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Edmonton OilersEDM 5–2 Final San Jose SharksSJS

Wednesday, April 8, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Edmonton OilersEDM 230 5 26
San Jose SharksSJS 110 2 14
Playoff odds, % Change
SJS -11.0
EDM +2.2
LAK +3.2
NSH +2.6
ANA +1.6
WPG +0.7
VGK +0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 8, 2026 9:07 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:27 SJS Macklin Celebrini (42)PP Dmitry Orlov (32), Will Smith (33) · wrist xG 0.05 0–1 ▶
6:18 EDM Connor McDavid (45)PP Evan Bouchard (69), Vasily Podkolzin (18) · poke xG 0.10 1–1 ▶
18:38 EDM Vasily Podkolzin (19)PP Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (36), Connor McDavid (85) · tip-in xG 0.16 2–1 ▶
2nd Period
3:33 EDM Jack Roslovic (21)PP Connor McDavid (86) · backhand xG 0.16 3–1 ▶
4:37 SJS Kiefer Sherwood (23) Alexander Wennberg (36), William Eklund (35) · tip-in xG 0.10 3–2 ▶
5:53 EDM Connor McDavid (46) Evan Bouchard (70), Mattias Ekholm (35) · wrist xG 0.19 4–2 ▶
14:13 EDM Connor McDavid (47) Jack Roslovic (15) · wrist xG 0.19 5–2 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

EDM 70%Deserve to win30% SJS
EDMSJS
2.64Expected goals1.61
5Goals (no shootout)2
1.81Expected goals, 5 on 51.14
58Shot attempts41
41Unblocked attempts28
26Shots on goal14

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
5:53 EDM Deserve to win Deserve to win · EDM takes the lead, 60–40%
SJS had led since 4:27 of the 1st, by as much as 60%
5:53 SJS Goalie Goalie · Nedeljkovic −2.7 goals saved
4 goals on 1.32 xG, 12 shots on goal
20:00 EDM Goalie change Goalie change · Jarry in for Ingram
The start of the 3rd; Ingram had allowed 2 goals on 10 shots (1.41 xG)
3rd Period
11:20 EDM No shift No shift · Dickinson, 18:38 on the bench
No shift after 1:16 of the 3rd; 15 shifts (12:06) before that

Shot map

EDM shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SJS shoots
Connor McDavid: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:46) Will Smith: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 1:09) Adam Gaudette: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:24) Kasperi Kapanen: wrist, 93 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:28) Tyler Toffoli: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 4:10) Connor McDavid: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:15) Kasperi Kapanen: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 7:05) Kiefer Sherwood: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 7:49) Vasily Podkolzin: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:57) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 10:03) Jake Walman: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:13) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 13:46) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 14:14) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 14:58) Adam Henrique: tip-in, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:26) Connor McDavid: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:31) Evan Bouchard: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 18:21) Igor Chernyshov: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 0:52) Sam Dickinson: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:56) Connor McDavid: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:54) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 75 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:06) Matt Savoie: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:31) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:15) Matt Savoie: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:53) Jason Dickinson: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:08) Michael Misa: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 11:45) Kiefer Sherwood: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 11:47) William Eklund: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 12:15) Connor Murphy: wrist, 188 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:35) Josh Samanski: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 12:56) Jake Walman: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:06) Josh Samanski: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:14) Will Smith: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:30) Connor McDavid: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:01) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 16:13) Kasperi Kapanen: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 17:36) Jack Roslovic: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 17:45) Evan Bouchard: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:47) Matt Savoie: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 18:49) Evan Bouchard: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:56) Vincent Desharnais: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:21) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:45) Mario Ferraro: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:53) Kasperi Kapanen: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:47) Ty Emberson: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:53) Trent Frederic: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:49) Josh Samanski: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:56) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:43) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:47) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:57) Will Smith: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:09) Will Smith: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:19) Sam Dickinson: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:32) Jake Walman: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:18) Mario Ferraro: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:52) William Eklund: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:59) Kiefer Sherwood: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:19) Vasily Podkolzin: tip-in, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:18) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 15:48) Vincent Desharnais: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:27) Connor McDavid: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:38) Nick Leddy: wrist, 108 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:08) Macklin Celebrini: GOAL, wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:27) Connor McDavid: GOAL, poke, 23 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 6:18) Vasily Podkolzin: GOAL, tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 18:38) Jack Roslovic: GOAL, backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:33) Kiefer Sherwood: GOAL, tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:37) Connor McDavid: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 5:53) Connor McDavid: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 14:13)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Connor McDavid 325 +2 100.76 0121:10
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 011 0 30.16 1019:31
92 Vasily Podkolzin 112 +1 30.21 2216:48
42 Kasperi Kapanen 000 0 40.32 1016:45
22 Matt Savoie 000 +1 50.24 0016:35
10 Trent Frederic 000 -1 10.01 7015:10
19 Adam Henrique 000 0 10.00 1213:23
96 Jack Roslovic 112 +1 50.38 3012:48
34 Colton Dach 000 -1 00.00 7012:27
16 Jason Dickinson 000 0 10.13 0112:06
81 Josh Samanski 000 -1 40.26 1011:19
46 Max Jones 000 +1 30.00 3010:22
Defense
2 Evan Bouchard 022 +1 60.10 0022:32
25 Darnell Nurse 000 0 10.00 3121:17
5 Connor Murphy 000 +1 30.00 2220:08
96 Jake Walman 000 0 50.03 0118:14
14 Mattias Ekholm 011 +1 10.00 0217:39
49 Ty Emberson 000 -1 20.01 2016:57
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Ingram 1028 .800 1.41 -0.59
Tristan Jarry 404 1.000 0.21 +0.21

