Detroit Red WingsDET 2–3 Final/OT Dallas StarsDAL

Saturday, March 14, 2026

Final/OT	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T	SOG
Detroit Red WingsDET	0	0	2	0	2	24
Dallas StarsDAL	1	1	0	1	3	24

Playoff odds, %	Change
DET	-6.6
DAL	+0.0
OTT	+1.7
BOS	+1.3
NYI	+1.0
CBJ	+0.6
PHI	+0.5
PIT	+0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 14, 2026 7:24 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
8:57	DAL	Wyatt Johnston (36) Mavrik Bourque (18), Nils Lundkvist (6) · tip-in xG 0.05	0–1 ▶
2nd Period
2:19	DAL	Michael Bunting (14)PP Justin Hryckowian (13), Jason Robertson (43) · snap xG 0.19	0–2 ▶
3rd Period
6:51	DET	Simon Edvinsson (9) Moritz Seider (38), James van Riemsdyk (13) · snap xG 0.11	1–2 ▶
16:34	DET	Lucas Raymond (21) Emmitt Finnie (14), Alex DeBrincat (33) · bat xG 0.66	2–2 ▶
Overtime
2:06	DAL	Thomas Harley (6) Wyatt Johnston (37) · snap xG 0.15	2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DET 61%Deserve to win39% DAL

DET		DAL
3.43	Expected goals	2.83
2	Goals (no shootout)	3
2.50	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.21
53	Shot attempts	60
41	Unblocked attempts	42
24	Shots on goal	24

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
14:50	DET	No shift	No shift · Shine, 15:18 on the bench No shift after 18:07 of the 2nd; 10 shifts (8:33) before that
16:34	DET	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 60–40% DAL had led since 13:00 of the 1st, by as much as 69%
16:40	DET	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced DAL 1.52–0.26 In xG over 10 minutes, 8:00 to 18:00 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
18:10	DET	Shortened bench	Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat Dries and Appleton: no shift after 3:35 of the 3rd

Shot map

DET shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DAL shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Detroit Red Wings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
37	J.T. Compher	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	0	1	22:03
93	Alex DeBrincat	0	1	1	+1	7	0.49	1	2	21:40
88	Patrick Kane	0	0	0	-1	3	0.42	1	0	20:28
23	Lucas Raymond	1	0	1	+1	3	0.87	1	0	19:37
58	Emmitt Finnie	0	1	1	+1	1	0.15	3	2	17:05
92	Marco Kasper	0	0	0	-1	5	0.44	2	1	15:34
16	David Perron	0	0	0	-1	2	0.21	2	0	13:46
21	James van Riemsdyk	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	12:20
22	Mason Appleton	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	10:10
43	John Leonard	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	2	1	09:10
65	Dominik Shine	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	08:33
15	Sheldon Dries	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	1	0	07:54
Defense
53	Moritz Seider	0	1	1	0	9	0.24	1	0	27:44
72	Justin Faulk	0	0	0	+1	6	0.03	0	2	22:14
77	Simon Edvinsson	1	0	1	-1	6	0.25	1	1	21:24
8	Ben Chiarot	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	2	20:23
20	Albert Johansson	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	0	12:36
25	Jacob Bernard-Docker	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	3	11:43

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
John Gibson	24	3	21	.875	2.83	-0.17

Dallas Stars

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
21	Jason Robertson	0	1	1	0	9	0.43	1	1	22:11
53	Wyatt Johnston	1	1	2	+1	9	0.42	0	0	19:52
49	Justin Hryckowian	0	1	1	0	2	0.06	3	1	18:42
22	Mavrik Bourque	0	1	1	0	1	0.07	2	0	17:58
95	Matt Duchene	0	0	0	-1	2	0.16	0	2	16:42
18	Sam Steel	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	2	1	15:11
58	Michael Bunting	1	0	1	0	6	0.47	1	0	14:38
14	Jamie Benn	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	4	0	13:27
15	Colin Blackwell	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	2	0	13:12
10	Oskar Bäck	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	0	0	10:32
25	Arttu Hyry	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	1	09:29
11	Nathan Bastian	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	07:33
Defense
4	Miro Heiskanen	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	0	1	25:39
55	Thomas Harley	1	0	1	0	8	0.38	0	2	22:43
23	Esa Lindell	0	0	0	0	4	0.14	0	0	21:42
6	Lian Bichsel	0	0	0	0	4	0.01	1	1	17:07
57	Tyler Myers	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	2	16:58
5	Nils Lundkvist	0	1	1	0	2	0.00	0	0	12:56

