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Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 1–2 Final/OT Florida PanthersFLA

Thursday, March 12, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 0100 1 31
Florida PanthersFLA 0011 2 21
Playoff odds, % Change
CBJ -8.1
FLA +0.6
NYI +1.6
PIT +1.3
DET +1.1
BOS +1.0
OTT +1.0
PHI +0.8

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 12, 2026 6:17 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
13:01 CBJ Adam Fantilli (19) Mason Marchment (18) · wrist xG 0.11 1–0 ▶
3rd Period
1:28 FLA Sam Bennett (24)PP Sam Reinhart (32), Mackie Samoskevich (16) · snap xG 0.08 1–1 ▶
Overtime
2:20 FLA Sam Reinhart (29)PP Matthew Tkachuk (12), Mike Benning (1) · wrist xG 0.09 1–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CBJ 61%Deserve to win39% FLA
CBJFLA
3.43Expected goals2.76
1Goals (no shootout)2
2.82Expected goals, 5 on 51.62
59Shot attempts57
42Unblocked attempts45
31Shots on goal21

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
19:11 CBJ Deserve to win Deserve to win · CBJ takes the lead, 64–36%
FLA had led since 2:39 of the 1st, by as much as 64%
2nd Period
10:56 FLA Goalie Goalie · Bobrovsky +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.05 xG, 19 shots on goal

Shot map

CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ FLA shoots
Matthew Tkachuk: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:31) Sean Monahan: wrist, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:22) Luke Kunin: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 2:36) Luke Kunin: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:36) Jesper Boqvist: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 2:39) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 3:03) Adam Fantilli: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:28) Zach Werenski: deflected, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:33) Mason Marchment: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:47) Sean Monahan: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:46) Zach Werenski: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:05) Jake Christiansen: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:56) Ivan Provorov: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:11) Conor Garland: snap, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 9:24) Evan Rodrigues: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:11) Gustav Forsling: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:49) Boone Jenner: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:38) Eetu Luostarinen: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 13:13) Denton Mateychuk: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:49) Zach Werenski: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 14:41) A.J. Greer: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 14:55) Mason Marchment: snap, 4 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 15:58) Evan Rodrigues: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 16:52) Damon Severson: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:06) Kent Johnson: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:06) Damon Severson: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.27 (P1 19:11) Mason Marchment: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:09) Mason Marchment: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:03) Evan Rodrigues: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 1:25) Zach Werenski: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 1:38) Kent Johnson: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 1:40) Cole Sillinger: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 2:26) Isac Lundeström: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:35) Ivan Provorov: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:18) Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:27) Aaron Ekblad: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:27) Sam Reinhart: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:49) Charlie Coyle: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 7:19) Dmitry Kulikov: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:28) Donovan Sebrango: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:30) Mason Marchment: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 10:56) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 11:53) Matthew Tkachuk: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:14) Donovan Sebrango: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:30) Conor Garland: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:45) Aaron Ekblad: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:06) Kent Johnson: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:18) Zach Werenski: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:05) Mason Marchment: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 16:07) Jesper Boqvist: backhand, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:33) Cole Sillinger: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 17:14) Niko Mikkola: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:25) Cole Reinhardt: backhand, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:56) Donovan Sebrango: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:01) Sam Reinhart: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 0:30) Mackie Samoskevich: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:00) Sam Reinhart: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 1:27) Luke Kunin: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:26) Vinnie Hinostroza: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:46) Gustav Forsling: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:49) Matthew Tkachuk: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 4:24) Tomas Nosek: backhand, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:27) Denton Mateychuk: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:17) Jesper Boqvist: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:44) Evan Rodrigues: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:52) Sam Bennett: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 10:08) Sam Bennett: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:17) Isac Lundeström: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:04) Donovan Sebrango: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:25) Mathieu Olivier: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 13:10) Denton Mateychuk: poke, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:11) Mackie Samoskevich: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 13:32) Dante Fabbro: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:12) Adam Fantilli: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 14:18) Aaron Ekblad: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:51) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:56) Aaron Ekblad: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:03) Eetu Luostarinen: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:25) Zach Werenski: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:52) Zach Werenski: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 0:39) Matthew Tkachuk: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 0:45) Sam Reinhart: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 1:10) Sam Bennett: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 1:31) Matthew Tkachuk: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 1:43) Adam Fantilli: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 13:01) Sam Bennett: GOAL, snap, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:28) Sam Reinhart: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 2:20)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
27 Mason Marchment 011 +1 70.62 3020:19
19 Adam Fantilli 101 +1 60.29 0019:31
3 Charlie Coyle 000 +1 10.11 1118:49
86 Kirill Marchenko 000 +1 20.34 0017:54
83 Conor Garland 000 0 20.10 0015:21
24 Mathieu Olivier 000 0 30.26 1015:05
23 Sean Monahan 000 0 20.10 1014:45
22 Boone Jenner 000 0 20.05 1014:07
91 Kent Johnson 000 0 40.14 1013:48
4 Cole Sillinger 000 0 20.29 0113:41
21 Isac Lundeström 000 0 20.06 0011:20
10 Dmitri Voronkov 000 0 20.00 1010:18
Defense
8 Zach Werenski 000 +1 110.48 0128:31
9 Ivan Provorov 000 0 40.09 0122:34
15 Dante Fabbro 000 0 20.01 1121:55
78 Damon Severson 000 0 30.31 0018:06
5 Denton Mateychuk 000 0 30.12 2317:28
2 Jake Christiansen 000 0 10.06 1212:00
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Elvis Merzlikins 21219 .905 2.76 +0.76

