hockeystats.io

Seattle KrakenSEA 0–3 Final Edmonton OilersEDM

Tuesday, March 31, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Seattle KrakenSEA 000 0 27
Edmonton OilersEDM 201 3 24
Playoff odds, % Change
SEA -8.4
EDM +1.9
NSH +1.5
VGK +1.5
LAK +1.0
SJS +1.0
WPG +0.5
UTA +0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 31, 2026 8:14 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
5:28 EDM Max Jones (3) Jake Walman (12) · deflected xG 0.11 0–1 ▶
12:43 EDM Kasperi Kapanen (8) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.04 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
17:34 EDM Connor McDavid (43)EN Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (35), Zach Hyman (20) · wrist xG 0.57 0–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SEA 49%Deserve to win51% EDM
SEAEDM
2.19Expected goals2.79
0Goals (no shootout)3
1.51Expected goals, 5 on 51.69
60Shot attempts46
43Unblocked attempts38
27Shots on goal24

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
12:48 EDM Goalie Goalie · Ingram +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.10 xG, 25 shots on goal
17:05 SEA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Grubauer, down 2–0
With 2:55 left; EDM scored at 17:34 of the 3rd (0–3)

Shot map

SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ EDM shoots
Kasperi Kapanen: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:28) Matt Savoie: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:20) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:49) Curtis Lazar: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 2:29) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:25) Brandon Montour: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:32) Brandon Montour: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:44) Darnell Nurse: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:29) Oscar Fisker Molgaard: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:05) Matt Savoie: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:44) Josh Samanski: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:27) Josh Samanski: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:29) Adam Henrique: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:05) Matt Savoie: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:11) Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:57) Darnell Nurse: snap, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:14) Vince Dunn: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:19) Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:23) Vince Dunn: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:09) Matty Beniers: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 17:33) Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:41) Matty Beniers: bat, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:42) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 19:08) Vasily Podkolzin: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 19:46) Adam Henrique: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:53) Bobby McMann: backhand, 42 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:24) Jamie Oleksiak: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:13) Connor McDavid: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:55) Vince Dunn: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:44) Adam Larsson: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:47) Eeli Tolvanen: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:56) Jamie Oleksiak: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:25) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:51) Ben Meyers: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 4:35) Jordan Eberle: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 6:41) Adam Henrique: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 7:32) Evan Bouchard: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:35) Bobby McMann: backhand, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:04) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:49) Jordan Eberle: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 11:00) Brandon Montour: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:15) Jake Walman: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:28) Matt Savoie: slap, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 11:57) Frederick Gaudreau: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:17) Connor McDavid: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 13:33) Matt Savoie: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 13:50) Bobby McMann: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 14:46) Jake Walman: wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:19) Jason Dickinson: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:40) Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:59) Vince Dunn: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:40) Zach Hyman: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:53) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:57) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 23 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 17:24) Matt Savoie: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:35) Vince Dunn: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:29) Jordan Eberle: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 19:14) Vince Dunn: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:24) Bobby McMann: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:13) Jaden Schwartz: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:38) Mattias Ekholm: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:19) Jason Dickinson: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:59) Bobby McMann: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:22) Jordan Eberle: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 4:51) Jared McCann: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:59) Darnell Nurse: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:25) Jason Dickinson: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 7:29) Jamie Oleksiak: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:20) Ryan Lindgren: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:41) Evan Bouchard: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 10:01) Eeli Tolvanen: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 12:26) Matty Beniers: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 12:34) Matty Beniers: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 12:48) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 161 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 13:13) Adam Henrique: wrist, 167 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:17) Brandon Montour: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:58) Vince Dunn: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:03) Frederick Gaudreau: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:42) Max Jones: GOAL, deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 5:28) Kasperi Kapanen: GOAL, wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:43) Connor McDavid: GOAL, wrist, 89 ft, xG 0.57 (P3 17:34)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Seattle Kraken

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
7 Jordan Eberle 000 -1 70.59 0118:42
10 Matty Beniers 000 -1 50.34 0018:04
9 Chandler Stephenson 000 -1 00.00 0017:40
27 Berkly Catton 000 0 00.00 0017:17
19 Jared McCann 000 -1 40.09 0015:50
74 Bobby McMann 000 -2 50.19 1015:49
71 Jaden Schwartz 000 0 10.02 0115:00
84 Kaapo Kakko 000 -1 20.05 2014:43
89 Frederick Gaudreau 000 -1 40.08 0014:23
78 Oscar Fisker Molgaard 000 0 10.03 2113:05
17 Eeli Tolvanen 000 -1 50.17 0012:30
59 Ben Meyers 000 -1 10.17 3011:23
Defense
29 Vince Dunn 000 -3 90.24 0222:01
41 Ryker Evans 000 0 30.00 0121:55
62 Brandon Montour 000 -1 60.11 2020:41
6 Adam Larsson 000 -2 20.01 1118:32
55 Ryan Lindgren 000 0 20.06 2016:20
4 Jamie Oleksiak 000 0 30.04 0114:34
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Philipp Grubauer 23221 .913 2.22 +0.22

