hockeystats.io

Washington CapitalsWSH 0–3 Final St. Louis BluesSTL

Tuesday, March 24, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH 000 0 21
St. Louis BluesSTL 012 3 27
Playoff odds, % Change
WSH -2.8
STL +1.3
NSH -0.6
CBJ +0.6
DET +0.5
NYI +0.5
PIT +0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 24, 2026 7:45 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
2:39 STL Jimmy Snuggerud (16) Logan Mailloux (6), Philip Broberg (21) · slap xG 0.10 0–1 ▶
3rd Period
14:52 STL Otto Stenberg (2) Dalibor Dvorsky (7), Jonatan Berggren (12) · snap xG 0.24 0–2 ▶
19:19 STL Jordan Kyrou (17)EN Unassisted · backhand xG 0.94 0–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 38%Deserve to win62% STL
WSHSTL
2.50Expected goals4.49
0Goals (no shootout)3
1.33Expected goals, 5 on 52.37
50Shot attempts63
37Unblocked attempts44
21Shots on goal27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
19:13 STL Deserve to win Deserve to win · STL takes the lead, 61–39%
WSH had led since 8:52 of the 1st, by as much as 72%
3rd Period
14:59 STL Goalie Goalie · Hofer +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.09 xG, 18 shots on goal

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ STL shoots
Connor McMichael: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:25) Pius Suter: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 1:46) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 2:07) Jakob Chychrun: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:04) Ivan Miroshnichenko: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 6:15) Pavel Buchnevich: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:10) Justin Sourdif: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 8:52) Pierre-Luc Dubois: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 9:32) Alex Ovechkin: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:34) Tom Wilson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:44) Theo Lindstein: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:44) Dylan Holloway: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:58) Robert Thomas: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.39 (P1 11:01) Ivan Miroshnichenko: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:33) Cole Hutson: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:10) Matt Roy: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:14) Dylan Holloway: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:20) Dylan Holloway: slap, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 14:35) Pius Suter: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 14:37) Dalibor Dvorsky: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:47) Theo Lindstein: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:28) Ivan Miroshnichenko: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:42) Dylan Strome: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:26) Cole Hutson: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:42) Justin Sourdif: backhand, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:59) Tom Wilson: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 0:05) Tom Wilson: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:06) Alexey Toropchenko: wrist, 150 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:33) Aliaksei Protas: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:14) Cole Hutson: wrist, 76 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:29) Justin Sourdif: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:10) Dalibor Dvorsky: deflected, 15 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 7:18) Alexey Toropchenko: wrist, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:42) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:56) Colton Parayko: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:57) Martin Fehérváry: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:07) Jordan Kyrou: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 10:47) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:01) Justin Sourdif: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:47) Philip Broberg: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 15:04) Jimmy Snuggerud: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 15:37) Alexey Toropchenko: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:23) Jonatan Berggren: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:05) Robert Thomas: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:13) Pierre-Luc Dubois: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:39) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:58) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:15) Philip Broberg: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:26) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:33) Jimmy Snuggerud: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:39) Philip Broberg: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.27 (P3 1:43) Trevor van Riemsdyk: backhand, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:22) Anthony Beauvillier: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:28) Brandon Duhaime: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:31) Trevor van Riemsdyk: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:42) Colton Parayko: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:06) Logan Mailloux: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 5:10) Anthony Beauvillier: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:31) Justin Holl: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:59) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 8:41) Jimmy Snuggerud: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:18) Colton Parayko: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:54) Logan Mailloux: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 12:24) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:39) Colton Parayko: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:44) Justin Sourdif: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:06) Jonatan Berggren: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:44) Dylan Strome: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 14:59) Matt Roy: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:08) Alex Ovechkin: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 16:14) Jack Finley: wrist, 127 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:26) Colton Parayko: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:35) Dylan Holloway: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:36) Pius Suter: tip-in, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:05) Alex Ovechkin: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:21) Jakob Chychrun: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:22) Tom Wilson: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 18:39) Pius Suter: backhand, 139 ft, xG 0.33 (P3 19:09) Jimmy Snuggerud: GOAL, slap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:39) Otto Stenberg: GOAL, snap, 7 ft, xG 0.24 (P3 14:52) Jordan Kyrou: GOAL, backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.94 (P3 19:19)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
21 Aliaksei Protas 000 -1 20.02 0221:36
43 Tom Wilson 000 -1 40.54 2119:55
34 Justin Sourdif 000 0 60.38 0117:54
77 Connor McMichael 000 0 30.01 1117:35
17 Dylan Strome 000 -2 30.28 0216:57
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois 000 0 20.17 1015:50
8 Alex Ovechkin 000 -1 30.14 2014:31
9 Ryan Leonard 000 -2 30.00 2113:54
72 Anthony Beauvillier 000 0 20.08 0112:34
63 Ivan Miroshnichenko 000 -1 30.16 3009:22
24 Brandon Duhaime 000 -1 10.11 0109:20
22 Hendrix Lapierre 000 -1 00.00 0007:05
Defense
6 Jakob Chychrun 000 -2 60.23 0123:08
44 Cole Hutson 000 -1 40.10 0021:12
3 Matt Roy 000 0 20.05 3120:35
42 Martin Fehérváry 000 -1 20.04 3417:45
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk 000 0 30.04 0017:08
38 Rasmus Sandin 000 -2 10.15 0316:32
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Logan Thompson 26224 .923 3.21 +1.21

