| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 32 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 30 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:22 | Cody Glass (16) Lenni Hameenaho (5), Nick Bjugstad (3) · wrist xG 0.19 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 7:37 | Dawson Mercer (16) Timo Meier (17), Nico Hischier (34) · backhand xG 0.14 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 8:15 | Cole Hutson (2) Hendrix Lapierre (12), Tom Wilson (28) · wrist xG 0.14 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 9:47 | Pierre-Luc Dubois (5)PP Ryan Leonard (24), Jakob Chychrun (33) · wrist xG 0.30 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 18:19 | Dougie Hamilton (12) Jack Hughes (42), Jesper Bratt (43) · slap xG 0.03 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 9:10 | Jack Hughes (23) Jesper Bratt (44), Johnathan Kovacevic (7) · wrist xG 0.09 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 8:10 | Jack Hughes (24) Jesper Bratt (45), Connor Brown (23) · wrist xG 0.16 | 2–5 ▶ | |
| 9:33 | Tom Wilson (28) Rasmus Sandin (24), Pierre-Luc Dubois (10) · wrist xG 0.12 | 3–5 ▶ | |
| 12:16 | Jesper Bratt (20)PP Nico Hischier (35), Jack Hughes (43) · snap xG 0.24 | 3–6 ▶ | |
| 17:54 | Dawson Mercer (17)EN Jesper Bratt (46), Jack Hughes (44) · wrist xG 0.63 | 3–7 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| WSH | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.27 | Expected goals | 3.44 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 7 |
| 2.46 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.94 |
| 68 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 49 | Unblocked attempts | 39 |
| 32 | Shots on goal | 30 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 18:19 | WSH | Goalie | Goalie · Thompson −2.4 goals saved
3 goals on 0.61 xG, 7 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:50 | WSH | No shift | No shift · Kampf, 15:39 on the bench
No shift from 10:48 of the 2nd to 10:32 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (7:25) before that |
| 8:50 | NJD | No shift | No shift · Cotter, 10:49 on the bench
No shift from 14:07 of the 2nd to 9:01 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (5:08) before that |
| 16:04 | WSH | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Thompson, down 6–3
With 3:56 left; NJD scored at 17:54 of the 3rd (3–7) |
| 19:40 | WSH | No shift | No shift · Leonard, 10:28 on the bench
No shift after 5:58 of the 3rd; 18 shifts (13:46) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0.39 | 1 | 0 | 20:06 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 19:10 |
| 80 | Pierre-Luc Dubois | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0.40 | 1 | 0 | 19:00 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 9 | 0.31 | 4 | 0 | 18:05 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 15:23 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:22 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.33 | 2 | 0 | 13:46 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.29 | 2 | 1 | 12:46 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 12:07 |
| 63 | Ivan Miroshnichenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 10:49 |
| 64 | David Kampf | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 09:39 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 24:55 |
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 18:56 |
| 44 | Cole Hutson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 11 | 0.69 | 0 | 1 | 18:48 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 18:34 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 17:45 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 16:31 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Thompson | 29 | 6 | 23 | .793 | 2.81 | -3.19 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Jack Hughes | 2 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 9 | 0.63 | 0 | 1 | 22:25 |
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 21:08 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 1.08 | 1 | 1 | 20:00 |
| 16 | Connor Brown | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 19:03 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 1 | 4 | 5 | +4 | 6 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 18:11 |
| 28 | Timo Meier | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 18:08 |
| 29 | Lenni Hameenaho | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.32 | 1 | 0 | 14:09 |
| 72 | Nick Bjugstad | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.18 | 2 | 1 | 12:59 |
| 12 | Cody Glass | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.36 | 0 | 1 | 12:53 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 06:58 |
| 72 | Maxim Tsyplakov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 06:04 |
| 33 | Evgenii Dadonov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 05:43 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Luke Hughes | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 23:22 |
| 8 | Johnathan Kovacevic | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 21:13 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 18:44 |
| 71 | Simon Nemec | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 4 | 18:29 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 5 | 18:27 |
| 7 | Dougie Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 7 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 17:38 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | 32 | 3 | 29 | .906 | 3.27 | +0.27 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +2.56 | +1.30 | +0.25 | +0.86 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 20:06 |
| 44 Cole Hutson D | +2.49 | +0.75 | +0.45 | +1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:48 |
| 80 Pierre-Luc Dubois C | +2.10 | +1.30 | +0.26 | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 19:02 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | +1.04 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 18:56 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier R | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.63 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 19:10 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.29 | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.06 | — | 17:12 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | +0.58 | +0.70 | +0.22 | -0.18 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:46 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +0.54 | +0.70 | +0.19 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:46 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:05 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | +0.33 | +0.55 | +0.06 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 24:55 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 17:45 |
| 34 Justin Sourdif C | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.25 | +0.15 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 15:22 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime L | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.07 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:07 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 18:34 |
| 24 Connor McMichael L | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.10 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:23 |
| 64 David Kampf C | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.62 | -0.15 | -0.06 | +0.15 | — | 9:39 |
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.91 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:31 |
| 63 Ivan Miroshnichenko L | -0.80 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:49 |
| 48 Logan Thompson G | -3.19 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.19 | 58:10 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 Jack Hughes C | +4.56 | +3.30 | +0.41 | +0.64 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 22:25 |
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | +4.19 | +3.40 | +0.22 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:11 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | +1.85 | +1.50 | +0.70 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:00 |
| 16 Connor Brown R | +1.62 | +0.55 | +0.13 | +0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:03 |
| 29 Lenni Hameenaho R | +1.61 | +0.70 | +0.21 | +0.55 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:09 |
| 12 Cody Glass C | +1.55 | +0.75 | +0.23 | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 12:53 |
| 7 Dougie Hamilton D | +1.42 | +0.75 | +0.07 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 17:38 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.19 | — | 18:27 |
| 72 Nick Bjugstad C | +0.63 | +0.55 | +0.12 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:59 |
| 8 Johnathan Kovacevic D | +0.54 | +0.55 | +0.03 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:13 |
| 13 Nico Hischier C | +0.32 | +1.25 | 0.00 | -0.73 | -0.15 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 21:08 |
| 34 Jake Allen G | +0.27 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.27 | 60:00 |
| 43 Luke Hughes D | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 23:22 |
| 28 Timo Meier R | -0.10 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.67 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 18:08 |
| 17 Simon Nemec D | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 18:29 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 6:58 |
| 42 Maxim Tsyplakov R | -0.57 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 6:04 |
| 33 Evgenii Dadonov L | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 5:43 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | -0.76 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.63 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:44 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.