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Connor McDavid 101 +1 40.78 1019:46
18 Zach Hyman 011 +1 20.01 0017:39
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 011 +1 20.15 0017:35
22 Matt Savoie 000 0 60.41 1017:25
92 Vasily Podkolzin 000 0 30.16 1116:13
42 Kasperi Kapanen 101 +1 20.10 0215:12
16 Jason Dickinson 000 +1 30.24 0114:40
96 Jack Roslovic 000 0 00.00 0013:39
19 Adam Henrique 000 +1 40.26 0113:38
46 Max Jones 101 +1 20.11 2009:53
20 Curtis Lazar 000 +1 10.11 2009:50
81 Josh Samanski 000 +1 20.15 0009:48
Defense
25 Darnell Nurse 000 +2 50.04 2323:12
5 Connor Murphy 000 +2 00.00 1422:08
2 Evan Bouchard 000 0 30.08 0021:18
14 Mattias Ekholm 000 0 50.17 1218:27
96 Jake Walman 011 +1 20.02 1117:21
49 Ty Emberson 000 +1 00.00 5116:16
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Ingram 27027 1.000 2.19 +2.19

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Seattle Kraken

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
7 Jordan Eberle R +1.12 0.00 +0.38 +0.70 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 18:42
10 Matty Beniers C +0.76 0.00 +0.22 +0.42 +0.15 -0.03 0.00 — 18:04
19 Jared McCann L +0.48 0.00 +0.06 +0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:50
55 Ryan Lindgren D +0.30 0.00 +0.04 +0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:20
24 Jamie Oleksiak D +0.22 0.00 +0.03 +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:34
31 Philipp Grubauer G +0.22 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.22 59:31
62 Brandon Montour D +0.15 0.00 +0.07 +0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 20:41
59 Ben Meyers C +0.12 0.00 +0.11 -0.16 +0.15 +0.02 0.00 — 11:23
20 Eeli Tolvanen R +0.08 0.00 +0.11 +0.12 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:30
41 Ryker Evans D -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:55
89 Frederick Gaudreau C -0.16 0.00 +0.05 -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:23
74 Bobby McMann C -0.20 0.00 +0.12 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:49
9 Chandler Stephenson C -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.32 0.00 +0.07 -0.02 — 17:40
78 Oscar Fisker Molgaard C -0.38 0.00 +0.02 -0.40 0.00 -0.03 +0.03 — 13:05
29 Vince Dunn D -0.42 0.00 +0.16 -0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 22:01
84 Kaapo Kakko R -0.46 0.00 +0.04 -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:43
17 Jaden Schwartz L -0.50 0.00 +0.01 -0.56 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:00
27 Berkly Catton C -0.61 0.00 0.00 -0.73 +0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 17:17
6 Adam Larsson D -0.61 0.00 0.00 -0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:32

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
39 Connor Ingram G +2.19 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.19 60:00
97 Connor McDavid C +1.71 +0.75 +0.50 +0.43 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 19:46
42 Kasperi Kapanen R +1.03 +0.75 +0.07 +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 15:12
46 Max Jones L +0.92 +0.75 +0.07 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 9:53
22 Matt Savoie C +0.77 0.00 +0.27 +0.54 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 17:25
19 Adam Henrique C +0.69 0.00 +0.17 +0.46 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 13:38
16 Jason Dickinson C +0.59 0.00 +0.15 +0.46 0.00 -0.06 +0.03 — 14:40
96 Jake Walman D +0.57 +0.70 +0.01 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:21
14 Mattias Ekholm D +0.57 0.00 +0.11 +0.53 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 18:27
2 Evan Bouchard D +0.56 0.00 +0.05 +0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 21:18
5 Connor Murphy D +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 22:08
25 Darnell Nurse D +0.38 0.00 +0.03 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 23:12
92 Vasily Podkolzin R +0.36 0.00 +0.11 +0.21 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 16:13
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C +0.29 +0.70 +0.09 -0.52 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 17:35
18 Zach Hyman L +0.22 +0.55 +0.01 -0.19 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 17:39
81 Josh Samanski C +0.21 0.00 +0.10 +0.10 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 9:48
20 Curtis Lazar C +0.09 0.00 +0.07 +0.04 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 — 9:50
49 Ty Emberson D -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 16:16
28 Jack Roslovic C -0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.23 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 13:39

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.