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Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 0–1 Final New York IslandersNYI

Sunday, March 22, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 000 0 26
New York IslandersNYI 100 1 22
Playoff odds, % Change
NYI +10.8
CBJ -6.5
DET -0.9
PIT -0.9
OTT -0.7
BOS -0.7
MTL -0.5
PHI -0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 22, 2026 6:08 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:25 NYI Bo Horvat (29) Anders Lee (22), Adam Boqvist (2) · snap xG 0.08 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
No scoring

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CBJ 43%Deserve to win57% NYI
CBJNYI
1.94Expected goals2.29
0Goals (no shootout)1
1.85Expected goals, 5 on 51.50
51Shot attempts54
33Unblocked attempts37
26Shots on goal22

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
17:55 CBJ Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Greaves, down 1–0
With 2:05 left

Shot map

CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYI shoots
Carson Soucy: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:36) Cole Sillinger: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:41) Damon Severson: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:23) Tony DeAngelo: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 5:23) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:54) Kirill Marchenko: slap, 16 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 6:15) Adam Fantilli: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:16) Anders Lee: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:43) Bo Horvat: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:45) Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:33) Damon Severson: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:11) Tony DeAngelo: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:59) Carson Soucy: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:12) Simon Holmstrom: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:50) Brayden Schenn: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 14:13) Brayden Schenn: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 15:10) Emil Heineman: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 18:19) Scott Mayfield: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:26) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:39) Erik Gudbranson: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:31) Bo Horvat: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:02) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:36) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:41) Conor Garland: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:42) Damon Severson: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:38) Zach Werenski: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:41) Charlie Coyle: tip-in, 81 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:58) Simon Holmstrom: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 6:07) Brayden Schenn: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:24) Marc Gatcomb: backhand, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:12) Anders Lee: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:18) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:16) Danton Heinen: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 13:27) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:30) Bo Horvat: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 16:03) Adam Fantilli: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:27) Mathew Barzal: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 17:01) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:51) Emil Heineman: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:27) Simon Holmstrom: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 18:40) Anders Lee: wrist, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:53) Cole Sillinger: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:00) Brayden Schenn: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 1:26) Casey Cizikas: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:20) Brayden Schenn: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 3:34) Brayden Schenn: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 3:40) Mason Marchment: tip-in, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:03) Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.35 (P3 5:06) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:07) Erik Gudbranson: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:30) Mason Marchment: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:52) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:21) Carson Soucy: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:46) Cole Sillinger: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:24) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: wrist, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:39) Conor Garland: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 11:43) Bo Horvat: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:01) Mathieu Olivier: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 12:36) Anders Lee: snap, 133 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:54) Kent Johnson: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 13:44) Charlie Coyle: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:33) Cole Sillinger: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 16:46) Cole Sillinger: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:47) Damon Severson: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:53) Kirill Marchenko: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:58) Zach Werenski: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:03) Kent Johnson: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:51) Charlie Coyle: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:58) Zach Werenski: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 19:18) Bo Horvat: GOAL, snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 1:25)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Kirill Marchenko 000 0 70.24 3021:14
19 Adam Fantilli 000 0 40.08 1120:38
27 Mason Marchment 000 0 20.07 4219:14
3 Charlie Coyle 000 -1 40.07 1117:02
23 Sean Monahan 000 0 00.00 1015:30
4 Cole Sillinger 000 -1 60.25 2014:50
22 Boone Jenner 000 0 00.00 2113:34
24 Mathieu Olivier 000 -1 40.48 4112:26
21 Isac Lundeström 000 0 10.00 1312:21
91 Kent Johnson 000 0 30.24 0010:59
83 Conor Garland 000 0 20.17 1010:34
58 Danton Heinen 000 0 10.11 1009:34
Defense
8 Zach Werenski 000 0 70.09 0029:01
78 Damon Severson 000 0 60.13 0123:38
9 Ivan Provorov 000 -1 10.00 0222:32
44 Erik Gudbranson 000 0 20.02 2315:21
15 Dante Fabbro 000 -1 10.00 1113:49
5 Denton Mateychuk 000 0 00.00 0013:48
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jet Greaves 22121 .955 2.29 +1.29