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jake Oettinger	24	2	22	.917	3.43	+1.43

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
93 Alex DeBrincat R	+2.74	+0.55	+0.32	+1.66	+0.15	0.00	+0.06	—	21:40
23 Lucas Raymond L	+2.36	+0.75	+0.57	+1.20	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	19:37
58 Emmitt Finnie C	+1.48	+0.70	+0.10	+0.64	0.00	0.00	+0.04	—	17:05
20 Albert Johansson D	+1.26	0.00	0.00	+1.30	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	12:36
88 Patrick Kane R	+1.22	0.00	+0.28	+0.95	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	20:28
72 Justin Faulk D	+1.15	0.00	+0.02	+1.03	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	22:14
53 Moritz Seider D	+1.04	+0.70	+0.16	+0.34	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	27:44
77 Simon Edvinsson D	+1.00	+0.75	+0.16	+0.03	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	21:24
37 J.T. Compher L	+0.81	0.00	+0.05	+0.62	0.00	+0.09	+0.05	—	22:03
21 James van Riemsdyk L	+0.74	+0.55	0.00	+0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	12:20
92 Marco Kasper C	+0.67	0.00	+0.29	+0.21	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	15:34
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D	+0.46	0.00	+0.02	+0.31	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	11:43
57 David Perron L	+0.33	0.00	+0.14	+0.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:46
8 Ben Chiarot D	+0.26	0.00	+0.01	+0.15	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	20:23
15 Sheldon Dries C	-0.02	0.00	+0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	+0.02	—	7:54
36 John Gibson G	-0.17	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.17	62:06
43 John Leonard L	-0.24	0.00	+0.05	-0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	9:10
22 Mason Appleton C	-0.29	0.00	0.00	-0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	10:10
65 Dominik Shine R	-0.38	0.00	0.00	-0.27	-0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	8:33

Dallas Stars

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
29 Jake Oettinger G	+1.43	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.43	61:52
53 Wyatt Johnston C	+1.28	+1.45	+0.27	-0.45	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	19:52
58 Michael Bunting L	+0.85	+0.75	+0.31	-0.19	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	14:38
49 Justin Hryckowian C	+0.71	+0.70	+0.04	-0.08	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	18:42
55 Thomas Harley D	+0.45	+0.75	+0.25	-0.60	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	22:43
21 Jason Robertson L	+0.41	+0.55	+0.28	-0.45	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	22:11
22 Mavrik Bourque C	+0.24	+0.70	+0.04	-0.47	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	17:58
5 Nils Lundkvist D	+0.19	+0.55	0.00	-0.49	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	12:56
15 Colin Blackwell C	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	-0.05	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	13:12
18 Sam Steel C	+0.14	0.00	+0.07	+0.05	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	15:11
6 Lian Bichsel D	+0.05	0.00	+0.01	-0.03	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	17:07
95 Matt Duchene C	-0.09	0.00	+0.10	-0.25	0.00	-0.02	+0.08	—	16:42
14 Jamie Benn L	-0.28	0.00	+0.07	-0.35	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:27
4 Miro Heiskanen D	-0.44	0.00	+0.07	-0.73	+0.15	0.00	+0.07	—	25:39
57 Tyler Myers D	-0.47	0.00	+0.03	-0.43	-0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	16:58
10 Oskar Bäck C	-0.54	0.00	+0.16	-0.71	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	10:32
23 Esa Lindell D	-0.75	0.00	+0.09	-0.80	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	21:42
11 Nathan Bastian R	-0.90	0.00	0.00	-0.75	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	7:33
25 Arttu Hyry R	-0.99	0.00	0.00	-1.01	0.00	-0.05	+0.07	—	9:29

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.