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Ottawa SenatorsOTT 1–3 Final Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Saturday, October 17, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG Record
Ottawa SenatorsOTT 010 1 26 6–3–0, 12 pts
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 021 3 28 1–6–3, 5 pts
Playoff odds, % Now Change Final Cup
OTT 67.7 -6.4 7.3 3.4
PHI 7.3 +1.9 0.3 0.1
MTL 55.6 +1.1 5.4 2.4
NYR 54.0 -0.7 3.7 1.5
BUF 57.6 +0.7 5.8 2.7
PIT 29.6 +0.6 2.0 0.8
DET 20.3 +0.6 1.1 0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Oct 17, 2026 9:47 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
5:55 OTT Drake Batherson (4) Claude Giroux (5), Tim Stützle (7) · snap xG 0.13 1–0 ▶
9:03 PHI Porter Martone (2) Matvei Michkov (1) · tip-in xG 0.10 1–1 ▶
18:33 PHI Matvei Michkov (4)PP Michael Bunting (1), Porter Martone (1) · snap xG 0.17 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
19:46 PHI Trevor Zegras (2)EN Christian Dvorak (2), Sean Couturier (3) · wrist xG 0.65 1–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

OTT 59%Deserve to win41% PHI
OTTPHI
2.40Expected goals2.61
1Goals (no shootout)3
1.92Expected goals, 5 on 50.75
54Shot attempts57
36Unblocked attempts39
26Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG). Injuries are ESPN's reports since the game started.

3rd Period
8:40 OTT No shift No shift · Chabot, 16:09 on the benchESPN: undisclosed, day-to-day
No shift after 18:33 of the 2nd; 16 shifts (12:03) before that
17:32 OTT Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Ullmark, down 2–1
With 2:28 left; PHI scored at 19:46 of the 3rd (1–3)

Shot map

OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots
Trevor Zegras: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 1:01) Matvei Michkov: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:43) Michael Bunting: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:49) Porter Martone: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 2:02) Porter Martone: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:40) Jamie Drysdale: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:47) Sean Couturier: deflected, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:08) Stephen Halliday: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:23) Thomas Chabot: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:17) Noel Acciari: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:17) Tyson Foerster: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:08) Warren Foegele: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:18) Trevor Zegras: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:34) Matvei Michkov: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:18) Matvei Michkov: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:29) David Jiricek: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 11:55) Trevor Zegras: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:04) Jamie Drysdale: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:45) Warren Foegele: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:27) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 13:54) Stephen Halliday: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 14:30) Shane Pinto: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:44) Drake Batherson: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:59) Stephen Halliday: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 16:42) Sean Couturier: backhand, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:05) Ridly Greig: backhand, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:37) Noah Cates: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:00) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:09) Noel Acciari: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:53) Travis Sanheim: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:59) Tyson Foerster: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:41) Nick Seeler: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:46) Ridly Greig: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 4:47) Travis Sanheim: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:33) Oliver Bonk: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:46) Nick Cousins: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:11) Nick Cousins: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:12) Tyler Kleven: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:17) Denver Barkey: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:47) Michael Bunting: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:07) Simon Benoit: snap, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:13) Trevor Zegras: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:07) Travis Sanheim: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:32) Carter Yakemchuk: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 10:17) Artem Zub: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:22) Tim Stützle: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 13:01) Tyson Foerster: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 16:05) Shane Pinto: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 16:22) Nick Cousins: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:30) Tyson Foerster: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 17:56) Matvei Michkov: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 17:57) Porter Martone: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 18:31) Drake Batherson: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:27) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:42) Michael Amadio: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:57) Nikolas Matinpalo: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 3:12) Artem Zub: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:20) Warren Foegele: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 4:58) Warren Foegele: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 4:59) Trevor Zegras: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 5:08) Denver Barkey: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:52) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:25) Claude Giroux: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:22) Michael Bunting: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:49) Jordan Spence: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:28) Drake Batherson: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 15:33) Stephen Halliday: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:33) Carter Yakemchuk: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:14) Warren Foegele: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:35) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:41) Dylan Cozens: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 18:35) Drake Batherson: GOAL, snap, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 5:55) Porter Martone: GOAL, tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 9:03) Matvei Michkov: GOAL, snap, 15 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 18:33) Trevor Zegras: GOAL, wrist, 84 ft, xG 0.65 (P3 19:46)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Skater GAP+/− SOG AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 Tim Stützle 011 0 1 30.20 4123:03
19 Drake Batherson 101 0 4 70.26 0119:58
28 Claude Giroux 011 0 1 20.05 2019:20
12 Shane Pinto 000 -2 1 20.14 2218:37
71 Ridly Greig 000 0 0 20.17 0215:34
24 Dylan Cozens 000 -1 3 70.29 0014:51
34 Stephen Halliday 000 0 4 40.30 1014:27
20 Fabian Zetterlund 000 0 0 30.00 1013:29
37 Warren Foegele 000 0 4 60.31 1113:27
22 Michael Amadio 000 -1 0 20.02 0011:54
95 Andre Burakovsky 000 0 0 00.00 1009:14
21 Nick Cousins 000 -1 1 30.19 2008:42
Defense
43 Tyler Kleven 000 0 1 30.08 5322:29
26 Carter Yakemchuk 000 -1 2 30.20 0021:45
2 Artem Zub 000 +1 1 20.03 2320:25
10 Jordan Spence 000 0 1 20.02 1420:18
33 Nikolas Matinpalo 000 0 1 20.12 0016:58
72 Thomas Chabot 000 -1 1 10.03 0012:03
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Linus Ullmark 27225 .926 1.96 -0.04

