Seattle KrakenSEA 2–3 Final/SO Buffalo SabresBUF

Saturday, March 28, 2026

Final/SO	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	SO	T	SOG
Seattle KrakenSEA	1	1	0	0	0	2	34
Buffalo SabresBUF	0	1	1	0	2	3	36

Playoff odds, %	Change
SEA	-7.3
BUF	+0.0
NSH	+1.7
VGK	+1.6
LAK	+1.5
EDM	+0.7
UTA	+0.6
SJS	+0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 28, 2026 4:46 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
12:42	SEA	Chandler Stephenson (15) Kaapo Kakko (21), Bobby McMann (17) · snap xG 0.11	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
13:18	SEA	Bobby McMann (26) Kaapo Kakko (22), Chandler Stephenson (29) · snap xG 0.16	2–0 ▶
15:55	BUF	Rasmus Dahlin (17)PP Tage Thompson (39), Jack Quinn (30) · wrist xG 0.07	2–1 ▶
3rd Period
11:39	BUF	Peyton Krebs (10) Zach Benson (26) · wrist xG 0.16	2–2 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
	BUF	Tage Thompson vs Philipp Grubauer	Goal
	SEA	Frederick Gaudreau vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	Saved
	BUF	Jack Quinn vs Philipp Grubauer	Goal
	SEA	Kaapo Kakko vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	Saved

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SEA 39%Deserve to win61% BUF

SEA		BUF
3.36	Expected goals	4.10
2	Goals (no shootout)	2
2.62	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.74
59	Shot attempts	75
48	Unblocked attempts	56
34	Shots on goal	36

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
1:28	SEA	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · SEA takes the lead, 62–38% BUF had led since 3:34 of the 1st, by as much as 70%
10:50	SEA	No shift	No shift · Wright, 34:34 on the bench No shift after 18:22 of the 1st; 6 shifts (3:36) before that
12:20	SEA	Goalie	Goalie · Grubauer +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.02 xG, 22 shots on goal
Overtime
4:58	BUF	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · BUF takes the lead, 61–39% SEA had led since 1:28 of the 2nd, by as much as 70%

Shot map

SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ BUF shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Seattle Kraken

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
9	Chandler Stephenson	1	1	2	+2	3	0.11	0	1	23:03
10	Matty Beniers	0	0	0	-1	7	0.51	1	2	21:36
74	Bobby McMann	1	1	2	+2	5	0.37	2	0	20:14
7	Jordan Eberle	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	0	19:30
89	Frederick Gaudreau	0	0	0	0	3	0.52	0	2	17:54
27	Berkly Catton	0	0	0	0	4	0.59	0	1	17:50
84	Kaapo Kakko	0	2	2	+2	3	0.13	0	0	17:02
19	Jared McCann	0	0	0	-1	3	0.26	0	0	15:16
17	Eeli Tolvanen	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	1	2	14:54
59	Ben Meyers	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	2	11:44
78	Oscar Fisker Molgaard	0	0	0	0	4	0.25	1	0	10:40
51	Shane Wright	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	03:36
Defense
62	Brandon Montour	0	0	0	0	8	0.14	2	0	26:25
29	Vince Dunn	0	0	0	0	6	0.11	0	1	23:07
41	Ryker Evans	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	3	22:20
6	Adam Larsson	0	0	0	0	4	0.06	1	1	18:37
55	Ryan Lindgren	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	1	14:07
4	Jamie Oleksiak	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	12:54

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Philipp Grubauer	36	2	34	.944	4.10	+2.10

Buffalo Sabres

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
89	Alex Tuch	0	0	0	0	5	0.21	0	2	24:32
72	Tage Thompson	0	1	1	-1	8	0.64	1	0	24:21
22	Jack Quinn	0	1	1	-1	5	0.26	3	0	17:06
71	Ryan McLeod	0	0	0	-1	4	0.12	0	1	16:44
19	Peyton Krebs	1	0	1	+1	6	0.38	3	0	15:17
9	Josh Norris	0	0	0	+1	4	0.42	1	0	15:08
6	Zach Benson	0	1	1	0	4	0.11	1	0	14:39
17	Jason Zucker	0	0	0	-1	5	0.48	1	0	14:05
91	Josh Doan	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	0	13:21
10	Sam Carrick	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	3	0	10:50
29	Beck Malenstyn	0	0	0	0	3	0.46	4	1	10:44
48	Tyson Kozak	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	07:51
Defense
23	Mattias Samuelsson	0	0	0	-1	6	0.20	4	1	26:14
26	Rasmus Dahlin	1	0	1	-2	6	0.19	1	1	25:10
24	Bowen Byram	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	0	21:29
25	Owen Power	0	0	0	+1	3	0.03	0	1	20:32
21	Conor Timmins	0	0	0	0	4	0.04	0	1	16:40
8	Logan Stanley	0	0	0	0	6	0.42	2	2	12:17

