| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 34 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 31 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:01 | Andrew Peeke (5) David Pastrnak (62), Fraser Minten (17) · wrist xG 0.02 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 14:00 | Pavel Zacha (25) Viktor Arvidsson (23), Casey Mittelstadt (24) · snap xG 0.21 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 10:27 | Viktor Arvidsson (21) David Pastrnak (63), Hampus Lindholm (19) · snap xG 0.04 | 0–3 ▶ | |
| 14:46 | Kirill Kaprizov (39) Ryan Hartman (17), Brock Faber (35) · wrist xG 0.11 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:48 | Elias Lindholm (15) Lukas Reichel (5), Hampus Lindholm (20) · wrist xG 0.47 | 1–4 ▶ | |
| 7:57 | Mats Zuccarello (15)PP Quinn Hughes (65) · wrist xG 0.12 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 13:44 | Ryan Hartman (18) Quinn Hughes (66), Mats Zuccarello (30) · bat xG 0.24 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 16:50 | Pavel Zacha (26) Casey Mittelstadt (25) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 3–5 ▶ | |
| 19:26 | Elias Lindholm (16)EN Casey Mittelstadt (26) · wrist xG 0.85 | 3–6 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MIN | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.56 | Expected goals | 3.84 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 2.21 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.76 |
| 84 | Shot attempts | 66 |
| 60 | Unblocked attempts | 53 |
| 34 | Shots on goal | 31 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:44 | MIN | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · MIN takes the lead, 61–39%
BOS had led since 11:50 of the 1st, by as much as 68% |
| 13:50 | MIN | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.66–0.15
In xG over 10 minutes, 4:10 to 14:10 of the 3rd; goals 2–0 |
| 16:50 | MIN | Goalie | Goalie · Gustavsson −2.0 goals saved
5 goals on 2.99 xG, 30 shots on goal |
| 17:14 | MIN | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Gustavsson, down 5–3
With 2:46 left; BOS scored at 19:26 of the 3rd (3–6) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 12 | Matt Boldy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 10 | 0.53 | 0 | 1 | 20:28 |
| 14 | Joel Eriksson Ek | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.05 | 3 | 2 | 19:58 |
| 97 | Kirill Kaprizov | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 | 19:58 |
| 36 | Mats Zuccarello | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 | 0.92 | 0 | 0 | 17:54 |
| 38 | Ryan Hartman | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 9 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 | 17:06 |
| 91 | Vladimir Tarasenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 16:50 |
| 71 | Nick Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.16 | 3 | 0 | 14:33 |
| 17 | Marcus Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.06 | 4 | 0 | 12:39 |
| 13 | Yakov Trenin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.15 | 4 | 0 | 11:46 |
| 90 | Marcus Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 11:05 |
| 10 | Bobby Brink | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 10:49 |
| 47 | Michael McCarron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 09:10 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Quinn Hughes | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 11 | 0.17 | 0 | 4 | 31:03 |
| 7 | Brock Faber | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 6 | 0.22 | 1 | 2 | 26:34 |
| 25 | Jonas Brodin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 |
| 55 | Jake Middleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 14:43 |
| 24 | Zach Bogosian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 14:30 |
| 2 | Jeff Petry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 12:08 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | 30 | 5 | 25 | .833 | 2.99 | -2.01 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.30 | 1 | 1 | 20:48 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 18:12 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 18:01 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 1.38 | 0 | 2 | 17:49 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 0.56 | 0 | 0 | 15:32 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 3 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 14:01 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 13:10 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 12:24 |
| 76 | Lukas Reichel | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 11:58 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 3 | 0 | 11:35 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 11:27 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 11:18 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 5 | 0.12 | 1 | 3 | 26:16 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.03 | 2 | 1 | 22:25 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.06 | 4 | 3 | 20:55 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.26 | 0 | 4 | 19:48 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 3 | 14:46 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 11:47 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 34 | 3 | 31 | .912 | 3.56 | +0.56 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 Mats Zuccarello R | +1.48 | +1.30 | +0.60 | -0.19 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 17:54 |
| 38 Ryan Hartman R | +1.31 | +1.45 | +0.26 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:06 |
| 43 Quinn Hughes D | +1.30 | +1.40 | +0.11 | -0.52 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 31:03 |
| 5 Jake Middleton D | +1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:43 |
| 97 Kirill Kaprizov L | +1.00 | +0.75 | +0.28 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:58 |
| 71 Nick Foligno L | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.45 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 14:33 |
| 17 Marcus Foligno L | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:39 |
| 24 Zach Bogosian D | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:30 |
| 13 Yakov Trenin C | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 11:46 |
| 12 Matt Boldy L | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.35 | -0.25 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 20:28 |
| 7 Brock Faber D | -0.05 | +0.55 | +0.15 | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 26:34 |
| 91 Vladimir Tarasenko R | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.47 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 16:50 |
| 14 Joel Eriksson Ek C | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.38 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.10 | — | 19:58 |
| 10 Bobby Brink R | -0.62 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 10:49 |
| 2 Jeff Petry D | -0.75 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:08 |
| 47 Michael McCarron C | -0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.74 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 9:10 |
| 90 Marcus Johansson L | -1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:05 |
| 25 Jonas Brodin D | -1.60 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.43 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:58 |
| 32 Filip Gustavsson G | -2.01 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.01 | 57:48 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +3.03 | +1.95 | +0.04 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:01 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +2.81 | +1.50 | +0.37 | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 15:32 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | +2.50 | +1.50 | +0.90 | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | — | 17:49 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | +2.15 | +1.10 | +0.17 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 19:48 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +2.03 | +1.45 | +0.16 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:24 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +1.93 | +1.40 | +0.20 | +0.16 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 20:48 |
| 75 Lukas Reichel L | +1.13 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:58 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +1.03 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 26:16 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | +0.90 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 14:46 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | +0.79 | +0.75 | +0.04 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 20:55 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +0.73 | +0.55 | +0.08 | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 18:01 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | +0.56 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.56 | 60:00 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 18:12 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 11:27 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 11:47 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:35 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.09 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 11:18 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.26 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 22:25 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | -0.47 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.38 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 13:10 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.