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Carolina HurricanesCAR 5–2 Final Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ

Tuesday, March 31, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Carolina HurricanesCAR 203 5 33
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 011 2 25
Playoff odds, % Change
CBJ -11.8
CAR +0.0
NYI +3.4
PHI +2.7
OTT +1.6
PIT +1.5
DET +1.5
BOS +0.6

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 31, 2026 7:12 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
13:29 CAR Shayne Gostisbehere (13)PP Nikolaj Ehlers (39), Andrei Svechnikov (37) · slap xG 0.15 1–0 ▶
16:12 CAR Logan Stankoven (15)PP Mark Jankowski (10) · snap xG 0.20 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
15:14 CBJ Kirill Marchenko (26) Zach Werenski (57), Mason Marchment (21) · wrist xG 0.22 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
2:07 CBJ Adam Fantilli (22) Mason Marchment (22), Kirill Marchenko (37) · snap xG 0.02 2–2 ▶
12:42 CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (24) Jalen Chatfield (15), Jaccob Slavin (5) · wrist xG 0.03 3–2 ▶
13:55 CAR Andrei Svechnikov (27)PP Nikolaj Ehlers (40), Sebastian Aho (50) · slap xG 0.15 4–2 ▶
19:13 CAR Jordan Martinook (11)SHEN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.46 5–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CAR 58%Deserve to win42% CBJ
CARCBJ
4.56Expected goals3.19
5Goals (no shootout)2
2.47Expected goals, 5 on 52.48
75Shot attempts51
59Unblocked attempts39
33Shots on goal25

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
17:00 CBJ No shift No shift · Johnson, 11:20 on the bench
No shift from 3:31 to 19:13 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (7:01) before that

Shot map

CAR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CBJ shoots
Jaccob Slavin: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:38) Jaccob Slavin: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:57) Alexander Nikishin: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:02) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 3:21) Erik Gudbranson: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:25) Cole Sillinger: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:02) Jackson Blake: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:02) William Carrier: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:27) Mark Jankowski: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 5:29) Jordan Staal: deflected, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:10) Jaccob Slavin: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:35) Jalen Chatfield: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 7:30) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:38) Sean Monahan: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 8:29) Sean Monahan: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:30) Sebastian Aho: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:46) Zach Werenski: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 9:28) Adam Fantilli: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 9:52) Jordan Martinook: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:13) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 16:43) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 18:17) K'Andre Miller: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:28) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 111 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:50) Jackson Blake: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:59) Shayne Gostisbehere: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:45) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:57) Taylor Hall: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 2:04) Zach Werenski: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:10) Eric Robinson: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:05) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:09) Dante Fabbro: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:47) Mason Marchment: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:59) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:08) Mason Marchment: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 5:10) Logan Stankoven: deflected, 83 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:03) Sean Walker: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 6:38) Sean Walker: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:53) Jackson Blake: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 7:06) Jordan Staal: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 8:20) Jordan Martinook: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:23) Sean Monahan: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:45) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:13) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:29) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:46) Adam Fantilli: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:05) Sean Monahan: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 13:15) Seth Jarvis: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:41) Zach Werenski: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:10) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:12) K'Andre Miller: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:23) Sean Walker: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:40) Sean Monahan: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 15:55) Taylor Hall: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 16:31) William Carrier: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 17:27) Jaccob Slavin: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:34) Jalen Chatfield: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:39) Jaccob Slavin: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:41) Ivan Provorov: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:13) Sean Monahan: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 19:32) Jaccob Slavin: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:10) K'Andre Miller: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:52) K'Andre Miller: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:55) Sean Walker: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:06) William Carrier: bat, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 2:36) Jordan Staal: deflected, 16 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:42) Sebastian Aho: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 4:21) Jackson Blake: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:38) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 6:14) Zach Werenski: backhand, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:24) Danton Heinen: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:51) Mark Jankowski: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 8:23) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:35) Alexander Nikishin: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:19) Seth Jarvis: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:36) Jackson Blake: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 11:39) Seth Jarvis: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 13:31) Zach Werenski: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:26) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 14:32) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:52) Boone Jenner: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:58) Jordan Martinook: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 15:43) K'Andre Miller: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:21) Cole Sillinger: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:30) Cole Sillinger: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:39) Danton Heinen: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 16:43) Zach Werenski: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:48) Sebastian Aho: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:34) K'Andre Miller: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:39) Seth Jarvis: backhand, 42 ft, xG 0.43 (P3 18:11) Miles Wood: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 19:48) Cole Sillinger: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:59) Shayne Gostisbehere: GOAL, slap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 13:29) Logan Stankoven: GOAL, snap, 20 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 16:12) Kirill Marchenko: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 15:14) Adam Fantilli: GOAL, snap, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:07) Nikolaj Ehlers: GOAL, wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:42) Andrei Svechnikov: GOAL, slap, 24 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 13:55) Jordan Martinook: GOAL, wrist, 173 ft, xG 0.46 (P3 19:13)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Carolina Hurricanes

