San Jose SharksSJS 4–2 Final Montréal CanadiensMTL

Saturday, March 14, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
San Jose SharksSJS	1	2	1	4	22
Montréal CanadiensMTL	1	1	0	2	27

Playoff odds, %	Change
SJS	+9.3
MTL	-1.6
LAK	-1.9
SEA	-1.5
NSH	-1.4
EDM	-1.4
VGK	-1.1
ANA	-0.8
UTA	-0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 14, 2026 6:05 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
7:21	MTL	Cole Caufield (38) Juraj Slafkovský (30), Noah Dobson (31) · snap xG 0.09	0–1 ▶
13:12	SJS	Macklin Celebrini (34) Collin Graf (20), John Klingberg (13) · snap xG 0.16	1–1 ▶
2nd Period
11:56	SJS	Mario Ferraro (5) Alexander Wennberg (30), William Eklund (29) · snap xG 0.03	2–1 ▶
16:20	SJS	Collin Graf (18) Macklin Celebrini (59), John Klingberg (14) · snap xG 0.19	3–1 ▶
17:38	MTL	Nick Suzuki (22) Ivan Demidov (38), Noah Dobson (32) · snap xG 0.08	3–2 ▶
3rd Period
17:57	SJS	Macklin Celebrini (35)EN Collin Graf (21), Barclay Goodrow (6) · snap xG 0.50	4–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SJS 50%Deserve to win50% MTL

SJS		MTL
4.03	Expected goals	3.10
4	Goals (no shootout)	2
2.94	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.29
53	Shot attempts	62
43	Unblocked attempts	47
22	Shots on goal	27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
6:51	SJS	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · SJS takes the lead, 61–39% MTL had led since 9:58 of the 1st, by as much as 62%
17:14	MTL	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Dobes, down 3–2 With 2:46 left; SJS scored at 17:57 of the 3rd (4–2)
18:12	MTL	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Dobes, down 4–2 With 1:48 left

Shot map

SJS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MTL shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

San Jose Sharks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
27	William Eklund	0	1	1	+1	6	0.17	2	0	23:57
71	Macklin Celebrini	2	1	3	+2	5	0.73	1	1	22:11
51	Collin Graf	1	2	3	+2	6	1.33	0	0	17:10
21	Alexander Wennberg	0	1	1	0	2	0.06	0	0	16:45
2	Will Smith	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	0	16:14
44	Kiefer Sherwood	0	0	0	-1	12	0.39	5	0	16:07
73	Tyler Toffoli	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	0	14:16
77	Michael Misa	0	0	0	-1	4	0.40	0	0	13:16
23	Barclay Goodrow	0	1	1	+1	2	0.11	1	0	13:15
63	Zack Ostapchuk	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	0	11:10
81	Adam Gaudette	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	0	2	10:54
92	Igor Chernyshov	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	00:28
Defense
38	Mario Ferraro	1	0	1	+2	2	0.04	2	1	23:18
73	Vincent Desharnais	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	4	21:31
9	Dmitry Orlov	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	20:52
6	Sam Dickinson	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	2	18:08
3	John Klingberg	0	2	2	+1	4	0.13	2	2	17:48
85	Shakir Mukhamadullin	0	0	0	+1	3	0.15	2	1	16:44

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Alex Nedeljkovic	27	2	25	.926	3.10	+1.10

Montréal Canadiens

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
14	Nick Suzuki	1	0	1	0	5	0.22	0	0	22:01
20	Juraj Slafkovský	0	1	1	-1	4	0.15	2	0	21:28
13	Cole Caufield	1	0	1	-1	4	0.18	0	0	20:14
15	Alex Newhook	0	0	0	+1	2	0.14	2	1	17:11
93	Ivan Demidov	0	1	1	0	2	0.06	0	0	16:49
77	Kirby Dach	0	0	0	0	6	0.64	3	1	15:02
91	Oliver Kapanen	0	0	0	0	5	0.47	0	0	14:56
76	Zachary Bolduc	0	0	0	0	5	0.36	3	1	13:59
24	Phillip Danault	0	0	0	-3	3	0.04	2	2	13:44
71	Jake Evans	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	2	0	12:19
85	Alexandre Texier	0	0	0	-2	4	0.22	0	0	11:26
17	Josh Anderson	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	2	0	09:25
Defense
48	Lane Hutson	0	0	0	-3	5	0.24	1	2	26:12
53	Noah Dobson	0	2	2	+1	2	0.03	0	1	21:29
8	Mike Matheson	0	0	0	-1	3	0.02	1	0	20:50
21	Kaiden Guhle	0	0	0	0	5	0.31	1	1	18:21
45	Alexandre Carrier	0	0	0	0	3	0.01	0	0	13:55
3	Jayden Struble	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	0	11:14

