Minnesota WildMIN 5–4 Final Detroit Red WingsDET

Sunday, April 5, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Minnesota WildMIN	0	4	1	5	20
Detroit Red WingsDET	1	0	3	4	24

Playoff odds, %	Change
DET	-10.7
MIN	+0.0
OTT	+5.7
PHI	+1.3
NYI	+1.2
CBJ	+0.9
BOS	+0.8
WSH	+0.7

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 5, 2026 12:23 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:40	DET	Albert Johansson (3) Axel Sandin-Pellikka (14), Patrick Kane (37) · snap xG 0.06	0–1 ▶
2nd Period
0:18	MIN	Matt Boldy (41) Joel Eriksson Ek (30) · wrist xG 0.06	1–1 ▶
1:25	MIN	Kirill Kaprizov (41) Ryan Hartman (18), Mats Zuccarello (35) · deflected xG 0.13	2–1 ▶
7:03	MIN	Vladimir Tarasenko (22) Jake Middleton (14), Ryan Hartman (19) · snap xG 0.07	3–1 ▶
12:32	MIN	Kirill Kaprizov (42) Brock Faber (36) · snap xG 0.11	4–1 ▶
3rd Period
7:18	DET	Axel Sandin-Pellikka (7) Dylan Larkin (29), Lucas Raymond (48) · snap xG 0.02	4–2 ▶
11:14	DET	J.T. Compher (11) Simon Edvinsson (15), Marco Kasper (10) · tip-in xG 0.27	4–3 ▶
14:36	DET	Patrick Kane (15) Alex DeBrincat (42), Andrew Copp (33) · backhand xG 0.13	4–4 ▶
18:09	MIN	Kirill Kaprizov (43)PP Matt Boldy (40), Mats Zuccarello (36) · slap xG 0.06	5–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MIN 46%Deserve to win54% DET

MIN		DET
2.84	Expected goals	2.72
5	Goals (no shootout)	4
1.75	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.34
46	Shot attempts	71
38	Unblocked attempts	43
20	Shots on goal	24

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
12:32	DET	Goalie	Goalie · Talbot −2.3 goals saved 4 goals on 1.74 xG, 13 shots on goal
3rd Period
12:20	DET	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced MIN 1.11–0.07 In xG over 10 minutes, 2:20 to 12:20 of the 3rd; goals 2–0
18:24	DET	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Talbot, down 5–4 With 1:36 left

Shot map

MIN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DET shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Minnesota Wild

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
97	Kirill Kaprizov	3	0	3	0	10	0.67	0	1	19:53
14	Joel Eriksson Ek	0	1	1	0	1	0.36	2	0	19:11
12	Matt Boldy	1	1	2	0	5	0.16	0	2	19:03
36	Mats Zuccarello	0	2	2	0	1	0.05	0	1	18:11
38	Ryan Hartman	0	2	2	+1	5	0.11	0	0	16:00
90	Marcus Johansson	0	0	0	+1	4	0.08	2	1	14:57
13	Yakov Trenin	0	0	0	-1	1	0.24	10	1	13:36
91	Vladimir Tarasenko	1	0	1	0	3	0.11	1	0	13:14
47	Michael McCarron	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	3	2	12:28
71	Nick Foligno	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	2	12:04
17	Marcus Foligno	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	1	11:28
22	Danila Yurov	0	0	0	-1	1	0.19	1	0	11:02
Defense
43	Quinn Hughes	0	0	0	0	4	0.32	0	1	25:05
7	Brock Faber	0	1	1	0	2	0.02	0	4	23:33
55	Jake Middleton	0	1	1	0	2	0.36	0	4	18:15
25	Jonas Brodin	0	0	0	+2	2	0.05	0	2	17:17
46	Jared Spurgeon	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0	2	17:00
2	Jeff Petry	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	15:43

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Filip Gustavsson	24	4	20	.833	2.72	-1.28

