.8
SJS -0.8
NSH -0.8
WPG -0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 7, 2026 9:22 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
12:50 VAN Max Sasson (13) Teddy Blueger (8), Linus Karlsson (19) · snap xG 0.03 0–1 ▶
15:46 VGK Brayden McNabb (5) Shea Theodore (29), Brandon Saad (6) · snap xG 0.02 1–1 ▶
3rd Period
12:13 VGK Cole Smith (8) Nic Dowd (15) · snap xG 0.11 2–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 85%Deserve to win15% VAN
VGKVAN
3.84Expected goals1.55
2Goals (no shootout)1
3.71Expected goals, 5 on 50.94
64Shot attempts43
47Unblocked attempts23
29Shots on goal11

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
12:10 VGK xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.03–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 2:10 to 12:10 of the 1st; neither team scored
2nd Period
4:53 VAN Goalie Goalie · Tolopilo +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.02 xG, 14 shots on goal
3rd Period
18:19 VAN Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Tolopilo, down 2–1
With 1:41 left

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VAN shoots
Tom Willander: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:59) Noah Hanifin: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:10) Nic Dowd: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 2:15) Keegan Kolesar: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 2:17) Rasmus Andersson: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:26) Pavel Dorofeyev: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:31) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 6:33) Mitch Marner: tip-in, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:56) Jeremy Lauzon: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:53) Nic Dowd: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:54) Mark Stone: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 10:22) Brandon Saad: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 11:40) Mitch Marner: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:02) Colton Sissons: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 13:48) Brandon Saad: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:48) Aatu Räty: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 14:24) Victor Mancini: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:28) Linus Karlsson: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:26) Max Sasson: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:45) Brandon Saad: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:21) Brett Howden: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 18:20) Mitch Marner: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:41) Mitch Marner: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 18:48) Ivan Barbashev: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 18:57) Jake DeBrusk: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 0:20) Marco Rossi: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:09) Colton Sissons: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 1:59) Shea Theodore: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:33) Shea Theodore: wrist, 146 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:52) Mitch Marner: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 4:53) Brandon Saad: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 5:04) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 162 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:28) Elias Pettersson: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:11) Marco Rossi: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:19) Colton Sissons: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:05) Jack Eichel: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:03) Brett Howden: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 9:10) Nils Hoglander: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:56) Brandon Saad: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:36) Jack Eichel: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 14:25) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:24) Mark Stone: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 17:17) Mark Stone: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 17:28) Jack Eichel: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:29) Mitch Marner: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:41) Drew O'Connor: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:35) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:36) Drew O'Connor: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 19:39) Ivan Barbashev: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:03) Brett Howden: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 4:04) Noah Hanifin: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:12) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 4:24) Jack Eichel: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:44) Curtis Douglas: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 7:07) Brayden McNabb: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:27) Shea Theodore: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:53) Aatu Räty: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:58) Filip Hronek: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:05) Shea Theodore: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:31) Marcus Pettersson: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:18) Mitch Marner: backhand, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:33) Brandon Saad: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 17:04) Filip Hronek: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:46) Filip Hronek: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:59) Aatu Räty: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 19:35) Filip Hronek: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:41) Jake DeBrusk: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 19:43) Max Sasson: GOAL, snap, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:50) Brayden McNabb: GOAL, snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:46) Cole Smith: GOAL, snap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 12:13)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Mitch Marner 000 0 80.44 0018:46
9 Jack Eichel 000 0 50.37 0017:58
21 Brett Howden 000 0 30.35 4017:17
61 Mark Stone 000 0 40.34 1117:10
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 000 0 30.50 0117:05
49 Ivan Barbashev 000 0 20.07 1015:28
20 Brandon Saad 011 +1 60.60 1013:25
15 Colton Sissons 000 0 40.44 4113:22
48 Tomas Hertl 000 +1 00.00 1313:16
26 Nic Dowd 011 0 20.12 0012:55
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 +1 10.20 3012:07
22 Cole Smith 101 0 20.11 4009:30
Defense
15 Noah Hanifin 000 0 40.04 0222:27
4 Rasmus Andersson 000 0 20.09 1322:22
3 Brayden McNabb 101 +2 50.06 1321:23
27 Shea Theodore 011 +2 40.09 0120:37
5 Jeremy Lauzon 000 -1 60.01 1217:35
17 Ben Hutton 000 -1 30.00 0313:53
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Carter Hart 11110 .909 1.55 +0.55