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− SOG AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
22 Christian Dvorak 011 +1 0 00.00 2221:41
46 Trevor Zegras 101 +1 5 71.01 1219:18
71 Tyson Foerster 000 0 3 60.26 2118:39
14 Sean Couturier 011 +1 1 20.03 3118:00
86 Denver Barkey 000 0 2 40.07 2015:39
58 Michael Bunting 000 0 2 40.09 0015:29
39 Matvei Michkov 112 0 3 60.43 1114:29
27 Noah Cates 000 0 0 10.04 1014:00
94 Porter Martone 112 0 4 50.32 2013:28
52 Noel Acciari 000 0 2 30.08 2111:52
23 Jack Studnicka 000 0 0 00.00 2009:05
10 Garrett Wilson 000 0 0 00.00 3107:51
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 000 -1 2 70.09 1527:01
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 +2 2 30.09 1121:50
24 Nick Seeler 000 +2 1 20.00 2119:29
59 Oliver Bonk 000 -1 0 20.02 0119:12
44 Simon Benoit 000 0 1 40.00 2115:06
5 David Jiricek 011 0 0 10.07 1014:08
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 26125 .962 2.40 +1.40

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Ottawa Senators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
28 Claude Giroux R +1.68 +0.70 +0.03 +0.91 0.00 +0.06 -0.02 — 19:20
19 Drake Batherson R +1.62 +0.75 +0.17 +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:58
18 Tim Stützle C +1.53 +0.55 +0.13 +0.73 +0.15 -0.02 -0.01 — 23:03
2 Artem Zub D +0.84 0.00 +0.02 +0.69 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 20:25
37 Warren Foegele L +0.81 0.00 +0.20 +0.56 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:27
26 Carter Yakemchuk D +0.73 0.00 +0.13 +0.73 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 21:45
24 Dylan Cozens C +0.58 0.00 +0.19 +0.40 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 14:51
43 Tyler Kleven D +0.57 0.00 +0.05 +0.50 -0.15 0.00 +0.17 — 22:29
10 Jordan Spence D +0.56 0.00 +0.02 +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 20:18
20 Fabian Zetterlund L +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:29
71 Ridly Greig C +0.41 0.00 +0.11 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:34
12 Shane Pinto C +0.31 0.00 +0.09 +0.10 0.00 +0.03 +0.08 — 18:37
33 Nikolas Matinpalo D +0.26 0.00 +0.08 +0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:58
34 Stephen Halliday C +0.19 0.00 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 14:27
21 Nick Cousins C +0.12 0.00 +0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:42
22 Michael Amadio R +0.04 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:54
95 Andre Burakovsky L -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:14
35 Linus Ullmark G -0.04 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.04 57:46
72 Thomas Chabot D -0.20 0.00 +0.02 -0.05 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 12:03

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
39 Matvei Michkov R +1.77 +1.45 +0.28 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:29
94 Porter Martone R +1.43 +1.30 +0.21 -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:28
80 Dan Vladar G +1.40 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.40 59:43
58 Michael Bunting L +0.72 +0.70 +0.06 +0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 15:29
46 Trevor Zegras C +0.69 +0.75 +0.66 -0.81 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 19:18
14 Sean Couturier C +0.48 +0.55 +0.02 -0.14 0.00 -0.02 +0.07 — 18:00
86 Denver Barkey C +0.11 0.00 +0.04 +0.06 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:39
5 David Jiricek D +0.06 0.00 +0.05 +0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:08
44 Simon Benoit D +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:06
22 Christian Dvorak C -0.08 +0.70 0.00 -0.85 0.00 -0.03 +0.10 — 21:41
27 Noah Cates L -0.08 0.00 +0.03 -0.08 0.00 -0.05 +0.02 — 14:00
9 Jamie Drysdale D -0.24 0.00 +0.06 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:50
52 Noel Acciari C -0.30 0.00 +0.05 -0.42 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 11:52
23 Jack Studnicka C -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.37 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 9:05
10 Garrett Wilson L -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 7:51
71 Tyson Foerster R -0.53 0.00 +0.17 -0.75 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:39
24 Nick Seeler D -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.60 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:29
59 Oliver Bonk D -0.60 0.00 +0.01 -0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 19:12
6 Travis Sanheim D -0.74 0.00 +0.06 -1.03 0.00 0.00 +0.23 — 27:01

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.