| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:46 | Zach Werenski (20) Cole Sillinger (20), Charlie Coyle (26) · snap xG 0.02 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 12:50 | Ivan Provorov (6) Adam Fantilli (23), Mason Marchment (13) · wrist xG 0.11 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:17 | Danton Heinen (3) Charlie Coyle (27) · wrist xG 0.10 | 0–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:33 | Sean Monahan (10)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.77 | 0–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CHI | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.38 | Expected goals | 3.09 |
| 0 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 1.21 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.21 |
| 54 | Shot attempts | 48 |
| 43 | Unblocked attempts | 34 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 20 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:20 | CHI | No shift | No shift · Kaiser, 39:47 on the bench
No shift after 7:19 of the 1st; 3 shifts (2:07) before that |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 19:10 | CHI | No shift | No shift · Dach, 24:11 on the bench
No shift after 2:55 of the 2nd; 8 shifts (5:31) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 8:43 | CBJ | Goalie | Goalie · Greaves +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.10 xG, 16 shots on goal |
| 14:12 | CHI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Knight, down 3–0
With 5:48 left; CBJ scored at 15:33 of the 3rd (0–4) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 98 | Connor Bedard | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.45 | 0 | 1 | 22:07 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 20:27 |
| 91 | Frank Nazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.48 | 0 | 1 | 18:11 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 16:17 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 15:57 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 15:26 |
| 16 | Jason Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 15:07 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.19 | 2 | 0 | 15:05 |
| 71 | Nick Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.07 | 3 | 1 | 11:44 |
| 84 | Landon Slaggert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:27 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 05:31 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Sam Rinzel | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.13 | 2 | 3 | 25:42 |
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 24:32 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 21:52 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.05 | 2 | 2 | 20:56 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.17 | 0 | 3 | 18:44 |
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 02:07 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 19 | 3 | 16 | .842 | 2.32 | -0.68 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 18:10 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 17:35 |
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.19 | 2 | 0 | 17:11 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 1.15 | 0 | 0 | 15:59 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.13 | 3 | 0 | 15:53 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.19 | 3 | 0 | 15:25 |
| 58 | Danton Heinen | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.57 | 0 | 0 | 14:19 |
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 14:17 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 11:34 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 0 | 2 | 11:21 |
| 18 | Miles Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:06 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 08:34 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 22:28 |
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 21:45 |
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 21:04 |
| 44 | Erik Gudbranson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 19:43 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 19:17 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 16:19 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | 21 | 0 | 21 | 1.000 | 2.38 | +2.38 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 Landon Slaggert L | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:27 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.11 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:26 |
| 16 Jason Dickinson C | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.16 | +0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 15:07 |
| 17 Nick Foligno L | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.04 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 11:44 |
| 98 Connor Bedard C | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.29 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:07 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 16:17 |
| 6 Sam Rinzel D | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 25:42 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 2:07 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:05 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.46 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 5:31 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:57 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:56 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 24:32 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.66 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 18:44 |
| 91 Frank Nazar C | -0.64 | 0.00 | +0.31 | -0.96 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 18:11 |
| 30 Spencer Knight G | -0.68 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.68 | 58:30 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:27 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | -0.76 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:52 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | -0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.84 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 17:18 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 Jet Greaves G | +2.38 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.38 | 60:00 |
| 43 Danton Heinen L | +2.08 | +0.75 | +0.37 | +1.10 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:19 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +2.05 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +1.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 21:45 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | +1.87 | +1.25 | +0.10 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:10 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | +1.78 | +0.75 | +0.74 | +0.39 | -0.15 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 15:59 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +1.65 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 17:11 |
| 17 Mason Marchment L | +1.57 | +0.55 | +0.06 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:35 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +1.28 | +0.75 | +0.07 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:04 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | +1.12 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:53 |
| 44 Erik Gudbranson D | +0.90 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:43 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:21 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.60 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 22:28 |
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:25 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:19 |
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:34 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 11:34 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | — | 14:17 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:17 |
| 11 Miles Wood L | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:06 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.