Vancouver Canucks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
40 Elias Pettersson 000 0 50.12 1120:54
6 Brock Boeser 000 -1 40.00 3019:59
74 Jake DeBrusk 000 0 30.31 1318:28
23 Marco Rossi 000 -1 20.06 3018:02
18 Drew O'Connor 000 0 30.24 1017:59
92 Liam Ohgren 000 -1 10.00 1216:20
73 Teddy Blueger 011 +1 00.00 1114:38
21 Nils Hoglander 000 -1 10.05 3112:16
94 Linus Karlsson 011 +1 20.04 0011:56
54 Aatu Räty 000 -1 40.28 0011:52
63 Max Sasson 101 +1 20.13 1110:57
42 Curtis Douglas 000 -1 10.13 3009:48
Defense
17 Filip Hronek 000 0 60.17 6026:53
8 Zeev Buium 000 0 10.00 1021:18
5 Tom Willander 000 +1 10.01 1321:09
26 Marcus Pettersson 000 -2 30.01 1319:00
25 Elias Pettersson 000 +1 00.00 0016:09
90 Victor Mancini 000 -2 40.01 0012:03
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Nikita Tolopilo 29227 .931 3.84 +1.84

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
20 Brandon Saad L +1.69 +0.55 +0.39 +0.78 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:25
5 Jeremy Lauzon D +1.68 0.00 +0.01 +1.59 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 17:35
3 Brayden McNabb D +1.62 +0.75 +0.04 +0.72 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 21:23
4 Rasmus Andersson D +1.58 0.00 +0.06 +1.50 -0.15 0.00 +0.17 — 22:22
93 Mitch Marner R +1.49 0.00 +0.29 +1.21 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 18:46
22 Cole Smith R +1.43 +0.75 +0.07 +0.46 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 9:30
26 Nic Dowd C +1.42 +0.70 +0.08 +0.63 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 12:55
27 Shea Theodore D +1.39 +0.70 +0.06 +0.60 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:37
9 Jack Eichel C +1.38 0.00 +0.24 +1.10 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 17:58
17 Ben Hutton D +1.31 0.00 0.00 +1.16 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 13:53
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +1.28 0.00 +0.32 +0.94 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 17:05
21 Brett Howden C +1.20 0.00 +0.23 +0.94 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 17:17
61 Mark Stone R +1.15 0.00 +0.22 +0.88 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:10
10 Colton Sissons C +1.13 0.00 +0.29 +0.95 -0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 13:22
15 Noah Hanifin D +0.95 0.00 +0.03 +0.82 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 22:27
49 Ivan Barbashev L +0.75 0.00 +0.05 +0.71 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 15:28
48 Tomas Hertl C +0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.55 0.00 +0.01 +0.15 — 13:16
79 Carter Hart G +0.55 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.55 59:43
55 Keegan Kolesar R +0.52 0.00 +0.13 +0.42 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 12:07

Vancouver Canucks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
60 Nikita Tolopilo G +1.84 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.84 58:19
63 Max Sasson C +0.22 +0.75 +0.08 -0.68 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 10:57
53 Teddy Blueger C -0.04 +0.70 0.00 -0.76 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 14:38
5 Tom Willander D -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 21:09
74 Jake DeBrusk L -0.12 0.00 +0.20 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 18:28
18 Drew O'Connor L -0.15 0.00 +0.16 -0.29 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 17:59
40 Elias Pettersson C -0.19 0.00 +0.08 -0.25 0.00 -0.05 +0.03 — 20:54
54 Aatu Räty C -0.19 0.00 +0.18 -0.35 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 11:52
94 Linus Karlsson C -0.22 +0.55 +0.02 -0.80 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 11:56
25 Elias Pettersson D -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:09
42 Curtis Douglas C -0.55 0.00 +0.08 -0.50 -0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 9:48
21 Nils Hoglander L -0.64 0.00 +0.03 -0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:16
24 Zeev Buium D -0.94 0.00 0.00 -1.07 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 21:18
6 Brock Boeser R -1.23 0.00 0.00 -1.24 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 19:59
90 Victor Mancini D -1.32 0.00 +0.01 -1.31 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:03
17 Filip Hronek D -1.47 0.00 +0.11 -1.65 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 26:53
93 Marco Rossi C -1.59 0.00 +0.04 -1.74 +0.15 -0.02 -0.02 — 18:02
92 Liam Ohgren L -1.66 0.00 0.00 -1.78 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 16:20
29 Marcus Pettersson D -1.72 0.00 +0.01 -1.88 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 19:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.