Edmonton OilersEDM 0–1 Final Los Angeles KingsLAK

Saturday, April 11, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Edmonton OilersEDM 000 0 27
Los Angeles KingsLAK 100 1 21
Playoff odds, % Change
LAK +15.4
EDM -0.0
NSH -7.4
WPG -4.5
SJS -1.9
ANA -0.9
VGK -0.7

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 11, 2026 3:12 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
7:34 LAK Artemi Panarin (28) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.27 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
No scoring

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

EDM 60%Deserve to win40% LAK
EDMLAK
2.26Expected goals2.06
0Goals (no shootout)1
1.92Expected goals, 5 on 51.24
64Shot attempts50
42Unblocked attempts33
27Shots on goal21

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
1:00 EDM No shift No shift · Jones, 41:29 on the bench
No shift after 8:18 of the 1st; 3 shifts (2:07) before that
3rd Period
2:40 LAK No shift No shift · Joseph, 11:00 on the bench
No shift from 12:22 of the 2nd to 3:22 of the 3rd; 6 shifts (5:29) before that
3:20 LAK No shift No shift · Ward, 10:13 on the bench
No shift from 13:18 of the 2nd to 3:31 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (6:37) before that
5:52 EDM Deserve to win Deserve to win · EDM takes the lead, 60–40%
LAK had led since 7:34 of the 1st, by as much as 70%
11:41 LAK Goalie Goalie · Forsberg +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.03 xG, 24 shots on goal
17:27 EDM Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Ingram, down 1–0
With 2:33 left

Shot map

EDM shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ LAK shoots
Drew Doughty: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:25) Anze Kopitar: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:35) Darnell Nurse: bat, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:13) Jake Walman: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:16) Taylor Ward: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:16) Adrian Kempe: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:27) Anze Kopitar: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:34) Curtis Lazar: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:27) Jake Walman: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:03) Jake Walman: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 11:21) Cody Ceci: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:43) Adam Henrique: tip-in, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:55) Drew Doughty: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:51) Matt Savoie: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:10) Matt Savoie: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:11) Trevor Moore: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:36) Jack Roslovic: bat, 7 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:04) Colton Dach: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 16:43) Adam Henrique: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:12) Joel Armia: wrist, 80 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:14) Adam Henrique: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 18:47) Adam Henrique: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:51) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:12) Connor McDavid: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:28) Jack Roslovic: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 4:19) Vasily Podkolzin: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 4:28) Connor McDavid: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:54) Adrian Kempe: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:25) Josh Samanski: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:42) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:21) Adrian Kempe: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 7:30) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:09) Jared Wright: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:25) Anze Kopitar: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:16) Vasily Podkolzin: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:40) Brandt Clarke: tip-in, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:46) Anze Kopitar: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:47) Adam Henrique: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 15:12) Colton Dach: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:27) Connor McDavid: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:04) Trevor Moore: wrist, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:52) Quinton Byfield: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:01) Brandt Clarke: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:22) Joel Edmundson: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:35) Connor McDavid: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:58) Matt Savoie: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:20) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:50) Trent Frederic: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 5:52) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: poke, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:53) Trevor Moore: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:19) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:27) Adrian Kempe: wrist, 103 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:46) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:04) Trent Frederic: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:05) Kasperi Kapanen: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:42) Vasily Podkolzin: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:02) Colton Dach: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:50) Curtis Lazar: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:21) Evan Bouchard: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:34) Matt Savoie: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 11:41) Matt Savoie: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 11:49) Matt Savoie: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:10) Trent Frederic: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:17) Alex Laferriere: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 14:42) Anze Kopitar: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:20) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:21) Anze Kopitar: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:22) Artemi Panarin: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:30) Brandt Clarke: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:36) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 147 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:19) Alex Laferriere: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:03) Evan Bouchard: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:17) Joel Armia: slap, 136 ft, xG 0.27 (P3 19:28) Adrian Kempe: wrist, 183 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:36) Artemi Panarin: GOAL, wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.27 (P1 7:34)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Connor McDavid 000 -1 90.15 1026:50
92 Vasily Podkolzin 000 -1 30.25 4218:27
96 Jack Roslovic 000 0 50.15 1018:13
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 000 0 20.08 0117:43
42 Kasperi Kapanen 000 0 10.02 1016:52
22 Matt Savoie 000 -1 60.46 0015:14
19 Adam Henrique 000 0 60.36 3215:08
10 Trent Frederic 000 0 30.27 6014:26
34 Colton Dach 000 0 40.20 6012:57
20 Curtis Lazar 000 0 40.08 2011:18
81 Josh Samanski 000 0 10.01 1011:05
46 Max Jones 000 0 00.00 1002:07
Defense
2 Evan Bouchard 000 -1 50.08 0227:36
25 Darnell Nurse 000 0 60.07 1121:47
5 Connor Murphy 000 0 20.00 1321:31
14 Mattias Ekholm 000 -1 20.00 0221:10
96 Jake Walman 000 0 40.10 0315:11
49 Ty Emberson 000 0 10.00 0010:58
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Ingram 21120 .952 1.74 +0.74