San Jose Sharks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Macklin Celebrini 101 0 90.37 1121:48
21 Alexander Wennberg 011 +1 00.00 0220:52
2 Will Smith 011 -1 50.17 1118:40
44 Kiefer Sherwood 101 +1 40.47 4018:01
27 William Eklund 011 +1 40.10 1017:20
51 Collin Graf 000 0 00.00 3016:59
73 Tyler Toffoli 000 -1 30.22 1213:24
77 Michael Misa 000 -2 20.10 0211:34
63 Zack Ostapchuk 000 0 00.00 2111:24
23 Barclay Goodrow 000 0 20.00 4010:47
81 Adam Gaudette 000 0 10.01 0110:27
92 Igor Chernyshov 000 -2 10.11 0010:25
Defense
38 Mario Ferraro 000 0 30.02 0123:41
9 Dmitry Orlov 011 0 00.00 1021:38
4 Nick Leddy 000 -1 10.00 0219:00
73 Vincent Desharnais 000 0 30.02 1118:58
3 John Klingberg 000 +1 10.00 0117:49
6 Sam Dickinson 000 -2 20.03 0013:54
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Alex Nedeljkovic 26521 .808 2.64 -2.36

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
97 Connor McDavid C +4.72 +3.50 +0.49 +0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:10
2 Evan Bouchard D +2.38 +1.40 +0.07 +0.77 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 22:32
92 Vasily Podkolzin R +2.18 +1.30 +0.14 +0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 16:48
28 Jack Roslovic C +1.94 +1.45 +0.25 +0.24 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 12:48
14 Mattias Ekholm D +1.25 +0.55 0.00 +0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 17:39
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C +0.85 +0.70 +0.10 +0.07 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 19:31
22 Matt Savoie C +0.59 0.00 +0.16 +0.58 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 16:35
46 Max Jones L +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:22
5 Connor Murphy D +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 20:08
81 Josh Samanski C +0.43 0.00 +0.17 +0.23 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 11:19
19 Adam Henrique C +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.35 0.00 +0.01 +0.06 — 13:23
96 Jake Walman D +0.21 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 18:14
35 Tristan Jarry G +0.21 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.21 20:00
25 Darnell Nurse D +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:17
34 Colton Dach C -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:27
42 Kasperi Kapanen R -0.04 0.00 +0.21 -0.22 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 16:45
49 Ty Emberson D -0.05 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:57
10 Trent Frederic C -0.05 0.00 +0.01 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 15:10
16 Jason Dickinson C -0.27 0.00 +0.08 -0.37 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 12:06
39 Connor Ingram G -0.59 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.59 40:00

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
44 Kiefer Sherwood L +1.36 +0.75 +0.31 +0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:01
72 William Eklund L +1.18 +0.55 +0.07 +0.61 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:20
21 Alexander Wennberg C +0.92 +0.70 0.00 +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:52
71 Macklin Celebrini C +0.78 +0.75 +0.24 -0.13 -0.15 +0.04 +0.03 — 21:48
9 Dmitry Orlov D +0.74 +0.70 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:38
5 Vincent Desharnais D +0.52 0.00 +0.01 +0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:58
2 Will Smith C +0.36 +0.55 +0.11 -0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:40
3 John Klingberg D +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 17:49
38 Mario Ferraro D +0.01 0.00 +0.01 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 23:41
51 Collin Graf R -0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:59
73 Tyler Toffoli C -0.23 0.00 +0.14 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 13:24
63 Zack Ostapchuk C -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.33 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 11:24
81 Adam Gaudette R -0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.39 0.00 -0.04 +0.05 — 10:27
77 Michael Misa C -0.51 0.00 +0.06 -0.55 -0.15 +0.03 +0.10 — 11:34
23 Barclay Goodrow C -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:47
92 Igor Chernyshov L -0.75 0.00 +0.07 -0.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:25
4 Nick Leddy D -1.01 0.00 0.00 -1.09 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:00
6 Sam Dickinson D -1.27 0.00 +0.02 -1.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:54
33 Alex Nedeljkovic G -2.36 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.36 59:54

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.