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
81 Dylan Holloway 000 +1 110.36 2018:02
89 Pavel Buchnevich 000 +1 10.01 0017:31
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 101 +1 80.48 1016:27
25 Jordan Kyrou 101 +1 41.10 0016:01
13 Alexey Toropchenko 000 0 40.02 2014:39
22 Pius Suter 000 +1 50.66 1014:33
63 Jake Neighbours 000 0 00.00 0214:32
18 Robert Thomas 000 +1 30.47 0014:08
37 Jack Finley 000 0 10.00 3013:17
29 Jonatan Berggren 011 +1 20.17 3113:06
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 011 +1 30.15 0012:53
28 Otto Stenberg 101 +1 10.24 2111:14
Defense
6 Philip Broberg 011 +2 50.38 0222:27
55 Colton Parayko 000 0 50.13 1121:49
23 Logan Mailloux 011 +2 30.26 1220:51
17 Cam Fowler 000 +1 00.00 1120:21
4 Justin Holl 000 +1 10.01 1115:30
4 Theo Lindstein 000 0 60.05 0115:20
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joel Hofer 21021 1.000 2.50 +2.50

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
48 Logan Thompson G +1.21 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.21 58:07
22 Brandon Duhaime L +0.42 0.00 +0.07 +0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:20
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D +0.38 0.00 +0.03 +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 17:08
43 Tom Wilson R +0.20 0.00 +0.35 -0.30 +0.15 -0.01 +0.01 — 19:55
44 Cole Hutson D +0.14 0.00 +0.07 +0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:12
17 Dylan Strome C 0.00 0.00 +0.18 -0.39 0.00 +0.11 +0.10 — 16:57
34 Justin Sourdif C -0.13 0.00 +0.25 -0.37 0.00 -0.03 +0.03 — 17:54
9 Ryan Leonard R -0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:54
72 Anthony Beauvillier R -0.23 0.00 +0.05 -0.34 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 12:34
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois C -0.26 0.00 +0.11 -0.23 -0.08 -0.04 -0.02 — 15:50
42 Martin Fehérváry D -0.32 0.00 +0.03 -0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 17:45
6 Jakob Chychrun D -0.38 0.00 +0.15 -0.39 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 23:08
3 Matt Roy D -0.38 0.00 +0.03 -0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:35
24 Connor McMichael L -0.38 0.00 +0.01 -0.32 -0.15 +0.05 +0.03 — 17:35
8 Alex Ovechkin L -0.41 0.00 +0.09 -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:31
29 Hendrix Lapierre C -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.46 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 7:05
63 Ivan Miroshnichenko L -0.66 0.00 +0.10 -0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:22
21 Aliaksei Protas L -0.68 0.00 +0.01 -0.74 0.00 -0.01 +0.06 — 21:36
38 Rasmus Sandin D -1.75 0.00 +0.09 -1.99 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 16:32

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
30 Joel Hofer G +2.50 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.50 59:19
25 Jordan Kyrou R +2.21 +0.75 +0.71 +0.80 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 16:01
18 Robert Thomas C +1.92 0.00 +0.31 +1.41 +0.22 0.00 -0.02 — 14:08
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R +1.71 +0.75 +0.31 +0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:27
81 Dylan Holloway L +1.41 0.00 +0.24 +1.18 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 18:02
6 Philip Broberg D +1.23 +0.55 +0.25 +0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 22:27
23 Logan Mailloux D +1.17 +0.70 +0.17 +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 20:51
28 Otto Stenberg C +1.00 +0.75 +0.15 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:14
29 Jonatan Berggren R +0.89 +0.55 +0.11 +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:06
4 Justin Holl D +0.84 0.00 +0.01 +0.48 +0.30 0.00 +0.05 — 15:30
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R +0.80 +0.70 +0.10 +0.01 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 12:53
17 Cam Fowler D +0.69 0.00 0.00 +0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:21
55 Colton Parayko D +0.65 0.00 +0.08 +0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:49
41 Theo Lindstein D +0.53 0.00 +0.03 +0.61 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:20
22 Pius Suter C +0.35 0.00 +0.43 -0.04 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 14:33
89 Pavel Buchnevich L +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.33 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 17:31
37 Jack Finley C +0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 13:17
13 Alexey Toropchenko R -0.02 0.00 +0.01 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:39
63 Jake Neighbours L -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.25 -0.15 0.00 +0.12 — 14:32

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.