Detroit Red Wings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Andrew Copp	0	1	1	+1	4	0.12	1	0	19:22
88	Patrick Kane	1	1	2	0	8	0.45	0	0	19:09
93	Alex DeBrincat	0	1	1	+2	9	0.11	1	0	18:58
71	Dylan Larkin	0	1	1	-1	6	0.15	0	0	17:55
23	Lucas Raymond	0	1	1	-1	7	0.31	0	0	17:25
58	Emmitt Finnie	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	2	0	16:08
37	J.T. Compher	1	0	1	+1	4	0.82	0	0	15:42
16	David Perron	0	0	0	+2	1	0.00	1	0	12:55
27	Michael Rasmussen	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	12:08
92	Marco Kasper	0	1	1	-1	4	0.34	3	0	12:02
21	James van Riemsdyk	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	2	0	10:10
34	Carter Mazur	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	09:40
Defense
53	Moritz Seider	0	0	0	-1	8	0.06	2	2	27:54
77	Simon Edvinsson	0	1	1	+1	2	0.03	2	3	23:13
8	Ben Chiarot	0	0	0	-1	6	0.08	0	1	21:39
44	Axel Sandin-Pellikka	1	1	2	+1	4	0.11	0	1	15:04
25	Jacob Bernard-Docker	0	0	0	-1	3	0.03	2	0	14:34
20	Albert Johansson	1	0	1	0	2	0.06	0	1	13:52

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Cam Talbot	20	5	15	.750	2.52	-2.48

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Minnesota Wild

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
97 Kirill Kaprizov L	+2.12	+2.25	+0.43	-0.64	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	19:53
38 Ryan Hartman R	+1.24	+1.25	+0.07	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	+0.02	—	16:00
5 Jake Middleton D	+1.22	+0.70	+0.23	+0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.20	—	18:15
12 Matt Boldy L	+1.19	+1.45	+0.11	-0.39	0.00	-0.02	+0.04	—	19:03
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R	+1.00	+0.75	+0.07	+0.23	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	13:14
36 Mats Zuccarello R	+0.65	+1.10	+0.04	-0.54	0.00	-0.01	+0.07	—	18:11
7 Brock Faber D	+0.40	+0.70	+0.01	-0.51	0.00	0.00	+0.20	—	23:33
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C	+0.39	+0.70	+0.23	-0.49	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	—	19:11
25 Jonas Brodin D	+0.39	0.00	+0.03	+0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	17:17
13 Yakov Trenin C	+0.25	0.00	+0.15	+0.04	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	13:36
22 Danila Yurov R	+0.18	0.00	+0.12	+0.21	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	11:02
71 Nick Foligno L	+0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.11	0.00	-0.02	+0.08	—	12:04
17 Marcus Foligno L	+0.11	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	11:28
43 Quinn Hughes D	+0.03	0.00	+0.21	-0.47	+0.30	0.00	-0.01	—	25:05
90 Marcus Johansson L	-0.06	0.00	+0.05	-0.16	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:57
46 Jared Spurgeon D	-0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.16	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	17:00
47 Michael McCarron C	-0.15	0.00	+0.07	-0.33	0.00	+0.01	+0.10	—	12:28
2 Jeff Petry D	-0.45	0.00	0.00	-0.50	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:43
32 Filip Gustavsson G	-1.28	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.28	60:00

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
37 J.T. Compher L	+1.90	+0.75	+0.54	+0.59	0.00	+0.06	-0.04	—	15:42
88 Patrick Kane R	+1.88	+1.30	+0.29	+0.46	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	19:09
93 Alex DeBrincat R	+1.70	+0.70	+0.07	+0.95	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:58
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D	+1.56	+1.45	+0.07	+0.16	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	15:04
18 Andrew Copp C	+1.45	+0.55	+0.08	+0.79	0.00	+0.03	0.00	—	19:22
77 Simon Edvinsson D	+1.39	+0.70	+0.02	+0.60	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	23:13
57 David Perron L	+1.17	0.00	0.00	+1.19	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:55
92 Marco Kasper C	+1.12	+0.55	+0.22	+0.19	+0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	12:02
71 Dylan Larkin C	+0.68	+0.70	+0.10	-0.20	0.00	+0.06	+0.02	—	17:55
20 Albert Johansson D	+0.63	+0.75	+0.04	-0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	13:52
23 Lucas Raymond L	+0.48	+0.55	+0.20	-0.29	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	17:25
53 Moritz Seider D	+0.34	0.00	+0.04	+0.20	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	27:54
8 Ben Chiarot D	+0.24	0.00	+0.06	+0.13	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	21:39
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D	+0.16	0.00	+0.02	+0.14	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:34
21 James van Riemsdyk L	-0.19	0.00	0.00	-0.20	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	10:10
27 Michael Rasmussen C	-0.34	0.00	0.00	-0.32	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	12:08
34 Carter Mazur L	-0.48	0.00	0.00	-0.47	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	9:40
58 Emmitt Finnie C	-0.49	0.00	+0.02	-0.50	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	16:08
39 Cam Talbot G	-2.48	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.48	58:24

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.