Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 6–7 Final/OT Los Angeles KingsLAK

Saturday, April 4, 2026

Final/OT	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T	SOG
Toronto Maple LeafsTOR	2	2	2	0	6	20
Los Angeles KingsLAK	0	3	3	1	7	40

Playoff odds, %	Change
LAK	+9.6
TOR	+0.0
SJS	-2.9
NSH	-2.8
VGK	-1.7
STL	-0.7
WPG	-0.6
SEA	-0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 4, 2026 6:18 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:19	TOR	Matthew Knies (22) Max Domi (24) · snap xG 0.12	1–0 ▶
13:42	TOR	Steven Lorentz (6)SH Unassisted · snap xG 0.29	2–0 ▶
2nd Period
1:11	LAK	Quinton Byfield (19) Jared Wright (3), Trevor Moore (15) · tip-in xG 0.40	2–1 ▶
3:55	LAK	Adrian Kempe (31) Mikey Anderson (15) · snap xG 0.19	2–2 ▶
9:18	TOR	John Tavares (30)PP William Nylander (47), Matthew Knies (40) · wrist xG 0.38	3–2 ▶
14:53	LAK	Artemi Panarin (27) Brandt Clarke (31), Adrian Kempe (36) · tip-in xG 0.05	3–3 ▶
19:47	TOR	Easton Cowan (10)PP John Tavares (37), Matthew Knies (41) · wrist xG 0.16	4–3 ▶
3rd Period
5:46	LAK	Adrian Kempe (32) Artemi Panarin (52), Joel Edmundson (19) · wrist xG 0.05	4–4 ▶
6:14	LAK	Samuel Helenius (5) Taylor Ward (4), Cody Ceci (8) · wrist xG 0.06	4–5 ▶
7:22	LAK	Alex Laferriere (19) Trevor Moore (16) · wrist xG 0.10	4–6 ▶
9:37	TOR	Nick Robertson (15) Dakota Joshua (8) · wrist xG 0.21	5–6 ▶
13:29	TOR	Matthew Knies (23) John Tavares (38), Matias Maccelli (24) · wrist xG 0.09	6–6 ▶
Overtime
2:33	LAK	Quinton Byfield (20) Artemi Panarin (53), Adrian Kempe (37) · wrist xG 0.15	6–7 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

TOR 21%Deserve to win79% LAK

TOR		LAK
2.48	Expected goals	4.47
6	Goals (no shootout)	7
1.00	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.27
45	Shot attempts	85
31	Unblocked attempts	67
20	Shots on goal	40

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
4:00	LAK	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced TOR 1.18–0.10 In xG over 10 minutes, 14:20 of the 1st to 4:20 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
19:47	LAK	Goalie	Goalie · Kuemper −2.2 goals saved 4 goals on 1.78 xG, 14 shots on goal
3rd Period
7:22	TOR	Goalie	Goalie · Woll −2.4 goals saved 6 goals on 3.56 xG, 31 shots on goal
16:20	TOR	No shift	No shift · Pezzetta, 13:46 on the bench No shift after 6:14 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (5:05) before that
19:40	LAK	Shortened bench	Shortened bench · 2 defensemen sat Dumoulin and Ceci: no shift after 9:37 of the 3rd

Shot map

TOR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ LAK shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Toronto Maple Leafs

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
88	William Nylander	0	0	0	-4	7	0.29	0	0	23:24
91	John Tavares	1	2	3	-1	1	0.38	2	0	20:21
89	Matthew Knies	2	1	3	+1	3	0.30	3	0	19:44
53	Easton Cowan	1	0	1	-3	5	0.26	3	0	18:06
19	Calle Jarnkrok	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	15:51
29	Bo Groulx	0	0	0	+1	2	0.00	2	0	15:48
11	Max Domi	0	1	1	-1	5	0.25	1	1	14:19
63	Matias Maccelli	0	1	1	-1	1	0.08	0	0	11:44
81	Dakota Joshua	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	10:38
18	Steven Lorentz	1	0	1	-1	2	0.34	3	0	10:33
14	Nick Robertson	1	0	1	0	5	0.31	1	0	10:14
61	Michael Pezzetta	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	05:05
Defense
22	Jake McCabe	0	0	0	-2	2	0.05	0	2	23:45
44	Morgan Rielly	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	4	22:18
28	Troy Stecher	0	0	0	-2	4	0.08	1	4	21:10
25	Brandon Carlo	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	1	3	19:15
51	Philippe Myers	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	1	1	16:41
44	Simon Benoit	0	0	0	-2	2	0.02	4	0	14:59

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Joseph Woll	40	7	33	.825	4.47	-2.53

