hockeystats.io

Florida PanthersFLA 1–5 Final Ottawa SenatorsOTT

Thursday, April 9, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Florida PanthersFLA 001 1 23
Ottawa SenatorsOTT 203 5 26
Playoff odds, % Change
OTT +7.8
FLA +0.0
DET -2.0
CBJ -1.8
PHI -1.6
NYI -1.5
WSH -0.7

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 9, 2026 6:48 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:49 OTT Drake Batherson (32)PP Jake Sanderson (39), Brady Tkachuk (37) · deflected xG 0.10 0–1 ▶
17:00 OTT Fabian Zetterlund (15) Lars Eller (10), Jordan Spence (23) · wrist xG 0.07 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
3:03 OTT Artem Zub (5) Jake Sanderson (40), Dylan Cozens (30) · snap xG 0.18 0–3 ▶
14:17 FLA Jesper Boqvist (4) A.J. Greer (14), Eetu Luostarinen (19) · wrist xG 0.14 1–3 ▶
16:43 OTT Claude Giroux (14)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.52 1–4 ▶
17:02 OTT Fabian Zetterlund (16) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.18 1–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

FLA 22%Deserve to win78% OTT
FLAOTT
1.73Expected goals4.32
1Goals (no shootout)5
1.69Expected goals, 5 on 53.20
53Shot attempts60
37Unblocked attempts45
23Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
15:55 FLA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Bobrovsky, down 3–1
With 4:05 left; OTT scored at 16:43 of the 3rd (1–4)

Shot map

FLA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ OTT shoots
Mackie Samoskevich: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:36) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 3:27) Tomas Nosek: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:18) Jake Sanderson: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:34) Tim Stützle: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:59) Donovan Sebrango: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:07) Warren Foegele: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 7:01) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:58) Sam Bennett: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:00) Tim Stützle: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:50) Claude Giroux: slap, 16 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 8:59) Ridly Greig: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 9:42) Dylan Cozens: tip-in, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:47) Jordan Spence: slap, 21 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 9:49) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:14) Cole Schwindt: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:19) Noah Gregor: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 14:21) Donovan Sebrango: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:42) Mike Benning: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:55) Warren Foegele: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:44) Ridly Greig: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:54) Ridly Greig: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 18:04) Tim Stützle: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 18:52) Artem Zub: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:05) Ridly Greig: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:10) Sam Bennett: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:54) Tim Stützle: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 1:27) Marek Alscher: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:40) Michael Amadio: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 2:51) Thomas Chabot: slap, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:35) Sam Bennett: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:05) Shane Pinto: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 5:39) Claude Giroux: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:25) A.J. Greer: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:58) Luke Kunin: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:18) Nolan Foote: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:51) Thomas Chabot: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:50) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:42) A.J. Greer: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 13:38) Gustav Forsling: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:42) Ludvig Jansson: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:02) Sam Bennett: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:27) Noah Gregor: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:30) Gustav Forsling: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 15:37) Shane Pinto: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:20) Brady Tkachuk: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 17:34) Jesper Boqvist: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 19:47) Carter Verhaeghe: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:12) Artem Zub: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:43) Tim Stützle: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:46) Artem Zub: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:55) Jake Sanderson: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:59) Michael Amadio: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 4:01) Jake Sanderson: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 5:18) Ridly Greig: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:01) Nolan Foote: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:30) Marek Alscher: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:39) Eetu Luostarinen: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:52) Shane Pinto: tip-in, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:10) Artem Zub: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:24) Claude Giroux: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:28) Tim Stützle: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.31 (P3 10:31) Lassi Thomson: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:39) Nikolas Matinpalo: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:03) Dylan Cozens: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:56) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 12:16) Thomas Chabot: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:06) Luke Kunin: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 13:26) Sam Bennett: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:30) Eetu Luostarinen: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 15:52) Eetu Luostarinen: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:53) Ridly Greig: backhand, 93 ft, xG 0.43 (P3 16:29) Donovan Sebrango: wrist, 82 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 18:48) Donovan Sebrango: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:07) Ludvig Jansson: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:41) Jesper Boqvist: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:47) Drake Batherson: GOAL, deflected, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 6:49) Fabian Zetterlund: GOAL, wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:00) Artem Zub: GOAL, snap, 23 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 3:03) Jesper Boqvist: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 14:17) Claude Giroux: GOAL, wrist, 95 ft, xG 0.52 (P3 16:43) Fabian Zetterlund: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 17:02)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Florida Panthers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
27 Eetu Luostarinen 011 0 40.11 2018:53
11 Mackie Samoskevich 000 -2 50.15 0018:19
23 Carter Verhaeghe 000 -2 40.01 1018:15
9 Sam Bennett 000 -2 50.19 1117:44
70 Jesper Boqvist 101 +1 30.35 1015:59
18 A.J. Greer 011 +1 20.22 2215:54
79 Cole Schwindt 000 -1 10.01 4014:09
92 Tomas Nosek 000 -1 10.01 3113:51
73 Noah Gregor 000 -1 40.11 1112:32
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 000 -1 00.00 2012:20
71 Luke Kunin 000 -1 30.21 2012:10
0 Nolan Foote 000 -1 20.02 2111:56
Defense
42 Gustav Forsling 000 -3 40.14 0427:05
73 Donovan Sebrango 000 0 50.02 3120:24
22 Tobias Bjornfot 000 0 10.00 3119:54
51 Marek Alscher 000 0 30.13 1119:28
20 Mike Benning 000 -2 40.00 0017:22
54 Ludvig Jansson 000 -1 20.05 0113:37
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Sergei Bobrovsky 25421 .840 3.37 -0.63

