Nashville PredatorsNSH 5–0 Final Anaheim DucksANA

Tuesday, April 7, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Nashville PredatorsNSH	0	3	2	5	25
Anaheim DucksANA	0	0	0	0	43

Playoff odds, %	Change
NSH	+14.4
ANA	-4.5
LAK	-4.2
SJS	-2.2
WPG	-1.5
VGK	-0.7
EDM	-0.6

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 7, 2026 9:22 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
7:07	NSH	Erik Haula (13) Joakim Kemell (1), Adam Wilsby (15) · snap xG 0.15	1–0 ▶
11:26	NSH	Filip Forsberg (38)PP Roman Josi (41), Ryan O'Reilly (46) · snap xG 0.07	2–0 ▶
19:00	NSH	Brady Skjei (3)SH Nick Perbix (8), Ryan O'Reilly (47) · snap xG 0.20	3–0 ▶
3rd Period
9:51	NSH	Zachary L'Heureux (4) Joakim Kemell (2), Erik Haula (24) · snap xG 0.26	4–0 ▶
15:07	NSH	Fedor Svechkov (4) Tyson Jost (8), Ryan Ufko (5) · snap xG 0.22	5–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NSH 31%Deserve to win69% ANA

NSH		ANA
3.03	Expected goals	4.35
5	Goals (no shootout)	0
2.19	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.16
47	Shot attempts	84
37	Unblocked attempts	64
25	Shots on goal	43

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
3:00	ANA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced NSH 1.23–0.03 In xG over 10 minutes, 13:50 of the 1st to 3:50 of the 2nd; neither team scored
9:08	NSH	Goalie	Goalie · Annunen +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.05 xG, 21 shots on goal
3rd Period
15:07	ANA	Goalie	Goalie · Dostal −2.0 goals saved 5 goals on 2.99 xG, 25 shots on goal
16:45	NSH	Goalie	Goalie · Annunen +4.0 goals saved 0 goals on 4.05 xG, 42 shots on goal

Shot map

NSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ ANA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Nashville Predators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
90	Ryan O'Reilly	0	2	2	+1	2	0.19	1	1	20:55
9	Filip Forsberg	1	0	1	0	6	0.18	0	1	16:21
91	Steven Stamkos	0	0	0	0	5	0.54	1	0	16:03
17	Tyson Jost	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	1	0	15:50
56	Erik Haula	1	1	2	+2	3	0.20	0	3	15:24
81	Jonathan Marchessault	0	0	0	0	5	0.34	1	0	14:52
71	Matthew Wood	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	0	14:44
68	Zachary L'Heureux	1	0	1	+2	3	0.29	0	0	13:44
77	Luke Evangelista	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	0	0	12:59
25	Joakim Kemell	0	2	2	+4	1	0.12	2	2	12:24
9	Fedor Svechkov	1	0	1	+1	4	0.31	0	0	10:55
49	Reid Schaefer	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	08:09
Defense
76	Brady Skjei	1	0	1	+2	1	0.20	0	2	23:19
48	Nick Perbix	0	1	1	+2	2	0.01	0	3	22:12
2	Adam Wilsby	0	1	1	+2	1	0.12	0	1	21:47
72	Justin Barron	0	0	0	+1	2	0.00	1	2	17:33
12	Ryan Ufko	0	1	1	0	1	0.19	3	1	15:35
59	Roman Josi	0	1	1	+1	3	0.13	0	0	15:31

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Justus Annunen	43	0	43	1.000	4.35	+4.35

Anaheim Ducks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
64	Mikael Granlund	0	0	0	0	5	0.35	1	2	23:35
91	Leo Carlsson	0	0	0	0	3	0.41	0	1	21:45
19	Troy Terry	0	0	0	-1	12	0.84	0	0	20:44
45	Beckett Sennecke	0	0	0	-2	7	0.57	0	0	20:14
25	Ryan Poehling	0	0	0	-2	3	0.14	0	0	17:26
17	Alex Killorn	0	0	0	-3	4	0.29	0	0	15:29
22	Chris Kreider	0	0	0	0	7	0.40	0	0	13:31
83	Mason McTavish	0	0	0	-3	1	0.06	0	0	12:09
42	Tim Washe	0	0	0	-1	4	0.10	2	0	11:31
25	Jeffrey Viel	0	0	0	-1	5	0.16	6	0	08:49
Defense
74	John Carlson	0	0	0	-3	4	0.02	0	1	25:04
2	Jackson LaCombe	0	0	0	-2	7	0.35	1	0	21:56
65	Jacob Trouba	0	0	0	0	5	0.08	3	1	19:15
98	Pavel Mintyukov	0	0	0	-2	4	0.05	0	2	18:31
55	Tyson Hinds	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	1	13:13
14	Drew Helleson	0	0	0	0	5	0.17	1	1	11:46
8	Olen Zellweger	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	1	0	08:58
3	Ian Moore	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	3	0	08:39