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jakub Dobes	21	3	18	.857	3.10	+0.10

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

San Jose Sharks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
51 Collin Graf R	+4.21	+2.15	+0.87	+1.20	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	17:10
71 Macklin Celebrini C	+4.01	+2.20	+0.48	+1.48	-0.15	+0.01	-0.01	—	22:11
3 John Klingberg D	+2.50	+1.10	+0.08	+1.20	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	17:48
2 Will Smith C	+1.60	0.00	0.00	+1.66	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	16:14
9 Dmitry Orlov D	+1.37	0.00	+0.03	+1.33	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	20:52
33 Alex Nedeljkovic G	+1.10	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.10	60:00
72 William Eklund L	+0.75	+0.55	+0.11	+0.08	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	23:57
38 Mario Ferraro D	+0.57	+0.75	+0.03	-0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	23:18
21 Alexander Wennberg C	+0.48	+0.70	+0.04	-0.19	0.00	-0.05	-0.02	—	16:45
23 Barclay Goodrow C	+0.45	+0.55	+0.07	-0.16	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:15
81 Adam Gaudette R	+0.34	0.00	+0.21	+0.05	0.00	-0.02	+0.10	—	10:54
92 Igor Chernyshov L	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	0:28
6 Sam Dickinson D	-0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	18:08
44 Kiefer Sherwood L	-0.11	0.00	+0.26	-0.38	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	16:07
73 Tyler Toffoli C	-0.18	0.00	+0.04	-0.21	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	14:16
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D	-0.19	0.00	+0.09	-0.28	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	16:44
5 Vincent Desharnais D	-0.20	0.00	0.00	-0.21	-0.15	0.00	+0.16	—	21:31
77 Michael Misa C	-0.29	0.00	+0.26	-0.44	0.00	-0.07	-0.04	—	13:16
63 Zack Ostapchuk C	-0.43	0.00	+0.06	-0.47	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	11:10

Montréal Canadiens

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
77 Kirby Dach C	+0.76	0.00	+0.41	+0.16	+0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	15:02
93 Ivan Demidov R	+0.74	+0.70	+0.04	+0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:49
14 Nick Suzuki C	+0.64	+0.75	+0.14	-0.26	0.00	+0.06	-0.06	—	22:01
20 Juraj Slafkovský L	+0.52	+0.70	+0.10	-0.41	+0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	21:28
47 Jayden Struble D	+0.47	0.00	0.00	+0.51	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	11:14
45 Alexandre Carrier D	+0.45	0.00	+0.01	+0.44	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:55
13 Cole Caufield R	+0.30	+0.75	+0.12	-0.50	0.00	-0.01	-0.06	—	20:14
91 Oliver Kapanen C	+0.21	0.00	+0.31	-0.11	0.00	+0.04	-0.02	—	14:56
53 Noah Dobson D	+0.17	+1.10	+0.02	-0.96	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	21:29
76 Zachary Bolduc R	+0.16	0.00	+0.24	-0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	13:59
21 Kaiden Guhle D	+0.15	0.00	+0.20	-0.10	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	18:21
48 Lane Hutson D	+0.12	0.00	+0.15	-0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	26:12
75 Jakub Dobes G	+0.10	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.10	57:29
15 Alex Newhook C	-0.08	0.00	+0.09	-0.24	0.00	+0.02	+0.05	—	17:11
85 Alexandre Texier L	-0.09	0.00	+0.15	-0.26	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	11:26
71 Jake Evans C	-0.09	0.00	0.00	-0.10	0.00	+0.05	-0.04	—	12:19
17 Josh Anderson R	-0.29	0.00	0.00	-0.29	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:25
24 Phillip Danault C	-0.39	0.00	+0.03	-0.49	0.00	-0.01	+0.08	—	13:44
8 Mike Matheson D	-1.52	0.00	+0.02	-1.53	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	20:50

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.