Ottawa Senators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
8 Brady Tkachuk 011 0 20.07 2017:13
22 Michael Amadio 000 +1 20.27 2017:04
18 Tim Stützle 000 0 70.76 0116:49
71 Ridly Greig 000 +1 60.83 2116:48
24 Dylan Cozens 011 0 40.33 1015:51
28 Claude Giroux 101 +1 50.74 0115:12
12 Shane Pinto 000 0 30.16 1015:09
21 Nick Cousins 000 0 10.00 2014:31
19 Drake Batherson 101 0 20.10 1113:46
20 Lars Eller 011 +2 20.00 1013:18
20 Fabian Zetterlund 202 +2 30.25 1211:48
37 Warren Foegele 000 +2 20.18 3111:18
Defense
2 Artem Zub 101 +2 50.25 0222:32
85 Jake Sanderson 022 +2 40.12 0322:22
72 Thomas Chabot 000 0 50.03 0021:16
10 Jordan Spence 011 0 40.15 1019:23
33 Nikolas Matinpalo 000 +1 10.03 4117:09
60 Lassi Thomson 000 +1 20.04 0016:31
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Linus Ullmark 23122 .957 1.73 +0.73

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Florida Panthers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
10 A.J. Greer L +1.35 +0.70 +0.14 +0.41 0.00 +0.01 +0.08 — 15:54
70 Jesper Boqvist C +1.09 +0.75 +0.23 +0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:59
27 Eetu Luostarinen C +0.87 +0.55 +0.07 +0.12 +0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 18:53
22 Tobias Bjornfot D +0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 19:54
54 Ludvig Jansson D -0.20 0.00 +0.03 -0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:37
71 Luke Kunin C -0.32 0.00 +0.14 -0.45 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 12:10
20 Mike Benning D -0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:22
4 Marek Alscher D -0.43 0.00 +0.08 -0.57 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:28
25 Nolan Foote L -0.44 0.00 +0.01 -0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:56
24 Vinnie Hinostroza C -0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:20
72 Sergei Bobrovsky G -0.63 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.63 59:12
9 Sam Bennett C -0.64 0.00 +0.12 -0.83 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 17:44
23 Carter Verhaeghe C -0.78 0.00 +0.01 -0.72 0.00 -0.07 0.00 — 18:15
11 Mackie Samoskevich R -0.81 0.00 +0.10 -0.86 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 18:19
18 Noah Gregor L -0.86 0.00 +0.07 -0.98 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:32
92 Tomas Nosek L -0.88 0.00 0.00 -0.90 0.00 -0.04 +0.05 — 13:51
79 Cole Schwindt R -0.96 0.00 0.00 -0.98 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 14:09
42 Gustav Forsling D -1.10 0.00 +0.09 -1.24 -0.15 0.00 +0.20 — 27:05
6 Donovan Sebrango D -1.20 0.00 +0.02 -1.24 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:24

Ottawa Senators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
85 Jake Sanderson D +2.73 +1.40 +0.08 +1.16 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 22:22
20 Fabian Zetterlund L +2.59 +1.50 +0.16 +0.67 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 11:48
2 Artem Zub D +1.96 +0.75 +0.16 +0.94 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 22:32
24 Dylan Cozens C +1.63 +0.55 +0.21 +0.88 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 15:51
28 Claude Giroux R +1.57 +0.75 +0.48 +0.22 0.00 +0.07 +0.05 — 15:12
89 Lars Eller C +1.36 +0.70 0.00 +0.68 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 13:18
7 Brady Tkachuk L +1.25 +0.55 +0.05 +0.80 -0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 17:13
71 Ridly Greig C +1.20 0.00 +0.54 +0.66 0.00 -0.03 +0.03 — 16:48
19 Drake Batherson R +1.15 +0.75 +0.07 +0.31 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 — 13:46
10 Jordan Spence D +1.14 +0.55 +0.10 +0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:23
18 Tim Stützle C +1.02 0.00 +0.50 +0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 16:49
35 Linus Ullmark G +0.73 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.73 60:00
37 Warren Foegele L +0.72 0.00 +0.11 +0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 11:18
60 Lassi Thomson D +0.72 0.00 +0.03 +0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 16:31
33 Nikolas Matinpalo D +0.66 0.00 +0.02 +0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:09
22 Michael Amadio R +0.34 0.00 +0.18 +0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:04
21 Nick Cousins C +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:31
12 Shane Pinto C +0.27 0.00 +0.10 +0.13 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 15:09
72 Thomas Chabot D +0.11 0.00 +0.02 +0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:16

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.