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Lukas Dostal	25	5	20	.800	3.03	-1.97

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Nashville Predators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
29 Justus Annunen G	+4.35	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+4.35	59:43
25 Joakim Kemell R	+2.21	+1.40	+0.08	+0.64	0.00	-0.01	+0.10	—	12:24
56 Erik Haula L	+2.03	+1.30	+0.13	+0.35	+0.15	-0.03	+0.13	—	15:24
68 Zachary L'Heureux L	+1.20	+0.75	+0.19	+0.29	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	13:44
48 Nick Perbix D	+1.01	+0.70	+0.01	+0.13	0.00	0.00	+0.17	—	22:12
76 Brady Skjei D	+0.99	+0.75	+0.13	+0.03	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	23:19
40 Fedor Svechkov C	+0.95	+0.75	+0.20	+0.01	0.00	+0.02	-0.04	—	10:55
17 Tyson Jost C	+0.78	+0.70	+0.01	+0.25	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	—	15:50
59 Roman Josi D	+0.72	+0.70	+0.08	-0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:31
90 Ryan O'Reilly C	+0.54	+1.10	+0.12	-0.71	0.00	-0.02	+0.05	—	20:55
83 Adam Wilsby D	+0.42	+0.55	+0.08	-0.26	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	21:47
9 Filip Forsberg L	+0.41	+0.75	+0.12	-0.36	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	16:21
85 Ryan Ufko D	+0.40	+0.55	+0.12	-0.14	-0.15	0.00	+0.01	—	15:35
91 Steven Stamkos C	+0.36	0.00	+0.35	-0.04	0.00	+0.07	-0.02	—	16:03
81 Jonathan Marchessault R	-0.18	0.00	+0.22	-0.53	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	14:52
71 Matthew Wood R	-0.24	0.00	+0.09	-0.27	0.00	-0.05	-0.02	—	14:44
77 Luke Evangelista R	-0.59	0.00	+0.04	-0.61	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:59
20 Justin Barron D	-0.83	0.00	0.00	-0.95	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	17:33
49 Reid Schaefer L	-1.08	0.00	0.00	-0.88	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	—	8:09

Anaheim Ducks

Player	Rating	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
2 Jackson LaCombe D	+1.21	+0.23	+0.98	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	21:56
65 Jacob Trouba D	+0.98	+0.05	+0.89	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	19:15
19 Troy Terry R	+0.82	+0.54	-0.02	+0.30	0.00	0.00	—	20:44
60 Tyson Hinds D	+0.81	+0.05	+0.73	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	13:13
14 Drew Helleson D	+0.80	+0.11	+0.64	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	11:46
20 Chris Kreider L	+0.76	+0.26	+0.66	-0.15	-0.02	0.00	—	13:31
64 Mikael Granlund C	+0.75	+0.23	+0.40	0.00	+0.04	+0.08	—	23:35
17 Alex Killorn L	+0.44	+0.19	+0.28	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	15:29
25 Ryan Poehling C	+0.37	+0.09	+0.12	+0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	17:26
91 Leo Carlsson C	+0.36	+0.27	-0.08	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	21:45
45 Beckett Sennecke R	+0.31	+0.37	-0.17	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	20:14
51 Olen Zellweger D	+0.31	+0.09	+0.22	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:58
3 Ian Moore D	+0.26	+0.09	+0.17	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	8:39
28 Jeffrey Viel L	+0.17	+0.10	+0.36	-0.30	0.00	0.00	—	8:49
23 Mason McTavish C	+0.09	+0.04	+0.07	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:09
42 Tim Washe C	-0.01	+0.06	-0.14	0.00	+0.04	+0.02	—	11:31
74 John Carlson D	-0.91	+0.01	-0.91	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	25:04
98 Pavel Mintyukov D	-1.04	+0.03	-1.13	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	18:31
1 Lukas Dostal G	-1.97	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.97	60:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.