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	34	2	32	.941	3.36	+1.36

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Seattle Kraken

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
31 Philipp Grubauer G	+2.25	0.00	—	—	+0.15	—	—	+2.10	65:00
84 Kaapo Kakko R	+1.63	+1.40	+0.08	-0.01	+0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	17:02
74 Bobby McMann C	+1.34	+1.30	+0.24	-0.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	20:14
27 Berkly Catton C	+1.03	0.00	+0.38	+0.57	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	17:50
78 Oscar Fisker Molgaard C	+0.85	0.00	+0.17	+0.85	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	10:40
9 Chandler Stephenson C	+0.85	+1.30	+0.07	-0.54	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	23:03
89 Frederick Gaudreau C	+0.69	0.00	+0.34	+0.28	0.00	-0.02	+0.10	—	17:54
41 Ryker Evans D	+0.66	0.00	+0.02	+0.51	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	22:20
62 Brandon Montour D	+0.60	0.00	+0.09	+0.49	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	26:25
55 Ryan Lindgren D	+0.50	0.00	+0.01	+0.48	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	14:07
59 Ben Meyers C	+0.29	0.00	+0.03	+0.12	0.00	+0.02	+0.12	—	11:44
20 Eeli Tolvanen R	+0.09	0.00	+0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	14:54
7 Jordan Eberle R	+0.04	0.00	+0.04	-0.15	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	19:30
10 Matty Beniers C	+0.04	0.00	+0.33	-0.35	0.00	-0.02	+0.08	—	21:36
51 Shane Wright C	-0.02	0.00	+0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	3:36
24 Jamie Oleksiak D	-0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.08	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	12:54
19 Jared McCann L	-0.11	0.00	+0.17	-0.41	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	15:16
29 Vince Dunn D	-0.35	0.00	+0.07	-0.48	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	23:07
6 Adam Larsson D	-1.12	0.00	+0.04	-0.88	-0.30	0.00	+0.03	—	18:37

Buffalo Sabres

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
19 Peyton Krebs C	+1.48	+0.75	+0.25	+0.56	0.00	-0.03	-0.04	—	15:17
1 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen G	+1.36	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.36	65:00
72 Tage Thompson C	+1.32	+0.70	+0.42	+0.22	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	24:21
6 Zach Benson L	+1.07	+0.70	+0.07	+0.28	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	14:39
64 Logan Stanley D	+1.02	0.00	+0.27	+0.80	-0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	12:17
9 Josh Norris C	+0.79	0.00	+0.27	+0.51	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:08
21 Conor Timmins D	+0.67	0.00	+0.02	+0.61	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	16:40
22 Jack Quinn R	+0.52	+0.55	+0.17	-0.18	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:06
89 Alex Tuch R	+0.45	0.00	+0.14	+0.19	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	24:32
17 Jason Zucker L	+0.30	0.00	+0.31	-0.03	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	14:05
29 Beck Malenstyn L	+0.27	0.00	+0.30	-0.23	+0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	10:44
91 Josh Doan R	+0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.13	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:21
25 Owen Power D	-0.01	0.00	+0.02	-0.06	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	20:32
71 Ryan McLeod C	-0.05	0.00	+0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	+0.03	—	16:44
4 Bowen Byram D	-0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	21:29
23 Mattias Samuelsson D	-0.21	0.00	+0.13	-0.35	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	26:14
26 Rasmus Dahlin D	-0.40	+0.75	+0.12	-1.00	-0.30	0.00	+0.03	—	25:10
10 Sam Carrick C	-0.47	0.00	+0.09	-0.66	0.00	+0.10	0.00	—	10:50
48 Tyson Kozak C	-0.78	0.00	0.00	-0.74	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	7:51

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.