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Bo Horvat 101 +1 50.33 2019:55
72 Anders Lee 011 +1 40.03 0118:58
13 Mathew Barzal 000 0 20.17 0017:39
51 Emil Heineman 000 +1 20.15 0117:32
92 Simon Holmstrom 000 0 40.34 1017:27
10 Brayden Schenn 000 0 60.84 1016:35
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 000 0 30.02 4115:19
53 Casey Cizikas 000 0 20.01 3213:24
64 Calum Ritchie 000 0 10.00 0012:54
32 Kyle MacLean 000 0 00.00 3112:27
17 Marc Gatcomb 000 0 10.01 2012:15
81 Ondrej Palat 000 0 00.00 2011:11
Defense
48 Matthew Schaefer 000 +1 80.09 2126:43
77 Tony DeAngelo 000 0 80.25 0122:23
3 Adam Pelech 000 0 20.00 2320:55
7 Carson Soucy 000 0 40.03 0518:55
24 Scott Mayfield 000 +1 10.02 1013:25
34 Adam Boqvist 011 0 10.00 1112:03
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ilya Sorokin 26026 1.000 1.94 +1.94

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
78 Damon Severson D +1.38 0.00 +0.08 +1.26 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 23:38
73 Jet Greaves G +1.29 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.29 57:55
8 Zach Werenski D +1.26 0.00 +0.06 +1.24 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 29:01
17 Mason Marchment L +0.81 0.00 +0.04 +0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 19:14
86 Kirill Marchenko R +0.59 0.00 +0.16 +0.56 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 21:14
24 Mathieu Olivier R +0.53 0.00 +0.31 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 12:27
19 Adam Fantilli C +0.49 0.00 +0.05 +0.38 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 20:38
3 Charlie Coyle C +0.37 0.00 +0.04 +0.33 0.00 -0.05 +0.05 — 17:02
4 Cole Sillinger C +0.20 0.00 +0.16 +0.21 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 14:50
9 Ivan Provorov D +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 22:32
43 Danton Heinen L +0.09 0.00 +0.07 +0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:34
21 Isac Lundeström C +0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 12:21
38 Boone Jenner C +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.08 0.00 -0.07 +0.05 — 13:34
15 Dante Fabbro D -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 13:48
91 Kent Johnson C -0.40 0.00 +0.15 -0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:59
83 Conor Garland R -0.46 0.00 +0.11 -0.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:34
23 Sean Monahan C -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.55 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 15:30
5 Denton Mateychuk D -0.91 0.00 0.00 -0.74 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 13:48
44 Erik Gudbranson D -0.93 0.00 +0.01 -1.05 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 15:21

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
30 Ilya Sorokin G +1.94 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.94 60:00
34 Adam Boqvist D +0.87 +0.55 0.00 +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:03
10 Brayden Schenn C +0.85 0.00 +0.55 +0.31 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 16:35
24 Scott Mayfield D +0.68 0.00 +0.02 +0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:25
13 Mathew Barzal C +0.66 0.00 +0.11 +0.40 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 17:39
92 Simon Holmstrom R +0.64 0.00 +0.22 +0.23 +0.15 0.00 +0.04 — 17:27
14 Bo Horvat C +0.50 +0.75 +0.21 -0.50 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 19:55
53 Casey Cizikas C +0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.10 0.00 +0.08 +0.10 — 13:24
27 Anders Lee L +0.27 +0.70 +0.02 -0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:58
64 Calum Ritchie C +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:54
77 Tony DeAngelo D +0.02 0.00 +0.16 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:23
51 Emil Heineman L -0.06 0.00 +0.10 -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 17:32
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C -0.10 0.00 +0.01 -0.13 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 15:19
32 Kyle MacLean C -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:27
81 Ondrej Palat L -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:11
4 Carson Soucy D -0.17 0.00 +0.02 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.23 — 18:55
48 Matthew Schaefer D -0.26 0.00 +0.06 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 26:43
16 Marc Gatcomb C -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:15
3 Adam Pelech D -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 20:55

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.