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
20 Sebastian Aho 011 0 50.23 0119:29
24 Seth Jarvis 000 0 40.73 1019:00
27 Nikolaj Ehlers 123 0 30.07 0018:23
11 Jordan Staal 000 +1 40.31 3116:41
37 Andrei Svechnikov 112 0 20.26 2016:29
53 Jackson Blake 000 -1 70.24 0216:25
22 Logan Stankoven 101 -1 20.20 0015:54
71 Taylor Hall 000 -1 20.24 0115:48
48 Jordan Martinook 101 +1 40.72 3115:27
77 Mark Jankowski 011 0 30.38 1111:27
28 William Carrier 000 0 30.26 1109:38
50 Eric Robinson 000 0 10.02 1009:01
Defense
74 Jaccob Slavin 011 +1 60.13 0020:47
5 Jalen Chatfield 011 +1 30.23 0020:42
19 K'Andre Miller 000 0 70.04 2018:41
26 Sean Walker 000 0 80.19 3017:52
4 Shayne Gostisbehere 101 -1 60.27 1217:39
21 Alexander Nikishin 000 -1 50.03 0115:56
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Brandon Bussi 25223 .920 3.19 +1.19

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
23 Sean Monahan 000 -2 70.67 0020:06
22 Boone Jenner 000 -2 10.05 5518:58
3 Charlie Coyle 000 -1 00.00 4218:48
86 Kirill Marchenko 112 +1 70.94 0018:20
19 Adam Fantilli 101 +1 70.52 2018:06
27 Mason Marchment 022 +2 20.22 3217:22
83 Conor Garland 000 -1 00.00 1014:16
4 Cole Sillinger 000 0 40.09 1013:30
58 Danton Heinen 000 0 20.24 0112:38
21 Isac Lundeström 000 0 00.00 0110:07
91 Kent Johnson 000 0 10.00 1007:48
18 Miles Wood 000 0 10.15 1007:34
Defense
8 Zach Werenski 011 -1 90.22 1127:29
9 Ivan Provorov 000 +1 50.05 0125:21
44 Erik Gudbranson 000 0 20.01 2121:21
15 Dante Fabbro 000 0 10.03 1117:55
5 Denton Mateychuk 000 +1 20.00 0016:10
6 Egor Zamula 000 0 00.00 1007:10
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jet Greaves 32428 .875 3.66 -0.34

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Carolina Hurricanes

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L +1.89 +2.15 +0.05 -0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 18:23
37 Andrei Svechnikov R +1.66 +1.30 +0.17 +0.34 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 16:29
77 Mark Jankowski L +1.27 +0.70 +0.25 +0.34 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 11:27
32 Brandon Bussi G +1.19 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.19 59:42
20 Sebastian Aho C +0.99 +0.55 +0.15 +0.21 0.00 +0.10 -0.01 — 19:29
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D +0.97 +0.75 +0.18 -0.18 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 17:39
22 Logan Stankoven C +0.95 +0.75 +0.13 +0.20 -0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 15:54
48 Jordan Martinook L +0.71 +0.75 +0.47 -0.69 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:27
5 Jalen Chatfield D +0.70 +0.70 +0.15 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 20:42
24 Seth Jarvis C +0.67 0.00 +0.47 +0.21 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 19:00
19 K'Andre Miller D +0.54 0.00 +0.02 +0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 18:41
26 Sean Walker D +0.46 0.00 +0.12 +0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:52
53 Jackson Blake R +0.29 0.00 +0.16 +0.20 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 16:25
71 Taylor Hall L +0.29 0.00 +0.16 -0.09 +0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 15:48
74 Jaccob Slavin D +0.25 +0.55 +0.08 -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:47
28 William Carrier L +0.17 0.00 +0.17 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:38
50 Eric Robinson L +0.11 0.00 +0.01 +0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:01
21 Alexander Nikishin D -0.36 0.00 +0.02 -0.56 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:56
11 Jordan Staal C -0.61 0.00 +0.20 -0.92 0.00 +0.05 +0.05 — 16:41

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
86 Kirill Marchenko R +2.91 +1.30 +0.61 +1.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:20
17 Mason Marchment L +2.21 +1.25 +0.14 +0.89 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 17:22
19 Adam Fantilli C +1.99 +0.75 +0.34 +0.89 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 18:06
8 Zach Werenski D +1.87 +0.70 +0.15 +0.99 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 27:29
23 Sean Monahan C +0.73 0.00 +0.44 +0.40 0.00 -0.06 -0.04 — 20:06
38 Boone Jenner C +0.66 0.00 +0.03 +0.22 +0.15 -0.01 +0.27 — 18:58
5 Denton Mateychuk D +0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:10
83 Conor Garland R +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:16
15 Dante Fabbro D +0.19 0.00 +0.02 +0.28 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 17:55
9 Ivan Provorov D +0.13 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 25:21
4 Cole Sillinger C -0.21 0.00 +0.06 -0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:30
3 Charlie Coyle C -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.41 +0.15 -0.08 +0.08 — 18:46
73 Jet Greaves G -0.34 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.34 58:55
43 Danton Heinen L -0.38 0.00 +0.16 -0.56 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:40
11 Miles Wood L -0.44 0.00 +0.10 -0.53 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 7:34
21 Isac Lundeström C -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.71 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 10:07
6 Egor Zamula D -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 7:10
44 Erik Gudbranson D -0.83 0.00 +0.01 -0.88 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:21
91 Kent Johnson C -0.84 0.00 0.00 -0.69 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 7:48

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.