Florida Panthers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 A.J. Greer 000 -1 10.10 3018:44
13 Sam Reinhart 112 0 60.53 0117:52
17 Evan Rodrigues 000 0 60.35 0017:29
9 Sam Bennett 101 0 50.37 0116:10
19 Matthew Tkachuk 011 0 60.43 0116:08
92 Tomas Nosek 000 -1 20.02 2216:04
11 Mackie Samoskevich 011 0 30.25 2115:19
27 Eetu Luostarinen 000 0 30.13 1115:08
29 Cole Reinhardt 000 0 10.01 1114:59
71 Luke Kunin 000 0 30.18 1012:36
70 Jesper Boqvist 000 0 30.18 3112:04
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 000 0 10.01 1010:49
Defense
5 Aaron Ekblad 000 -1 60.09 0022:52
7 Dmitry Kulikov 000 0 30.02 0221:09
42 Gustav Forsling 000 0 20.04 0121:07
73 Donovan Sebrango 000 -1 40.06 2120:44
77 Niko Mikkola 000 -1 10.01 6318:29
20 Mike Benning 011 0 10.00 1116:49
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Sergei Bobrovsky 31130 .968 3.43 +2.43

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
17 Mason Marchment L +2.78 +0.70 +0.40 +1.66 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 20:19
19 Adam Fantilli C +1.53 +0.75 +0.19 +0.79 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 19:31
24 Mathieu Olivier R +1.43 0.00 +0.17 +1.11 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:05
8 Zach Werenski D +1.38 0.00 +0.31 +1.06 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 28:31
3 Charlie Coyle C +1.18 0.00 +0.07 +1.05 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 18:49
90 Elvis Merzlikins G +0.76 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.76 62:20
86 Kirill Marchenko R +0.70 0.00 +0.22 +0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 17:54
15 Dante Fabbro D +0.57 0.00 +0.01 +0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 21:55
2 Jake Christiansen D +0.51 0.00 +0.04 +0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 12:00
9 Ivan Provorov D +0.43 0.00 +0.06 +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 22:34
5 Denton Mateychuk D +0.34 0.00 +0.08 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 17:28
38 Boone Jenner C +0.30 0.00 +0.03 +0.19 0.00 +0.06 +0.02 — 14:07
78 Damon Severson D +0.27 0.00 +0.20 +0.26 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 18:06
4 Cole Sillinger C +0.21 0.00 +0.19 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:41
21 Isac Lundeström C +0.19 0.00 +0.04 +0.02 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 11:20
10 Dmitri Voronkov L +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:18
83 Conor Garland R -0.13 0.00 +0.07 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:21
91 Kent Johnson C -0.14 0.00 +0.09 -0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:48
23 Sean Monahan C -0.15 0.00 +0.06 -0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:45

Florida Panthers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
72 Sergei Bobrovsky G +2.43 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.43 62:20
13 Sam Reinhart C +1.72 +1.45 +0.34 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:52
19 Matthew Tkachuk L +0.97 +0.70 +0.28 -0.19 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 16:08
9 Sam Bennett C +0.84 +0.75 +0.24 -0.19 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 16:10
20 Mike Benning D +0.52 +0.55 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 16:49
27 Eetu Luostarinen C +0.18 0.00 +0.08 +0.22 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:08
11 Mackie Samoskevich R +0.15 +0.55 +0.16 -0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:19
71 Luke Kunin C -0.04 0.00 +0.11 -0.14 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 12:36
42 Gustav Forsling D -0.12 0.00 +0.02 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:07
17 Evan Rodrigues C -0.20 0.00 +0.23 -0.35 0.00 -0.04 -0.04 — 17:29
70 Jesper Boqvist C -0.21 0.00 +0.12 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:04
5 Aaron Ekblad D -0.32 0.00 +0.06 -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:52
24 Vinnie Hinostroza C -0.42 0.00 +0.01 -0.39 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 10:49
10 A.J. Greer L -0.44 0.00 +0.07 -0.64 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 18:44
77 Niko Mikkola D -0.50 0.00 +0.01 -0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 18:29
29 Cole Reinhardt L -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:59
92 Tomas Nosek L -0.61 0.00 +0.01 -0.68 0.00 -0.02 +0.08 — 16:04
7 Dmitry Kulikov D -0.93 0.00 +0.01 -1.04 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:09
6 Donovan Sebrango D -1.18 0.00 +0.04 -1.10 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 20:44

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.