Los Angeles Kings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Alex Laferriere 000 0 40.26 6121:40
55 Quinton Byfield 000 0 10.11 1221:01
11 Anze Kopitar 000 +1 70.32 1219:16
12 Trevor Moore 000 0 30.11 0018:54
10 Artemi Panarin 101 +1 40.35 0018:23
9 Adrian Kempe 000 +1 80.27 2017:31
21 Scott Laughton 000 0 20.00 2014:25
40 Joel Armia 000 0 40.27 1213:22
25 Jared Wright 000 0 10.07 2010:51
17 Taylor Ward 000 0 10.08 1008:40
21 Mathieu Joseph 000 0 00.00 4106:46
79 Samuel Helenius 000 0 00.00 4006:16
Defense
44 Mikey Anderson 000 0 00.00 1122:48
8 Drew Doughty 000 0 50.03 1122:14
6 Joel Edmundson 000 +1 20.04 2319:56
92 Brandt Clarke 000 +1 50.11 0719:55
5 Cody Ceci 000 0 20.05 1118:07
2 Brian Dumoulin 000 0 10.00 1015:55
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Anton Forsberg 27027 1.000 2.26 +2.26

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
39 Connor Ingram G +0.74 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.74 57:27
19 Adam Henrique C +0.74 0.00 +0.23 +0.25 +0.15 +0.01 +0.10 — 15:08
34 Colton Dach C +0.60 0.00 +0.13 +0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:57
96 Jake Walman D +0.52 0.00 +0.07 +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 15:11
97 Connor McDavid C +0.47 0.00 +0.10 +0.50 -0.15 +0.02 0.00 — 26:50
28 Jack Roslovic C +0.47 0.00 +0.10 +0.42 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 18:13
20 Curtis Lazar C +0.46 0.00 +0.05 +0.41 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 11:18
14 Mattias Ekholm D +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 21:10
2 Evan Bouchard D +0.39 0.00 +0.05 +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 27:36
10 Trent Frederic C +0.37 0.00 +0.18 +0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:26
22 Matt Savoie C +0.36 0.00 +0.30 +0.07 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 15:14
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C +0.28 0.00 +0.05 +0.26 0.00 -0.04 +0.01 — 17:43
5 Connor Murphy D +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 21:31
25 Darnell Nurse D +0.20 0.00 +0.05 +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 21:47
49 Ty Emberson D +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:58
92 Vasily Podkolzin R +0.03 0.00 +0.16 -0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 18:27
81 Josh Samanski C -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.10 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 11:05
46 Max Jones L -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 2:07
42 Kasperi Kapanen R -0.27 0.00 +0.01 -0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:52

Los Angeles Kings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
31 Anton Forsberg G +2.26 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.26 60:00
10 Artemi Panarin L +1.33 +0.75 +0.23 +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 18:23
92 Brandt Clarke D +1.04 0.00 +0.07 +0.79 -0.15 0.00 +0.33 — 19:55
9 Adrian Kempe R +0.90 0.00 +0.17 +0.72 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 17:31
6 Joel Edmundson D +0.84 0.00 +0.02 +0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 19:56
11 Anze Kopitar C +0.78 0.00 +0.20 +0.42 0.00 +0.07 +0.08 — 19:16
40 Joel Armia R +0.17 0.00 +0.18 -0.09 0.00 -0.02 +0.10 — 13:22
53 Jared Wright R -0.11 0.00 +0.05 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:51
12 Trevor Moore L -0.14 0.00 +0.07 -0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:54
17 Mathieu Joseph R -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.26 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 6:46
21 Scott Laughton C -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.32 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 14:25
14 Alex Laferriere R -0.34 0.00 +0.17 -0.55 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 21:40
79 Samuel Helenius C -0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.41 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 6:16
2 Brian Dumoulin D -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:55
55 Quinton Byfield R -0.49 0.00 +0.07 -0.65 0.00 +0.01 +0.08 — 21:01
5 Cody Ceci D -0.56 0.00 +0.03 -0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:07
52 Taylor Ward R -0.58 0.00 +0.05 -0.62 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 8:40
44 Mikey Anderson D -0.61 0.00 0.00 -0.77 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 22:48
8 Drew Doughty D -0.73 0.00 +0.02 -0.80 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:14

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.