Los Angeles Kings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
14	Alex Laferriere	1	0	1	0	17	1.34	3	1	24:10
10	Artemi Panarin	1	2	3	+1	12	0.59	0	1	22:19
55	Quinton Byfield	2	0	2	+2	5	0.73	0	0	21:16
11	Anze Kopitar	0	0	0	+1	5	0.22	0	0	21:13
12	Trevor Moore	0	2	2	+2	4	0.13	0	0	20:44
9	Adrian Kempe	2	2	4	+1	15	0.84	1	1	20:02
21	Scott Laughton	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	1	1	15:09
40	Joel Armia	0	0	0	-1	4	0.21	0	3	13:28
25	Jared Wright	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	0	2	10:40
79	Samuel Helenius	1	0	1	+1	3	0.11	2	0	05:50
39	Jeff Malott	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	05:18
17	Taylor Ward	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	1	0	05:17
Defense
8	Drew Doughty	0	0	0	+3	5	0.13	3	1	29:20
44	Mikey Anderson	0	1	1	+3	2	0.03	2	0	21:48
92	Brandt Clarke	0	1	1	-1	4	0.02	0	1	20:11
6	Joel Edmundson	0	1	1	0	2	0.01	1	0	15:48
2	Brian Dumoulin	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	1	0	13:28
5	Cody Ceci	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	2	1	12:46

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Darcy Kuemper	20	6	14	.700	2.48	-3.52

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
23 Matthew Knies L	+2.59	+2.60	+0.19	-0.36	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	19:44
81 Dakota Joshua C	+1.29	+0.70	0.00	+0.44	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	10:38
91 John Tavares C	+1.18	+2.15	+0.24	-1.24	0.00	+0.04	-0.02	—	20:21
89 Nick Robertson L	+0.88	+0.75	+0.20	-0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	10:14
63 Matias Maccelli L	+0.59	+0.55	+0.05	-0.16	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	11:44
18 Steven Lorentz C	+0.32	+0.75	+0.22	-0.64	0.00	-0.03	+0.02	—	10:33
29 Bo Groulx C	+0.16	0.00	0.00	+0.23	0.00	-0.07	0.00	—	15:48
51 Philippe Myers D	+0.12	0.00	+0.02	+0.22	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	16:41
11 Max Domi C	-0.06	+0.70	+0.16	-0.44	-0.45	-0.10	+0.07	—	14:19
19 Calle Jarnkrok C	-0.12	0.00	0.00	-0.19	0.00	+0.02	+0.05	—	15:51
61 Michael Pezzetta L	-0.18	0.00	0.00	-0.18	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	5:05
44 Morgan Rielly D	-0.20	0.00	+0.01	-0.39	0.00	0.00	+0.18	—	22:18
25 Brandon Carlo D	-0.24	0.00	+0.05	-0.42	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	19:15
53 Easton Cowan R	-0.37	+0.75	+0.17	-1.44	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	18:06
22 Jake McCabe D	-0.52	0.00	+0.03	-0.64	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	23:45
2 Simon Benoit D	-1.21	0.00	+0.01	-1.20	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:59
88 William Nylander R	-1.21	+0.70	+0.19	-2.08	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	23:24
28 Troy Stecher D	-1.24	0.00	+0.05	-1.49	0.00	0.00	+0.20	—	21:10
60 Joseph Woll G	-2.53	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.53	62:17

Los Angeles Kings

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
9 Adrian Kempe R	+3.75	+2.60	+0.54	+0.60	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	20:02
55 Quinton Byfield R	+3.65	+1.50	+0.47	+1.67	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	21:16
12 Trevor Moore L	+3.04	+1.25	+0.09	+1.73	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	20:44
14 Alex Laferriere R	+2.93	+0.75	+0.87	+1.11	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	24:10
10 Artemi Panarin L	+2.83	+2.15	+0.38	+0.24	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	22:19
44 Mikey Anderson D	+2.37	+0.70	+0.02	+1.52	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	21:48
8 Drew Doughty D	+1.80	0.00	+0.08	+1.70	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	29:20
53 Jared Wright R	+1.31	+0.70	+0.02	+0.48	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	10:40
92 Brandt Clarke D	+1.28	+0.70	+0.02	+0.50	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	20:11
79 Samuel Helenius C	+1.17	+0.75	+0.07	+0.19	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	5:50
6 Joel Edmundson D	+1.05	+0.55	+0.01	+0.49	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:48
11 Anze Kopitar C	+0.86	0.00	+0.14	+0.65	0.00	+0.07	0.00	—	21:13
5 Cody Ceci D	+0.55	+0.55	+0.02	-0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	12:46
52 Taylor Ward R	+0.49	+0.70	+0.01	-0.19	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	5:17
39 Jeff Malott L	+0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.11	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	5:18
2 Brian Dumoulin D	+0.01	0.00	+0.01	+0.22	-0.15	0.00	-0.06	—	13:28
40 Joel Armia R	-0.42	0.00	+0.13	-0.52	-0.15	+0.01	+0.11	—	13:28
21 Scott Laughton C	-0.44	0.00	+0.02	-0.43	-0.15	+0.07	+0.05	—	15:09
35 Darcy Kuemper G	-3.52	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-3.52	62:33

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.